Ludwig von Mises was one of the outstanding
economists of the 20th century. Born in Lemberg, Austria-Hungary,
in September 1881, he graduated from the University of Vienna with
a doctoral degree in jurisprudence, with an emphasis on economics,
in 1906. Shortly before the First World War he published his first
important book, The Theory of Money and Credit, in which he
developed a version of the cash balance approach to explain the
demand for money. He also formulated a theory of the business cycle
that integrated Eugen von Boehm-Bawerk's "Austrian" theory of
capital with Knut Wicksell's theory of the natural rate of
interest. He explained how monetary and credit expansion had the
potential to distort the market's equilibrium rate of interest,
causing an imbalance between savings and investment, which could
generate an initial inflationary economic expansion that would then
be followed by corrective economic recession or depression.
Mises as
Policy Analyst with the Austrian Chamber of Commerce
But for most of the
years from the time he graduated from the University of Vienna in
1906 until the autumn of 1934, when he accepted a full-time
academic position at the Graduate Institute of International
Studies in Geneva, Switzerland, Mises' daily intellectual focus and
activity was far removed from the more abstract and rarefied
concerns of pure economic theory or the broader issues involved in
the evaluation of alternative economic systems. Full-time academic
positions were extremely limited in number in Austria, especially
after the First World War when his native land was much smaller and
poorer than it had been during the twilight years of the old
Austro-Hungarian Empire that came to an end in 1918. In 1913, the
University of Vienna faculty approved Mises as a privatdozent, an
unsalaried instructor permitted to teach one course a term at the
University. When he returned from active service in the Austrian
Army in World War I, he was promoted to "Professor Extraordinary,"
but still in an unsalaried category.
Mises made his living during these years
as an economic policy analyst. In 1909, the Vienna Chamber of
Commerce, Crafts and Industry had hired him as an assistant for the
drafting of documents, and then promoted him to a deputy secretary
of the Chamber the following year. When he returned to his position
at the Chamber of Commerce at the end of the war, he was appointed
a "first secretary" of the organization. From 1918 until he left
Vienna in 1934 for the teaching position in Geneva, Mises was in
charge of the Chamber's finance department, which was responsible
for banking and insurance questions, currency problems, foreign
exchange regulations, and public finance and taxation. He was also
frequently consulted on matters pertaining to civil,
administrative, and constitutional law.
At
the war's end, he was also put in charge of the section of the
Austrian Reparations Commission for the League of Nations concerned
with the settlement of outstanding pre-war debts. And in 1922 and
1923, when the League of Nations stepped in to restructure the
country's monetary and banking system following the end of the
Austrian Great Inflation, Mises had a senior responsibility for the
writing of the charter and by-laws of the reorganized Austrian
National Bank.
Austria Between the Two World
Wars
However briefly,
the situation in Austria in the years after the war has to be
understood to appreciate the context in which Mises' policy
analysis was done. The end of the First World War had reduced
Austria to a small fraction of its size under the old Hapsburg
Monarchy, with a population of only about six million; of these,
two million lived in the capital of Vienna. The disintegration of
the old Empire had not only resulted in the creation of new and
reshaped countries on the map of Central Europe, it also rapidly
generated a strong spirit of both political and economic
nationalism. The new states of Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and
Yugoslavia imposed high tariff and other trade barriers against the
new Austrian Republic.
Within the new Austria a political battle
broke out that continued for most of the 1920s and 1930s between
the Social Democrats, who controlled the municipal government in
Vienna, and the Christian Socialists, who dominated the national
legislature due to their strong following in the rural provinces of
the country. Austria's capital soon became internationally known as
"Red Vienna," where the Social Democrats pursued their vision of
the socialist society of the future. The Christian Socialists
fostered policies at the national level of intervention,
protectionism, and fiscal redistribution to benefit the various
interest groups in the agricultural parts of the country. In
addition, both political parties had their own private armies that
were heavily armed and equipped, and occasionally fought actual
battles in the countryside. These private armies were significantly
larger than the official 30,000-man Austrian Army permitted under
the peace treaty that ended the war between Austria and the Allied
Powers in 1919.
