For the past two decades, Latin America has been
living a renaissance. Most economies are stabilized, living
standards are higher, direct foreign investment has surged,
democracy (despite a recent coup in Ecuador) has become
institutionalized, and most countries have demonstrated a desire to
integrate themselves into the new global economy by opening their
economies to international trade and investment. Because of the
Clinton Administration's failure to exercise leadership, however,
the United States is not reaping the benefits of the Western
Hemisphere's remarkable economic success.
The
Heritage Foundation/Wall Street Journal 2000 Index of Economic Freedom
chronicles Latin America's improvement in economic freedom and
economic growth. According to the Index, Latin America made
the greatest overall progress toward economic freedom of any region
of the world. Fully one-half of its countries had freer economies
in 1999 than in 1998, one-third maintained the same level of
economic freedom, and only three declined. This improvement was due
primarily to three factors: lower inflation, less government
intervention, and fewer trade barriers.
The
continuation of these gains depends on free trade. The U.S. has
long been the strongest promoter of market liberalization and
lowering tariff barriers, and consumers have benefited because of
this leadership. But the failure of the Clinton Administration to
maintain economic leadership has removed the U.S. from influencing
the creation of a Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA), which
seeks to open markets from Argentina to Alaska.
To
restore U.S. economic leadership, Congress should (1) lower tariffs
and non-tariff barriers for Caribbean Basin countries to levels
comparable to those of NAFTA members, and (2) renew the President's
fast-track authority to facilitate NAFTA's expansion to other
countries in Latin America.
Economic Growth in Latin America.
Latin America's progress in achieving economic freedom--and
reducing government involvement in the marketplace--is reflected in
its overall economic growth.
-
Lower inflation.
Almost all countries in Latin America have struggled for decades
to keep inflation down. At the end of the 1980s, some went through
long periods of hyperinflation, with annual rates over 3,000
percent (as happened in Argentina). Today, however, the majority of
these countries have succeeded in bringing inflation down to one-
and two-digit levels. They have done this in various ways. Some
adopted a currency board, others opted to convert their currency to
the U.S. dollar, and others simply adopted a sound monetary policy.
The 2000 Index of Economic Freedom reports that more than
one-third of all Latin American countries received better scores in
monetary policy, reflecting the region's success at keeping
inflation low. Perhaps more important than the monetary policy each
country chose is the fact that these governments seem to understand
how important low inflation is to economic growth.
-
Less government intervention.
Historically, Latin America's governments intervened heavily
in their economies. They owned many assets, ran high fiscal
deficits, and produced a large share of total output. However, the
1990s witnessed an aggressive trend toward privatization, during
which government expenditures were cut. The reduction in the size
of the public sector improved fiscal balances, increased
productivity, reduced corruption, and attracted foreign investment.
Today, over two-thirds of Latin America has a flourishing private
sector. In 1999, Belize, Bolivia, Paraguay, and Trinidad and Tobago
reduced the size of their respective governments even further.
- Lower trade barriers.
Foreign trade is the cornerstone of Latin America's growth.
Several regional free trade agreements signed over the past
decade--such as Mercosur, the Central American Common Market, the
Andean Community, and the Caribbean Common Market--demonstrate the
region's understanding of the benefits of free trade. Countries
like Chile have gone even further in their trade liberalization
efforts, signing bilateral agreements with Mexico and Canada after
being unable to sign an agreement with the entire NAFTA bloc.
Latin America's trade liberalization has
facilitated the flow of goods and services throughout the region
and opened opportunities for foreign products, services, and
advanced technology. However, the region still remains highly
protectionist in dealing with the rest of the world. Outside the
free trade agreements, the average tariff rate for non-member
countries like the U.S. is 14 percent to 17 percent. It is in the
interest both of the United States and of the citizens of these
countries to secure more open markets.
Needed: U.S. Leadership.
President Clinton is right to suggest that the centerpiece of U.S.
policy toward Latin America should be expanding trade. Advancing
free trade in this region is key to maintaining the U.S. leadership
role in the Western Hemisphere. The best way to accomplish this
would be to open U.S. markets further to exports from the Caribbean
Basin and grant the President fast-track negotiating authority.
Since 1994, however, the Clinton
Administration has shown scant commitment to free trade and has
done little to secure fast-track authority. Rhetorical support for
free trade is not enough. The Administration should take steps to
reverse this policy and promote U.S. trade in this prosperous
region by making sure that Congress puts fast track at the top of
its agenda in 2000.
Ana I.
Eiras is a Research Assistant in, and Gerald P.
O'Driscoll, Jr., Ph.D. is Director of, the Center for
International Trade and Economics at The Heritage Foundation.