The
starting point for genuine reform of the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization (NATO) must lie in acknowledging the inextricable link
between burden sharing and power sharing. The European pillar must
increase its financial and military contribution to NATO while
being given more decision-making power within the alliance. The
United States must consent to this enhanced European role,
recognizing that the benefit of an increased European commitment to
NATO means a decrease in the U.S. defense burden.
NATO
reform is desperately needed precisely because burden sharing and
power sharing are out of balance. Kosovo highlighted that the
twin-pillar conception of a roughly equal alliance has no bearing
on military realities in Europe, raising the question of the
alliance's long-term relevance.
Almost all of NATO's problems in Kosovo
stem from the two over-arching dilemmas of burden sharing and power
sharing. Both have been present since NATO's founding in 1949, but
the Soviet threat demanded that NATO de-emphasize these questions.
The United States has always contributed more than its fair share
to the alliance. During the Cold War, this was deemed a reasonable,
if not a necessary, price to pay to preserve Western Europe from
Soviet domination. With the Cold War's end, however, American
geopolitical calculations have changed, while European defense
habits have not.
Kosovo illuminated this disparity: U.S.
intelligence assets identified almost all the bombing targets in
Serbia and Kosovo, U.S. aircraft flew two-thirds of the missions,
and nearly every precision-guided missile used was launched from an
American aircraft. The European contribution, overall, lacked
computerized precision weapons and guidance systems, night-vision
capabilities, and advanced communications equipment. The American
general who oversaw the air operation curtailed European aircraft
sorties to avoid unnecessary risk. By almost any measure, European
military hardware is inferior to that available to the U.S. armed
forces. Kosovo illustrated that the military gap is widening.
What
is necessary is a proactive plan that acknowledges the unbreakable
link between burden sharing and power sharing. Rather than engaging
in more useless finger pointing, both the United States and Europe
must focus on preserving NATO for the 21st century. The emerging
"Grand Bargain" includes two principal elements.
The Europeans should modernize their
armed forces.
Creating the trade-off between burden sharing and power sharing
starts with the modernization of the various European state
contributions to NATO. European members should seek to reduce the
technological gap between U.S. forces and their own. A defense
spending benchmark of 3 percent of gross domestic product (GDP)
should allow for the modernization and professionalization of the
European militaries.
The
Grand Bargain, however, is not simply that "Europe" reach the
threshold. Each NATO member must be capable of fully contributing
to the alliance's mission. Each European state will be given credit
proportional to the defense expenditures it makes. For example, if
France contributes 30 percent of the funding to produce a new
Eurofighter worth $1 billion a plane, it receives credit for $300
million. The advantage of setting a specific target is that it is
both equitable and measurable. In return for such an effort, the
Europeans must be given greater representation in the overall NATO
command structure.
The United States must restructure NATO
commands to provide a greater European say in
decision-making.
The notion of a Grand Bargain also rests on the premise that those
who contribute more to the alliance receive more authority within
it. As the United States will no longer be forced to bear a
disproportionate burden, it must cede more operational control to
the Europeans--something it has been reluctant to do. In response
to European modernization and professionalization, the Grand
Bargain will allow for the eventual transfer of the Southern
Command at Naples to a European general officer. European
commanders will then head the NATO Rapid Reaction Force; the NATO
Northern and Southern Regional Commands at Brunssum and Naples,
respectively; and one of the NAVSOUTH commands at Naples.
There is no doubt that altering the NATO
command structure is a major American concession and that an
increased European commitment represents a significant step for
America's European allies. Yet the benefits of such a bargain are
enormous: The Grand Bargain will allow the United States to meet
its global responsibilities without sacrificing its European
commitments; will free limited American resources for other global
contingencies, many of which affect Europe as well; and will reduce
the need for the United States to supply the major share of NATO's
military wherewithal (which generates arguments about Europe's
"free ride") while removing the resentment in European capitals
generated by Uncle Sam's total domination of the alliance. It also
reflects changing political feelings in Europe, especially in Great
Britain and France.
Conclusion.
The Grand Bargain, in short, is in America's interest and
Europe's. One of the truisms of the Cold War era was that Western
Europe was too vital an American interest (and in too perilous a
position) for the U.S. to pressure the allies into making a more
significant military and financial contribution to NATO. While this
may well have been good policy at the time, the changed
international environment is forcing a reassessment. For the
Europeans, the Grand Bargain is a pragmatic step: If Europe should
want to go it alone and seek to manage defense-related threats
without U.S. involvement, it would have to double, if not treble,
its current defense spending. The Grand Bargain, by comparison, is
a modest proposal.
More
significantly, such a bargain acknowledges that the NATO alliance
has served all its members well for 50 years. Such an entity is
worth modernizing and preserving for the challenges of the future.
The proposed Grand Bargain matches rhetoric on both sides of the
Atlantic with policy goals. The result will be a strengthened NATO
for the 21st century.
John C. Hulsman,
Ph.D., is Senior European Policy Analyst in the Kathryn and
Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies at The
Heritage Foundation.