Vowing to bring the terrorist bombers to justice,
Clinton Administration officials harshly condemned last week's
attacks on U.S. embassies in Nairobi, Kenya, and Dar es Salaam,
Tanzania. The nearly simultaneous nature of these powerful attacks
strongly suggests the involvement of a sophisticated terrorist
group, perhaps backed by one or more state sponsors. Once the
perpetrators have been identified, the Administration should match
its tough rhetoric with meaningful action. If there is no effective
retaliation, these bombings will claim yet another casualty: the
credibility of U.S. counterterrorism policy. This, in turn, will
engender still more terrorist attacks against U.S. citizens and
property abroad.
The
Administration's Track Record
Despite its denunciations of international
terrorism, the Clinton Administration's track record of meaningful
action is poor. President Bill Clinton also issued strong words
after the June 1996 terrorist attack on Khobar Towers near Dhahran,
Saudi Arabia, that killed 19 U.S. airmen and wounded 500 more. Yet,
more than two years later, the investigation into this deadly
assault has ground to a standstill as cooperation between U.S. and
Saudi officials has broken down.
The
United States also has fallen into the trap of seeking legal
redress in situations in which state sponsors of international
terrorism consistently operate outside the rule of law. A decade
after Libyan terrorists blew up the Pan Am flight 103 over
Lockerbie, Scotland, legal wrangling continues over where to try
the suspects. The tortured attempts of the United States to
negotiate Libya's surrender of the suspects (who are Libyan
nationals) have served the interests of neither justice nor
deterrence. The United States should avoid becoming entangled in a
similar morass if any state refuses to turn over terrorists wanted
in connection with the Africa bombings. Instead, the United States
should take whatever overt and covert measures are necessary to
punish both the suspects and any state sponsor of international
terrorism.
Setting the
Standard for Retaliation
The
United States should not seek retribution without evidence of
culpability, of course. But neither should it burden itself with
establishing guilt for international terrorist attacks "beyond a
reasonable doubt." This standard, although desirable in domestic
criminal cases, seldom is attainable in the international arena. On
rare occasions, incontrovertible evidence of culpability may be
available, as when radio intercepts tied the 1986 Berlin disco
bombing to Libya. In most cases, however, terrorists will take
pains to cover their tracks, even if they voice support for the
attacks. Thus, the standard of establishing guilt "beyond a
reasonable doubt" is unrealistic for a counterterrorism policy
designed to punish and deter international terrorists. Too often,
this standard has become a convenient excuse for inaction. Instead
of seeking the evidentiary certitude required in domestic
courtrooms, the Clinton Administration should be satisfied if the
evidence reasonably implicates those suspected of international
terrorism. Once this standard has been met, the United States
should act swiftly and decisively to punish those responsible.
The Need for
Robust Reprisal
Pinprick retaliatory strikes will not
suffice if the evidence points to state sponsorship of the recent
terrorist attacks in Africa. The Clinton Administration has made
this mistake before with respect to Iraqi terrorism. After the
abortive attempt to assassinate former President George Bush in
Kuwait in April 1993, the Administration equivocated before lobbing
24 cruise missiles at the headquarters of Iraq's intelligence
agency in Baghdad. Launched in the dead of night when the
responsible officials were well away from the targeted building,
this reprisal failed to punish Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein, let
alone the officials directly involved in planning the
assassination.
Will Retaliation
Prompt More Violence?
Whenever the issue of military retaliation
arises, as it surely will during the coming weeks because of the
Africa bombings, skeptics invariably argue that such action serves
only to escalate the cycle of violence. The "cycle-of-violence"
argument is a convenient excuse for policy paralysis. Contrary to
popular mythology, few terrorists are driven by suicidal
motivations; most respond to incentives, especially when they
believe their lives are endangered. Effective counteraction, such
as President Ronald Reagan's strike against Libya in April 1986,
can help to deter terrorist aggression. An ineffective policy,
however, encourages terrorist groups to make even more egregious
attacks against U.S. targets.
Bridging the
Gap
After several terrorist attacks in the
1980s, the United States initiated a number of defensive measures
to harden U.S. embassies. These measures, along with the
intelligence community's ability to anticipate terrorist attacks,
should be reviewed carefully in the aftermath of the recent Africa
bombings. It is not enough to rely on defensive measures alone,
however. U.S. counterterrorist policy should aim to put
terrorists--and the states that sponsor them--on the defensive.
Wherever possible, the United States should move to disrupt
terrorist networks before they attack U.S. interests.
But
if terrorists succeed in hitting U.S. targets, as happened with the
embassy attacks in Africa, the United States should punish the
perpetrators. Ideally, the United States will enlist international
support, perhaps even coordinated action, before taking military
retaliation against terrorists. Nevertheless, the United States
should not hesitate to act alone if such support does not appear
forthcoming. To maximize the deterrent impact of a retaliatory
strike, prompt unilateral action is preferable to a tardy
multilateral one.
Last
week's Africa bombings were not the first attacks on U.S.
embassies, and they are not likely to be the last. The United
States must redouble its efforts to limit the scourge of
international terrorism by raising the costs of terrorist activity.
It is not enough to condemn terrorist acts with words, for the gap
between U.S. rhetoric and effective retaliation merely invites
derision. Nor should policymakers shackle themselves by seeking to
apply exacting domestic legal standards in cases in which U.S.
national security clearly is threatened by international
terrorists. Once the perpetrators of the African terrorist bombings
have been identified, the United States must move with dispatch to
punish those responsible.
-- James H. Anderson,
Ph.D. ,is the former Defense and National Security
Analyst in The Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis International
Studies Center at The Heritage Foundation.