In
addition, the high inflation of the war years in Austria-Hungary
was continued in the post-war period and threatened by 1922 to
become as catastrophic as the hyperinflation in neighboring
Germany. Thousands were starving on the streets of Vienna. In the
provinces, the local governments imposed trade barriers and visa
requirements between their jurisdictions within the country to
hoard food and other supplies for their own local citizens. Food,
housing, and health care and unemployment subsidies, especially in
the cities, generated huge budget deficits that were covered by the
issuance of paper money. Finally, in 1922 the League of Nations
stepped in for financial guarantees and an austerity program that
required an end to the food subsidies especially, a reorganization
of the Austrian Central Bank to end the inflation, and the firing
of over 80,000 civil servants to reduce the fiscal burden on the
government.
By
1923, the inflation had been brought to an end and in 1924 Austria
officially went on a gold-exchange standard, with legal gold
redemption in 1925. But once the direct supervision of the League
was terminated, taxing, spending, and the budget deficits all once
again increased throughout the rest of the 1920s. The deficits were
mostly covered by foreign loans. The Great Depression finally
severely hit Austria in 1931 following a major banking crisis. To
avoid the loss of gold and hard currency reserves, the Austrian
government imposed foreign exchange controls that greatly
restricted trade, with the government allocating scarce foreign
exchange according to pressures of various interest groups.
Finally, the economic crisis turned into a
political crisis in 1934, when a four-day civil war broke out in
Vienna, with the Social Democrats taking up arms against the
Christian Democratic government. The socialists were routed and the
Social Democratic Party banned. A corporativist-style fascist
dictatorship was declared by the Christian Democrats, which
remained in effect until March 1938 when Hitler ordered the
occupation and Nazi annexation of his native Austria.
This
was the political and ideological setting in which Ludwig von Mises
went about the task, in his capacity as a senior economic policy
analyst for the Vienna Chamber of Commerce, of attempting hold back
the tide of socialism, nationalism, and interventionism in his
native Austria in the years between the two World Wars. His efforts
during this time can broadly be summarized under three general
headings: First, monetary policy and institutional reforms under
conditions of political change and inflation. Second, fiscal policy
for non-inflationary economic growth. And, third, foreign exchange
policy under conditions of an international debt crisis.
Hyperinflation and Monetary
Reform
The political
disintegration of the Austro-Hungarian Empire into new "successor
states," as they were called, meant that the Empire's single
monetary regime was ending as well. Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and
Yugoslavia announced their intentions to establish their own
national currencies. Mises prepared a detailed memorandum in April
1919 in which he proposed that all those holding bank notes issued
by the Austro-Hungarian Bank, both those living in various parts of
former Empire and foreigners, would be permitted to convert their
notes into the currency of the successor state of their own
choosing. In fact, Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia arbitrarily
declared dates in the early spring of 1919 when all
Austro-Hungarian Bank notes on their territory would be stamped as
legal tender within their respective jurisdictions. The stamped
notes would be convertible into the new currencies they were to
issue, with all unstamped Austro-Hungarian Bank notes after that
period to be considered worthless on their territories. And the new
Austrian government followed the same procedure in their
footsteps
As
for the apportionment of the Empire's debt among the successor
states, Mises worked out a plan that was accepted by the League of
Nations Reparations Commission and implemented by the successor
states. All pre-war Austro-Hungarian government debt was divided
into two categories, secured and unsecured. Secured debts, such as
debts against which the property had been secured for the loan,
were charged to the country in whose territory the property was now
located. If the property was located across more than one of the
successor states, each country was responsible for the portion of
the debt corresponding to the amount of the secured property under
its jurisdiction. Unsecured debt was distributed among the
successor states on the basis of the fraction of the tax revenue
its territory had supplied to the Austro-Hungarian monarchy.
But
of even greater concern in 1919 was the worsening inflation in the
new Austria. To finance food subsidies for the population in Vienna
and to cover the rising costs of the welfare programs both the
Social Democrats and the Christian Democrats agreed on
implementing, the Austrian government had speeded up the printing
presses. In the first half of 1919, the Austrian money supply
increased from 831.6 million crowns in March to 8.3 billion crowns
in July. The note issue reached 12 billion crowns by December. When
the inflation was finally ended in 1923 the money supply had
increased to 7.1 trillion crowns. In January 1919, one dollar could
purchase 16.1 crowns on the Vienna foreign exchange market. By
1923, one dollar could buy 70,800 crowns.
