(Archived document, may contain errors)
Guns, Crime, and the Culture War
By James IL Warner am going to speak to you tonight on the
relationship between guns, crime, and the culture war. Before my
remarks, however, it would be inappropriate in 1992 to say anything
about American culture without noting that this is the
Quincentennial of the event that made A m erican culture possible,
the discovery of America by Christopher Columbus. Columbus became a
bene- factor to all mankind when he brought civilization to the Now
World. The enemies of American culture say that we should view
Christopher Columbus from the p e r- spective of Native Americans.
I just did. That was from the perspective of the millions of native
Americans who were, but would not have been, bom because their
ancestors would have been, but were not, human sacrifices. It is
coincidental that I chose t o speak on the subject of the culture
war before recent events which have made it current. But it gives
me an opportunity to do something that you might never see
otherwise. The National Rifle Association frequently is criticized
for its refusal to compro - mise. Well, tonight I am going to do
the unthinkable and offer a compromise. First, some background. A
large number of convicted felons come from single-parent house-
holds. Many of them don't even know who their fathers are. The Vice
President has been e xtremely rigid about this issue, but not me. I
am going to compromise. The compromise is this -1 am not asking
anyone to change her lifestyle. All I ask is that the next time the
script writers for "Murphy Brown" want their character to have sex,
that the y makeher register the man first. That way, ff she gets
pregnant, her child will know who the father is. That's reasonable,
isn't it? And while we are at it, shouldn't there be a seven-day
cooling off period? After all, as the gun control advocates say, ff
this can save even one life it would be worth-it. Blaming External
Factors. Seriously, the enemies of our culture refuse to recognize
individ- ual responsibility for behavior. They prefer to shift the
blame. They have a long list of external factors which they claim
are causes of crime. Foremost among these is the one which I wish
to talk about. They claim that easy access to firearms causes
crime. I can prove that they are wrong. We have 700,000 sworn
police officers in America. They carry firearms day an d night, on
duty and off. Taxpayers had to invest more than a billion dollars
to arm and train these officers. We spent the money because we
thought that these guns would suppress, not cause, crime. We have
at least that many private citizens who are entit l ed to carry
handguns concealed. Their firearms are not a problem either. We
trust these people to carry guns without fear that their guns will
cause crime. Doesn't that suggest that it must be the character of
the person, rather than the gun itself, with w hich we need concern
ourselves. The fact is, we all know that access to firearms does
not cause crime, a proposition which I shall deal with at length
later. The cause of crime is self evident. Crime is behavior and is
con- trolled by the moral values of the individual. If one's moral
values will not permit him to do something, he will not do it. If
one's moral values do allow him to do something, no law will re-
strain him ff he believes that he can get away with it.
James H. Warner is Assistant General Counsel of the National
Rifle Association of America. He spoke on May 27, 1992, at a
meeting of the Ibird Generation. ISSN 0272-1155. 0 1992 by The
Heritage Foundation.
Always Wrong. The enemies of American culture, the cultural
warriors, reject this re asoning. In fact, they reject the rational
process itself. If you don't believe this, ask yourself this
question: Why is it that the American left is always wrong? They
have been wrong for most of this cen- tury. They were wrong about
Sacco and Vanzetti. T hey were wrong about the Rosenbergs. They
were wrong about Alger Hiss. They were wrong about Stalin and
Castro. They were wrong about Mao Tse-tung and Ho Chi Minh. They
were wrong about nuclear winter and they are wrong today about
global warming and the o zone hole. Why are they always wrong? Let
me suggest that their problem is that they use subjective criteria
to test reality. They use in- ternal reference points, and believe,
therefore, that truth is determined by their desires. To illustrate
this, talk to one of them about science. Explain how Archimedes's
Principle proves that the seas will not rise with the melting of
the polar ice caps. There will be no attempt to disprove
Archimedes. Instead, you might be told that you are using the same
argument as Sen- ator Jesse Helms, or some other conservative. It's
bad science, and bad logic, to believe something because you
dislike those who can prove that it is false. It is called the ad
hominem fallacy. Or take the example of the feminist philosophy
professo r who says that all science is perme- ated with racism,
sexism, ageism, and classism, and who wonders why no one points out
the recurring themes of rape (I am not making this up) in the works
of Sir Isaac Newton. She sug- gests, apparently with a straight f
ace, that it would be more illuminating to refer to "Newton's Rape
Manual" instead of "Newton's Laws of Mechanics." That goes beyond
bad science, and ap- proaches the irrational. Still another example
is the widespread belief that certain ideas are invali d because
the authors of these ideas are dead, white, European males. To the
rational mind this argument has interest- ing consequences:
Aristotle is a dead, white, European male. Therefore, all the ideas
of Aristotle am invalid.
