Introduction
The recent conclusion of a Bosnian
peace accord is a welcome development in a brutal conflict that
has raged unchecked for four years. However, there are very serious
questions that need to be answered about the political viability of
the accord and the effectiveness of the American military
intervention to implement it.
In his nationally televised address on November 27, President
Clinton stated that he will request congressional support for the
deployment of over 20,000 American ground troops
to Bosnia. The President will also have to convince a very
skeptical U.S. public that the sacrifice of American lives and
resources is worth the short-term results he hopes to achieve. Most
important, the President will have to convince both Congress and
the American people that he has not committed American troops to an
open-ended and ill-defined military mission in the midst of a
volatile civil war.
To assess fully the tough political and military issues
involved, Congress should be prepared to ask the President specific
questions about the practicalities of the Bosnian peace plan and
about the risks and costs associated with an American military
intervention that would implement such a plan.
Questions About Political
Viability
Q. Is a bifurcated Bosnian state a
realistic and sustainable political entity?
The Bosnian
peace accord proposes a Bosnia-Herzegovina that has the
appearance of a single state, but is in fact based on two separate
political entities -- the Bosnian Muslim/Croat Federation and the
Bosnian Serb Republic. For the central organs of Bosnia to function
as intended, the two separate entities will have to show the most
extraordinary goodwill and cooperation toward each other, qualities
that have never been in evidence in Bosnia.
Many experienced diplomats have expressed skepticism about the
political viability of this Bosnian state and the realistic chances
of its survival as a centrally governed and coherent nation. Former
National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski has stated that the
accord is a contrived peace that actually creates "two and a half
states."1
Much of this skepticism is rooted in the fact that the accord
does not address fundamental issues of sovereignty and ethnic
self-determination. Instead, it freezes those unresolved issues in
place and offers up an elaborate power-sharing agreement for a
Bosnian central government. However, it will be difficult for a
contrived central government to replace the bonds of loyalty,
authority, and legitimacy that currently exist between Bosnian
Croats and Croatia and Bosnian Serbs and Serbia. These bonds are
rooted in centuries of political, ethnic, and cultural identity and
are sure to prove stronger than bonds to a hastily fabricated
central government.
This central dilemma was noted recently by Swedish diplomat
Thomas Gur, who wrote that this "peace plan has many built-in
contradictions and weaknesses. Many of the proposed arrangements
lay the groundwork for possible new conflicts between different
minorities, and for future interventions by Serbia as well as
Croatia. If the arrangements for peace in Bosnia are carried out
according to the peace plan, new conflicts will be triggered by old
ones."2
If history is any guide, this agreement stands little chance of
lasting. In Cyprus in 1964, international negotiators reached a
similar agreement between Turkish and Greek Cypriots. Much like the
Bosnian agreement, the doomed Cyprus accord attempted to replace
bonds to the "parent entities" for both sides (Greece and Turkey)
with an unworkable central executive and ethnically aligned
parliamentary blocs. This ensured continued intractability. This
structure never worked because it never addressed the fundamental
fears and aspirations of the warring factions and was predicated on
a diplomatic fantasy: hopes for a degree of cooperation that had
never been present in Cyprus. After 10 years of sporadic fighting
and instability under this makeshift arrangement, Turkey invaded
the island in 1974, partitioned Cyprus, and put an end to the
ephemeral peace -- an imposed peace that was never locally
supported. United Nations peacekeepers have been in Cyprus for over
30 years.
The same pattern can be expected in Bosnia. How can an imposed
peace that does not reflect political realities or the basic
concerns of the warring factions hope to survive except by the
continued enforcement of thousands of NATO and American troops? The
recently concluded Bosnian peace accord is inherently weak because
it fails to address the fundamental issues that caused the parties
to go to war in the first place. It is, at best, a cease-fire that
can work only under the continued stewardship of 60,000 heavily
armed NATO combat troops.3
Q. Is the Bosnian Muslim/Croat
Federation itself a politically sustainable arrangement?
The entire peace accord is predicated on the notion that the
Muslim/Croat Federation is a solid political entity that can be
endowed with more political and military resources and that will
continue to grow in cohesiveness as an uneasy counterweight to the
Bosnian Serb Republic. There is considerable doubt about the
solidarity of this alliance, which came about as a marriage of
convenience in 1994.
Before that federation was formed, the Croats and Muslims fought
a brutal war for control of cities such as Mostar in Bosnia.
