Today's topic, the North American Free Trade Agreement and the
proposed side agreements, comes at a most appropriate time. Canada,
Mexico, and the United States are in the midst of important
negotiations on supplemental or side agreements on labor, the
environment, and import surges. We anxiously await the U.S.
position on these issues, which will provide a clue to the new
Administration's strategy to implement the NAFTA.
Even while this is going on, many people are digging the NAFTA's
grave -- some with alarm or sadness, but more with a sense of
delight, I suspect. Not long ago, Leon Panetta, the director of the
Office of Management and Budget, pronounced the trade agreement
"dead." Ironically, his comments probably did more to galvanize the
Clinton Administration to publicly support NAFTA than did the
negative comments of Ross Perot.
But a closer reading of Panetta's statement suggests less than
the media fanfare it received. The NAFTA, he said, does not have
sufficient votes today to be approved in Congress, especially
without the accompanying side agreements on the environment, labor,
and import surges. Well, Leon Panetta is right. The votes aren't
there today for the NAFTA. But that doesn't mean they won't be when
NAFTA implementation legislation is considered later this year, if
-- and admittedly this is a big "if" -- the supplemental agreements
are good and the President's support is strong.
Mr. Panetta's remarks underscore the NAFTA's current
difficulties and the need for greater Administration attention and
commitment to the commercial agreement, and less emphasis on the
side agreements.
"NAFTA Redux"
The dilemma for President Clinton is simple: while the
side agreements may be critical for obtaining Democrat support,
they are exactly the opposite for Republicans. As the President
attempts to transform the NAFTA, with these negotiations, into
something more palatable to Democrats, he runs a significant risk
of losing the NAFTA's core support among House free traders. Many
Republicans are conditioning their NAFTA support on whether or not
the President goes "too far" in the side agreements. "Too far" is
defined by these Republicans as fundamentally altering a good trade
agreement into a social or environmental charter for North America.
The President and U.S. Trade Representative Mickey Kantor must
understand that Republicans will scrutinize "NAFTA redux" as
closely as Democrats promised to examine Bush's trade provisions.
In the end, the commercial agreement and the side agreements will
constitute one package, with one single up or down congressional
vote.
President Clinton outlined his concerns about the trade
agreement in a speech last October in North Carolina. Then he said
that he would not send to Congress an agreement that did not
adequately protect the environment and U.S. jobs.
Those who say the NAFTA is not sufficiently environmentally or
socially sensitive argue that the agreement is vague; that trade
liberalization without environmental and labor side agreements will
lead to environmental degradation and declining wage rates; and
that poorly designed or enforced environmental and labor laws drive
production decisions in a way that is inherently unfavorable to the
country that has strong legislation in these areas. The premises of
their arguments are dubious at best.
A closer examination of the NAFTA shows that the agreement is
environmentally sensitive. It is not by accident that the NAFTA is
called the greenest trade agreement ever.
Three reasons can be cited for this. First, the NAFTA includes a
commitment to sustainable development and an agreement to harmonize
upward each country's sanitary, phyto-sanitary, and environmental
standards. In other words, a lowest common denominator will not be
used for environmental standards; the highest standard will
apply.
Second, it preserves the right of NAFTA countries and their
respective sub-national governments to maintain their own sanitary
and phyto-sanitary measures, even if they are higher than
international norms. The only requirement is that they have a
scientific basis and are applied in a nondiscriminatory
fashion.
And third, the NAFTA will give precedence to international
environmental agreements over inconsistent provisions of the
NAFTA.
The idea that trade liberalization will lead to additional
environmental degradation is a red herring. For proof, one need
look no further then Eastern Europe to know the horrific
consequences of non-market-driven environmental decisions.
Some in the environmental community have argued that cross-
border environmental problems must be remedied by embracing an
agreement that creates a trinational commission with strong
investigatory powers and the ability to impose trade sanctions for
non-compliance. It's a solution with which I fundamentally
disagree.
Environmental critics argue that the NAFTA is without teeth.
They say it will encourage countries to deviate from basic
standards of environmental protection. But the facts speak
otherwise. NAFTA negotiators directly confronted the issue of
pollution havens, or places with lax environmental standards. The
NAFTA declares it inappropriate to encourage or seek to retain
investment through relaxed environmental standards. It provides
that if one country believes that another has induced investment by
relaxing its environmental enforcement, then the first country can
demand government-to-government consultations and apply public
pressure to improve environmental protection.
