I
have chosen to focus today on defense transformation and
unconventional warfare--particularly as this relates to our
cooperation with the new NATO member states in Eastern and Central
Europe.
In
1999, the National Defense University published a very cleverly
titled book, Mind the Gap , which is
what you hear from the conductor every time you step off a train on
the London tube. Yet it is also a caution about the growing concern
of an emerging technological gap between the United States and its
NATO allies.
When
the book was published, we were celebrating the end of the first
decade without a Cold War. We were lamenting the fact that the
instruments we had used to ensure technical congruency within
NATO--common standards, common equipment and munitions, and joint
exercises--were proving woefully inadequate to meet the challenge
of an emerging defense transformation within the United States
military, a plethora of new and different kinds of military
missions (some of them out of theater), and increasingly miserly
European defense budgets and shrinking capabilities.
Thus, the title Mind the Gap--putting a
European label on the strategic challenge of operating with allies
who have very disparate capabilities--was extremely appropriate. In
the last five years the strategic challenge has only grown. The
expansion of NATO has brought the United States new and very
important allies, but it has also exacerbated the difficulties of
managing forces with very different technologies. This is
particularly true because many of our new NATO allies are even less
engaged in the race for defense transformation than our traditional
European partners.
The
pace of American defense transformation is unlikely to change:
Indeed, it will likely accelerate in the years ahead. At the same
time, I would argue that our new East European allies will become
even more important to the United States--both in ensuring peace
and stability in Europe and in addressing unconventional challenges
in the global war on terrorism, as well as other military missions
that may see U.S. and European forces standing side by side around
the world.
Addressing the technological gap between
the United States and its new and necessary allies will be one of
the most important strategic challenges we face in the years
ahead.
The Challenge
In
April 2004, NATO received an infusion of new blood. At this time in
the half-century of the old alliance's lifespan, this is exactly
what NATO needs. The inclusion of seven new members, most from the
old Warsaw Pact and some formerly part of the Soviet Union, was a
huge boost to morale. If anyone remembers why NATO still has a
purpose after the end of the Cold War, it is the Bulgarians, the
Romanians, the Estonians, the Lithuanians, the Latvians, the
Slovakians, and the Slovenians.
"As
witness to some of the great crimes of the last century, our new
members bring moral clarity to the purpose of our alliance," said
President George W. Bush at the White House ceremony welcoming
representatives of these seven nations along with NATO's new
Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer. "They understand our cause
in Afghanistan and in Iraq . . .because tyranny for them is still a
fresh memory. And so now as members of NATO they are stepping
forward to secure the lives and freedoms of others." Next to seek
NATO membership will be Albania, Croatia, and Macedonia.
New
member nations will help NATO find its vision in a world faced with
so many emerging challenges. Unfortunately, among our "old" allies
in Western Europe, fighting and squabbling has broken out about
Iraq between Europeans and Americans and between Europeans and
Europeans. These disagreements have taken their toll during the
past year and have gravely undermined international
relationships.
Yet
it is worth remembering that strains and fractures in the fabric of
the NATO alliance predated Iraq, Afghanistan, and the 9/11 attacks.
Almost as soon as the Berlin Wall fell in 1989 and the former
Warsaw Pact members started knocking on NATO's door, there were
those who predicted the end of NATO. Without an opposing military
alliance in Europe and without the Cold War, what purpose could
NATO possibly serve? This was their argument.
Today, the imminent threat to the West is
not Russia, but the modern threats of radical fundamentalism,
terrorism, and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.
NATO has recently undertaken its first out-of-area mission in
Afghanistan and would have taken control in Iraq, had it not been
for entrenched French opposition.
In
that fight, the eastward and southward-facing bases in the new NATO
countries will be important logistical assets. So will the
determination of the new members to be valuable partners in the
alliance that they have worked so hard to join.
The Worth of NATO's New Allies:
Cooperation in Iraq and Afghanistan
NATO's new allies have contributed a
significant amount to the global war on terrorism, and their
support and participation is extremely valuable. For instance:
- In the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks,
Lithuanian authorities have taken several concrete steps in
supporting the U.S.-led forces in Iraq and Afghanistan. Lithuania
immediately expressed its support for the statements of the North
Atlantic Council and the decision to apply Article 5 of the
Washington Treaty in regard to the terrorist attacks against the
United States. In December 2001, Lithuania also implemented the
National Program Against Terrorism and allocated an additional 7
million Litas ($2 million) in the 2002 state budget for the fight
against terrorism. Lithuania has also provided humanitarian support
in both Afghanistan and Iraq.
- Slovenia has shown support for the global
war on terrorism through its active participation in pertinent
international counterterrorism conventions, protocols, and policies
of the U.N., NATO, the European Union (EU), Organization for
Security and Co-operation in Europe, and the Council of Europe.
Slovenia also actively partakes in the activities designed to
prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.
- Slovakia has provided the United States
and all coalition partners with blanket overflight and basing
rights. Slovakia also deployed an engineering unit into Afghanistan
in September 2002.
- Bulgaria, NATO's newest coalition member,
has been lauded by the United States for its continued
participation in the global war on terrorism, despite the
instability in that country. The Bulgarian government has 470
soldiers stationed in Iraq and has sent 66 troops to
Afghanistan.