Contentious territorial and refugee issues remain to be settled
between the two groups. Many observers believe that the
Muslim/Croat Federation started to come apart as soon as there was
no imminent Serbian threat to hold it together. A U.N. official in
Zagreb recently noted that "the American plan rests on the
assumption that the Muslim-Croat federation is solid. Maybe that
plan is built on sand."4
Q. Is this peace accord locally
supported?
While Slobodan Milosevic purports to speak for the Bosnian Serb
leaders, local support is far from guaranteed. Since 1992, the
Bosnian Serbs have reneged twice on deals backed by President
Milosevic. If anything, initial signs have been distressing. All
three Bosnian Serbs present at the Dayton peace talks refused to
sign the peace accord, and Bosnian Serb leaders denounced the
accord within hours of its initialing. Since then Bosnian Serbs in
Sarajevo have staged protests and their leader, Radovan Karadzic,
has insisted that the Sarajevo provisions of the peace accord doom
that city to the fate of Beirut and must be renegotiated. The
leader of the Bosnian Serb Parliament stated that "the agreement
that has been reached does not meet even the minimum of our
interests."5 In addition to these and other signs of a
possible split between Milosevic and Bosnian Serb leaders, there
are many different factions within the Muslim and Croat camps, all
with local ambitions and aspirations. It must be remembered that
there is very little central control over many paramilitary
elements ostensibly connected with one of the three sides. These
include, among others, the 1,000 Mujahideen militia fighters from
Iran, Afghanistan, and elsewhere who recently have attacked British
forces in Bosnia and are suspected of murdering an American working
for the U.N. near Tuzla.6
Q. What issues remain unresolved, and
how does the Bosnian peace accord address those problems?
It is not a good sign that some of the thorniest issues raised
at Dayton
were left unresolved. In particular, the dispute over the Serbian
corridor around Brcko was left to be submitted to binding
arbitration by a panel made up of Muslims, Serbs, and Europeans.
The content, character, method, and authority of the arbitration
were not specified. Also not addressed were specifics about how to
integrate the two (or possibly three) rival armies into one that
would serve the foreign policies of the central government, and
specific measures to ensure that indicted war criminals would be
brought to trial.
Q. What long-term commitment has the
U.S. made to the continued security of Bosnia-Herzegovina in its
planned form?
Even if the bulk of U.S. ground troops leave within 12 to 18
months, the United States will incur some form of continuing
security obligation to Bosnia. President Clinton not only must
define clearly the exact nature of that commitment, but also must
identify the strategic resources he intends to allocate to that
commitment and the contingency plans he will ask the military to
prepare. The commitment of the United States to the continued
existence of this state of Bosnia-Herzegovina will certainly go
beyond the initial use of American troops on the ground in Bosnia.
This was very much the case, for example, after the liberation of
Kuwait during Operation Desert Storm. Since 1991, the United States
has been heavily engaged in defending Kuwait, undertaking
operations such as "Vigilant Warrior" in October 1994, which sent
thousands of American soldiers to Kuwait on almost no notice. In
addition, President Clinton just announced an extension of the U.S.
military presence in Haiti. A similar commitment to Bosnia needs to
be factored into the strategic, operational, logistical, resources,
and fiscal planning of the military.
Questions About the Implementation
Force
There also are serious questions about the military feasibility
of NATO's
Implementation Force (IFOR).
Q. What are the defined and measurable
military objectives for this peace implementation mission?
The military mission in Bosnia will be so-called peace
implementation. This is a term invented by the Clinton
Administration to describe a dangerous and ambiguous mission that
will be improvised on the ground and made up as it goes along. In
1994, after an intensive study of the dynamics of post-Cold War
peacekeeping and peace enforcement operations, the U.S. Army released a comprehensive
doctrinal manual entitled Peace Operations. This manual
describes how the U.S. military will operate in various peace
support missions, including support for diplomacy, peacemaking,
peace building, preventive diplomacy, peacekeeping, and peace
enforcement. "Peace implementation" is not addressed.
When the U.S. military is given a task, it must be one which it
understands and one for which it has trained. Clearly defined,
decisive, and attainable military objectives must be identified,
and these objectives must contribute directly to the political
goals of the operation. There are significant doubts about the
existence of such objectives in the Bosnia peace implementation
force. The United States must be able to measure the success of
operations and formulate an exit strategy that leaves something
sustainable behind. It brings to mind the confusion felt by Marines
in Lebanon when they were asked to go ashore in 1982 and "establish
a presence." That is not a defined military mission. It is merely a
deployment of troops without a realizable mission.
