When Wall Street Journal Editor Bob
Bartley wrote the foreword to this
Index a decade ago, he pointed to the
“happy task of recording success.” The cause of
global economic freedom had advanced over two
decades, and in its wake had come an unprecedented
global prosperity. While Bob admitted to
some foreboding, especially in the wake of the
dot.com crash, I doubt he would have imagined
that a mere decade later the cause of economic
liberty would have regressed as quickly as it has.
The financial panic and Great Recession have
sent the march of freedom in reverse, and the
policy responses to both events have done little
to arrest the retreat. As the 2012 Index records,
governments across the world have put themselves
back at the commanding heights of economic
decision-making. The result is another
dip in the overall global freedom Index , following
a one-year rebound, back down to its second
lowest level in a decade. The world economy is
recovering, but it faces more government-policy
headwinds than it has in decades.
Here and there is some good news. The case
of Mauritius shows once again that good policies
don’t take long to yield good results. A decade
ago, Mauritius ranked 72nd. This year, it ranks
eighth, two spots ahead of the land of the free,
the United States. Mauritius leads what for two
years in a row has been a rare bright spot in these
rankings, which is the improvement in parts of
sub-Saharan Africa. Long trailing Asia and Latin
America in economic reforms, a few African
nations are bidding to join the ranks of growth
economies. This is good news for the continent’s
long-suffering poor, who missed the freedom
boom of the 1980s and 1990s, but their small
economies are still hostage to decisions made in
the developed world.
And this is where the news has been the worst.
Europe has so far not responded to its sovereign
debt crisis with the kind of reforms that rescued
Britain in the 1980s. Instead, it has imposed
austerity in the form of higher taxes when the
continent needs faster growth. Instead of letting
Greece default and requiring its creditors to take
a loss, the euro zone is beating up the European
Central Bank to buy up sovereign debt. This may
ease the immediate panic, but the lesson of the
past year is that it won’t solve the fundamental
problems of overspending, cradle-to-grave
entitlements, and slow growth. For the record,
Greece ranks 119th in economic freedom—just
below Nigeria, Mali, and Benin but (silver-lining
department) above Senegal.
In the U.S., voters in the 2010 elections pulled
Barack Obama’s credit card, and I noted in last
year’s foreword that much would depend onwhether the President accommodated this public
mood or turned left. After a few bows to compromise,
Mr. Obama seems to have decided on a
re-election strategy built on a populist defense of
current entitlements and tax increases on “millionaires
and billionaires” who make more than
$200,000 a year. The immediate result has been
policy gridlock, no significant spending reform,
and a historic downgrade in America’s formerly
AAA credit rating. The U.S. economy is growing
but at a subpar rate that is too slow to reduce
unemployment or to raise living standards.
The stage is thus set for a 2012 election showdown
over the course of U.S. economic policy.
Mr. Obama will say he inherited a mess (which
he did), that his policies averted disaster and set
the base for recovery, and that the U.S. debt burden
will start to fall again if Congress raises taxes.
The Republican nominee will have to make the
case that Mr. Obama’s policies have prevented
a strong recovery and that reforming entitlements,
cutting spending, and unleashing private
enterprise are crucial to an economic revival.
Whether any of the Republicans likely to win the
GOP nomination is capable of making that argument
remains to be seen. If he or she doesn’t, Mr.
Obama may well win a second term and the U.S.
will find itself set more durably on a European
social welfare path.
The stakes for free markets are as high as
they’ve been at any time since the late 1970s,
when Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan
rose to the challenges of the day with policies
rooted in expanding economic freedom. We need
similar leaders to emerge today.
Paul A. Gigot
Editorial Page Editor
The Wall Street Journal
November 2011