In a
paper marked "confidential" that Mises prepared in May 1919 for
Viennese bankers and businessmen associated with the Chamber of
Commerce, he suggested that they needed to have a contingency plan
in case the worst were to happen and the currency were to rapidly
depreciate to a value of zero. He emphasized that the monetary
situation might very well never reach such a disastrous state, but
if it did, such a complete collapse of the currency would threaten
social chaos, especially in Vienna, as food became unobtainable and
desperate people rioted and looted property in an attempt to
survive. The private sector--the bankers and businessmen--would
have to step in to save society. Said Mises, "It is up to the
citizens to try to do ourselves what the government is failing to
do for us. All we can hope from the government is that it not
stymie the endeavors of its private citizens."
A
medium of exchange would have to be available that the people knew
and trusted and which they would accept as payment for salaries and
in exchange for goods and services. He proposed that private
businessmen and bankers would use a part of their revenues from
exports and sales of assets to accumulate small denomination units
of Swiss money for use as a temporary, emergency medium of
exchange. Mises estimated that approximately 30 million Swiss
francs would be needed. He calculated that there were about 1.5
million employees in Austria who were not self-employed or not
working in the agricultural or timber sectors of the economy.
Assuming that the average monthly income was 1,500 crowns, the
total monthly income to be covered would be 2,250 million crowns.
At the going exchange rate, that came to 22.5 million Swiss francs.
Assuming an additional 150 million crowns for government
subsistence, unemployment, and pension payments, that added another
1.5 million Swiss francs to the total. And to meet any unexpected
events, Mises suggested adding an extra 25 percent to that amount
for a total of 30 million Swiss francs.
He
emphasized that if such an extreme emergency were to arise this
fund of Swiss currency would only be needed until normal export
sales and capital transfers supplied the required amounts of gold
and foreign currencies for the population to use as the more
permanent substitute monies in a post-inflationary Austria. If the
government did not interfere, he said, "free market forces will
automatically come into play that will supply the economy with the
exact amount of money it needs." In essence, Mises was suggesting
in 1919 what Friedrich Hayek proposed over fifty years later in the
1970s, that in place of and as an escape from their own
government's monetary system and inflationary policies, people
should be free to have a "choice in currency" of either gold or the
use of any variety of alternative national currencies.
But
Mises was also realistic enough to know that the likelihood of a
denationalized monetary system was almost zero. When the inflation
finally ended, the question would be what kind of monetary regime
Austria would adopt. Many in Austria, in the years immediately
after the First World War, did not believe that their country could
survive politically and economically on its own. It was presumed by
a majority of Austrians that Austria inevitably would be unified
with Germany into one nation state. If and when that day came, the
issue would arise as to how the monetary systems of Germany and
Austria would be joined into a single currency area.
Mises dealt in detail with this issue as
well in a lengthy study written in the summer of 1919. And the
topic obviously has a modern ring to it in the context of the
recent introduction of the euro in place of the separate national
currencies of a number of European countries. If the German mark
and the Austrian crown were on a gold standard, the conversion to a
single monetary unit would be relatively simple, Mises suggested.
But in fact both nations were on irredeemable paper money standards
experiencing serious inflation. The first task toward monetary
union was an end to inflation in both Germany and Austria. This
required ending the use of the printing press to finance government
expenditures. In addition it required a coordination of the two
countries' fiscal policies, and since Austria was the smaller of
the two countries in terms of population and output, this meant the
subordination of Austrian fiscal policy to that of Germany. Full
political unification would necessitate Germany's absorption of
Austria's national debt. Austria's fiscal status, therefore, had to
be reduced to one similar to any one of the states of the German
Republic. Full fiscal autonomy by Austria leading up to economic
and political integration with Germany could only result in further
accumulations of national debt that would forestall the unification
process.
And
a central reason for the need to end inflationary policies in
Germany and Austria before unification was due to the fact that
monetary expansions were non-neutral in their effects on the
structure of relative prices that also brought about a change in
the general purchasing power, or value, of the monetary unit. For
purposes of currency conversion, the market needed time to settle
upon a rate of exchange that would more or less reflect the
equilibrium purchasing power parities of the two currencies. And
this could not be successfully established until a sufficient
period of time had passed during which the inflationary influences
would have fully worked their effects on the respective price
systems of Austria and Germany. A rate of exchange between crowns
and marks might be officially established a year after the two
countries had ended their inflationary policies.