Q. Why will American forces work under
self-imposed restraints?
Peacekeeping, peace enforcement, or even peace implementation
are missions that depend ultimately on the goodwill of the warring
factions in order to succeed. There is no question of trying to
coerce all factions into a pattern of behavior with only 60,000
NATO troops (of whom fewer than 20,000 will be "trigger pullers").
The bottom line for the American armed forces is that they will be
in a mission that places U.S. troops in a strategically passive
posture.
After the Vietnam war and the 1983 disaster in Lebanon, American
political and military officials formulated a comprehensive
doctrine ensuring that when U.S. troops are deployed into imminent
hostilities, it is with a coherent strategy and every conceivable
operational advantage. One condition guaranteed to the military is
that they will receive a mission that allows American forces the
operational freedom and resources to keep the initiative of action
-- to dictate the terms of battle to their advantage. This allows
American military forces to create the conditions they need to
succeed. It is a formula that worked brilliantly in Grenada,
Panama, Desert Storm, and even in peace operations like the initial
U.S.-led humanitarian relief effort by President Bush in
Somalia.
The Bosnia peace implementation plan does the opposite. It
strips any advantage from American ground forces and places U.S.
troops in a passive and reactive posture. It gives the initiative
of action to the warring factions and ensures that, regardless of
U.S. action, the warring factions will be the sole determinants of
mission success.
Secretary of Defense William Perry has tried to pre-empt the
inevitable criticism of this static and passive military role for
American forces by insisting that the U.S. will be "the meanest dog
in town." This gives the U.S. the opportunity to respond to
tactical attacks, but still within a strategically passive mission.
It raises again the specter of strategic incoherence that was so
prevalent in U.S. strategy during the Vietnam war. While the U.S.
may "win" all the little fights on the ground in Bosnia, the entire
effort may have nothing to show for its "victories" at the end of
the mission.
Being the "meanest dog in town" is no advantage in Bosnian
terrain that negates the U.S. superiority in armor and maneuver. It
is no advantage against a foe who, in the words of strategist
Andrew Krepinevich, will be more likely to attack U.S. forces as
"fleas, and not another dog."7 It is no advantage when
the U.S. is kept chained by a passive and static strategy that
deprives the U.S. of the operational advantages of effective
military doctrine. This mission will give the U.S. forces all the
political constraints and liabilities of traditional peacekeeping,
but with all the dangers and expenses of an enforcement operation
-- and with no control over the results. Peace implementation
combines the worst of both worlds, with no guarantee that the
benefits of American intervention will outweigh the costs.
Q. How will American forces know when
they have accomplished their mission and are ready to leave?
In order for the U.S. to avoid "mission creep" -- the unintended
and unanticipated acceptance of new missions and new mandates -- it
must stick to a comprehensive and clearly articulated strategy that
lays out military objectives and a clear exit strategy. President
Clinton stated in his national address that the mission in Bosnia
would be clear, limited, and achievable. For that to be true,
clearly defined and easily measurable military criteria must be
identified at all levels of the military effort: strategic,
operational, and tactical. The prospects and costs of achieving
these criteria also must be clearly stated.
The American and NATO
forces deployed to Bosnia have very broad powers that extend to
disarmament, refugee resettlement, election security, and even
nation-building. A workable military campaign plan must reconcile
those sweeping and comprehensive powers with the President's wish
to keep the mission clear, limited, and achievable; it is
inconsistent to state that the mission will be limited and at the
same time plan for the forces to accomplish something politically
sustainable. President Clinton has maintained all along that this
deployment will be limited in scope, but the peace accord opens the
door for NATO peacekeepers to perform many nation-building
activities such as ensuring the free movement and resettlement of
refugees, aiding humanitarian workers, resolving boundary disputes,
creating secure conditions for free elections, and responding to
violence against civilians.
Having multiple missions requires the military to have different
criteria for success in these many tasks. In addition, the criteria
for success at lower levels must add up to success at higher
levels. The U.S. should not repeat the mistakes of the Vietnam war,
in which criteria for success such as body counts and ammunition
expenditure were ultimately irrelevant to the strategic and
political outcome. Criteria should be easily measurable and must
lead ultimately to an exit strategy. The exit strategy for a
successful Bosnian peace implementation force must be driven by
events, not by time as the President has suggested. It also cannot
just reflect a "checklist" of tasks for American forces to
accomplish. The exit strategy must be constructed with the
intention of leaving behind a locally supported peace that does not
require an open-ended commitment of American troops. In addition,
in the very likely event that something does not go according to
plan, several different exit strategies must be included in
contingency plans. All possible eventualities must be planned for
in military operations.
