I'd like to begin today
with a story about history and headlines.
As I walk along the
corridors in the State Department, I step through history.
Lining the walls are portraits of former Secretaries of State
and stewards of American foreign policy. In particular, if you pass
through the ceremonial Treaty Room and head toward my office, you
will see the portrait of Henry Stimson.
Perhaps best known as
Franklin D. Roosevelt's Secretary of War, Colonel Stimson
played a pivotal but less remembered role in Central America in
1927. President Calvin Coolidge had sent him to mediate among the
competing factions in a Nicaraguan civil war. Stimson negotiated a
cease-fire, the disarmament of forces, and the conduct of
elections, as the U.S. Marines kept the peace. Stimson was hailed
in the press as a peacemaker. He went on to become governor-general
of the Philippines and later the 47th U.S. Secretary of
State.
But a Nicaraguan
general named Sandino refused to accept the election. Violence
flared again, Sandino was killed, and the Somoza family imposed a
long dictatorship.
Now fast-forward some
60 years, to the time when I last served in the State Department,
under President George H.W. Bush and Secretary James
Baker.
In 1989, a Communist
dictatorship named for General Sandino was in power. With
support from Fidel Castro and the Soviet Union, Daniel Ortega and a
clique of Sandinista commandantes had hijacked a democratic
revolution against the Somozas in 1979. For 10 years, the
Sandinistas jailed political opponents, confiscated property,
and destroyed the country's economy.
Contra rebels, backed
by the United States and based in Honduras, were waging a
determined struggle against this regime. Here in the United States,
fights in Congress over "Contra aid" dominated the headlines.
These were some of our most divisive domestic political
battles since the Vietnam War. The conflict even threatened the
Reagan presidency.
Elsewhere in Central
America, El Salvador's fledgling democracy was battling Cuban- and
Soviet-supported revolutionaries. Guatemala's long civil
war continued amid repression and human rights abuses. Even
peaceful, democratic Costa Rica was flooded with refugees fleeing
war.
In 1989, our new
Administration negotiated with Congress a Bipartisan Accord for
Central America. We ended the domestic wars over this region and
joined together in support of a regional peace plan that called for
democratic elections and an end to outside support for
revolutionary guerrilla armies.
We also made Central
America the testing ground for the new ideas in foreign policy
proclaimed by President Gorbachev, enlisting the cooperation of the
waning Soviet Union to end the region's long civil wars.
Indeed, bringing peace to Central America was an early, important
step in ending the Cold War.
The 1990s profoundly
changed the history of Central America: The Sandinistas were
decisively defeated in Nicaragua's first free elections, and the
Contra army was peacefully demobilized. El Salvador negotiated
a peace accord that strengthened civilian rule and human rights,
and disarmed the guerilla army. Guatemala followed suit with a
national peace accord. When President Bush 41 left office in
January 1993, every nation in Central America was headed by a
democratically elected leader for the first time in
history.
But with the advent of
peace and democracy, Central America once again faded from
U.S. headlines.
The Price of
Neglect
Henry Stimson's brief
diplomatic mission to Nicaragua-and the on-again, off-again
nature of our attention to Central America since 1993-suggest a
lesson from the pages of American history. The involvement of the
United States in Central America has been episodic, with our
attention swinging from intense periods of intervention to long
periods of neglect, only to have the region again erupt onto
our front pages.
From Stimson's time to
the present time, America has paid a heavy price for neglecting
Central America. Today, Central America is once again in our
headlines: We are now engaged in a great debate about the nature of
our relationship with these small but important neighbors. Once
again, we run the risk of turning our backs on Central America.
After almost two decades of democratic progress, the advances could
turn to retreat, and the region could again slide into a new time
of troubles.
Our domestic debate
over the U.S.-Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade
Agreement (CAFTA) is about much more than trade. The people of
Central America fought and struggled, and many died, because they
believed that democracy would bring not only peace, but also a
better life for them and their children. Now the people of the
region are asking the United States to help secure the work of
democracy through a closer economic relationship that could
provide a new foundation for building opportunity.
Yet never has the gap
between Central America and the United States loomed larger.
Central Americans are talking about freedom, democracy, and
hope. Meanwhile, our domestic debate has been dominated by topics
such as sugar and whether CAFTA will codify international labor
conventions that the United States has not even ratified
itself.
Our domestic debate
pays slight attention to the historic opportunity to stabilize and
support Central America while promoting America's strategic
interests and values.
At root, the debate on
CAFTA is fundamentally about America's role in the world and our
relations in this hemisphere:
We must decide whether
we will sacrifice the strategic interests of the United States and
the future of Central America for a spoonful of sugar.