Finally, for the transition to a common
currency, Mises suggested that the German mark should first be
introduced as a "core" or reserve currency in Austria, with a
specific ratio of exchange at which the Austrian National Bank
would be legally obligated to redeem Austrian notes for German
marks, and vice versa. Any increases or decreases in the number of
units of Austrian currency in circulation would be dependent upon
deposits or withdrawals of marks from the Austrian banking system.
Thus, leading up to monetary unification, the Austrian National
Bank would no longer be an independent authority determining the
quantity of money in the country. In other words, Mises was
proposing the establishment in Austria of what nowadays is referred
to as a "currency board," and that this currency board mechanism
would serve as the stepping-stone to a single currency. Final
unification would come through the German central bank's redeeming
all Austrian bank notes for marks at the specified rate of
conversion, after which there would be only one monetary system and
one currency in what would be becoming one country.
Mises' own monetary policy prescription
was for a gold standard. He argued then as in later years that the
leading benefit from a full gold standard was that it eliminated
any direct control over the printing press by the government. The
money supply either directly or indirectly under the control or
influence of the government would always mean that the society
would be susceptible to inflationary abuse and the ups and downs of
the business cycle. Special interest groups would always be at work
for various material and ideological purposes to "print money" if
government had it readily in its power to do so. And Mises' final
monetary policy proposal was for the end of monetary policy by the
privatization of money through a commodity-based free banking
system. But he readily admitted that this was a policy prescription
the possibility of which would only be far into the future given
the political and ideological trends of his time.
Fisfal Policy, Capital Consumption, and
the Need for Budgetary Restraint
Central to the
monetary mismanagement of that period between the two World Wars,
Mises argued, was the fiscal philosophy of the time. Governments
had taken on vast, new responsibilities for social and welfare
redistribution programs. Industries were nationalized in the
euphoria of a making a socialist society and these state
enterprises invariably ended up running huge losses that the
government had to cover through taxation. Mises said that "The old
fable of Midas has been turned on its head: whatever gold
governments touch turns to dust." Protectionism and domestic
subsidy schemes spent fortunes on artificially maintaining or
creating various industrial or agricultural sectors of the economy.
In Austria, Mises explained, the government subsidized agriculture
at the expense of industry and manufacturing, which were mostly
centered in Vienna. In Hungary it was the reverse, with
industrialization subsidized at the expense of farming and the
rural areas.
In
the more Classical Liberal era of the 19th century, Mises said, the
presumption was that taxes were an evil to be minimized to provide
those essential but limited functions of providing protection of
life, liberty, property and a few other narrow responsibilities.
But now the presumption was that there was no limit to government
spending, regardless of how much and for what. Indeed, the
fundamental principle of economic reasoning was turned upside down
by government. In the private sector the presumption is that the
ends that may be pursued are constrained by the means available to
attain them, and that in general expenditures must be kept within
the bounds of income. The reverse was the philosophy practiced by
governments, including most especially the Austrian government. In
the public sector the assumption was that taxes were to be raised
to enable the pursuit of any level of expenditure, no matter how
extravagant. Between 1925 and 1929, all levels of government
spending in Austria had increased by 31.4 percent, or almost 8
percent per year, Mises pointed out. Direct federal taxes alone had
increased by 35 percent during this period.
This
philosophy of government spending was based on two erroneous ideas,
Mises argued. First, was the notion that programs couldn't be cut
because they were mandated by previous laws and were now
"entitlements" that made them "inevitable" and unavoidable. Mises
replied by asking, "What exactly does `inevitable' mean in this
context? That these expenditures are based on various laws that
have been passed in the past is not an objection if the argument
for eliminating these laws is based on their damaging effects on
the economy. The metaphorical use of the term `inevitable' is
nothing but a haven in which to hide in the face of the inability
to comprehend the seriousness of the situation. People do not want
to accept the fact that the public budget has to be radically
reduced."
The
second mistaken idea was that higher and higher tax burdens on
income and capital need had no negative effect on capital formation
and entrepreneurial innovation. Not only had capital formation been
retarded, the effect of fiscal and related interventionist
policies, Mises explained, was a destructive process of actual
capital consumption in the Austria of the 1920s and early 1930s. In
a report that he co-authored for the Austrian government in 1931,
he drew upon a vast array of statistical data to show how this had
come about. He demonstrated that between 1925 and 1929, taxes had
risen by 32 percent, social insurance payments by employers had
gone up by 50 percent, industrial wages under union pressure
supported by the government had increased by 24 percent,
agricultural wages had increased by 13 percent and transportation
costs by 15 percent. During this time, on the other hand, an index
of the prices of manufactured goods bearing these costs had only
increased by 4.74 percent between 1925 and 1930.
