The nature of
operations that are not war-fighting vary hugely, not only in their
characteristics, but also in their purpose. They vary in intensity,
timing, the variety of actors who take part, geographic spread,
duration, the relationship to the preceding or succeeding
war-fighting, which services are involved and which
environment-land, sea, or air in varying combinations (in land
alone the environments could include urban, mountain, desert,
jungle, and more)-the size, the risk and lethality, proximity to
and involvement with the civilian population in theatre, whether
single nation or multinational, acceptance and support at home, and
the Rules of Engagement and their suitability and flexibility
for the prevailing situations. The nature of operations will
change radically as will the rate of change. The purposes may range
from coercion, to countering terrorism or insurgency, to
peacekeeping or peace enforcement, to support for reconstruction
and humanitarian operations-maybe just holding the ring whilst the
politicians and diplomats dance.
The difference between
these operations that somehow are not war-fighting and what is
recognized as war-fighting is rather arcane. It is a matter
largely of public statements and commensurate action, in starting
and finishing. It is a different difference than that between
war, which when declared has a legal nature, and everything else.
Thus war can be different from war-fighting. In Iraq in March 2003,
it was clear when the war-fighting started- more or less-but did it
finish when the coalition took control of Baghdad on April 10,
2003, or when President Bush made his victory speech on board the
USS Lincoln on May 2? If it is the latter, then there were
plenty of stabilization operations taking place during
war-fighting, not to mention the hiatus after April 10 when little
happened.
During Operation Iraqi
Freedom, we all got used to the phrase "the 3-block war." Often
ascribed to the former Commandant of the U.S. Marine Corps, General
Chuck Krulak, it is taken to mean that within a divisional area,
the commander may face the need simultaneously to fight, to
stabilize, and to provide humanitarian assistance. So war-fighting
may not be so different from operations that are not war-fighting.
Let us take two examples:
First, in Operation
Iraqi Freedom, lasting 43 days, the U.S. Marines lost 40 killed;
during the swift re-taking of Fallujah in November 2004, they lost
70 killed. So war is not necessarily more lethal. Perhaps Fallujah
represented a swoop from counter-insurgency back into war-fighting
and then out again.
Second, during an
ambush outside Al-Amara on May 14, 2004, Private Johnson Beharry of
the Princess of Wales' Royal Regiment displayed
exceptional courage in the face of the enemy, for which he was
awarded the Victoria Cross, the first to be awarded since the
Falklands War. As around that time there were 28 awards for
gallantry to Beharry's battalion alone, the counter-insurgency was
as intense, or more, than war. Even in the comparatively lower
intensity currently prevalent in southeastern Iraq, the troops
must remain ready to escalate to war-fighting at very short
notice.
The anomaly faced by
the United States and partners in a coalition is that in the sorts
of war that are being fought, victory in the sense of defeating the
enemy's military power is comparatively easily gained. It may not
always be so-probably it won't-but that's another matter. The
overall campaign aim in Iraq-to create a self-sustaining
pluralistic democracy-was not only more challenging than the
limited military aim, but was arguably not best served by the
nature of the military operations.
The U.S., and perhaps
Britain, were lulled into a sense of false security by the first
Gulf War. There, the casualties taken in direct combat by the
500,000 U.S. military deployed were less than those same soldiers
would have incurred had they remained in their barracks in the U.S.
After financial contributions by non-fighting allies had been
taken into account, the U.S. made a slight contingency profit,
and of course President Bush Senior's popularity rose, for a while.
War evidently was safer than peace, and financially and
politically sound. Ironically, as the U.S., Britain, and other
allies remain enmeshed in Iraq, that adage, trite in its
origins, may still be painfully true.
I am not an enthusiast
for definitions. Definitions change. The terror we try to
counter today is very different from the prototype started in
France in 1793. I believe it changed again after September 11,
2001. Moreover, the terrorists operating in Ireland between
1969 and 1999-often hailed as freedom fighters, not only by
Irish Republicans but also in the U.S.-were different from Islamic
terrorists operating under the al-Qaeda franchise. One size
does not fit all terrorists. Nor does one tag fit all those
opposing the coalition in Iraq today. Nor is Iraq the only
operation going on today, nor is the U.S. involved in all of
them.
From all this, my first
deduction is that one needs to be wary of generalizing, and
especially of applying such generalizations to future operations.
Though I will be guilty of generalizing myself, I have kept in mind
diverse operations that are not exemplified. Chief of these is the
U.N. peacekeeping tragedy in Rwanda in 1994, that was so deeply
shaming.
I now would like to
develop some thoughts on how this hotch potch of operations that
are not war-fighting, affect the soldiers, sailors, and airmen who
undertake them.