Inherent to making this provision work is a recognition of the
value of "sunshine laws" and the public pressure that can be
generated by highlighting a lapse in a country's environmental
performance.
With those thoughts in mind, we should ask ourselves, what is
the real problem for Mexico and how best can the U.S. help our
neighbor to the south improve its environment? Those of us who live
along the border feel acutely the need to improve environmental
protection there. But we know the problem stems from a combination
of rapid population and economic growth and a corresponding lack of
technical expertise, technology, and financial resources. With the
NAFTA, and with a sound environmental agreement based on
trinational cooperation, the U.S. can have some confidence that all
these shortcomings will be overcome. The additional economic
development the NAFTA will encourage in Mexico, along with a
commitment by the U.S. to share our environmental expertise and
technologies, will help citizens of Mexico clean up their
environment and embrace policies of sustainable development.
On labor issues, the President was swayed by arguments that the
NAFTA will not protect U.S. workers, and that lax enforcement of
Mexican labor standards would encourage manufacturing companies to
move to Mexico. According to this argument, workers of both
countries are thus left worse off.
But I disagree with this line of reasoning, too. The NAFTA, as
currently drafted without side agreements, contains extensive
protection for both U.S. and Mexican workers in vulnerable
industries. Long transition periods of up to fifteen years are
included for the elimination of tariffs on the most sensitive
sectors, including household glass, footwear, and some fruits and
vegetables. Indeed, some free traders would argue they are too
long. The NAFTA also includes tough rules of origin safeguards to
protect against unexpected surges of imports.
In the past six years alone, over 400,000 jobs have been created
in this country because of our growing trade with Mexico. Over
700,000 U.S. jobs are linked directly to our exports with Mexico.
The NAFTA will lead to greater exports, and projections are that an
additional 200,000 jobs will be created as a result of implementing
the agreement. The NAFTA will not only lead to greater job
increases but it also preserves the higher paying, export-oriented
jobs that are tied to our current Mexico exports of nearly $41
billion.
Just as the Administration has seen the need to abandon its
earlier pronouncements on Haitian refugees, on Bosnia, and on China
MFN, it now must get beyond its campaign rhetoric on NAFTA and come
to grips with the very real and tough policy questions it poses. If
the White House is going to build a coalition that will approve the
NAFTA, the speeches of the campaign must be reconciled with the
need for a responsible approach to the side agreements and a
strategy that can attract enough Democrat support in Congress while
not alienating Republican votes. It's a delicate balance at best,
but whoever said trade policy was going to be easy?
Trade Foremost
We should keep in mind that the NAFTA is first and
foremost a trade agreement. It is not a labor or environmental
pact. The Administration must understand that if it goes too far in
courting labor and environmental groups, it runs the risk of
transforming the NAFTA into an unrecognizable package that no
longer attracts its key congressional supporters.
But the issue is more than just a political argument of holding
on to votes in Congress. A fundamental issue of national policy is
at stake in these negotiations. They must be concluded so as not to
threaten U.S. sovereignty or undermine the trade benefits of the
NAFTA.
Empowering the NACE, the North American Commission on the
Environment, with authority to impose trade sanctions, or giving it
broad investigatory powers, raises several questions. They concern
U.S. sovereignty and prosecutorial discretion, state/federal
relationships, and U.S. constitutional guarantees of due
process.
The concept of using trade sanctions to force compliance with a
country's own environmental or labor laws probably requires a
country to surrender some discretion in enforcement of its laws.
That in turn means abandoning some national sovereignty.
Prosecutorial discretion is at the heart of any enforcement
program. It is not possible to prosecute every violator, idealistic
as that may seem. Beyond that, there are often practical and legal
reasons for declining to prosecute a particular offense, including
the seriousness of the offense, the amount of the fine, the
timetable of compliance, and the required level of protection. If
NAFTA trade sanctions were to follow such a pattern, then you would
be overlaying domestic law with a supernational system that second
guesses a country's application of its own environmental law.
The imposition of trade sanctions against individual companies
and their employees would almost certainly violate their "due
process" rights under the U.S. Constitution. Due process requires
at a minimum that individuals be given the right to a hearing
before a fair and impartial decision maker, and the opportunity to
be heard in a reasonable time and in a meaningful way.
