(Delivered September 7, 2006)
Like every other American of a certain age, I will never forget
where I was on the morning of September 11, 2001. While planes
were crashing into the World Trade Center, I sat on the taxiway at
Dulles Airport on United Airlines flight 837 bound for San
Francisco, just a few planes behind the ill-fated American Airlines
flight 77 that crashed into the Pentagon, where I was serving as a
Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense. Just two weeks prior to
9/11, my executive assistant had offered me the choice of the
earlier American Airlines flight- flight 77-as I planned my trip to
meet with defense counterparts at Pacific Command in Hawaii, Japan,
and South Korea. I chose the later fight; only by the grace of God
do I sit here before you today.
That brush with fate-and the continual troubling news from
abroad, such as the British foiling of a terrorist plot to
bring down airliners over the Atlantic- reinforces to me that we
have two enemies in the war on terrorism: the terrorists
themselves and our own complacency.
An International Stalemate
Just shy of five years since 9/11, even though we have made
progress in fighting extremism, the reality is that the long war
against terrorism appears to be far from over. The stalemate in the
recent Israel-Hezbollah war, and how it has buoyed not only
political Islamists and Islamic extremists, but Iran and Syria as
well, is particularly troubling.
Iraq and Afghanistan also continue to be significant-and
highly symbolic-challenges on the terrorism front. Iraq and
Afghanistan still remain the central fronts in the war on
terrorism. A premature withdrawal from either would only embolden
Islamic radicals and terrorist extremists in their efforts, leading
to more death and destruction for Americans and
others.
But this latest major terrorist conspiracy in the U.K.,
described by British authorities as an act to commit "mass murder
on an unimaginable scale," calls for us to pay attention to some
new, and enduring, lessons as we continue fighting terrorism both
at home and abroad.
New Lessons
First, we are dealing with a protean enemy. Today's terrorists
are often "homegrown," being radicalized both at home and abroad by
terrorist recruiters, clerics, and the Internet. Terrorist groups
now include women, pregnant mothers, and converts to Islam. The
recent U.K. airline plot and last year's July 7 London attacks are
evidence of these trends.
Al-Qaeda, which was a terrorist group on 9/11, is now a
global terrorist movement. Much to his frustration,
Osama bin Laden is now more of a worldwide inspiration to his
terrorist "disciples" than an active commander who directs
day-to-day terrorist operations. Unfortunately, Osama bin Laden's
loss of operational control has served al-Qaeda's purposes,
making Islamic terrorism more diverse geographically, less
predictable overall, and more challenging to defeat.
Second, our first line of defense is good, actionable
intelligence. That definitely includes vigorous collection and
analysis of foreign and domestic terrorist-related
information, including all information that our domestic laws
and American values, such as civil liberties, will permit. The
foiling of the U.K. airline plot and other terrorist plots clearly
shows the importance-and wisdom-behind well-crafted intelligence
and law enforcement programs such as the National Security
Agency's Terrorist Surveillance Program, the Patriot Act, and
the tracking of terrorist-related international financial
transactions, among others.
Third, international intelligence and law enforcement
cooperation is a force multiplier in fighting the transnational
threat of terrorism. The U.S.-U.K. collaboration in foiling this
terrorist operation is well known, but cooperation with Pakistan
proved to be critical in ending the conspiracy. The recent
bombing plot against trains in Germany was nipped in the bud by a
tip from Lebanese intelligence. International cooperation in
intelligence and law enforcement allows authorities to be
proactive, rather than reactive, in fighting the terrorist scourge.
Being ahead of the curve means preventing lives from being taken by
terrorists instead of investigating how terrorists took the lives
after the fact.
A note of caution is also warranted in framing counterterrorism
cooperation. When sharing sensitive counterterrorism
information, it is critical that the U.S. find "trusted agents"
within foreign government intelligence and law enforcement
agencies that, in some cases, are penetrated by radicals and/ or
extremists who are working against our efforts.
