In 1994, two-way trade across America's borders with the rest of
the world represented a $1.6 trillion economic activity. This
equals 28 percent of the total United States gross domestic
economic activity. International commercial transactions by the
United States with the rest of the world are growing at a compound
rate of 7 percent per year. This growth rate is two-and-one-half
times faster than the growth of our domestic economy.
In the United States today, one job out of every five is
directly related to either export or import of goods and services
with the rest of the world. (When I use the term "goods," I mean
manufactured, agricultural, and mineral products.) Future economic
projections indicate that the United States' international trade in
goods and services will double between now and the year 2005. That
means that ten years from today, the international trade activities
of the United States economy will approximate $3.2 trillion, or
about 80 percent of the size of the entire U.S. domestic economy in
1995.
United States producers of goods and services have made
tremendous progress since the mid-1980s. Today, U.S. manufacturers,
service sector companies, and agricultural producers are the
world's most competitive producers for most goods and services when
compared to those of our international trading partners. The one
major exception is the cost of piece-made garments produced
throughout Asia. U.S.A. manufacturers are now also acknowl- edged
to be the world's highest quality producers. Only high-value
Japanese cars have a slight edge in terms of total quality when
compared to their U.S. counterparts, and that quality differential
is rapidly being eliminated.
In 1994, the U.S. market share of the world's total trade
activity was the largest of all the industrialized nations in the
world. Approximately 22 percent of the worldwide trade in goods and
services is provided by the United States. In the mid-1980s, we
were number 3. Today, we are number 1, having passed Japan and
Germany as the premier producer of goods and services for the world
markets.
U.S. industry, our agricultural producers, and service sector
providers have the highest output per worker of all the major
industrialized countries. U.S. manufacturers' worker productivity
is 30 percent greater than that of Japan and Germany, and our rate
of improve- ment is growing faster than either of those countries'.
In 1994, manufacturing productivity in this country grew by 4
percent, or twice as fast of that of Germany and Japan.
Our agricultural productivity is at least twice as efficient as
that of Germany or France. In the service sector, our output per
worker is nearly 50 percent greater than that of Germany. You may
have seen the article in The Wall Street Journal last week
comparing the productivity of our very competitive telephone and
banking industries with those of Germany.
The only economic activity in the United States that does not
compare favorably on world scales is the productivity of our "K
through 12" education system and our federal and state governments'
productivity.
Today, our agricultural industry has the lowest level of
employment in its history and yet feeds our entire country and
produces and sells an additional $20 billion worth of agricultural
products abroad. Incidentally, I am advised that there is one
government employee in the Agriculture Department for every farm in
America. Indications are that U.S. agricultural exports in 1995
will be 25 percent greater than in 1994.
If the United States is to continue to be a world leader in
international trade in the 21st century, if we are to double our
international trade activity in the next ten years, then there are
three policy initiatives that must be undertaken to preserve our
growing successes in serving world markets.
First, we must be relentless in our pursuit to create open
markets for our manufactured goods, agricultural products, and
technical and entertainment services in every corner of the globe.
This drive to keep and/or open markets for our products and
services must be the foundation of our international foreign
policy. United States goods and service producers cannot be
compromised by foreign governments adopting protectionist policies
which preserve their markets for their products while denying U.S.
producers the right to sell into their markets.
With few exceptions, the U.S. market is an open market, and U.S.
consumers have benefited from that policy; so, too, will the
consumers of U.S.A. goods and services around the world benefit
from an open market policy in their countries. Today, American
industry can compete any place in the world on the basis of quality
and price with the brightest and best of our international
competitors if we are permitted to do so. But if artificial
barriers are erected to keep U.S.A. producers out of selected
markets, no amount of competitiveness will enable us to create jobs
and enhance our nation's economic well-being by serving world
markets.
Keep this point in mind: Export-related jobs, because they are
incorporated into successful enterprises, are the highest paid jobs
that the United States possesses (maybe baseball players are
higher). Furthermore, two-thirds of all the world's markets for
manufactured products and technical or entertainment services lie
beyond the borders of our nation. Those of you in Washington who
are responsible for public policy initiatives must press to keep
world markets open if U.S. industry is to have the opportunity to
create wealth for our nation.
Secondly, our national taxation system must be modified from one
that penalizes capital formation, discourages investment, and
places excessive burdens on the hiring of incremental employees.
Our federal government today collects 92 percent of its revenues by
taxing personal wages and earned income. And in the case of earned
corporate profits that are distributed to individuals, that
combined rate is the highest in the industrialized world. The 92
percent ratio is also the highest in the industrialized world. Most
of our international competitors in Europe and in Asia tax
consumption while at the same time offering incentives for saving,
investment, and employment.
The United States cannot long compete in world markets where its
most efficient producers, who generate the highest wages and who
pay for excellent results, are taxed at the highest rates by a
government which has demonstrated no significant productivity
improvement in over ten years. Our taxation system must be modified
to stimulate extra invest- ment. As a nation, we need to increase
the amount of capital stock that is behind each of our workers. We
need to encourage a high productivity workforce. We must encourage
personal savings, while at the same time improving the productivity
of our government and eliminating its annual deficit.
In this regard, we must become more like Germany and Japan,
where national savings rates are three to five times greater than
those in the United States. Yes, they save between 15 and 20
percent of their gross income versus 4 to 5 percent here in the
United States. As a result, the cost of capital for equity
investment in Japan is nearly one-third less than that in the
United States. No wonder it is so easy for Japan to invest in our
country -- and in Europe and throughout Southeast Asia -- when
their cost of equity capital is so low.
Thirdly, and most important, our federal government must become
a partner on our international competitive teams. Since nearly half
of the net benefit of our international trade activities flows to
our government, and since nearly 50 percent of the wage dollars
flow to government, it is absolutely essential that our federal,
state, and local governments improve the quality of their services
and improve their productivity in the same manner as have our
agricultural, manufacturing, and service sectors.
We cannot win the battle for supremacy in world markets in the
21st century against Japan, Germany, China, or the Little Tigers of
Asia if only half the U.S.A. team is pulling on its productivity
oars. All members of Team USA must be competitive and must
constantly be improving their efficiency. If Team USA is to win in
world markets, all members of our team must be contributors so that
our entire nation can be a winner.
We will never solve our social problems -- better housing,
quality education, medical care for the needy, jobs for the
unemployed -- if we continue to burden the productive side of the
economy in order to redistribute our job-creating cash flows on the
nonproductive, low productivity side of our economy. Industry,
banking, medical care, and even private education are improving
their output per dollar of intake. Shouldn't our federal government
be held to the same standard? We heard on ABC News last night that
our Air Force maintains a fleet of 589 planes -- ten times the
wartime regulated limit -- in order to transport its high-ranking
officers around the globe. What is wrong with flying United, TWA,
or American Airlines?
We will only solve our special social needs at home by expanding
the size of the economic pie. This can best be achieved by
encouraging the wealth-creating enterprises that effectively serve
global markets. Then, and only then, can incremental revenues be
generated and prudently allocated to our special social needs at
home.
But we must earn those extra revenues before we can spend them.
We cannot spend our resources on solving social issues at home that
we haven't yet earned abroad. Our practice of continuously
borrowing from our future to solve social ills today will only
debase our currency and lower the standard of living for all of our
people.
The time for policy shifts is now -- the summer of 1995. You
have been elected to lead that change and oversee its
implementation. Let's make 1995 the most productive year in the
history of our Congress. Let's together chart a course that will
serve our nation well into the 21st century.
As our friends at Nike would say--let's just do it!