Casualties Physical and
Psychological
In these operations,
the participants can get killed, injured, or otherwise damaged. The
risks are very real, and mean that a career in the Armed Forces is
now markedly different from one in the Cold War, where lethal
operations were exceptional, and peacekeeping implied that
there was a peace to keep. There were a number of valid exceptions,
but the more lethal examples-Korea, Vietnam, Falklands-were by
consensus war-fighting.
The casualty figures
incurred by the U.S. and U.K. in Iraq during and after the
war-fighting are instructive:

By way of yardsticks,
during the 1982 Falklands War, the U.K. had 255 killed and many
more injured. Operations after the war were conventional
peacekeeping, and direct combat casualties did not occur. During
the Northern Ireland emergency, 452 members of the U.K. armed
forces were killed, with 957 killed when the Northern Ireland
dedicated forces are included (e.g., the Northern Ireland
Territorial Army, Royal Ulster Constabulary, and Ulster Defense
Regiment). In Vietnam, the U.S. lost 58,226 killed, and 153,303
injured, out of a maximum deployment of 550,000, whilst
Australia lost 501 killed, and 3,131 injured, out of 47,000
maximum deployed.
Those that get killed
are gone, and we hope not forgotten. Many of the injured stay in
the services; others go either from choice or through disability.
The injuries of those that stay may have an effect beyond those who
are themselves injured. I believe this effect will vary from a
totemic source of pride to being an omen of danger and uncertainty.
Injured soldiers who go home will have an effect on the
communities and this will feed back to soldiers still at the
front. Physical injuries are not the only ones that debilitate.
Psychological trauma can lead to mental injuries, often but not
exclusively Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder or PTSD. The name is
quite new, but the condition is not; something like it used to be
called shell-shock, lack of moral fiber, or even cowardice.
Hopefully, we have come a long way, but PTSD is an insidious
condition. One soldier physically uninjured but suffering from
PTSD declared that he would rather have lost an arm or a
leg.
The figures for PTSD
are worrying, not only because the causes of the condition are not
clear, but also because they suggest different criteria can be used
between theaters to characterize PTSD.
Some figures as
percentages:

A cursory analysis
suggests that the length of time under stress, the intensity and
variations of the stress, uncertainty as to outcome, extreme
environmental conditions, and horrors amongst the civilian
communities in which the operations are taking place, are amongst
the factors that contribute. I suspect too that a multiplicity
of these factors would accelerate the onset of PTSD. Maybe sound
leadership and a supportive military ethos can retard it. PTSD
seems to be no respecter of rank: certainly Lt. Gen. Romeo
Dallaire, the Commander of the U.N. Mission for Rwanda in 1994,
suffered from PTSD that was not diagnosed until 1998. Being
overwhelmed by the atrocities of the genocide, and unable to
do anything to stop it, must have contributed.
Recruiting and
Retention
These operations affect
recruiting and retention. Recruiting is affected by public
perceptions of the operations but also by feedback from the front
line. Fighting itself does not seem to damage recruiting; rather it
is the shadowy accompaniment. If the fighting force is strong up
the chain of command and back into the Ministries of Defense, if
the politicians support and sustain the troops both morally
and materially, then damage will be little. If the community as a
whole becomes detached from the operations and if politicians are
seen to have behaved opportunistically, then trouble will be close
behind. Retention seems to follow a similar path, though variations
on the ground will cause retention to vary too. Repetitive
deployments, a sense of making little progress, and a feeling of
being cast adrift all damage retention. I found personally
that retention generally held up well during deployments, but that
when sailors got back to their families, and found that the country
was under-whelmed by what they had been doing, by what had seemed
so important whilst on deployment, then their resolve to
undertake future deployments, with more extended separation from
their families, wobbled.
Reservists are
increasingly drawn into peace support operations. This reliance
stresses employers and reservists alike. Reservists are
part-timers, ready to do their bit when the devil rides. But when
the devil is riding in many places around the world, every month of
the year, for years on end, the rationale of being a reservist can
weaken. Reservists may not be so thoroughly trained or so deeply
integrated into the military structure as regulars. They may
therefore be prone to unexpected lapses. Recruitment and
retention amongst reservists can be vulnerable.
Training for Complex
Challenges
The professionalism of
forces frequently involved with peace support operations merits
consideration. On the one hand, such operations build
battle-readiness that can aid survival in theatre, and create
a wariness that will enable soldiers to react decisively at early
whiffs of danger. This in turn may engender a hardness or rigidity
that may not help the agility to switch, say, from peace
enforcement to humanitarian assistance in a moment. My impression
is that servicemen and women returning from deployments have some
skill-sets honed to a fine edge, whilst others have regressed. On
return, they need not only substantial leave, but also some
retraining before redeploying to other roles, and perhaps
before redeploying to the same one.
