Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Secretary Andrew Cuomo is
asking Congress to expand the agency's meddling in the private
mortgage market by increasing the Federal Housing Administration's
insurance coverage to $227,150 on mortgages throughout the country.
The new proposed maximum is more than twice the average FHA loan
made today under loan limits that range from $86,300 for low-cost
areas to $170,362 in high-cost communities. Cuomo's proposed
increase would expand the role of the taxpayer-funded FHA from
helping modest-income, first-time home buyers to underwriting
insurance for riskier mortgages in upper-income neighborhoods.
Congress should reject the Secretary's request and encourage him to
focus his attention on the swift resolution of the many serious
management problems that diminish HUD's ability to help those in
greater need.
FHA's current limits are sufficient to finance, at low down
payments, half the existing houses sold in America. They also
accommodate the needs of first-time buyers and repeat buyers of
moderate incomes. Although HUD claims that private insurers are
interested only in "cherry picking" less risky mortgages, private
mortgage insurance offers FHA serious competition for the home
buyer's business even at the low end of the market. According to
data from the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, the private insurance
industry insured 40 percent of the low down payment mortgages under
$85,000, the current average size of FHA loans. FHA covered 49
percent of such loans while the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA)
and others covered the rest. Significantly, 73 percent of all
mortgages made for $85,000 or less were provided by the private
sector because the borrower made a down payment large enough to
obviate the need for any mortgage insurance.
By raising the current caps to Cuomo's proposed limits, FHA
would expand into a market of well-to-do buyers who do not need
government assistance. If FHA were allowed to operate up to Cuomo's
$227,150 cap, it would be assisting households with incomes above
$80,000, the minimum needed for a loan this large. Only 14 percent
of U.S. households have an income this high, and 87 percent of
those that do already own a house.
As troubling as this misplaced generosity seems, HUD's expansion
into higher cost houses also exposes FHA to losses greater than
those already charged against its reserves. Under current law, a
family buying a $100,000 house could get FHA to insure the loan for
$99,592, or nearly 99.6 percent of the collateral, because FHA
allows buyers to finance the settlement costs and the up-front FHA
insurance premium. These extras eat into the 4.6 percent down
payment that FHA would require on a $100,000 house. With FHA
insuring a loan that is nearly equal to the value of the
collateral, there is no equity cushion to protect the insurer, and
the first dollar lost is a loss passed onto FHA.
Such losses are more likely to occur in periods of price decline
or stability like the present. Because selling and settlement costs
equal about 10 percent of a property's value, a home bought with
100 percent financing must rise more than 10 percent in value for
the net sales proceeds to cover the outstanding mortgage. During
periods of low inflation, when home prices are flat, subsequent
sales of homes carrying FHA mortgages could yield a loss to the
seller, who might chose simply to walk away from the house and
leave the problem to FHA.
Problems caused by inadequate equity are exacerbated by higher
loan limits because larger loans go into default more frequently
than smaller ones. Data from the Mortgage Insurance Companies of
America show that default rates for low down payment loans of more
than $200,000 are three times higher than those for loans in the
$50,000 to $74,000 range. Because the FHA, even when confined to
loans of more modest amounts, experiences delinquency rates much
higher than conventional loans-8.13 percent compared to 2.78
percent-the combination is a recipe for disaster.
Such a disaster would worsen the rising losses now occurring in
FHA. According to budget data provided by HUD to Congress, FHA's
1997 property acquisitions through foreclosure were up 117 percent,
or $2.3 billion, from initial projections. FHA anticipates that
higher foreclosures will continue, and 1998 acquisition estimates
have been revised from the initial $1.9 billion to almost $4
billion. FHA expects this trend to continue through 1999. With
FHA's out-of-pocket losses typically running at a rate equal to
about 30 percent of the value of the loan on the foreclosed
property, the unanticipated property acquisitions in 1997 and 1998
could lead to additional losses of a staggering $1.26 billion
against FHA's reserves.
Given the potential risks FHA would assume for no other purpose
than to extend its reach to upper-income buyers, it is hard to
imagine why HUD would propose such a change. One explanation could
be the financial windfall that would accrue to companies that
benefit from an increase in FHA activity. Under current practice,
most mortgages, once made, are later sold to investors in the
secondary market at a price to yield an interest rate 50 basis
points (half a percentage point) less than the interest rate paid
by the borrower. For private insured mortgages sold to secondary
investors, this 50 basis point difference is split evenly between
the mortgage originator and the investor, with the 25 basis points
received by the originator as compensation for the cost of
servicing the mortgage
(collecting monthly payments and managing escrow accounts).
But for FHA mortgages, which are packaged into federally
guaranteed pass-through securities and sold to secondary investors,
federal law mandates that the originator receive 44 of the 50 basis
points as compensation for servicing the loan-an amount nearly
twice what would be received for servicing a privately insured
mortgage. Thus, for every additional $1 million in mortgages that
an originator can shift from private to FHA insurance, the
originator's annual revenues will rise by an additional $2,100.
Because no additional servicing costs would be incurred by the
shift to FHA mortgages, the additional revenues would be pure
profit.
Congress should reject Secretary Cuomo's scheme to extend
corporate welfare to a privileged few financiers at the expense of
private mortgage insurers and the FHA's own dwindling reserves.
Dr.
Ronald D. Utt is a Visiting Fellow in Economic Policy
Studies at The Heritage Foundation.