This type of reasoning is called an enthymeme. It was invented by
Aristotle. So the conclusion is true if, and only if, it is false.
Bitter Hatred. This is absurd, but there am now people on the left
whose philosophy amounts to an endorsement of absurdity. They
believe that ratio n al thought and the rules of logic are the
tools of European male domination and should be rejected. Because
their belief system, such as it is, is irrational, the creeds that
they profess are as numerous, and as different as the patterns in a
kaleidoscope . However, for all their apparent diversity, they have
one principle in common. Be- hind everything they say there is a
bitter and implacable hatred of America, its culture, and its
civilization. Why do they hate us? I read recently about a junior
member o f a university faculty who used the phrase "individual
genius" in a paper. One of the more senior faculty members, who
read the paper, circled the word "individual" and returned the
paper with a margin note saying "...there are some people who think
that u s e of this term shows bigotry." Individualism, and the
independence of the indi- vidual, are abhorrent to them. That's why
they hate America. That's why they hate our culture. American
culture took English culture, on which it is based, and built upon
it. T he most signifi- cant influence on the new culture was the
freedom of the frontier. People came to the New World seeking
freedom from the heavy hand of authority. When they were not
satisfied with the mea- sure of freedom they found, they moved
west. In t he West, on the frontier, there was no authority.
2
On the frontier there was always the second chance. No one asked
about another's back- ground. Disgrace or failure in an earlier
life were not important. Because of the second chance, because they
could always move on, people on the frontier were always thinking
of what lay be- yond the next hill. This led them to see the
potential in things. In the words of Robert Frost, they saw America
"...such as she was, such as she would become." On the frontier a d
versity was a fact of life. Survival required one to square off and
face adver- sity. On the frontier it was believed that one had a
moral duty to bear up under adversity. On the frontier, culture
became a melting pot. Make no mistake. The American cultur e draws
from all cultures, but it is one, unified, single culture, whose
highest value is individual freedom. On the frontier there was no
authority to provide safety. Safety was an individual responsibil-
ity. Once people learned that they were responsibl e for their own
welfare, they saw objective evidence of the truth of the
philosophical doctrines of John Locke and the English Whigs. Even-
tually, everyone on the frontier adopted the views of the Whigs.
Inalienable Right. John Locke said it is self-evide n t that
everybody is born with an inalien- able right to life, liberty, and
property. Now, if it is inalienable, that means you can't lose it.
If you can't lose it, it means you have a right to protect it (do
you see why they hate logic?). If you have a ri g ht to protect it,
ii necessarily follows that you have a right to own the means to
protect it. John Locke said that the individual has the same right
as any government to defend sover- eignty. Because the firearm is
useful in the defense of personal sover e ignty, the enemies of our
culture hate guns. Consistent with their error in every other
aspect of life, they are wrong about guns. For example, they point
to the "well-regulated militia" clause in the Second Amendment and
say that say that the Second Amen d ment really protects the right
to join the National Guard. They say that the Second Amendment was
added to the Constitution because the states were afraid that they
wouldn't be allowed to have militias. It is interesting to note
that there is not a shred o f historical evidence to support this
proposition. The cultural warriors should not have been so quick to
abandon classical education, for if they had spent just a little
more time at it they would have learned how to diagram sentences.