A mass of lessons can
be identified and need to be learned. The lessons need to be turned
round with speed, so that the lessons can be learned in theatre,
almost instantaneously, and certainly in the home base, before the
next deployment departs. But the enemy also learns lessons fast,
and without the bureaucracy to go with it, so the command chain
must be alert to the dangers of learning lessons relevant to the
"last war," even if it is only a few days ago. This demands
tactical and doctrinal agility of a high order that puts a heavy
load on the training organization. Experience repeatedly
underlines the need to be able to introduce new capabilities at
short notice. Consequently procurement, and its processes,
need to be commensurately agile.
There is an adage that
"the Army trains for war, and educates for everything else."
Aligned with that is the belief that skills learned for war can
readily be adapted for other operations, but the reverse is not
true. I feel that this is, at least in part, a sound-bite from
another time. Stabilization operations, because of their complexity
and their tendency to lurch back into war-fighting (albeit
briefly), are inherently harder to train for than war-fighting. War
for the United States and allies against prospective enemies is
likely to be relatively straightforward given the massive
investment of money and technology by the U.S. The U.S. has shown
itself resolute in the face of mounting casualties. For the
U.K. the threat to war-fighting capabilities lies in constant
trimming of investment and capabilities so that we have a reduced
capability to fight and be interoperable with the U.S. Beyond
the horizon there may lurk wars of national survival, but they are
some way away. Operations after war, as we have often seen, can be
bloodier and more problematic that war-fighting itself. They
are "war-fighting plus." Consequently we should be acquiring
capabilities, if the case can be properly made in each instance,
that are not primarily required for war-fighting, but for the
totality of these other operations.
The reasons have
already been partially rehearsed. There are more actors from more
countries and with more functions, the nature of the
operations can change with bewildering rapidity and scope, and the
constraints under which the operations are conducted are far
tighter. Furthermore, military activity is but one strand that
has to be integrated into the conduct of the overall campaign.
I believe the demands for comprehensive training are higher for
these operations than for war-fighting, particularly as the
severity of extreme peace support operations can equal, and even
exceed, those of much war-fighting. The diversity of tasks, and
sometimes their unexpected nature, means that the training manuals
cannot cope with every eventuality. This in turn means that junior
officers and NCOs may have to cope with situations drawing on
inculcated values rather than procedures and tactics. These
values are gained through education rather than training (though
the division is not clear-cut). Education takes time and has to
grow, has to be nurtured. A just-enough-just-in-time approach to
training will not produce the goods. Growing education is a bigger
concept than building military ethos, vital though the latter is.
It may depend on national education systems, and the setting and
maintaining of recruiting standards.
The deeply regrettable
incidents at Abu Ghraib, Camp Bread Basket and, somewhat removed,
Guantanamo cast a long shadow. At present the authorities seem to
be dealing with the symptoms-more or less rigorously-not the
causes. Young people were put in positions of authority and
sensitivity for which they were ill-prepared or under-qualified.
And there were mature people further up the chains of command who
did not do too well either. In a vicious operational
environment, caring for the enemy, perhaps whilst extracting
intelligence from them, demands high-quality professionalism. There
seems to be evidence that some reservists were asked to
undertake roles for which they were not suited. Playing it off
the cuff is not the answer; ill-judged actions of the moment will
be scrutinized afterwards with all the wonders of hindsight and the
rectitude of distance. Forces of democracies must do better, and
few would conclude there are not more unseemly incidents still to
be uncovered. The disproportionate damage such incidents cause
underlines the imperative of radically reducing the likelihood of
further recurrences.
The effect on
service-people may be twofold. First the actions of a few bad
apples do stain the reputations of the whole barrel, and weaken the
link between the deployed forces and the home communities. This can
damage morale. Second, the constraints have to allow, and clearly
allow, the job to be done effectively. Failure to achieve this can
also damage morale. Long ago, in the 1980s tanker war in the Gulf,
the Royal Navy's Rules of Engagement were drawn up to allow an
enemy the first shot at us. This was both scary and rather
frustrating; the U.S. had more robust ROE and could engage
more readily. As the U.S. was also operating under a different
ratification state of the U.N. Conference on the Law of the
Sea, the people on the front line had a feeling that governments
had not got their acts together.
Effective support of
the front line by governments is seen to be essential. This is
both political and material. Cheery visits by politicians
transparently for their own political ends, are not
welcomed; equally soldiers will not want to feel ignored.