- As one of the four leading countries in
the "Coalition of the Willing," Poland has been present from the
very beginning of Operation Iraqi Freedom's major combat
operations--efforts that successfully toppled one of the most
brutal tyrants the world has known during the past 50 years. To
this day, 2,600 Polish troops are bravely serving on the front line
as Poland leads multi-national stabilization and reconstruction
efforts in southern Iraq.
- Hungary has equipped three Afghan National
Army battalions with armaments and supplies (medical, clothing,
etc.). Hungary has also granted $1 million in aid to Afghanistan.
Additionally, Hungary has provided the United States with bases to
train Iraqi opposition forces.
- The Czech Republic installed a
nuclear/biological/chemical defense unit in support of Operation
Enduring Freedom and a field hospital in support of the
International Security Assistance Force. The Czechs are involved in
training Iraqi diplomats in Prague and are training Iraqi police in
Jordan.
What We Have Learned
All
this experience has taught us a lot about our new allies. What have
we learned? They have a lot of useful expertise in areas such as
urban operations, training security forces, and anti-terrorism. On
the other hand, they, like us, have had to learn as they
fight--developing new capabilities to conduct post-conflict
operations and counter-insurgency warfare, simultaneously, using
forces largely designed for conventional combat on European
battlefields.
What
has been lacking from the outset are important enablers, such as
widely proliferated, reliable, and integrated "friend or foe"
identification systems to help limit fratricide and minimize
civilian casualties with a large capacity to transfer information
back and forth--not just traditional combat data, but all kinds of
information, from lists of critical cultural sites to rosters of
wanted criminals. Also lacking were the means to adapt all the
sensors and intelligence systems available for conventional war to
the special needs of operations in an urban environment with an
active terrorist insurgency--higher fidelity information and
situational knowledge that needed to be distributed to the lowest
levels. Additionally missing were active and passive protection
systems to deal with a wide range of low-tech or even no-tech
threats, as well as more useful non-lethal weapons. Perhaps the
biggest shortfall was the capacity to rapidly and effectively train
and equip indigenous security forces.
The
bottom line is that while the new allies have done a lot, with the
right technologies they could have done much, much more.
The Wrong Answer
Although NATO's new allies have already
demonstrated their value, ensuring that they continue to be
relevant will, in part, require that they have the technical
capabilities to meet new missions in new places. There are both
good and bad ways to achieve this end.
One
route that is clearly the wrong answer is for Europe to attempt to
pool all its resources and create a common European defense force.
A common European defense force will not, in itself, be a security
risk for the United States. Nonetheless, the mere idea of a EU
military does make American officials uneasy. U.S. NATO Ambassador
Nick Burns called plans for an EU military headquarter "the most
serious threat to the future of NATO."
While it does appear that the EU will
continue its effort to create an independent military structure,
there are already clear signs that this is little more than a paper
tiger. It will not generate significant new capabilities. It will
not free up resources to pursue transformational technologies and
it will not help new NATO members to quickly close the technology
gap.
The Solution
The
United States will have to "cherry pick" how and where it will
engage with NATO allies to best close the technology gap. We must
determine where we share common interests and where U.S. engagement
and assistance can provide improved military capabilities that
serve common interests. For instance:
- Extending missile defense capabilities to
new European allies is clearly one area where cooperation might be
profitable.
- Joint work on anti-terrorism technologies
and the means to conduct urban operations are other important
areas.
- Enhancing military operations to conduct
post-conflict activities--such as those undertaken by our forces in
Iraq and Afghanistan--should be another important priority.
- Developing joint technologies that will
prevent fratricide is essential.
- Improving capabilities to support the
employment of the Proliferation Security Initiative and the means
to prevent the spread of--as well as the ability to respond
to--weapons of mass destruction should also be high on the
list.
- Sharing information technologies--the
lifeline that will enable future commanders to communicate with one
another, share information, and coordinate the employment of
disparate sensors and systems--must also take high precedence.
- Fielding effective non-lethal weapons that
could be used for a variety of operational tasks, from hostage
rescue to crowd control, is another important task.
Finally, closing the gap has to be a
shared responsibility. It cannot be a case of the United States
simply giving technology to new allies. First, there must be joint
consultation about determining the most important areas of common
interest. This consultation should be bilateral, but with NATO's
needs, capabilities, and missions kept firmly in mind and with NATO
allies and Russia kept in the communications loop.
Second, East European allies need to
sustain their commitment to building and maintaining military
institutions that can adapt to transformation technologies. This
includes transparency, democratic and civilian control, adequate
funding for forces, education for leaders and soldiers, and
domestic support for meeting their responsibilities as partners in
ensuring the security and interests of the NATO nations.
Additionally, when possible, we should rely on free-market
solutions to allow countries to obtain the right technologies at
the right price. Free markets are the best way to ensure that we
close the gap between the supply and demand for defense
transformation technologies.
Helle Dale is Director of Foreign
Policy and Defense Studies and Deputy Director of the Kathryn and
Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies at The
Heritage Foundation. These remarks were given before the National
Press Club's "DefCom 2004: Transformation and Defense Corporation
at the Crossroads" event on September 8, 2004.