Recently I've been talking to people on Capitol
Hill, on both sides of the issue, about why the overwhelming
majority of America's governors support permanent normal trade
relations (PNTR) with China and about some of the things I observed
during my recent visit to China.
I
thought I'd start out by talking about how I got involved in this
issue in the first place. You're thinking: What is the big deal
about a small, midwestern state like North Dakota and trade with
China?
And
I did originally approach the issue from the point of view of what
was right for North Dakota. When I saw the items that were
negotiated last fall in the trade agreement between China and the
United States, I thought it was a good deal for North Dakota. We're
an exporting state. We're the number one producer of eight
different commodities, and it's important for us to be able to
export our products. Bigger and more open markets provide better
opportunities for North Dakota ranchers, for North Dakota farmers,
and for North Dakotans in general.
As I
looked at the U.S-China trade-negotiation documents, I saw, for
example, that non-tariff quotas on wheat were increased. We used to
sell 250 million bushels of wheat to China, but today we sell only
eight or nine million bushels. Under a new agreement, that gap
would close for my state. We looked at the provisions for beef and
pork imports and saw huge reductions in tariffs--from 47 percent to
2 and 14 percent. So many elements of the trade agreement were
indeed important for North Dakota, and that's why I got
involved.
I
think one of the issues we haven't pointed to enough is that the
agreements provide that we will no longer have to work through the
state-owned trading enterprises. One of the provisions allows
exporters to work directly with private businesses in China. You
can't imagine how important that is for a small state like North
Dakota, where most of our manufacturing companies and producers are
small. They're intimidated by the thought of working with a huge
state trading enterprise. They don't know how to establish a
relationship. This new agreement allows them to deal on a
one-on-one basis with a new business in China, a new
representative, a new importer, and establish a long-term
relationship with a less forbidding partner. I think this is an
element that is going to be very important for North Dakota.
So I
talked about trade to people in my state, to farmers and ranchers,
to our farm organizations. I talked to our economic development
folks. We put the numbers together and said this agreement is
good.
I
looked back at our trade statistics with China for the last eight
years, since I've been governor, and saw that trade with China has
increased 560 percent. It's booming. Twenty-five percent of it is
in commodity food products. The rest is in small equipment
manufacturing, mostly on the agricultural side.
We
also send over pilots, by the way. The University of North Dakota
Center for Aerospace Studies trains weather forecasters, traffic
controllers, and pilots, many of whom end up in China as well. It's
been a thrill for me to stand at a graduation ceremony in Grand
Forks, North Dakota, with Chinese pilots who have been exposed to
the culture in a democracy and who will go back as agents of change
in their country.
I
figured if this agreement was good for North Dakota, it was
probably good for other states, too. So I talked to other governors
and discovered it was the same situation in their states. Exports
were vitally important for economic activity and growth in their
states. So Gary Locke, governor of Washington and a Democrat, and
I, a Republican from North Dakota, drafted a letter from governors
who support permanent normal trade relations with China. We ended
up with the signatures of 47 governors.
We
have seven governors who haven't signed on. (You might be adding it
up in your head: 7 plus 47 equals more than 50. However, we have
four territories that belong to our National Governors'
Association.) Those governors are not signing for various reasons.
Some didn't particularly like the language in our letter; they
supported the idea but thought they would write their own letter,
couching it in different terms. Others, for various reasons, just
don't support it. But we think that we have an outstanding
percentage with 47 signatures.
Because I was one of the people who was
involved in putting the support letter together, President Clinton
asked me to go on a trip to China with Agriculture Secretary Dan
Glickman and some undecided members of Congress to explore the
issues that are in play concerning China. These included not only
the issue of economic expansion but also the issues of religious
freedom, working conditions, and human rights.
I
was pleased to take that trip, and I have to tell you it was
fascinating to be in China. I had a perception of China of people
doing exercises in the morning in the square with their uniforms on
and marching off to work, like I saw in the old movies.
So
it was incredible to be in Beijing and Shanghai and Hong Kong,
which are the most modern cities that you can imagine. It was
really impressive to me to be exposed to an expanding economy and
the cultural changes that are taking place. We saw people who work
in private enterprise as well as churches and temples being
built.
We
had a chance to meet with political leaders, reform leaders who are
stepping forward at their own peril because they see the necessity
of moving into a market-driven economy. They know they can no
longer afford the subsidies to keep their business enterprises
government-owned. They can't afford the subsidies to keep
artificial production in wheat, for instance. And, as the four
central banks have teetered on the verge of bankruptcy, they have
had to cut back economic support levels and, of course, you see the
resultant drop in wheat production.
The
reformers see the need for private investment if they are going to
feed their people, if they are going to build roads, food
distribution systems, water systems, and sewage lagoons. They are
moving into a market-driven economy with 24 million new small
businesses in China today and 50 percent of the economy in the
hands of the private sector.
Incredible change is going on there. But
these leaders are taking a risk because the old-line communists are
sitting over there waiting to take back control of the economy.