We must decide whether
we will leave hundreds of thousands of Central Americans in
poverty and hopelessness because of the short-sighted protectionism
of U.S. labor unions.
We must decide what
message to send to struggling democracies in other regions, such as
the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa, where economic
reformers are pushing for freedom and need our support.
In short, we must
decide whether to promote America's strategic interests-or its
special interests.
The world is watching.
If we retreat to isolationism, Daniel Ortega, Hugo
Chávez, and others like them-autocrats of left or right-will
push ahead.
The Strategic Choice:
Reform or Retreat
From a strategic
perspective, the choice should not be hard. In many ways, CAFTA is
the logical culmination of 20 years of democratic and social
progress in Central America, nurtured and encouraged by the
United States.
In Nicaragua, for
example, for the first time in the country's history, a former
president was jailed for stealing. President Enrique
Bolaños's courageous battle against corruption set a
precedent for future leaders in the region. But President
Bolaños is now confronting a grim alliance between
unreconstructed Sandinistas and the corrupt allies of former
President Arnoldo Alemán. If we can't help President
Bolaños bring economic opportunity to his people, the old
guard that stole from a poor people may stage a political
comeback.
In Guatemala, President
Oscar Berger was elected to replace Alfonso Portillo, who fled
the country in an attempt to evade corruption charges. Berger has
reduced the size of the military by more than 50 percent and has
made the military's long-secret budget more transparent. Free trade
reduces regulation and enhances governmental transparency,
curtailing state illegality and inefficient economic regulation,
strengthening President Berger's campaign against
corruption.
In Honduras, President
Ricardo Maduro is trying to move his country into the 21st century
by building a dry canal between the oceans to help integrate
his country into the world economy. CAFTA is a cornerstone of
Maduro's development strategy.
In El Salvador, Antonio
Saca, a progressive young president won election by campaigning
vigorously for CAFTA. Saca overcame the former head of the
Communist Party of El Salvador, an FMLN (Farabundo Martí
National Liberation Front) hardliner who has blocked internal
reform of his party.
In the Dominican
Republic, an outgoing and an incoming administration-though keen
political opponents-showed the growing maturity of that democracy
by working cooperatively to address budget and financial crises.
President Leonel Fernandez-like President Hipolito Mejia before
him-has pressed to make the DR part of CAFTA to strengthen the
climate for investment and hope in the Caribbean.
These are encouraging
signs and represent remarkable progress. But the young democracies
of Central America are fragile, and the old enemies of reform have
not gone away.
In Nicaragua, Daniel
Ortega is still a political force. He opposes CAFTA. Together with
the jailed ex-president Alemán, Ortega recently tried to
strip power from the country's freely elected president through a
legislative coup. The Sandinistas then incited street protests that
turned violent while Ortega was on a visit to Havana. His methods
show that while Ortega is a little older and a little grayer, he is
still an opponent of freedom.
FMLN leader Schafik
Hándal of El Salvador joined Ortega's journey to Havana, to
voice support for a new Cuba-Venezuela trade pact that he said
should be a replacement for CAFTA.
The region is setting
its course for the future. Down one path travel modern, democratic
leaders who believe in economic reform, adaptations to the
challenges and openings of the global economy, democracy, and
better social conditions for all their peoples. Down the other
travel the pied pipers of populism, who hold out the false promise
of economic autarky achieved by the dangerous means of
political authoritarianism and personalized power.
CAFTA Will Strengthen
Democracy
As the elected
presidents of Central America and the Dominican Republic explained
when they visited 11 cities across the United States before
coming to Washington last week, CAFTA matters most to them
because it will strengthen the foundations of democracy by
promoting growth and cutting poverty, creating equality of
opportunity, and reducing corruption.
First, and most
fundamentally, CAFTA means economic growth. When a middle
class develops and people have a larger economic stake in their
society, they demand more of a say in how that society is run. This
is profoundly important to the region's democratic success. To
strengthen democracy in the region, its people need to see concrete
benefits from economic freedom-tangible improvements in their daily
life. Nothing is a more secure anchor for democracy than citizens
who are employed and building better lives for their
families.
Trade is a vital
instrument in the toolbox of transformational diplomacy. CAFTA will
encourage the investment of new capital, both foreign and domestic.
Improved protection for intellectual property will encourage new
creative industries and access to life-saving medicines, as we have
already seen in other FTA partners, from Jordan to Singapore.
CAFTA's provisions will encourage competitive and modern
services industries, which supply the infrastructure of
development-for telecommunications, financial, distribution,
express delivery, or energy services. Without these service
networks, countries will have a difficult time integrating
into a world of global sourcing, investment, transportation, and
information flows.