The phrase "well-r e gulated militia7' is found in a subordinate
clause. The subject of the sentence is "the right of the people,"
and it is predicated by . ..... shall not be infringed." From the
grammar, it is difficult to see how it could be construed as other
than an indi v idual right. However, I am going to compromise
again, and concede, for the sake of argument, that one would have
to be a member of a "well-regulated militia" in order to keep and
bear arms. The question is, what is a "well-regulated militia"? The
phrase w a s not chosen at random. Authors Stephen P. Halbrook, in
That Every Man Be Armed, and David T. Hardy, in Origins and
Development of the Second Amendment, point out that the concept of
a "well-regulated militia" was more than 250 years old by the time
James Madison put it in the Second Amendment. Niccolo Machiavelli,
author of The Prince, was a re- publican who had actually commanded
a citizen militia. In The Art of War (1521), he explained why a
"well-ordered militia!' was necessary for the security of a fr ee
state. He recited. three cri- teria which such a militia must meet,
to serve its purpose:
1) The "well-regulated militia!'must include the whole body of the
people; 2) The members of the "well-regulated militia!' must own
their own arms; and
3
3) The "well-regulated militia7must not be controlled by the
central government, and, in fact, should elect its own officers.
James Harrington was an English Whig. In The Prerogative ofPopular
Government (1656), he said that a "well-disciplined militia" w a s
necessary to the the security of a ftee state. Like Machiavelli, he
listed the same thm criteria which such militia must meet. Andrew
Fletcher was a Scottish Whig who was sentenced to death by James H.
He escaped to the court of William of Orange, and r e turned with
William and Mary following the Glorious Rev- olution. In Discourse
of Government With Respect to the Militias (1698), he, too, said
that a "well-regulated militia" was necessary to the security of a
f3ree state. T he "well-regulated militia!' o f Andrew Fletcher was
defined by the same three criteria. Roger Molesworth was an English
Whig. In Franco-Gallia (1721), like Machiavelli, Harring- ton, and
Fletcher, he said that a "well-regulated mflitia7' is necessary to
the security of a free state. H e gave the same three criteria. The
leaders of the American Revolution were Whigs and republicans, in
the tradition of the Glorious Revolution of 1688. George Washington
and George Mason. formed the Fairfax militia in 1774. Among the
attributes of the mili t ia was that it was to be "well-regulated."
Certainly none of you here believe that Father George was trying to
support King George's government. In an earlier time, school
children were required to memorize the speech of Patrick Henry in
which he said "gi v e me liberty or give me death." This speech was
given before the Second Vir- ginia Convention in 1775. He was
speaking in support of a resolution for the formation of a
"well-regulated Militia." Clearly, this was not a call for the
formation of a "Nationa l Guard7' to serve at the pleasure of the
central government, because the central government was George M.
Anyone who went to school before the curriculum came under the
control of the cultural war- riors knows that Patrick Henry wanted
the militia formed i n order to resist George III. Shared
Philosophy. James Madison, the author of the Bill of Rights, knew
Patrick Henry, George Washington, and George Mason. Surely he had
read many of the same books as they had read. They all shared the
same political philo s ophy, for they were all republicans who
believed in limited government. Madison used the same language, in
the Second Amendment, as Niccolo Machiavelli, James Harrington,
Andrew Fletcher, Roger Molesworth, George Washington, George Mason,
and Patrick Henr y , when he used the phrase "well-regulated
militia." It strains credulity to believe that this could have been
mere coincidence. Given the context, it is not possi- ble to
conclude that Madison meant for this Amendment to protect anything
other than a pers o nal righL Proving this, however, is not good
enough. The enemies of our culture have a fall back posi- tion. The
Supreme Court has held that the government can infringe upon a
Constitutional right if such infringement serves a "compelling
state interest." Surely gun control would serve a compel- ling
state interest ff it would reduce violent crime. However, it can be
proven that gun control, at best, is irrelevant to violent crime.