To
the extent that new capital had been created in Austria, a large
portion of it had been financed by investment loans from abroad
because the domestic sources for investment funds were strangled by
the weight of taxation. The socialist ideology of envy generated
the idea that impoverishing entrepreneurs and the owners of capital
through taxation assured social justice for the society as a whole.
All the while, in reality, the consumption of capital impoverished
the poor and the working class by lowering the marginal
productivity of labor and raising the cost of living.
In
1930, Mises detailed a series of institutional and administrative
reforms for Austria to reduce or eliminate unnecessary or
duplicative activities at the various local, provincial, and
federal levels of the bureaucracy that would lower the fiscal and
regulatory burdens on business and the taxpayer. He proposed that
such reforms first be introduced in the smaller, rural Austrian
provinces to see how effective they would be, and then when they
had proven their effectiveness, they could be extended to the rest
of the country.
Government expenditures had to be cut down
to size, including the size of the bureaucracy. How could the
resistance of the bureaucratic establishment be overcome? Mises
proposed, without saying so quite so directly, an approach of
divide and conquer. Those civil servants in the more essential
departments and agencies of the government that would be cut the
least or not at all should be reminded that out of the expenditure
savings could come not only reductions in the tax burden for the
taxpayers but salary increases for those whose continuing
employment by the government was needed.
Corporate taxes and income taxes had to be
cut because they were destroying the productive capability and
economic well-being of the country. But if not corporate and income
taxes, how then shall even those limited though essential functions
of the Classical Liberal state be funded? And one who turns to
Mises' Human Action to find out his views of the appropriate fiscal
regime for the Classical Liberal society will be disappointed. He
discusses the dangers of excessive and confiscatory taxation on
capital formation, entrepreneurial creativity and competition, and
on the incentives to work, save, and invest. But there is virtually
nothing about what a rational fiscal policy should be that is more
likely to foster entrepreneurship, capital formation, and economic
growth.
In
the 1920s, Mises reminded his fellow Austrians that "In the eyes of
the older liberals, taxation of income and the interest on capital
had the negative effect of slowing down the process of capital
formation and hence retard economic progress." The policy
prescription for many of these 19th century liberals was a system
of low, indirect taxes on various consumption items that did not
impose an excessive burden on the general citizenry. "The ability
to economize, not the invention of new taxes, is the hallmark of a
good finance minister," Mises stated.
In
May 1940, while Mises was still in Europe before coming to the
United States, he outlined the particulars of what he considered a
liberal fiscal regime in the context of a series of "guidelines" he
prepared at the request of Otto von Hapsburg, the heir to the
Austrian throne, for the reconstruction of Austria when the Second
World War was over and Austria was once again an independent
nation.
Austria, Mises said, would be a poor
country. The destruction of war, the consumption and misuse of
capital, the destruction of a large portion of the Austrian
entrepreneurial class due to the expelling or murder of so many
Jewish businessmen and financiers, and the debilitation of the
labor force from death and permanent injury in battle would require
Austria to turn its back on its socialist, interventionist, and
welfare-statist past. Only economic freedom and hard work could
restore Austria from a condition that we might nowadays loosely
refer to as "third world" status.
Fiscal policy, therefore, would have to be
designed to do everything possible to unleash private sector
incentives and opportunities for investment, capital formation, and
entrepreneurship. Virtually all taxes, Mises suggested, should be
skewed toward consumption and away from production. What type of
broadly based consumption taxes? He proposed: (1) excise taxes on
alcoholic beverages, tobacco, and related tobacco products; (2) a
sales tax exclusively on the sale of goods and services to the
final consumer; there should be no explicit or hidden value added
taxes; (3) a progressive consumption tax based on housing
expenditures, but with an exemption for housing expenditures for
those in the lower income brackets; (4) a tax on luxury automobiles
for private or personal use; (5) a tax on lottery winnings; (6) a
stamp tax on playing cards; (7) administrative fees for certain
government services, such as issuing patent rights, brand name
registrations, determination of weights and measures, and "official
stamps" to cover the cost of providing various types of
documentation; (8) a wage tax paid by employers that was not
deducted from the employee's salary to fund existing social
insurance programs; and (9) a moderate net profits tax on
shareholders and limited liability partnerships when annual
disbursements exceeded 6 percent of the enterprise's capital
assets; retained earnings by the enterprise would be exempt from
taxes so as not to discourage capital formation.