The long-term certainty
of special trade and business access to the large and dynamic U.S.
market will lead to more growth and less poverty. Our recent
free trade agreement with Chile expanded exports-on both sides-by
more than 30 percent in the first year, and U.S. exports jumped
over 50 percent in the first quarter of 2005. By opening its
economy and embracing far-reaching economic reforms and
disciplines, Chile cut poverty by more than half in the last
decade. The record from around the world is clear: Nations that
open markets to trade and encourage foreign investment do
better in raising incomes and reducing poverty.
Second, CAFTA will
promote equality of opportunity in economies long dominated by
economic elites. For centuries Central American society has been
highly stratified, with a few powerful families controlling the
vast majority of economic activity. CAFTA will create opportunities
for people from all walks of life. Dealer protection laws, which
for decades gave exclusive rights to distribute products to a
select few, will be eliminated. Trade capacity-building assistance
will be targeted at helping small entrepreneurs to build
businesses. Tariffs protecting companies controlled by a small
number of powerful families will be swept away. In both the
United States and in Central America, the costs of protection fall
more heavily on poorer families, who devote a greater share of
meager funds to consumption.
Third, CAFTA goes
beyond cutting tariffs to require broad changes in the way
economies and polities operate, challenging those who have grown
corrupt and complacent in captive, uncompetitive markets. The
agreement requires fair and open rules in customs administration,
government procurement, and services regulation. It
criminalizes bribery, casts sunlight on procedures long hidden from
public scrutiny, and strengthens the rule of law. Under CAFTA,
economies will be based on rules, not corrupt
relationships.
Fourth, CAFTA contains
unprecedented provisions to strengthen the role of civil
society groups and individual citizens, the threads that weave the
modern democratic fabric. Groundbreaking environmental
provisions not only require effective enforcement of laws
protecting the environment, but also give citizens a much greater
role in highlighting and correcting trade-related
environmental abuses. To improve protection of workers, the
countries of the region invited the International Labor
Organization to conduct a thorough and wide-ranging review of their
labor laws and enforcement efforts. They then worked with the
Inter-American Development Bank to identify specific improvements
that will help protect worker rights.
These openings provide
important new opportunities for non-governmental organizations
to support economic development with attention to particular
societal concerns. Patricia Forkan of Humane Society International
recently told Congress, "the momentum brought about by the
DR-CAFTA has brought the issues of protecting the environment,
habitat and species protection, and the need for balancing
environmental protections and economic development to the forefront
in Central America. The Central Americans are…asking
for our assistance, our friendship, and our support."
Trade is not, standing
alone, a guarantee of democratic freedom. Comprehensive free
trade agreements can play a vital role, but should also be
linked with policies to combine trade and aid. That is why the
Administration is working to make sure our economic assistance
programs and our trade agenda go hand in hand, with more than $80
million in trade-related capacity building assistance in 2004. At
the State Department, for example, we are directing our economic
assistance programs in Central America toward better enforcement of
labor laws, protection of the environment, fighting corruption, and
strengthening the practices of democracy. And we are working with
multilateral institutions like the Inter-American Development Bank
to make concrete improvements in labor law enforcement and to
assist countries to benefit from more open markets.
CAFTA and U.S.
Security
CAFTA is the right
thing to do because it will strengthen democracy through economic
growth and open societies based on the rule of law. But from a
strategic perspective, it is also the smart thing to do for the
United States, because we do not live in isolation from what
happens in Central America.
Our security is
connected to development in our neighborhood. Criminal gangs, drug
trafficking, even trafficking in persons create dangerous
transnational networks. CAFTA offers a way to treat the cause,
rather than just the symptoms, of the problems in our
neighborhood. CAFTA will also strengthen our ties of partnership
with more robust democratic governments that have a shared interest
in countering these threats.
Economic growth, more
equitable income distribution, and opening opportunity are
keys to resolving the security problems that menace North and
Central America today. When there is instability and poverty in our
neighborhood, it is common sense to help our neighbors address
those problems at home rather than import them into our own
country.
As long as there is
poverty in Latin America, some will still see a powerful incentive
to leave their homes, their families, and their friends to come to
the United States. Some will break our laws to do so, and
tragically, others will die trying. CAFTA will ease the crushing
poverty that motivates such migration. As Americans, we want people
to have the opportunity to come to our country legally and enrich
our society. But we want that decision to be driven by choice, not
by economic desperation.
Collectively, the
United States, Central America, and the Dominican Republic face a
common challenge: the rise of China as a major economic power.