If the Administration tries to finesse the environmental lobby
by including provisions that allow multinational panels to impose
trade sanctions for some ill-defined standard of non-compliance,
they will be allowing these panels to pass judgment on
environmental complaints but not allowing accused companies and
employees the chance to defend themselves.
Needless Duplication
Many of our environmental and labor laws are enacted and
enforced by state and local governments. The creation of
multinational commissions and secretariats may needlessly duplicate
federal, state, or even local investigatory authority. It adds
another layer of regulation that burdens the U.S. economy and
impinges on the state-federal relationship. Such commissions
created by the supplemental accords would at best confuse, and at
worst supersede, the decisions of our national and subnational
authorities, possibly stunting with additional regulation the very
job growth the agreement is designed to create.
The side agreements should not create a forum for legal redress.
Such provisions would add an additional complication and
duplication to our court system.
As negotiations get into the details of the structure of
commissions and secretariats, they should take care not to create a
trinational secretariat that is unaccountable to their national
governments. Environmental groups have been quick to label
multilateral trading organizations created by the General Agreement
on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) as groups of "faceless bureaucracies."
It would be ironic if similar organizations were created by the
side agreements as a result of environmental pressures.
Furthermore, those who advocate the activist approach must
understand the harvest they could reap. Trade sanctions and broad
investigatory powers run on a two-way street. Instead of being used
to enforce environmental protection elsewhere, American industries
and their employees could find themselves on the receiving end of
such treatment as much as, perhaps more than, our trading partners.
Remedies we insist on to combat what we perceive as lax enforcement
of environmental and labor standards can be turned on us in ways we
might not anticipate.
Our record of enforcement of environmental standards, while good
and improving, has not been perfect. A National Wildlife Federation
report identified over 100,000 violations of EPA safe drinking
water standards each year in 1987 and 1988; enforcement actions --
not surprisingly -- were brought in less than 3 percent of those
cases. Similarly, witnesses testified before the House Judiciary
Committee last summer that there are close to 17,000 violations of
health standards in the Clean Water Act each year but only 104
enforcement actions. One could easily expand this list by including
labor violations.
I cite these statistics not to suggest that it is wise to ignore
environmental or labor standards, or to endorse lackadaisical
enforcement of standards. I raise them to emphasize that common
sense must prevail. We must consider civil law enforcement in the
context of other domestic priorities -- allocating the required
resources where and when we can, subject to the budgetary
constraints confronting government at every level. At the same
time, agencies responsible for enforcement must be given broad
latitude to decide when enforcement action is warranted and when
costs of enforcement outweigh the possible benefits. A system that
paralyzes or removes that discretion is a recipe for disaster.
Similar caution must be exercised in negotiating the labor side
agreement. Some congressional leaders have drawn an erroneous
comparison between the NAFTA and the European Economic Community.
They seek a side agreement on worker standards that incorporates a
social charter along the European lines. But the this comparison is
inaccurate.
The NAFTA is a trade agreement, not an economic union. It does
not create a customs union with common external barriers to
non-NAFTA countries, nor does it lead to a monetary union.
Furthermore, the European social charter establishes a blueprint
for EC-wide employment regulation to be developed by the European
Commission. A similar provision in the NAFTA would do violence to
state labor regulations. If theoretical considerations of a federal
system don't alarm you, consider this chilling possibility: with a
social charter Canadian labor unions could call for the repeal of
our state right to work statutes, arguing that the NAFTA principle
of upward harmonization of labor laws requires it.
Unlike Europe -- where basic labor and employment laws in each
of the EC countries are similar -- there are fundamental
differences between U.S. and Mexican labor and employment law.
Surprisingly, it isn't our laws that are tougher when considering
group rights. Mexico has adopted a European approach to labor and
employment law. Its underlying premise is that group rights, union
rights, supersede individual rights, which are paramount in U.S.
law. Harmonizing or consolidating our two disparate labor
philosophies would be difficult, if not impossible. At the very
least, it would provide the basis for endless litigation.
One high-ranking Administration official recently testified
before a Senate committee that the labor side agreement will have
the effect of raising Mexico's wages by imposing new regulations.