Except for the net profits tax and the
wage tax for social insurance costs, all income and business
earnings would be completely tax-exempt. And a perusal of Mises'
proposed list of taxes clearly shows that he thought that, besides
the general sales tax, the fiscal burden should primarily be in the
form of what nowadays would be classified as "sin taxes" and a
narrow selection of "luxury" expenditures. Mises' long recognized
advocacy of "laissez-faire" did not mean a hands-off indifference
to the path taken by the market economy. What would be produced,
where and how goods would be produced, and for which segments of
the consuming public would be determined by the pattern of market
demand and the profit-driven entrepreneurs. As Mises expressed it
in the early 1940s, "If there is any hope for an new [economic]
upswing [at the end of the war] it rests with the initiative of
individuals. The entrepreneurs will have to rebuild what the
governments and politicians have destroyed."
But
in Mises' view the government's own taxing policies should be
devised in such a way that they impose the smallest fiscal burden
possible with the least disincentive to those forms of market
conduct most crucial and essential to generate the greatest amount
of private sector financial ability and opportunity for what today
is referred to as the supply-side forces of work, savings, and
investment.
It
should be mentioned that Mises' apparent concession to the welfare
state in his listing among his fiscal suggestions of an employer's
tax for social insurance expenditures did not mean his belief in
their desirability or necessity. This was clearly an admission
that, given the political currents, not everything could be
reformed at once. For example, in 1942 Mises was invited to lecture
in Mexico for six weeks during which he had the opportunity to
studying the economic conditions in the country. The following
year, in 1943, he prepared a lengthy monograph for an association
of Mexican businessmen on "Mexico's Economic Problems." His
recommendation was to not establish social insurance programs in
the first place. If part of the cost of such social insurance
schemes falls on the shoulders of the employers, it would only
succeed in raising the cost of employing workers, with the negative
effect of pricing some members of the work force out of the job
market. At the same time, such government-mandated insurance
policies restricted the freedom of the employee to weigh the
opportunity costs of allocating his income in various ways more
reflective of his own preferences and that of his family.
To
reduce the fiscal burden on the society Mises also considered it
essential to sell off and privatize nationalized industries and
state enterprises, including the railroads, mining, and forests. In
the mid-1920s, at the time when all intellectual and ideological
trends were in the direction of more socialism, Mises declared
there was only one remedy for the fiscal drag caused by loss-making
government enterprises: "Governments and local agencies must sell
off all these enterprises and turn them over to private
entrepreneurs who will know how to run them at a profit." If they
could not be sold to the private sector because of their inherent
unprofitability, then, Mises declared, they could be shut down.
International Debt Crisis and Foreign
Exchange Control
With the start of
the Great Depression and the banking crisis that developed in
Vienna in 1931, Mises' focus became the financial and economic
crisis into which Austria had now fallen. To try to save the
banking system, the Austrian National Bank extended credits for
which there was not a gold backing as required by the Bank's
reserve requirements, and to stop the run on its reserves the Bank
had ended redemption on demand. The value of the Austrian schilling
fell on the foreign exchange markets. The government's response was
to institute foreign exchange control pegged at the former
gold-parity rate.
Mises explained in a series of papers
prepared for the Vienna Chamber of Commerce in 1932 that this would
not bring about recovery in the market or restore balance in the
international trade accounts. Instead, it would artificially induce
even more imports and stymie the sale of exports--the exact
opposite of what the government said it wished to do in terms of
the country's balance of trade. The inconsistencies and
contradictions in the foreign exchange control system manifested
itself in the fact that as the year went on the government was
forced to loosen the restrictions on the sale and purchase of
foreign currencies and allow more market-based allocation and
pricing of foreign exchange. The only lasting cure, Mises insisted,
was to immediately abolish the entire network of controls and
return to a free market in foreign exchange dealings.