Canada has strict gun control laws. There are very lenient gun laws
in Main e , New Hamp- shire, North Dakota, and Vermont. In each
state handguns may be carried openly, and the authorities must
issue a concealed carry license to any honest citizen in Maine, New
Hampshire, and North Dakota. No permit is required in Vermont,
where m a ny adults carry handguns con- cealed. Each of these
states closely resembles its neighboring Canadian province with
respect to climate, population density, and topography. I used the
homicide rates over a twenty-year span, from 1963 through 1982,
because those were the years for which I had Canadian data. The
full data are included in Appendix A. The dif-
4
ference in the homicide rates per 100,000 population was 0.017, or
less than 2 homicides per ten million, which can be considered as
statistically insignificant. In other words, there is no statisti-
cally significant difference between extremely restrictive gun laws
(Canada), and gun laws which are either extremely lenient (Maine,
New Hampshire, and North Dakota), or non-existent (Vermont). This
st u dy may be contrasted with a comparison of the homicide rates
in ten states with lenient gun laws-Iowa, Idaho, Maine, Minnesota,
Montana, Nebraska, Now Hampshire, North Dakota, South Dakota, and
Vermont-with the homicide rate in the District of Columbia. T h e
District has the strictest gun control laws in the country. The
data compared are for the years 1987 through 1990. The ten states,
with total population of approximately 14,660,000, had 1,499 homi-
cides for the four years. In contrast, the District of C olumbia,
with a population of 622,000, had 1,500 homicides in the same
period. That is, the states had a homicide rate of 2.6 per 100,000,
and the District of Columbia had a rate of 60.3. These data are
included in Appendix B. Moral Values. Clearly, high r ates of
homicide are not caused by lenient gun laws. Then what is it that
causes such disparity between the homicide rates of certain
jurisdictions? We have said earlier that it is self evident that
moral values-culture-is the variable which explains this dif-
ference. No statistical test will measure moral values. However,
education transmits to the young the acquired learning of a
society, including its cultural values. Educational attainment can
be mea- sured, and the results taken as an analog for the t
ransmission of cultural values. Accordingly, I compared the
rankings of each state in the 1989 Educational Attainment Assess-
ment Test for mathematics with the rankings of each state in its
1990 homicide rate, the highest score in each case being ranked a s
a "I". Using linear regression, the coefficient of correlation was
a negative 0.82. This is an extremely high negative rate, and
strongly indicates that the same factor which induces a high
homicide rate may also contribute to low educational attainment .
In other words, it is highly probable that the factor, in each
case, is a failure in education. When the schools fail to teach
mathematics, they also fail to teach cultural values. These data
are in Appen- dix C. The values of the American culture are th e
moral values which make possible a civilized life in a state of
fivedom. The failure, or the refusal, to impart those values to
children deprives those children of this American birtbright. I am
reminded of that verse in "America the Beautiflah"
Oh, beautiful, for patriot's dream, That sees beyond the years,
Thine alabaster cities gleam, Undimmed by human tears.
Our cities are not alabaster, neither do they gleam, undimmed by
human tears. Many of our cit- ies are dystopias, wretched places
where untold m isery is produced by profound social pathology. This
is illustrated by the plight of a mother who lives, with her
children, in a public housing project in the District of Columbia.
Recently she wrote to the Washington Post describ- ing the
conditions in h e r project. Her children cannot play outside for
fear of being murdered. Drug addicts inject drugs in their hallway
and leave their debris. They urinate in the hallway and defecate in
the stairwell. They even perform sexual acts outside her door. She
is al ways afi-aid. She did not write from Beirut or Sarajevo, but
from the District of Columbia.
5
What is wrong? Is it presence of guns or the absence of culture?
Guns do not get young girls pregnant. Guns do not create drug
addiction. Guns did not create a welfare system which traps young
women in dependency and keeps them in its thrall. Guns do not
create music which glori- fies hatred. Guns do not teach young
children that they are not part of America, and that they have no
sham in its culture. Guns do no t cause people to urinate in the
halls nor to defecate in the stairwells of public housing projects.
Guns did not create schools which do not teach. But each of these
conditions can be traced back to the enemies of our culture, and
each of these ills is, i n some measure, archogenic (government
created). Remember that the unifying principle of the enemies of
our culture is hatred. What does the culture of hatred produce?
Look at the chart in Appendix E, which represents the homicide rate
in the District of C o lumbia since 1960. Take the years when the
intensity of the culture war began to increase, and look at the
curve since 1985. What direction is it heading? The social ills of
America's urban dystopias exactly reflect the ground which we have
lost in the cu lture war. "Moment to Decide:' I am put in mind of a
stanza in the poem by James Russell Lowell, which became the
standard of the abolition movement:
Once to every man and nation comes the Moment to decide, In the
strife of Tmth with Falsehood, for the good or evil side.