Q. How do American forces intend to
avoid "mission creep?"
Even with clearly defined, limited, achievable, and measurable
objectives, U.S. forces can be subject to mission creep and
escalatory fighting. The broad authority granted to NATO troops is
a well-intentioned attempt by military planners to give the
passively postured U.S. troops some measure of control over their
environment and to help them minimize their risks and casualties.
However, it also plants the seeds for mission creep and open-ended
commitments. Ironically, the dynamics of mission creep and
escalation will be most likely to take root when U.S. soldiers do
the smart thing in response to aggression.
For instance, responding to attacks with "robust" rules of
engagement will necessarily mean offensive combat operations. Vice
President Al Gore noted recently that "if challenged, [American
troops] will respond with brutal and overwhelming force... not just
to provocations, but to evident intent."8 This
aggressive attitude is in keeping with successful military
doctrine, but it also presents a hazardous dilemma to American
forces. If U.S. forces respond only to the immediate source of
low-level attacks or threatened attacks (snipers, mortal teams,
small paramilitary units), they run the risk of expending
considerable resources in an attempt to swat a fly with a
sledgehammer. If, however, as the Vice President implies, the U.S.
commander chooses the far more effective option of responding to
the primary source of the attack (local command headquarters,
larger units, or leaders), then the action could easily deepen U.S.
involvement. Robust rules of engagement are truly a double-edged
sword in an intervention that is supposed to remain "limited." By
being tough and going after the "source" of the attack, the U.S.
could escalate the conflict and lead to retaliations which require
even harsher responses from the U.S. side.
The most poignant example of this occurred in Somalia. In June
1993, 24 Pakistani peacekeepers were killed by a mob of Somalis
that included women and children. Instead of attempting to ferret
out the responsible parties from within a surging street mob, the
U.N. commander asked the U.S. to help him hit the source of the
attack -- General Mohammed Farah Aideed. The U.S. then launched a
series of limited offensive attacks to cut down Aideed's military
power base and capture Aideed himself. This drew the U.S. deeper
into the Somali conflict and gave American troops a new status as
one more local faction in the Somali wars. All of this was brought
on by robust rules of engagement. Although President Clinton talked
tough in his November 27 speech, there are considerable risks and
costs involved with "fighting fire with fire, and then some." As
James Webb, former Secretary of the Navy and a highly decorated
Vietnam combat veteran observed, the Bosnia rules of engagement are
"a formula for confusion once a combat unit sent on a distinctly
noncombat mission comes under repeated attack."9
American troops will want to respond with disproportionate force
in order to deter or discourage further attacks. However, the use
of force always tends to draw all sides into further confrontation.
Recent history provides unambiguous evidence of this. Attempts to
undertake coercive disarmament or use robust rules of engagement in
a peacekeeping-type operation failed in U.N. operations in the
Congo in 1960-1964 and the former Yugoslavia and in U.S. missions
in Lebanon (1982-1983) and Somalia (1992-1994). NATO's
Implementation Force will be caught in a dilemma: The more
aggressively it operates, the better its chances of success and
force protection, but also the more it will get drawn into the
conflict and be seen as yet another warring faction.
Q. Will the early withdrawal of
American forces be supported by European allies, or will it cause
the mission to collapse?
Clinton has anticipated that American troops will be withdrawn
within one year. In fact, the peace accord opens the possibility
that the redeployment of American forces could begin as early as
six months into the operation. European allies have universally
condemned President Clinton's proposed timetable for American
forces in Bosnia. President Chirac of France has predicted an armed
NATO presence that could last up to 20 years. The United States
intends to leave within 12 months because American public support
would never tolerate a protracted and costly intervention in an
area of marginal strategic interest to America. However, this
action could damage U.S. credibility even further.
In addition, local belligerents from all three factions who
stand to gain by a continued American military presence are very
likely to try to prevent U.S. withdrawal. In the past two years,
U.N. units in Bosnia have been attacked by "friendly" factions
opposed to their withdrawal or redeployment. The history of
peacekeeping or peace enforcement does not offer many instances in
which heavily involved forces have been able to make a quick and
graceful exit. This brings to mind the Duke of Wellington's classic
admonition that "Great nations do not fight small wars." This
reflects the fact that great powers cannot skip blithely in and out
of conflicts. Once the prestige, honor, blood, and treasure of the
United States are engaged, the U.S. will have to see the
intervention through to its conclusion.