The intent -- yes, the intent -- would be to raise the costs of
doing business in Mexico. Aside from the admission about the
negative costs of regulation for domestic production, this
statement is breathtaking in its economic misconceptions. Free
trade agreements are about mutual advantages -- not about
advantaging one side at the expense of the other. Trade is not a
zero-sum game. Both sides benefit as we improve our competitive
position in the global economy.
While I have just outlined some of my reservations about the
side agreement negotiations, I believe these agreements can be
constructive. They can improve the North American environment and
enhance North American working conditions, wages, and productivity.
Indeed, I believe they can be very beneficial if they are well-
structured, based on trilateral cooperation, and designed to
address the real policy challenges the NAFTA nations face, but
without infringing on U.S. sovereignty.
There's another issue that must be confronted; proponents and
opponents of the NAFTA alike acknowledge the costs of implementing
the agreement and cleaning up the border environment.
Cross Border Transaction Tax
Yesterday, House Majority Leader Gephardt said he would
not support the NAFTA unless it had a steady source of revenue to
fund environmental projects. At a time when the national economic
debate is focused on tax fairness, I can think of no proposal more
perverse than a cross border transaction tax or fee to pay for
environmental infrastructure or worker retraining. The concept
turns on its head the very concept of the NAFTA, namely, a North
American free trade region where tariffs are removed.
This proposal would distort competition and deny national
treatment to a country's trading partners, and that is one of the
main objectives of the NAFTA.
A tax imposed on exports is clearly contrary to the U.S.
Constitution. On imports, its just another tariff. Such a tax
collection by Mexico would reduce U.S. export opportunities and
unfairly penalize our most competitive and efficient producing
industries. These industries are the heart of our industrial base
and represent our nation's starting industrial line-up in today's
global market place. Because wages in export-oriented industries
are on average 12.2 percent higher than all non-agricultural U.S.
jobs, the border transaction tax would depress worker incomes.
Politically, the tax would be fatal to the NAFTA. Free trade
congressmen would back away -- as they should -- at the astonishing
notion that trade and economic growth are promoted by adding a tax,
not removing one.
Governor Clinton understood the importance of trade for his
state. Candidate Clinton reaffirmed this view with his commitment
to both the NAFTA and the successful completion of the Uruguay
round of GATT talks. Now, Little Rock is left behind. The campaign
is over. What remains is for President Clinton to transform his
philosophy, his campaign promises, into action that offers the
promise of enriching the lives of Americans from Alaska to
Argentina.
The North American Free Trade Agreement is not about economic
theories. It's about business opportunities; it's about expanded
markets; it's about jobs for the American worker. In four short
years, from 1988 to 1992, our manufactured good exports to Mexico
alone more than doubled, to $31 billion.
But numbers don't tell the real story of trade, and the
opportunities for more trade that the NAFTA holds. The real story
is in Peoria and Decatur, Illinois, where hundreds, even thousands
of Caterpillar workers owe all or part of their paychecks to the
$360 million of sales their company made in Mexico last year. The
real story is in Tucson, Arizona, where forty people work to
overhaul and rehabilitate second hand ambulances, all of which go
into the Mexican market. The real story is in a Houston
environmental engineering firm that has brought on half a dozen new
engineers and opened an office in Mexico City to keep up with the
almost insatiable demand for environmental technology.
The North American Free Trade Agreement is about our economic
future -- America's future, Mexico's future, Venezuela's and
Chile's future. It is about staying competitive in the globalized
marketplace. It is about expanding markets for U.S. exports of
manufactured goods and services. It is about choices and lower
prices for consumers.
The NAFTA -- free trade -- is our future. But making the future
a reality requires vision and commitment. It requires Members of
Congress not succumb to the simple and dangerous rhetoric of a Ross
Perot, whose thoughts on budget and tax issues are well-received
but whose ignorance of economics is breathtaking. It requires a
President who will lead the American people toward an understanding
of how trade can improve our lives.
Now is the time to lead. Not next year, not even next month.
With other campaign pledges cast aside, it is time to lay aside
last year's rhetoric of the campaign trail. Mr. President,
acknowledge that the trade agreement negotiated last year is a good
agreement, that it deserves to be implemented quickly.
Our economic future and, yes, Mr. President, your political
future, may depend on it.
Congressman Kolbe, a Republican, represents the fifth
District of Arizona in the U.S. House of Representatives.
He spoke at The Heritage Foundation on May 13,
1993.
ISSN 0272-1155. Copyright 1993 by The Heritage
Foundation.