The battle is joined. Our culture requires us to protect the
victims of our urban dystopias. We must give back to the children
who Eve in American cities the culture which has been taken from
them. Their American heritage has been taken fr om them by the
enemies of our culture, who deny that there is a "melting pot" in
which these children have a place, and who teach them that they
must strive to be separate from, rather than participate in,
American culture. The objective of our enemies is division. Our
objective is assimilation. We share our objective with many notable
Americans. We share this objective with Crispus Attucks, the first
American to die for his country. A freed slave, he was in the crowd
into which British soldiers fired in t h e Boston Massacre. We
share this objective with the thousands of black soldiers who
fought in the Civil War. There are reports of black soldiers,
wounded in battle, who were so eager to prove themselves as
Americans that it was necessary to order that the y be tied to
their litters, lest they try to rejoin their comrades in the fight.
We share this objective with Zara Neale Hurston, the black woman
whose writing was first promoted by H.L. Menken, in his monthly,
The American Mercury. In the October 1943 iss u e, while the
outcome of the Second World War was still in doubt, she wrote about
a figure from the folklore of slavery, High John the Conqueror.
Ifigh John was the comforter of the slave. He could "...find a way
when there was no way, and finish it off wi th a laugh and a song."
He began preparing the slaves for the end of slavery, telling them
what they must do to be free, and how to endure until they were.
The following is a passage from the article:
6
So the brother in black offers to these United States the source of
courage that endures, and laughter. High John the conqueror. If the
news from overseas reads bad, and the nation seems stuck ... listen
hard, and you will hear John the Conqueror treading on his
singing-drum. You wffl know then, that no matter how bad things
look now, it will be worse for those who seek to oppress us. Even
if your hair comes yellow, and your eyes are blue, John the
Conqueror will be working for you just the same. From his secret
place, he is working for all America now. We are all his kinfolks.
Just be sure our cause is right....
Common Culture. The verse to "America the Beautiful," from which I
quoted earlier, ends with the words "...and crown thy good with
brotherhood, fr om sea to shining sea." 71bere is no reason why the
streets of Washington, D.C., could not be as safe as the streets of
Lyndonville, Vermont, or Bismark, North Dakota. But this will not
happen until all Americans are assimilated into one country with
one, common culture. The moral values of the American culture, not
stricter enforcement of the laws, are the answer to crime. For this
reason, we must be resolute. When the enemies of our culture come
to us and ask us to compromise, we must say no. Civilizatio n is
the real prize in the culture war. In this, there is no room for
compromise. Not now, not ever.
7
APPENDIX A
GUN CONTROL AND HOMICIDE A Comparison of Homicide Rates (per
100,000 Population) Selected Northern Border States and The
Dominion of Canada
S ince 1977 the Dominion of Canada has had extremely restrictive
firearms laws. Many Americans favor such restrictive laws and seek
to prove their case by comparing the homicide rate in the United
States with the homicide rate in Canada. How valid is this
comparison? Such comparisons imply a uniformity among the states
which does not exist. The states differ in such important variables
as firearms laws, population densities, climate, and other factors.
In order to determine what effect, if any, may result from
restrictive firearms laws it would be necessary to find states
which most closely resemble Canada with respect to population
density, demographics, climate, and terrain, and in which the only
variable is lenient gun laws.
In order to make this compar ison, I have chosen Maine, New
Hampshire, North Dakota, and Vermont. Each of these states closely
resembles its neighboring Canadian province. However, in each of
these states handguns may be carried openly, and the authorities
must issue a concealed carr y license to any honest citizen in
Maine, New Hampshire and North Dakota. No such license is required
in Vermont.
I used the twenty-year span from 1963 through 1982 because those
were the years for which I had Canadian data. The Canadian data
were publishe d by the Canadian Centre for Justice Statistics, and
the U.S. data were published by the Federal Bureau of
Investigation, Uniform Crime Reports, of the U.S. Department of
Justice.
The difference in the average homicide rates, per 100,000
population, of th e Northern Border States and the Dominion of
Canada, was 0.017 per 100,000. This is less than 2 homicides per
10,000,000, and can be considered as statistically insignificant.
In other words, there does not appear to be any statistically
significant resul ts ftom restrictive gun laws, when compared over
time, with extremely lenient (Maine, New Hampshire, and North
Dakota) or non-existent (Vermont) gun laws.
Source: F.B.I. Uniform Crime Reports; Canadian Centre for
Justice Statistics.