Q. What are the American contingency
plans to deal with resistance to the efforts of the Implementation
Force?
Military commanders with experience in the Balkans have
emphasized that U.S. forces are certain to encounter resistance
from armed elements in Bosnia.10 President Clinton has
stated that should the peace accord break down, U.S. troops would
withdraw rather than stay in the midst of renewed civil war. A
complete breakdown is not likely to happen because all parties
benefit in the short run from the opportunity to rest and re-arm.
It is far more likely that there will be sporadic and local levels
of resistance and intransigence, in which case the United States
will have only three bad options: the "Northern Ireland option," in
which the U.S. struggles on with the original mandate of the
mission, accepting the casualties and continued commitment to the
operation with no easily achievable end-state in sight; the
"Vietnam option," in which the U.S. reinforces its forces and
expands its mission and rules of engagement in order to try to
force a solution through a more significant military effort; or the
"Lebanon or Somalia option," in which the U.S. simply gives up and
goes home. Any prolonged resistance could force the U.S. military
in Bosnia into one of these options. There is no easy way out in
Bosnia, especially in light of the resistance that can be
anticipated.
Q. How does the U.S. plan to assume a
peacekeeping role, train and arm the Bosnian Muslims, and supervise
or enforce a "build-down" of Serbian armaments all at the same
time?
The implementation plan calls for the Bosnian Serbs to "reduce
their military potential to the level where it is no longer a
threat to the federation. If the Bosnian Serbs do not disarm, the
United States has given assurances to the Bosnian government that
it will level the playing field by equipping and training the
Bosnian army."11 There are many questions still to be
answered about the modalities of this mission and what role U.S.
forces will play. The IFOR has broad powers under the agreement,
including the power to remove or relocate certain units or weapons
that it feels may threaten the mission. This will entail an active
and most likely coercive role for IFOR. In addition, it remains to
be seen how Bosnian Serb military potential will be measured, who
will do the measuring, and exactly what types of coercive action
will be taken against factions that refuse to disarm.
In Somalia the U.S. discovered that the same force cannot act as
a neutral peacekeeper and conduct coercive disarmament at the same
time. It is a proven formula for disaster. Another lesson was that
coercive and comprehensive disarmament very rapidly draws the
coercer into the conflict. The initial American-led operation in
Somalia gave American forces circumscribed and localized rules of
engagement that allowed U.S. troops to disarm Somalis who
immediately threatened U.S. operations. However, the
nation-building mandate of the U.N.-led operation in Somalia
greatly increased the mandate for disarmament, and in 1993 U.N.
forces began aggressively to seek out the arms caches of warring
factions in Mogadishu. This led directly to the disastrous street
battle of October 3, 1993, in which 18 U.S. soldiers were killed
and over 75 wounded.
The only other option for a disarmament plan such as the one
written into the Bosnian peace accord is to ignore those factions
that refuse to disarm and hope that they choose to remain passive.
This is what the United Nations did in Cambodia in 1992-1993. When
the Khmer Rouge refused to honor the disarmament provisions of the
Cambodian peace treaty, the U.N. commander knew it would be folly
to try to coerce over 50,000 Khmer Rouge guerrillas into
disarmament. The U.N. commander's plan instead was to "ride his
luck"12 and hope the Khmer Rouge did not disrupt the
Cambodian elections or peace process. He knew that to pursue
reluctant belligerents could draw his troops into a long, bloody,
and fruitless contest. The same dilemma will confront the IFOR in
Bosnia: Pursue disarmament at great cost and risk escalating the
fighting, or ignore intransigent belligerents and "hope" for their
goodwill and cooperation.
In addition to these problems, any perception of American
evenhandedness will be compromised by the plan to arm the Bosnian
Muslims or Croats. European allies have strongly resisted the U.S.
plan to arm and train the Muslims. However, the key to lasting
peace in the Balkans is a local balance of power, and it is
doubtful that this can be achieved without lifting the arms embargo
(scheduled to be lifted 90 days after the peace accord is signed in
Paris) and training the Muslims. Either way, the mission to "level
the playing field" is fraught with difficulty for an outside party
trying to create and sustain the subtleties of a local standoff in
Bosnia.
Q. Will the command and control
structure worked out with the Russians stand up to the pressures of
the mission?