Fourth, al-Qaeda and its acolytes continue to improve and evolve
their operational terrorist techniques and tradecraft,
including becoming increasingly sophisticated in their
handiwork. They are already making tremendous use of the Internet
for passing operational information, sharing terrorist tradecraft
information, recruiting new members, and fundraising. The recent
U.K. plot is a good example of their efforts at innovation: These
terrorists reportedly planned to smuggle undetectable
components such as liquid explosive ingredients and detonating
devices disguised as beverages, electronic devices, and other
common objects aboard the targeted aircraft.
While this looks similar to an al-Qaeda operation of the
mid-1990s, code-named Bojinka, which was hatched out of the
Philippines to bring down 10 or so U.S. planes over the Pacific,
these new techniques were meant to evade post-9/11 security
scrutiny. You cannot help but wonder whether any airport
screeners-in Britain or anywhere else-would have been able to
prevent the execution of this sophisticated plot if it hadn't been
interrupted before it went into action.
Although al-Qaeda is crippled, it is not dead, and its ability
to inspire other would-be terrorists may be greater than ever. Even
more troubling are the growing ties among terrorist groups and
their state sponsors-and between state sponsors of terrorism
like Iran and Syria. While some groups may not seem to be natural
allies, divided by sectarian, ethnic, or other cultural divides,
they are clearly willing to cooperate with each other in achieving
common objectives.
Another critical issue is the outcome in Iraq. A failure to
defeat terrorism in Iraq will only validate-once again-its use
as a deadly political tool, encouraging others to embrace the
ideology and tactics of terrorism. Safe havens-more specifically,
preventing the establishment of terrorist safe havens-are also an
important issue. In this regard, I am particularly worried about
the islands of the Indonesian and Philippine archipelagos,
Pakistan's border with Afghanistan, and Somalia.
What Should Be Done
Although we have made significant progress in securing the
homeland and fighting terrorism overseas, complacency about
the challenge of Islamist terrorism will prove to be deadly,
potentially making the horrors of 9/11 seem minor in
comparison.
Our nation, our citizens, and our national interests are
still squarely in the terrorists' crosshairs. The fact that we have
not suffered a terrorist attack here in the United States in nearly
five years may have more to do with their inability to undertake an
attack in the post-9/11 environment than their desire to strike
us.
Well-intentioned hopes and wishes that Islamic terrorism is
something that now only happens overseas-in places such as in Iraq,
Afghanistan, the U.K., or Spain-or was limited to the
unspeakable horrors of 9/11, nearly five years ago, are not
based in reality. This means that we have to be more imaginative
and innovative in defense of our interests than the terrorists
are on offense. We shouldn't only be looking for terrorists under
the proverbial lamppost because that is where the light is
brightest. For instance, we need new security procedures,
education, technologies, and intelligence sources that can detect
and prevent terrorist attacks against American interests and
citizens, especially overseas, where counterterrorism or
security may not be as vigilant or effective as it is here at
home.
Of course, being on the offensive against terrorists, using
all of the "hard" and "soft" instruments of national power, in
cooperation with international partners on intelligence and law
enforcement, is our best defense. Regrettably, the U.K. airliner
conspiracy may not be the last of the terrorist plots meant to
occur on or near the fifth anniversary of 9/11 by al-Qaeda or
al-Qaeda "wannabes." It certainly will not be the last major
terrorist scheme we will face in our lifetimes as Americans.
While the foiled U.K. plot was a clear win in the war on
terrorism, probably preventing the death of as many-or more
than-the number who tragically died on 9/11, equally dangerous
to our safety and security at home and abroad is our own
complacency about the safety and security of this great nation
against the Islamist terrorist threat.
Peter T. R. Brookes
is the Chung Ju Yung Fellow and a Senior Fellow for National
Security Affairs in the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute
for International Studies at The Heritage Foundation.
These remarks were delivered before the Subcommittee on
International Terrorism and Nonproliferation of the House
International Relations Committee on September 7,
2006.