They want to say: "See: It doesn't work. We have to go back to our
old ways of central control." I think we need to support these new
young reformers who are trying to forge a new way of governing.
We
had a chance to meet with multinational companies that are
operating in China, and I was impressed by their willingness to
invest in the communities there. They are providing opportunities
for their Chinese national employees through leadership and
training programs to make their employees' lives better.
It
was fun to talk to them about their investments in the culture. The
business community is heavily investing in schools, distribution
systems, town halls, and community gathering places because, with
the sense of community and family that the Chinese have, they know
that these are not only gathering spots but also agents of
change.
We
had a chance to meet with the middle managers in these companies,
Chinese nationals, some of whom have traveled to the United States
or been educated here. There are 50,000 Chinese students today in
the United States. Most of them are expected to go back. They also
are going to be agents of change when they return.
And
the middle managers were excited. They had better jobs. They had
training. They were buying houses and cars. They had an opportunity
to see that the economic activity was beneficial to them.
And
I asked them about what happens when they go home. What did their
neighbors think? They said their neighbors were envious that they
were making more money, that they have homes that they, and not the
government, own. They were excited to be a part of the emerging
economy, and they are really driving change in their culture and in
their lives.
We
had a chance to meet with blue-collar workers and talk with them
about working conditions in China. We talked to them about what it
was like before and what it's like now. I had a chance to visit
with an auto parts worker in a facility now jointly owned by the
Chinese government and a French automobile manufacturer. She talked
about how cold it was in the past because they didn't have heat in
the factory in the winter, and how they sweated so much in the
summer because there was no air conditioning. And everything, of
course, was done by hand. Now she works in a facility that is
mechanized, that has climate controls, that has good working
conditions.
She
is pleased that she has a chance to work in such good conditions.
She has gone to some leadership training. She manages over 110
people. And instead of the $400 a month in Chinese money that she
was making before, she is making $3,800 a month, and she and her
husband have just bought a new home. So the blue-collar workers are
on the move there as well.
We
met with entrepreneurs who had started businesses four and five
years ago. At that time, they didn't know where to go, didn't have
attorneys, didn't know where to get approvals from the government,
didn't know how to get copyright and trademark protection, didn't
know anything. They were forging a new way. Then we met with some
entrepreneurs who had started their businesses just one or two
years ago. Conditions had changed dramatically, and they were very
thankful for the folks who had paved the way for them just a few
years earlier.
I
had a chance to meet with religious leaders. It was awesome to be
in a Catholic Church in Shanghai and meet with Bishop Jin, who had
been jailed for 27 years for crimes against the state. He was
happy. He was not bitter. "I spent 27 years in jail so that I could
say my God comes before my country and now I can say that." And he
was pleased. It was incredible for me to be able to kneel down in
prayer in a Catholic Church in the middle of a communist country
surrounded by all those evil forces.
And
Bishop Jin was also pleased to point out that when he went into
jail there were about a million Christians in that country. At the
same time that the government was trying to stamp out religion,
Christianity grew, and now they estimate that there are 20 million
Christians in China, and 5,000 of them come to his church's four
services every Sunday.
He
is 85 years old, and his message was this: You've got to take the
long-term view. If we're going to see social and cultural change in
China, he said, we need an economic lift. We need that lift so a
culture thousands of years old and moving at a glacial pace of
change continues to change. He said, "I support permanent normal
trade relations because I think that the economic activity is what
will give us the changes we need to drive forward the religious
freedoms and cultural changes in this country." These are the
people, the agents of change, that we had a chance to meet over
there.
We
tried to address the issues that the critics of a trade
relationship with China are making. They point to human rights
violations; a bad record, no doubt. They talk about the lack of
religious freedom; there's no question that's a problem. These are
honest concerns that are put forth by people on various sides of
this issue. But I am firmly convinced that trade is a precursor of
social change, and it is vitally important for us to enter into
this agreement.
I
told you that I went over there originally because of the benefits
to North Dakota, and I have to admit I was provincial about my
support for permanent normal trade relations. Returning from this
trip I am absolutely convinced that this is necessary for the
United States and for the people of China. I believe that we have a
chance to forge a relationship that is going to be very meaningful
for change in that country.
Now,
Governor George Bush has an interesting comment about this, and I
think he's right on. He says that economic freedom creates habits
of liberty and habits of liberty create expectations of democracy.
From what I have seen in China, I think that statement is true.
The
improved education, the ability to drive social change, the ability
of people to have more access to information, to consumer goods,
this is what will drive change in that society. And I firmly
believe that if we open up trade relationships between China and
the United States, we get a chance to export our most valuable
asset, and our most valuable asset is our culture of freedom.
We
get a chance to export our ideas about democracy, about freedom of
religion, about workers' conditions, and human rights. In addition
to our products, we get to send over our ideas. I think it's very
important that we continue to build relationships, that Congress
passes permanent normal trade relations, that China joins the
rules-based World Trade Organization. This is what will drive the
needed social, religious, and human rights changes in China.
The Honorable Ed Schafer
is governor of North Dakota and chairman of the Republican
Governors Association.