Command and control structures must be responsive,
authoritative, rehearsed, and legitimate. Most important, they must
be organized to handle the stress and strain of a "worst case
scenario." An authoritative command and control structure can offer
a framework for action and response when military missions are
faced with dangerous and contentious situations. The arrangement
worked out with Russia looks reasonable on paper, but is likely to
break down under pressure. Russian Defense Minister Pavel Grachev
has stated that the Russian commander and the national authorities
in Moscow have veto power over orders issued to the Russian
contingent by the U.S. commander. This sort of arrangement can
elevate tactical disagreements to a political level and exacerbate
friction between the U.S. and Russia. The Administration would do
well to heed an old military aphorism: "If you cannot explain the
command and control structure in less than 10 seconds, it isn't
going to work."
Because goals and objectives are hard to define in a peace
enforcement operation of this sort, European, American, and Russian
policy could diverge to a great degree, as it has in the recent
past. Much the same happened in Somalia. In the absence of clearly
defined and measurable military goals, peace enforcement forces
from different nations approached their mission in very different
ways. This divergence caused the U.S. to insist on the removal of
the Italian commander in Somalia. Imagine the imbroglios that could
develop among the U.S., Russia, and the Europeans after NATO and
Russian troops start dying in Bosnia. Peace enforcement is yet to
be proven as a viable military concept, and its lack of conceptual
and practical clarity means that when the shooting starts,
everybody interprets the mandates in different ways. Failure to
address these issues within a workable command and control
framework could cause a further deterioration of alliance
solidarity.
Conclusion
Very serious questions remain about the recently concluded
Bosnia peace accord. The political plan is admittedly tenuous, as
evidenced by the fact that its implementation requires some 60,000
NATO combat troops. The fact is that this accord cannot succeed
without clearly evident local support. Among the many questions
that remain to be answered are those concerning the political
viability of a hastily cobbled-together Bosnian state whose planned
structure does not clearly address the fundamental political aims
and concerns of the previously warring parties. A peace accord does
not necessarily make the peace, and it must be remembered that some
Nobel Prize-winning accords, such as the 1974 Vietnam peace
settlement, have collapsed in ignominy because they did not address
the basic issues at hand.
In addition, the military strategy of the peace implementation
plan must undergo a rigorous examination to determine whether the
objectives and modus operandi of the Implementation Force represent
a sound and coherent plan for NATO. There is an inherent
contradiction between the President's stated desire to keep the
mission "clear, limited, and achievable" and the sweeping authority
given to the NATO force in areas such as disarmament, refugee
resettlement, and nation-building. In addition, contingency plans
to address all manner of resistance must be addressed
categorically. Calculations about costs, benefits, and the
probability of success must be applied to all possible
circumstances and discussed fully.
The Bosnian peace plan is a tremendously risky enterprise. All
of the factors involved in its implementation must be fully
understood and debated before American lives and prestige are put
on the line in Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Endnotes:
- The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer, Public Broadcasting Corp.,
November 21, 1995.
- Svenska Dagbladet, October 30, 1995.
- In testimony before the Senate Armed Service Committee on
November 28, 1995, former National Security Advisor Brent
Scowcroft, former Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger, and
former Under-Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz expressed
considerable skepticism about the continued viability of Bosnia as
an independent political entity.
- Paul Glastris and Tim Zimmermann, "The Biggest Winner in the
Balkans," U.S. News and World Report, November 13, 1995, p.
61.
- Quoted in Elaine Sciolino, "Accord Reached to End the War in
Bosnia," The New York Times, November 22, 1995, p. A10.
- John Pomfret, "U.S.-Led NATO Force Faces Risky Mission," The
Washington Post, November 29, 1995, pp. A1, A10, and Associated
Press, "US Says American UN Official Slain Near Tuzla,"
Associated Press Dispatch, November 21, 1995.
- Testimony of Dr. Andrew Krepinevich, Director of the Defense
Budget Project, before the Committee on National Security, U.S.
House of Representatives, November 8, 1995.
- Jeffrey Smith and Dana Priest, "Troops Given Wide Range of
Authority," The Washington Post, November 23, 1995, p.
A34.
- James Webb, "Remember the Nixon Doctrine," The New York
Times, November 28, 1995, p. A23.
- See the alarming observations of General Lewis MacKenzie and
Colonel Bob Stewart on "60 Minutes," November 19, 1995.
- John Pomfret, "Bosnian Leaders Approve Bosnian Peace Accord,"
The Washington Post, November 22, 1995, p. A21.
- Author's conversation with General John Sanderson, Australian
Army and U.N. Commander, U.N. Transitional Authority in Cambodia,
Stockholm, Sweden, April 10, 1995.