After seven years of delay, the Russian
Duma has conditionally approved the 1993 Strategic Arms Reduction
Treaty II (START II) with the United States. It is a long-awaited
step in the process of reducing the number of deployed strategic
nuclear warheads in the Russian and American arsenals, bringing the
quantity to no more than 3,500 each.
The
U.S. Senate approved the original START II agreement in 1996 to
reduce the threat of ballistic missile attack against America. But
the Duma--and regrettably the Clinton Administration--would have
Americans believe that this reduction will not proceed unless the
Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty is revived and its restraints
imposed on any U.S. missile defense system. In other words, they
want the Senate to choose between START II and national
missile defense (NMD). This is a false choice: Both START II and a
deployed NMD system will reduce the threat and increase national
security. Reducing the number of missiles alone means little if
Americans remain vulnerable to even one.
The
Duma's conditions on the implementation of START II are
unacceptable. For example, it is demanding that the United States
observe the terms of the defunct 1972 ABM Treaty with the former
Soviet Union, which will keep America vulnerable to missile attack.
And it is demanding that the United States ratify a series of
agreements the Clinton Administration signed in 1997 that will
revive the ABM Treaty and broaden its application. (The Duma
already has voted to ratify these agreements.)
The
Senate should ignore such demands to link START II to the ABM
Treaty. Defending Americans against missile attack--a foremost
concern of Congress embodied in the National Missile Defense Act of
1999--includes reducing the threat of attack, which is START II's
goal. The Senate should consider the 1997 START II protocol on its
own merits. Above all, the Senate should not allow a missile
defense system for America to be held hostage to false choices
about arms control.
The Duma Conditions Do Not Alter START
II.
The Duma's conditions merely establish the terms under Russian
law or policy by which Russia will ratify START II or withdraw from
it. They are not modifications to the treaty that require the U.S.
Senate's approval. The demand that the United States observe the
ABM Treaty restrictions, for example, is in the form of a
non-binding resolution. In fact, only one modification has been
made to the START II agreement that requires Senate approval--a
protocol signed in 1997 extending the implementation period from
January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2007. Approving this modification
does not require the United States to accept any other
conditions.
U.S. Interests Should Be the
Priority.
START II will reduce--if not eliminate--Russia's current advantage
over the United States in the number of deployed warheads on
intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). Since reducing the
missiles will also reduce the threat to America, approval of the
1997 START II modification is in America's best interest. Caving in
to the Duma's conditions, especially if they leave Americans and
U.S. territory vulnerable to ballistic missile attack, is not.
Nevertheless, some observers believe the
Administration, which has restricted missile defense progress by
unilaterally adhering to the restrictions of the old ABM Treaty,
will attempt to force the Senate to accept the Duma's conditions.
It may try to intimidate the Senate by arguing that refusing to
meet the conditions is tantamount to opposing START II and
jeopardizing a new round of arms control negotiations on START III.
It may try to force the Senate to agree to the new ABM-related
agreements it signed with Russia in 1997 by submitting them with
the START II modification protocol as a package. Or it may try to
entice the Senate to approve the Duma's conditions by signing an
agreement with Russia that allows the United States to deploy a
limited national missile defense system in Alaska.
However, these attempts would be hollow
political ploys. The ABM Treaty between the United States and the
Soviet Union is no longer valid; and Russia is not now and never
has been a party to it. The United States is free today to deploy
the most effective missile defense that technology allows.
The
Senate demonstrated its resolve to pursue a full, effective, and
broad NMD system in a letter to the President on April 17, 2000. In
it, Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-MS) and 24 other Senators
stressed that there are
compelling incentives to deploy such
defenses based on the growing missile threat from rogue nations.
Therefore, we oppose in the strongest terms the effort to conclude
an agreement that would purchase Russian consent to the U.S. NMD
system in exchange for U.S. reaffirmation of a new, very limiting,
legally binding accord.
Moreover, they advised the White House
that a single site in Alaska "cannot effectively protect the United
States." So certainly in the future, more would need to be done to
make the system effective and to provide for a national defense.
But as the letter explains, this "phased approach" would "establish
a permanent cycle of confrontation with Russia."
The
Senate should consider the START II protocol as a separate treaty
apart from the ABM agreements and on its own merits, without regard
to the Duma's conditions. Doing so would demonstrate the Senate's
commitment to defending Americans and reducing the number of
offensive nuclear weapons that threaten them.
Conclusion.
The Senate should not allow the Duma to make perpetual
vulnerability to missile attack the price America pays to secure
its ratification of START II. There is no choice to be made: Both
START II and missile defense are in America's best interest. By
approving the START II protocol, the Senate will again demonstrate
its support for this important treaty. If, after Senate approval,
START II does not enter into force or Russia withdraws from the
agreement because the United States would not accept its
security-compromising conditions, then the Duma will bear the blame
for killing it.
Baker Spring is
a Research Fellow in the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute
for International Studies at The Heritage Foundation.