President Bush has set the table for a policy of deploying
an effective missile defense system by setting a clear vision of
how such a system contributes to a more secure world. Still, there
are many questions among supporters and critics.
Q: Since we have no missile defense system, what is our
current policy regarding protecting ourselves from missile
attack?
A: As a nation, it's our policy to remain completely
vulnerable to ballistic missiles.
Maybe this made sense during the Cold War. But the Cold War is
over now and there are all of these other missile threats emerging,
and they've all emerged with the U.S. adhering to the ABM
Treaty.
Q: Will a missile defense system be
100 percent effective?
A: Well, if we hold everything to those standards, we
would never have anything. If I lived in one of the cities that is
protected, I would be quite happy that we had a system in
place.
So, 100 percent reliability is not necessary. What is required
is that we deploy something, and from that point on, we continue to
make it better and better all the time. And then, we can hopefully
deter anyone from ever attacking the United States or its allies to
begin with.
Q: So, you are talking about building
on the technology as we go along?
A: Sure. If we wait until something is 100 percent
workable, that no missile can get through no matter what, we will
never deploy anything, and that will give the incentive for other
nations to continue to proliferate ballistic missiles.
The problem with the whole debate is that people have it
backwards. People are assuming that building a missile defense will
cause proliferation, when the facts are quite the opposite. In the
absence of missile defense, we have seen proliferation take place.
We've seen the United States' and Russian arsenals skyrocket since
1972, when we signed the ABM treaty. And since the end of the Cold
War in 1991, we have seen the proliferation throughout the third
world.
So, this is in the absence of missile defense, while under the
constraints of the ABM treaty.
Q: Will this cause an arms race with
Russia? China?
A: Russia's not an enemy anymore. We don't really have to
worry about the Russian nuclear arsenal in the same way that we did
during the Cold War. So, they have no incentive to invest their
resources in building more missiles to strike the United
States.
The accidental launch scenario is very real. But the question
is, will this cause an arms race with Russia? And it won't.
The Chinese have been building ballistic missiles for a number
of years now, long-range ones. They have two very high-tech
missiles in the works. The DF-31 which will be deployed very soon.
So, they're building their missile arsenals independent of any
missile defense system and they have been since before the missile
defense came back onto the radar screen.
So, I think those are important issues that need to be addressed
when we talk about whether or not this is going to cause an arms
race, because it simply will not. It will stop the ongoing arms
race that's taking place right now.
Q: How long would it take to get this
system?
A: We are closer today than what we were yesterday.
Because President Bush made the political commitment to defend the
United States, our friends and allies overseas and that's the first
step to deploying a real effective missile defense. He finally put
this Cold War treaty - the ABM Treaty, which has defined the Cold
War adversarial relationship for 30 years - behind us.
The Cold War is over, the adversarial relationship is over. And
now we can focus on the business of defending the United States and
its friends and allies around the world. Politics has far too long
stood in the way of defending America. President Bush's political
commitment that he made Tuesday was the first step. So, we're
closer today than we were yesterday. It was a big step.
Q: Who do we feel is the biggest
threat of launching a nuclear attack?
A: It's the existence of these missiles, that's the
threat. These countries would not be investing their scarce
resources and developing an 11,000-kilometer range missile, for
example, if they didn't plan to use it, either to blackmail the
United States or to actually launch a missile against the United
States.
That's exactly what poor countries like North Korea are doing.
Why in the world would North Korea, who can't feed its own people,
invest in this technology? I will tell you why, because the United
States right now is completely vulnerable to even one ballistic
missile. And it gives a country like North Korea the international
standing to throw its weight around. And we can't have an
irresponsible nation like that with that capability.
Q: Why would North Korea, or any other
country, even Iraq for that matter, launch a nuclear missile at the
United States, knowing that we could turn around and obliterate
them?
A: Would we, though? Would we necessarily turn around and
obliterate millions and millions of innocent North Koreans or
innocent Iraqis because of the irrational actions of one crazy
dictator, tyrant? I don't know that we would, and I think that
could be in the calculations of these sorts of leaders.
Let's say, for example, a war were to break out in the Middle
East or on the peninsula or anywhere in the world, and that the
United States, or whatever power, was about to obtain victory, and
the leader who was about to lose and his regime was about to fall,
never used his missile, but at the very the last moment, he
thought, hey, I'm about -- my regime is going to fall anyway, why
not launch this missile against the United States and make them pay
for them taking away my country?
So, there are a number of scenarios where a missile could very
well be launched. And again, I want to come back to - these
countries would not be investing their resources and to developing
this technology if they didn't have some reason to use it.
Q: Will the missile defense system
President Bush has proposed stop terrorist attacks within our
borders?
A: It's unfair to make the comparison between a terrorist
attack and a ballistic missile attack. They are totally different
sorts of attacks. A missile defense shield is not meant to protect
against a terrorist attack.
We spend right now about $12 billion a year to protect ourselves
from terrorism. The bottom line is that we live a free society, and
a motivated terrorist could do harm. But a missile attack is
something completely different. Comparing the two is like comparing
apples and oranges.
A missile defense was never meant and should not be meant to
defend against a terrorist attack. We must devote adequate
resources to meeting both of these threats.
Q: Does this kind of a big investment
make sense? What about concentrating more resources on terrorists,
and improving intelligence operations, for example?
A: I agree that there are other areas of
concern, however we are still living in the United States - and our
troops and friends abroad are vulnerable to ballistic missiles.
Look, $10 billion a year, probably what we need to spend, does seem
like a lot of money. But it's less than 3 percent of our overall
defense budget. It's only a drop in the defense bucket and it's one
that can provide a much-needed capability. Besides, how can you put
a price on an American city?