President
George W. Bush's decision this week to extend normal trade
relations (NTR) with China is good policy. Trade with China has
created conditions under which portions of the Chinese population
enjoy greater economic freedom and concomitantly less dependence on
the state and Communist Party. Despite the recent disputes over
China's treatment of American citizens and the return of the U.S.
reconnaissance plane from Hainan Island, a free trade policy with
China supports broad U.S. interests, particularly in expanding the
economy's agricultural, industrial, financial, and manufacturing
sectors. Moreover, America's Asian friends and allies rely on U.S.
strength and leadership to induce China to abide by international
norms and rules.
While supporting trade with China,
President Bush must develop effective policies, in coordination and
consultation with Congress, to address differences over such
serious matters as security, religious freedom, and human rights.
He must ensure that trade does not strengthen the Chinese military,
which by more assertively demonstrating its power is threatening
peace and stability in the region.
Renewing NTR
Until last year, the United States conducted an annual review
of China before granting it the normal trade status (NTR) enjoyed
by America's trading partners. Because the World Trade Organization
(WTO) prohibits member countries from conducting such a review,
Congress had to pass a law granting China permanent normal trade
relations (PNTR) should it become a WTO member. Last year, after
considerable debate, Congress approved PNTR (P.L. 106-286) by a
vote of 237 to 197 in the House and 83 to 15 in the Senate.
However, Beijing still has not met all the conditions necessary for
WTO accession. It is discussing such contentious issues as domestic
price supports for its agricultural sector with the WTO and the
United States. For this reason, Congress must soon vote again on
whether to approve the President's decision.
As a
first step in the NTR process, President Bush should waive
provisions in the Jackson-Vanik Amendment to the Trade Act of 1974
(P.L. 93-618) that prevent U.S. trade with any communist nation
that restricts emigration. Today, even though few countries are
interested in absorbing a potential 1.3 billion Chinese immigrants,
the Chinese are free to travel internally and around the world.
Thus, a waiver of the Jackson-Vanik Amendment is appropriate.
Moreover, measures that restrict Chinese citizens from traveling to
the United States are counterproductive. As recent history in
Taiwan, Korea, and the Philippines shows, nationals who once were
exiled in the United States or another Western country often
returned home to transform their countries into market-oriented
democracies. Specific measures are needed to address the way China
deliberately harasses emigrants who return home as well as U.S.
citizens and residents who travel there. The recent State
Department travel advisory is a good start.
Lessening State Dependence
The National People's Congress passed legislation last year to
permit a phased end to China's protectionist policies and to comply
with WTO requirements, but strong vested interests in China do not
want to see this happen. Many fear that, because China's farmers
could not compete with foreign agriculture entities in an open
market, large numbers of Chinese in this sector would lose income,
leading to greater rural unrest.
The
cadre making up the national infrastructure of Communist Party
control over state-owned enterprises also oppose accession to the
WTO. They fear they will lose power if foreign joint ventures
select the most qualified and competitive managers to run their
enterprises. In China's public security ministry and powerful
Ministry of State Security, many Communist Party bureaucrats fear
that they will lose their tight control over the populace and not
be able to control the growing middle class whose lives are less
regulated by the central government or the party. Nevertheless,
senior party leaders seem committed to developing a market economy
in China. Free trade will help to lessen individual reliance on the
state.
Assuring Security
While President Bush should waive the provisions of the
Jackson-Vanik Amendment and continue NTR for China, he should also
ensure that American goods and know-how are not strengthening the
People's Liberation Army (PLA), which is modernizing its forces to
confront the U.S. military presence in Asia. This is not a Cold War
containment policy, but good common sense. The President
should:
-
Begin an immediate review of Export
Administration and International Traffic in Arms regulations to
ensure that trade with China does not improve the capabilities of
the PLA; work with Congress to update the Export Administration Act
(P.L. 96-72) and Arms Export Control Act (P.L. 90-629) to reflect
changes in the availability of high-technology goods and
manufacturing since those laws were enacted.
-
Direct the Federal Bureau of
Investigation to identify and make public the identities of Chinese
companies located in the United States that are clandestinely
controlled by the PLA.
-
Put teeth into counterintelligence
programs and Defense Department industrial security programs to
protect emerging technologies and manufacturing processes; expand
defense education programs to limit the success of China's spies,
as well as education programs within American defense
industries.
-
Forge with America's friends and allies
a common approach to managing commercial and foreign relations with
China; exclude from joint defense cooperation and research and
development programs any foreign companies, located in nations
allied with the United States, that transfer technologies or
weapons systems to China that could threaten U.S. forces. Such
companies should be forced to decide whether their long-term
financial interests lie in strengthening the PLA or in cooperating
with the United States.
-
Continue to meet with religious
officials such as the Dalai Lama while the State Department
carefully monitors China's human rights practices.
-
Give better treatment to Taiwan's
representatives and promote deeper contacts between the U.S. and
Taiwan armed forces.
The
Administration must make it clear that it will hold Chinese
officials and American businesses responsible for managing the
risks that trade poses to U.S. interests.
Dr. Larry M.
Wortzel is Director of the Asian Studies Center at The
Heritage Foundation.