But
the fundamental cures for Austria's problems in the world economic
crisis required, among other things, the restoration of redemption
of the Austrian currency at the legal gold parity. To do so, the
Austrian National Bank had to reverse the monetary and credit
expansion it had been following. Mises clearly stated that this
monetary deflation had to be instituted as quickly as possible
before the entire structure of prices and wages in the country had
fully adjusted to the depreciated value of the schilling. At that
point, returning to the legal gold parity would necessitate a
wrenching adjustment of prices and wages downwards that might not
be possible.
And
equally crucial to a return to economic balance and the path to
prosperity were reductions in government spending to alleviate the
strain on the private sector from a state budget that was pushing
the country to living beyond its means. It was government spending
that was creating the pressure for increases in taxes, which Mises
considered a serious danger to Austrian business. But if certain
taxes were raised, at least they should be imposed in a way that
did not unduly discriminate against some sectors of the economy for
the benefit of others.
When
the Austrian government applied for and received an international
loan from the League of Nations to facilitate a solution to its
financial difficulties, Mises endorsed it, but only if it was
understood and used as a "breathing space" for actual and real
institutional reform in the government's taxing and spending
practices. Otherwise, it would be merely digging Austria's
financial grave even deeper.
At
the end of 1934, as Mises was departing for Geneva, Switzerland, to
take up his teaching appointment at the Graduate Institute of
Economic Studies, he wrote a short piece, "The Direction of
Austrian Financial Policy: A Retrospective and Prospective View."
Democratic government had ended in Austria, a brief civil war had
been fought and had crushed the Social Democrats, and now Mises
hoped that a new calm in the country could serve as the backdrop
for returning to the path of economic reform and recovery. He
reviewed the course of Austrian economic policy during the
preceding fifteen years since the end of the First World War. And
he emphasized that what the country still needed was less
government spending and taxing, more flexibility in the country's
price and wage structure, a stable currency, and acceptance that as
a small nation in a large global economy Austria had to adjust to
the international conditions of supply and demand. Alas, in less
than four years, Austria's fate would be sealed for the duration of
the Second World War.
Old Lessons for a New Age
Shortly after
Mises came to the United States in the summer of 1940 he penned a
short memoir that contains his reflections on his life in Austria
and the Europe he had left behind. It's written in a tone of
despair and dismay about the direction in which European
civilization seemed to be moving at the end of the first four
decades of the 20th century. In clear anguish and frustration, he
summarized how he viewed his own efforts as an economist in Europe
in general, and Austria in particular, during those years between
the two World Wars:
Occasionally I entertained the hope that
my writings would bear fruit and show the way for policy.
Constantly I have been looking for evidence of a change in
ideology. But I have never allowed myself to be deceived. I have
come to realize that my theories explain the degeneration of a
great civilization; they do not prevent it. I set out to be a
reformer, but only became the historian of decline.
His
mood in this passage is reminiscent of Adam Smith's remark in the
Wealth of Nations at the end of his criticisms and refutation of
the Mercantilist system. "To expect, indeed," Smith said, "that the
freedom of trade should ever be entirely restored in Great Britain,
is as absurd as to expect that an Oceana or Utopia should ever be
established in it. Not only the prejudices of the public, but what
is much more unconquerable, the private interests of many
individuals, irresistibly oppose it."
Yet,
within one lifetime the ideas of Adam Smith and like-minded
thinkers transformed Great Britain into a nation operating on the
basis of free markets at home and free trade in international
affairs. And Great Britain's example helped reform much of the rest
of the "civilized" world in the same direction.
I
would like to suggest that Ludwig von Mises' articles, essays, and
monographs, originally written more than 60 and 70 years ago in the
context of the economic and political policy controversies of those
times, can serve as warning signs and guideposts for us as we have
now entered the 21st century. They remind us of the consequences
that can befall a country when it goes down the road of
interventionism and welfare statism. But they also offer ideas and
prescriptions for free-market alternatives in the arena of monetary
and fiscal policy, besides many other areas of public policy.
With
luck, the despair expressed by Ludwig von Mises in 1940 will turn
out to be as misplaced as Adam Smith's resignation to the
permanence of Mercantilism in 1776. And with the theoretical and
policy ideas of Mises and like-minded economic liberals, the 21st
century can become even more of a shining example of freedom's
potential than was the 19th century.
Richard M. Ebeling is the Ludwig von
Mises Professor of Economics and Chairman of the Economics and
Business Administration Department at Hillsdale College, Hillsdale,
Michigan.