8
HOMICIDE RATES (per 100,000 Population)
Year Maine North New Vermont Dominion of Dakota Hampshire
Canada
1963 3.70 2.10 3.20 0.50 1.14
1964 1.50 0.90 0.90 0.50 1.17
1965 2.10 0.90 2.70 0.50 1.24
1966 2.20 1.80 1.90 1.50 1.11
1967 0.40 0.20 2.00 3.10 1.39
1968 3.00 1.10 1.40 2.60 1.52
1969 1.60 0.20 2.50 2.50 1.65
1970 1.50 0.50 2.00 1.30 2.03
1971 2.00 1.30 2.20 1.10 1.98
1972 5.30 1.30 1.70 1.70 1.98
1973 2.10 0.80 2.10 2.20 2.17
1974 2.90 1.40 3.50 3.40 2.44
1975 2.80 0.80 2.90 2.10 2.81
1976 2.70 1.40 3.30 5.50 2.67
1977 2.40 0.90 3.20 1.40 2.70
1978 2.70 1.20 1.40 3.30 2.52
1979 2.80 1.50 2.40 1.40 2.48
1980 2.80 1.20 2.50 2.20 2.06
1 3.20 2.30 2.90 4.30 2.48 1982 2.10 0.70 2.20 -T 2.3 2.74
Average 2.49 1.125 2.345 2.17 2.015 Standard 0.96 0.538 0.682
1.259 0.577 Deviation
Combined Average for the Northern Border States 2.0325 Average
for the Dominion of Canada 2.015
9
APPENDEK B
A COMPARISON OF HOMICIDE RATES (per 100,000 Population) BETWEEN
TEN SELECTED STATES AND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
S tatistically comparing selected Northern Border States, with
lenient gun laws, with the Dominion of Canada, whose gun laws are
more restrictive than most of the United States except for the
District of Columbia, the data showed no statisti cally significant
difference between the American states and Canada. In order to
prove that firearms restrictions would have an identifiable effect
upon homicide rates, the more restrictive jurisdiction should show
a statistically significant lower homici de rate. 11e Canadian
comparison, therefore, is inconclusive at best.
The District of Columbia has firearms laws which are as
restrictive as those of Canada. The District forbids the purchase
of handguns, and all rifles and shotguns must be registered before
the purchaser can take possession. I have compared the District wi
t h ten states which permit the ownership of handguns, rifles, and
shotguns without permits. Two of the states, Nebraska and Vermont,
have no provisions for the concealed carry of handguns. No permit
is required in Vermont, and Nebraska permits concealed ca r ry
under circumstances where a "prudent person" would think it
appropriate for personal protection. In Maine, New Hampshire, North
Dakota and South Dakota, concealed carry permits are issued on the
basis of very liberal, objective standards, and any hones t citizen
may obtain one. Of the ten states, only Minnesota has a reputation
for restrictive issue of such permits.
The total population for the ten states is 14,666,000, and the
four-year total of homicides is 1,499. The population of the
District of Colu mbia, as of 1987, was 622,000, and the four-year
total of homicides was 1,500. The combined homicide rate, per
100,000, for the ten states was 2.55. Ile homicide rate for the
District of Columbia was 60.28.
The comparison with Canada fails to confirm any positive effect
from strict gun control. The comparison with the District of
Columbia may suggest a negative effect. However, the District of
Columbia study does not control for variables which are controlled
in the Canadian study, so no valid conclusion can be drawn as to
any such negative effect from gun control. The disparities between
the District and the ten states is so great, however, that it must
suggest (without proving) that gun control does not have any
posidve effect.
S ource: FJ31. Uniform Crime Repau.
