Netanyahu and Arafat made limited progress
in negotiations held on the Gaza-Israel border last week when they
agreed in principle to an American proposal for an Israeli troop
withdrawal from a further 13 percent of the West Bank, in addition
to the 27 percent of that disputed territory that Arafat's
Palestinian Authority already controls. But much remains to be done
on security arrangements, the question of further troop
withdrawals, the opening of the Gaza airport, arrangements for
Palestinian safe passage between Gaza and the West Bank, the
extradition of Palestinian terrorists to Israel, and the release of
Palestinian prisoners by Israel.
The
Wye Plantation summit has been compared to the 1978 U.S.-sponsored
Camp David summit that advanced Israeli-Egyptian peace
negotiations, but there are important differences between the two
meetings. Egyptian leader Anwar Sadat's electrifying trip to
Jerusalem in November 1977 already had earned him the confidence of
many Israelis. Arafat has fueled Israeli mistrust by violating his
Oslo security commitments, using inflammatory rhetoric to incite
violence, and using terrorism and civil violence as a negotiating
tactic. Recently, Arafat threatened to declare the independence of
a Palestinian state if Israel fails to agree to his negotiating
demands by May 4, 1999--the target date for reaching a final
settlement under the Oslo agreements. He also has refused to amend
the Palestinian Covenant, the charter of the Palestine Liberation
Organization, to eliminate calls for Israel's destruction, despite
having agreed to do so in the 1993 Oslo agreement, the 1995 Oslo II
agreement, and the 1997 Hebron protocol.
The
Wye Plantation summit also will be different on the Israeli side.
At Camp David, Prime Minister Menachem Begin was accompanied by
Foreign Minister Moshe Dayan and Defense Minister Ezer Weizman, who
served as moderating influences on the Israeli negotiating
position. Netanyahu will be accompanied by newly appointed Foreign
Minister Ariel Sharon, one of the most hawkish members of his
cabinet. Sharon's endorsement would make it easier for the Prime
Minister to pursue negotiations without risking defections from his
coalition that could topple his government. Moreover, Sharon has a
pragmatic streak. As Defense Minister in 1982, he evicted Israeli
settlers from the Sinai settlement of Yamit in compliance with the
1979 Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty.
The
U.S. Role. The chief obstacle to a stable Israeli-Palestinian peace
is Palestinian terrorism, not Israel's understandable reluctance to
surrender more territory that could be used to launch terrorist
attacks. More Israelis have been killed in the five years since the
Oslo agreement was signed on the White House lawn than in the
entire decade before the agreement. The Oslo process promised "land
for peace" but has degenerated into "land for promises" which too
often go unfulfilled. Arafat's failure to halt persistent terrorism
led Israelis to elect Netanyahu as Prime Minister in 1996 based on
his platform of "peace with security." In light of Arafat's poor
record of complying with his Oslo commitments, it would be a
mistake for Netanyahu to accept anything less than ironclad
security arrangements.
At
the Wye Plantation negotiations, the Clinton Administration
should:
- Insist that Arafat comply fully with his Oslo commitments.
Washington should stress that Israel has no reason to negotiate
future agreements if Arafat continues to violate past agreements.
The U.S. should demand that Arafat clamp down on radical
Palestinian groups opposed to the peace negotiations; end his
"revolving door" policy of arresting terrorists under American
pressure only to release them quietly a short time later; extradite
known terrorists to Israel; purge the PLO's National Covenant of
calls for Israel's destruction; and halt his inflammatory rhetoric,
including calls for a holy war to liberate Jerusalem and praise of
suicide bombers as "martyrs."
- Minimize U.S. diplomatic intervention to allow the two sides to
negotiate directly with each other as much as possible. Overly
eager American meddling will lead both sides to negotiate primarily
with Washington rather than each other and diminish the long-term
prospects for peace.
- Warn Arafat against unilaterally declaring a Palestinian state.
Hillary Clinton's May 6 statement that Palestinian statehood would
be in the "long term interests of the Middle East" has reduced the
perceived costs of such a declaration. President Clinton should
publicly voice his unequivocal opposition to a unilateral
declaration of statehood as a violation of the Oslo accords and
warn Arafat that the U.S. would press other countries not to
recognize Arafat's unacceptable claim.
The
Oslo process has become mired in the details of an interim
agreement before coming to grips with the more contentious final
status issues concerning Palestinian statehood, demarcation of
borders, permanent security arrangements, the fate of Palestinian
refugees, the status of Israeli settlements, the future of
Jerusalem, and the disposition of scarce water resources. It is
unrealistic to expect these disputes to be resolved by May 4, 1999,
regardless of what happens at this week's summit. The U.S.
therefore should work with Israelis and Palestinians to extend the
negotiating timetable.
Ultimately, however, a final settlement of
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict can be reached only if the
Palestinian Authority complies fully with its past agreements. The
Clinton Administration must use the Wye Plantation summit to drive
home this point to Yasser Arafat.