Zimbabwe's President Robert Mugabe, a member of the
Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, has led his
country to the brink of implosion. His policies flout democracy and
the rule of law and have ruined a once-healthy economy. Washington
should urge Mugabe to resign and withhold U.S. assistance until he
does. It should also support the democratic opposition and plan to
work with the United Nations and other organizations to supervise
elections once Mugabe leaves office to restore democracy and
stability to the troubled country.
Mugabe had been a guerrilla leader whose
efforts helped end the white-minority government of the former
Rhodesia in 1979. Under his leadership since then, the country's
considerable economic potential--including a relatively diversified
economy--has been squandered and its democratic laws openly
disregarded.
Squandered Economic Potential
Compared with the rest of sub-Saharan Africa, Zimbabwe was a
wealthy nation with a history of manufacturing for export, a
thriving tourist industry, and a strong agricultural sector, but
Mugabe has all but destroyed the prosperity Zimbabwe's citizens had
gained. The economic slide, which began in 1995, came to a critical
head this year. Unemployment is now over 50 percent. An acute fuel
shortage and an inflation rate above 60 percent have crippled
domestic industries and transportation. Prices for bread and fruit
have jumped by more than a third since October, according to The Economist.
Zimbabwe's fiscal deficit has increased
from its 1998 level of 8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) to
an estimated 24 percent, largely because of the government's
refusal to trim the bureaucracy and its poor fiscal policies, which
have led to 70 percent interest rates on government debt. Finally,
the government's land redistribution program to aid poor black
Zimbabweans has been riddled with corruption and mismanagement.
Most land purchased or seized by the government for redistribution
has ended up in the hands of high-ranking government officials.
Britain suspended funding for the program in 1992, and the United
States followed suit in 1998.
Disregarding Democracy and the Rule of
Law
Mugabe's greatest political setback came on February 15, 2000,
when a referendum to amend the constitution to extend his rule and
authorize the seizure of farmland from white Zimbabwean farmers
without compensation was defeated by a public vote. Fearful that
this foreshadowed difficulties for his party in the parliamentary
elections eventually set for June 24 and 25, Mugabe urged his
supporters to illegally occupy over 1,000 farms owned primarily by
white Zimbabweans and others who opposed him. His government
encouraged intimidation of and violence against anyone who
supported the main opposition party, the Movement for Democratic
Change (MDC). In the five months leading up to the elections, at
least 31 persons were killed and hundreds beaten.
Not
surprisingly, the June parliamentary elections were neither free
nor fair. According to U.N. election monitors, supporters of
opposition parties were threatened and 10 percent to 25 percent of
the votes were fraudulent. Despite such intimidation and
manipulation, the MDC won 57 of the 120 elected seats in the
parliament (20 additional seats are appointed by the president and
10 by tribal chiefs). Following the election, Mugabe issued an
amnesty for many crimes committed in the months before the
election. Many of those who illegally occupied the farms and
committed assault, arson, and even murder against innocent
civilians during that time are to be made members of the army
reserve.
Considering such policies, it is
understandable that Zimbabweans are rioting. Mugabe has responded
by sending in police and troops to attack the rioters with tear gas
and clubs. The riots could lead to national chaos, which could in
turn affect Zimbabwe's neighbors. The MDC has introduced a motion
to impeach Mugabe out of fear that his continued rule will result
in more violence.
What the U.S. Should Do
The Mugabe government has forfeited good relations with the
United States. The Clinton Administration and Members of Congress
should condemn Mugabe's anti-democratic policies that are crippling
the country. Moreover, Washington should:
-
Suspend assistance to the government of
Zimbabwe. According to the U.S. Department of State, the United
States has invested over $750 million in Zimbabwe since 1980. It
has appropriated $14 million in foreign aid for Zimbabwe in 2000,
and the Administration has requested $16 million for 2001. All
assistance should be frozen until Mugabe relinquishes power. The
World Bank suspended its aid to Zimbabwe on May 15 due to its
delinquency on debt service, and the International Monetary Fund
froze disbursements to Zimbabwe when it learned the government had
misrepresented expenditures in support of troops in the Democratic
Republic of Congo and failed to meet economic targets. The United
States should oppose efforts to resume this aid and debt
forgiveness until Mugabe leaves office.
-
Provide support and technical assistance
to advance democracy. The Clinton Administration should make
support for and technical assistance to the democratic opposition
through groups like the National Democratic Institute and the
International Republican Institute a priority, consistent with U.S.
policy in other countries where democracy has been stifled, such as
Serbia and Nigeria. The United States should not be a selective
champion of democracy.
- Plan to assist in elections following
Mugabe's abdication or removal from office. Zimbabwe has
established opposition parties, as evidenced by the June election
of 57 MDC parliamentarians. To help restore democracy, the United
States should work with the U.N. and non-governmental organizations
to organize and supervise elections soon after Mugabe leaves
office.
Conclusion
The tragedy of Zimbabwe rests squarely on Mugabe's shoulders,
but Washington's failure to speak out and support democracy and the
rule of law in Zimbabwe has contributed to the people's suffering
at the hands of the Mugabe government. It is past time for
Washington to act.
Brett D. Schaefer is
Jay Kingham Fellow in International Regulatory Affairs in the
Center for International Trade and Economics (CITE) at The Heritage
Foundation.