10
TEN STATES Homicides STATE Population 1987 1988 1989 1990 Total
Rate per as of 1987 100,000 Iowa 2,834,000 59 47 54 54 214 1.88
Idaho 998,000 31 36 26 27 120 3.00 Maine 1,187,000 30 37 39 30 136
2.86 Minnesota 4,246,000 112 124 ill 117 464 2. 73 Montana 809,000
33 21 23 39 116 3.58 Nebraska 1,594,000 55 58 40 43 196 3.07 New
1,057,000 32 25 36 21 114 2.67 Hampshire North 672,000 10 12 4 5 31
1.15 Dakota South 709,000 13 22 9 14 58 2.04 Dakota Vermont 560,000
15 11 11 13 50 2.23
Population Homicide Rate per Total Total 100,000 F14,666,000
1,499 2.55
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA Homicides
Population 1987 1988 1989 1990 Total Rate per 100,000
District of 622,000 225 369 434 472 1500 60.28 Columbia
APPENDEX C
MEASURING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE TRANSMISSION OF CULTURAL
VALUES AND CRIMINAL VIOLENCE
There is a wide disparity in the rates of violent crime between
different regions of the United States. All other things being
equal, it seems most likely that violent crime is a cultural
phenomenon. To test this thesis, I have chosen the National Educati
o nal Attainment Test Scores for 1990 as an index of the degree to
which cultural values are taught to young people, since a school
which does not teach one thing might be expected to fail to teach
other things as well. I have chosen homicide rates as the i ndex
for violent crime.
To test for correlation I used linear regression. Correlation
can be masked by the disparity of values being compared. In this
case, an analysis of the cardinal numbers (test score averages and
the homicide rates) gives a coefficien t of correlation of -0.143.
This is too small to be significant. However, when the ordinal
rankings of the states, in terms of test scores and homicide rates
are compared, where 1 is the highest ranking, a coefficient of
correlation of -0.82 is obtained, indicating an extremely strong
negative (or reciprocal) correlation.
Schools and learning are necessary to civilization. However,
schools will function well only in a culture that requires that
they function well. A culture which tolerates schools that can not
teach children mathematics is not a culture which places a high
premium on civilized behavior. Such a culture would also tolerate
the anti-social behavior which produces high rates of violent
crime.
1 2
TABLE I A COMPARISON OF THE NATIONAL ASSESSMENT OF EDUCATIONAL
PROGRESS MATHEMATICS TEST SCORES (1990) WITH THE HOMICIDE RATE PER
100,000 Test Score Homicide/I 00,000
281 North Dakota 0.60
280 Montana 2.90
278 Iowa 1.90
276 Nebraska 2.50
276 Minnesota 2.50
274 Wisconsin 3.60
273 New Hampshire 3.30
272 Wyoming 4.40
272 Idaho 2.60
271 Oregon 4.80
270 Connecticut 5.90
269 New Jersey 5.10
267 Colorado 4.40
267 Indiana 6.30
266 Pennsylvania 6.30
264 Michigan 10.70
264 Virginia 7.90
264 Ohio 6.00
263 Oklahoma 6.50
261 Now York 12.50
261 Delaware 5.10
260 Maryland 11.60
260 Illinois 9.00
260 Rhode Island 4.90
259 Arizona 6.70
258 Georgia 12.70
258 Texas 11.90
1 3
TABLE 1 (Continued)
Test Score Homicide/1 00,000
256 Kentucky 7.90 256 California 10.90
256 New Mexico 8.60
256 Arkansas 6.40
256 West Virginia 6.50
255 Florida 11.10
252 Alabama 10.20
251 Hawaii 4.60
250 North Carolina 8.90
246 Louisiana 14.90
231 Guam 10.50
231 District of Columbia 71.90
218 Virgin Islands 15.50
1 4
TABLE 2 TEST SCORE RANKING AND HOMICIDE RATE RANKING
Test Rank Homicide Rank
1 North Dakota 33
2 Montana 29
3 Iowa 32
4 Nebraska 31
4 Minnesota 31
5 Wisconsin 27
6 New Hampshire 28 7 Wyoming 26
7 Idaho 30
8 Oregon 25
9 Connecticut 23
10 New Jersey 24
11 Colorado 26
11 Indiana 21
12 Pennsylvania 21 13 Michigan 10 13 Virginia 17
13 Ohio 22
14 Oklahoma 20
15 New York 5
15 Delaware 24
16 Maryland 7
16 Illinois 13
16 Rhode Island 19
17 Arizona 18
Georgia 4
18 Texas 6
TABLE 2 (Continued)
Test Rank Homicide Rank
19 Kentucky 17 19 California 9
19 New Mexico 15
19 Arkansas 16 19 West Virginia 20
20 Florida 8
21 Alabama 12
22 Hawaii 25
23 North Carolina 14
24 Louisiana 3
25 Guam 11
25 District Of olumbla 1 26 Virgin Islands 2 F 9
9
19 F1,99
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