Equipment has got to work and be capable enough for the tasks
in hand-always-and stores must be available in the quantity
required, when required, wherever required. Shortfalls in support
can fester, and the morale of deployed forces can swing in large
oscillations with little notice and with little cause. One of the
few dampening mechanisms is good leadership. Small
privileges mean a lot, but so does their
withdrawal.
Effect of the
Media
The media, because of
globalized communications, are ubiquitous and "fearless" in
the pursuit of viewing and circulation figures. They also have a
vital role in monitoring good governance, and can drum up effective
pressure on governments when support for the front line seems
sloppy. Journalists can be embedded, independent, or comment
knowingly from afar. There are outstandingly good journalists, some
who are bad, and quite a lot in between. A few "go native" and
champion the cause of the forces with undue enthusiasm. Others pick
relentlessly on the bad news and ignore the greater quantity of
good news. Quite a few are sanctimonious. Too many put
accuracy as a lower priority than their deadlines. They affect
service-people on three layers. First, service-people see the media
output and react to it, perhaps giving excess credence to the
journalists' wisdom. Second, families see the output and can be
upset by pessimistic forecasts and damning assessments, and
they pass on their doubts to the front line. Third, communities see
the output; they affect, and perhaps weaken the resolve of
families, and thereby affect the front line. Governments struggle
to inform the good journalists in good time, and to counter
the less good persuasively. Much more needs to be
done.
Globalization gives a
strong measure of transparency, especially on the actions of
the forces of democracies. There is little transparency and few
constraints in dictatorships or amongst transnational
terrorists. The media help to nurture this transparency.
Governments have to accept that they will be embarrassed from time
to time, often rightly. Equally the media have an obligation to
evaluate evidence that comes to them rigorously. They might start
with the proposition that terrorists will lie more than
politicians. Peace support operations have to be conducted
under the law, and the law is complex and demanding. Law is
administered by lawyers, calmly, cleanly, and doubtless
meticulously. The law (as interpreted in an aseptic court) and
common sense (as interpreted on the spur of a dark and dangerous
moment) do not necessarily make good bedfellows. Soldiers do
not like their colleagues to mess up (Abu Ghraib and Camp Bread
Basket), but they do not want to be tasked to fight with one arm
behind their backs by authorities who subsequently disown
them. It is easy to paint too black a picture, but there are big
issues here, and if soldiers do not feel they are getting a fair
deal, they will vote with their feet: another irritating
characteristic of a democracy. It is the nature of these operations
that decisions-perhaps to kill or be killed-are made and action is
led, often at a very low level, where the leaders are inherently
less comprehensively well trained or educated. The "strategic
corporal" is an important person not necessarily best dealt
with by a "long screwdriver." We have yet to see the full extent of
the problems these factors can cause.
I have concentrated
mainly on the factors that affect troops on the ground and on the
situation today. Looking at the peace support operations conducted
by the other services is important, but the issues are often less
acute. Ships have been patrolling in the Gulf for upwards of 25
years, with hotter conflicts occasionally interposing. Aircraft
patrolled the "no fly" zones in Iraq for a decade projecting
substantial violence. The loading on the people involved was heavy
and prolonged, perhaps generally not so intense (but that is
contentious) but the issues remain much the same. I think too that
the lessons from the 1990s are in principle much the same, but the
circumstances have changed enormously, bringing their own
principles with them.
Conclusion
In conclusion, I hope I
have indicated what a multi-faceted and inter-meshed subject this
is. I well realize that I have hardly scratched the surface of the
subject, but I hope I may have stimulated a few itches. We (that is
both the good and bad guys) live in a globalized world. The
struggles are hugely asymmetric. The operations we are discussing
not only come in many shapes and sizes, but they will change
characteristics with bewildering rapidity; they are conducted by a
vast array of actors most of whom have discrete and not necessarily
overt agendas and they resist efforts to be coordinated. Few
of our service-people are either saints or abject sinners;
they are ordinary people whom we ask to do extraordinary tasks. We,
in the narrow and wider defense communities of democracies, need to
be with them and sustain them, lest their successes are despite us,
and their failures because of us.
Rear Admiral Richard
Cobbold is the Director of the Royal United Services Institute for
Defence and Security Studies. These remarks were delivered
on June 18, 2005, at "The Test of Terrain: The Impact of
Stability Operations Upon the Armed Forces," a conference in
Paris, France, sponsored by the Strategic Studies Institute of the
United States Army War College, the Centre d'Etudes en Sciences
Sociales de la Défense (Ministère de la
Défense), the Royal United Services Institute, The
Association of the United States Army, The Förderkreis
Deutsches Heer, The Heritage Foundation, and the United States
Embassy Paris.