Through CAFTA, we can unite within our hemisphere to better
face that challenge. In businesses such as textiles and apparel,
and increasingly in other industries as well, companies in the
United States are closely linked with producers in the region. A
t-shirt that says, "Made in Honduras" is likely to contain
more than 60 percent U.S. content, while a t-shirt that says, "Made
in China" is likely to contain virtually none. This is why both the
National Council of Textile Organizations and the National
Cotton Council support CAFTA. The agreement will strengthen links
with important economic partners in the face of rising competition
from China.
Ironically, if economic
isolationists torpedo CAFTA over issues such as labor rights,
apparel production and other similar industries will move to
China. This highlights the inherent contradiction in the position
of CAFTA's opponents. They claim to be concerned about worker
rights, yet seem to ignore the devastation for workers that would
result from defeating the agreement. The competitive challenge
from China has changed the strategic equation: Without CAFTA, tens
of thousands of Central Americans and Dominicans will be thrown out
of work and back into poverty and hopelessness. And many of
them will end up on our borders. The opponents of CAFTA are
not offering something better for the people of Central America.
They are turning their backs on them.
Opponents claim to be
defending poor people and working families against the ravages of
globalization. But the country in Latin America that has
dramatically reduced inequality, unemployment, and poverty in
recent decades while also increasing real wages and pensions for
working families is Chile-the country that has most opened its
economy to free trade.
If CAFTA is voted down,
the region's poor will not improve their lot; instead, investment
will be diverted elsewhere, Central America and the Dominican
Republic will grow more slowly, wages will be lower, and a door to
upward mobility for the region's poor will be slammed in their
face.
If CAFTA is defeated,
it will not be replaced by some mythical, "perfect" agreement that
incorporates every opponent's wish list of provisions;
instead, Central America and the Dominican Republic will be at a
permanent disadvantage.
If CAFTA is defeated,
labor rights in Central America will not be strengthened; instead,
workers in the region will lose thousands more jobs to China,
competition for work will be more desperate, and in that
environment democratic trade unions and workers' rights will be
weaker.
The right answer on
labor rights is to extend a helping hand to improve enforcement of
the laws on the books, to encourage ongoing labor reforms, to draw
U.S. businesses that provide better conditions, and to
increase prosperity.
Opportunity or
Fear?
More than 75 years ago,
frustrated by his experience in Nicaragua, Henry Stimson wrote
that the people of that country "were not fitted for the
responsibilities that go with independence and still less fitted
for popular self-government."
Fifteen years ago,
former Costa Rican president Oscar Arias made a more accurate
observation. He said, "Without democracy, there can be no
peace."
For most of the 20th
century, Central America was plagued by civil war, social strife,
and violent conflict. Today, it is a region of fragile democracies
seeking a closer economic partnership with the United States. These
countries are looking north because they believe in the United
States-not for dependency, but for opportunity. They simply want a
chance to compete, to trade, to build with us. But success is not
assured, for the old enemies of reform are still close at
hand.
For the United States,
CAFTA represents a strategic choice about our role in the
region, Latin America, and the world. We must decide whether
we will stand with those who stand for freedom, and whether we
will stare down the old specter of economic isolationism. It would
be a mistake of historic proportions if we turned our back on
these struggling democracies. CAFTA is an opportunity to sustain
and support the work of democratic reform in a region whose
problems-if ignored once again- would quickly become our own, as
they have before.
For Central America and the Dominican
Republic, CAFTA is a chance to strengthen democracy, expand
economies, reduce poverty and corruption, and widen the circle
of economic opportunity. It is also a challenge to the United
States to complete the work of democracy and peace that we began
two decades ago.
For all of us, CAFTA is
the opportunity of a generation.
To seize it, the
President will need your help.
As I have made the case
for CAFTA to the Congress, I have been struck that leaders
from opposing sides in the political conflicts over Central
America in the 1980s-Senator Christopher Dodd from one perspective,
Chairmen Henry Hyde and David Dreier along with Senator John McCain
from another-come together on CAFTA.
These veterans know the
high price of fighting for democracy in Central and Latin America.
They know the stakes in the vote on CAFTA.
We need you-each of
you-to have a voice in this debate. The Members of Congress will be
casting a vote on America's future. This is a vote
historians will write about.
We need you to ensure
Congress knows the stakes.
I am confident that in
the end the Congress of the United States will not turn its back on
Central America and the Dominican Republic. I believe a
bipartisan majority of farsighted members of the Congress will
ratify this historic agreement just as they supported the
Caribbean Basin Initiatives in the past.
Thank you for
helping.
The Honorable Robert
B. Zoellick is Deputy Secretary of State.