Leadership by the United States is indispensable if
the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is to be revitalized
to meet the challenges of the new century. One of the major truisms
of the Cold War era was that Western Europe was an American
interest too vital (and in a position too perilous) for the United
States to make its allies carry more of NATO's defense burden. This
may well have been good policy at the time, but the disparity in
burden sharing today, so well illustrated by the Kosovo
intervention, is undermining the alliance.
Today, Americans resent being asked to
shoulder more than their fair share of Europe's military burden,
while Europeans resent being dictated to by the United States.
Burden sharing and power sharing, always overarching issues for the
alliance, are becoming treacherous. How the alliance addresses
these issues could very well determine its prospects for survival.
It is time to adopt a Grand Bargain that offers Europeans more
decision-making power in exchange for carrying more of the defense
burden.
NATO's Security Burden.
Burden-sharing problems became more evident during the Kosovo
crisis. European military hardware is significantly inferior to
that of the United States in strategic transport and logistics,
intelligence, and high-tech weaponry. Problems with compatibility
are growing worse as U.S. technology advances. The difference
between the U.S. and the European capability to transport an army
at will, perhaps the key component for fighting a war in the
post-Cold War era, is drastic. The United States is the only NATO
country in a position to deploy large numbers of forces well beyond
its national borders and sustain them for an extended time.
Europeans depend heavily on the United States for force projection,
even in places as close as the Balkans.
A
major reason for these deficiencies is that European allies do not
devote enough of their resources to defense-related research and
development. In Kosovo, U.S. intelligence assets identified almost
all of the bombing targets, and U.S. aircraft flew two-thirds of
the strike missions and launched nearly every precision-guided
missile. European forces lacked computerized weapons, night-vision
equipment, and advanced communications resources, making it risky
to use European aircraft in the campaign.
Kosovo illustrates that this gap is
widening. If left unchecked, this trend will have devastating
consequences. If the United States maintains the only genuine army
within NATO and is forced to play a major role even in peacekeeping
operations, the differences in burden will lead to massively
different policy outlooks. It is difficult to see how NATO can
survive without a more unified outlook.
Solving the Problem.
The starting place for genuine reform lies in acknowledging
the inextricable link between burden sharing and power sharing.
This means that the European pillar must increase its financial and
military contributions to the alliance while claiming a greater
amount of decision-making power within NATO. Likewise, while the
United States would benefit from being able to decrease its
transatlantic defense burden, it must consent to giving the
Europeans a greater role in determining how the alliance is run.
This fundamental trade-off must underlie all the specific planks of
any successful NATO reform proposal.
There is little doubt that altering NATO's
command structure will be a major political concession by the
United States. Yet such a bold reform is unquestionably in U.S.
strategic interests as the world enters a new century with threats
far different than the one posed by the former Soviet Union. The
new Grand Bargain for NATO would allow the United States to meet
its global responsibilities without sacrificing its European
interests or commitments. Moreover, it would:
-
Free up limited U.S. resources for
other global contingencies, giving America the freedom and
flexibility to focus on other global interests without diminishing
NATO's capabilities.
-
Reduce the need to supply the
lion's share of NATO's military wherewithal
- Create a more cooperative political
environment within the alliance.
At a
minimum, giving more power to the European allies would mean
raising their defense spending levels--a good target is 3 percent
of their gross domestic product each year, placing an emphasis on
expenditures that will decrease the technological gap--and
committing to professionalizing their armies.
As
recently as April 1999, the NATO member states vowed "to improve
our defense capabilities to fulfill the full range of the
Alliance's Twenty-first Century missions." The Europeans must
concentrate on buying unglamorous but essential items that will
correct their deficiencies in lift, logistics, and command,
control, communications, computers, and intelligence
(C4I) capabilities.
In
exchange for considerable European efforts to roughly match the
United States militarily within the scope of the alliance, the
United States should agree to give the Europeans a greater say in
how the alliance is run. For example, the Southern Command in
Naples as well as a number of theater commands could be given to
the Europeans.
The
timing of the implementation of the Grand Bargain should establish
a momentum for real change. Each step must build politically on the
successful completion of another, moving from rhetorical and
symbolic aspects to tangible deliverables. Reciprocity--the central
concept behind the whole enterprise--should be the final outcome.
The Grand Bargain will be complete when the
alliance is roughly equal in terms of military capabilities, power
sharing, and overall financial inputs with regard to the two
pillars.
Conclusion. The NATO alliance has served
the world well for the better part of 50 years as a bulwark of
freedom against foes in an uncertain and often hostile world.
Certainly, such an organization is worth modernizing, revitalizing,
and preserving to meet the challenges of the future.
John C. Hulsman,
Ph.D., is Senior Policy Analyst in European Affairs in the
Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies
at The Heritage Foundation.