Sudan, Africa's largest country, has been
convulsed for 18 years by a brutal civil war that has claimed 2
million lives. Once dubbed "the forgotten war," Sudan's internal
conflict has attracted growing international attention because of
mounting evidence that Sudan's radical Islamic regime has resorted
to systematic bombing of civilians, starvation, slavery, ethnic
cleansing, religious persecution, and other human rights abuses to
break the will of the opposition, composed predominantly of
Christians and animists living in the south.
During his recent trip to Africa,
Secretary of State Colin Powell proposed that the United States
seek an end to Sudan's barbarous civil war. While this goal is
laudable, Powell's call for even-handedness suggests a moral
equivalence that ignores the role played by the Khartoum regime in
repressing its own people and supporting international terrorism
against the United States and many other countries. Moreover, by
shortchanging the Sudanese opposition's need for external military
aid, an even-handed policy focused on achieving a diplomatic
settlement plays into the hands of Sudan's dictator, Omar
al-Bashir. The problem is not just ending the civil war but ending
the Sudanese government's genocidal policies, and it is not likely
that this can be accomplished without a change of regime.
Although the recent purge of ultra-radical
Islamic ideologue Hassan al-Turabi has led the Khartoum
dictatorship to moderate its rhetoric, it remains to be seen
whether the regime is truly interested in a diplomatic settlement
of the war. In fact, Khartoum has flirted with negotiations in the
past, only to abandon them when its military position improved. The
military balance of power now is shifting in favor of the Bashir
regime because of Sudan's growing oil exports, which began in 1999.
Bashir's military budget has doubled in the past two years and
probably will continue to grow in the future as the regime
continues to pursue its priority: suppressing opposition rather
than feeding its own people.
An
exclusively diplomatic U.S. approach to Sudan's festering
humanitarian crisis would allow Bashir's regime to engage in
endless negotiations as a way to buy time to score a military
victory. Instead of approaching the Sudan issue purely as a
humanitarian crisis that calls for evenhandedness, the Bush
Administration should oppose any regime in Khartoum that insists on
imposing strict Islamic law (Sharia) on non-Muslims in the south,
because this will only prolong the fighting.
The
U.S. goal should be not just to stop the civil war, but to help
transform Sudan into a stable and peaceful state that does not use
terrorism and subversion as instruments of foreign policy. To this
end, the Bush Administration should:
- Firmly oppose Islamic radicalism in
Sudan, not Sudanese Muslims;
- Strongly support the Sudanese
opposition;
- Appoint a special envoy to
spearhead and coordinate U.S. policy on Sudan;
- Launch a high-profile campaign of
public diplomacy to publicize the regime's harsh policies and
enlist international support in pressing Khartoum to halt these
abuses;
- Change the way food relief supplies
are distributed inside Sudan to deprive Khartoum of its food
weapon; and
- Strengthen U.S. and multilateral
economic pressures against the Khartoum regime.
SUDAN'S FORGOTTEN WAR
Sudan's civil war--the longest-running
internal conflict in the world today--has taken a horrifying human
toll. The bitter struggle has pitted the Sudanese government,
dominated by Muslim Arabs from the northern part of the country,
against opposition forces comprised predominantly of black
Christians and animists from the southern part of the country. The
war and war-related famines have claimed the lives of more than 2
million people and uprooted about 5 million refugees within Sudan,
the largest concentration of internally displaced people in the
world.
The number of people from southern Sudan that have been killed is
greater than all the victims in Bosnia, Kosovo, and Rwanda
combined.
In
recent years, the government's onslaught has escalated to genocidal
proportions. The Khartoum regime has systematically destroyed and
looted southern villages, farms, churches, animist shrines,
schools, medical clinics, and humanitarian aid projects. The
Sudanese air force has bombed villages, homes, schools, hospitals,
markets, food relief centers, and other clearly marked civilian
installations to terrorize southerners and drive them off their
land. Last year, the regime bombed civilian targets at least 167
times.
One hospital in southern Sudan run by Samaritan's Purse, a
humanitarian organization led by Franklin Graham, the son of the
Rev. Billy Graham, was bombed seven times by government forces in
2000.
The
government's abuses of human rights have been widely documented. Despite the
efforts of the Khartoum regime to intimidate outside observers and
cover up its crimes, a steady stream of reports about government
atrocities, massacres, religious persecution, ethnic cleansing,
abductions of children, chattel slavery, and rapes has come out of
southern Sudan. The United Nations is investigating allegations
that the Sudanese military has used chemical or biological weapons
in bombing raids over two southern towns. The Sudanese government has
become "arguably the worst human rights violator in the world
today."
It has even been denounced as "the Hitler regime of our time." The total
war waged by the radical Islamic regime in Khartoum against the
predominantly Christian and animist black African people of the
south led the U.S. Holocaust Memorial's Committee of Conscience to
make Sudan the focus of its first non-European project last
year.
The Food Weapon.
The Sudanese government has used starvation as a weapon of war
against its own people to break their will to resist. It has
attacked agricultural areas, destroyed food supplies, confiscated
livestock herds, and blocked international food relief efforts in
opposition- controlled territory. After the deaths of an estimated
250,000 people from starvation in southern Sudan, Operation
Lifeline Sudan (OLS), a U.N.-coordinated relief effort, was
established in 1989. The Sudanese government routinely has denied
OLS access to rebel-held areas in southern Sudan and the Nuba
Mountains in central Sudan, according to U.N. officials. Moreover,
the Sudanese air force has bombed food relief distribution centers,
as well as aircraft that have transported food supplies to remote
areas.
When
the government has allowed OLS to operate, it often has sought to
manipulate food distribution for its own purposes. Some U.N.-
provided food aid reportedly is distributed "on the condition that
the hungry person convert to Islam." Government troops have
looted food supplies earmarked for southern Sudan. The government
also has forced the inhabitants of entire villages to move into
concentration camps called "peace camps," where food is provided in
exchange for continued submission to state authority.
In
March 2001, the United Nations World Food Program warned that an
estimated 3 million Sudanese require emergency food assistance.
Although some food shortages can be attributed to an ongoing
drought, the effects of the drought have been severely exacerbated
by the Khartoum regime's concerted efforts to deny food to
southerners opposed to its draconian rule. Sudan, the southern
portion of which contains several fertile agricultural regions, was
projected by many development economists in the 1970s to become
"the bread basket of Africa." Instead, it has become an African
basket case because of the government's misrule and harshly
repressive practices.
The Revival of Slavery.
An appalling outgrowth of the government's ruthless efforts to
crush the opposition has been the revival of historic patterns of
tribal warfare in which tribal militias take women and children as
war booty and force them into slavery. The radical Islamic Bashir
regime has encouraged Muslim tribes allied with the government to
target racial, ethnic, and religious minorities, particularly the
Dinka tribes that are a major base of support for the southern
resistance. Raiding parties from the Arabized Baggara tribes of
Western Sudan, armed by the regime and incorporated into the
Popular Defense Forces, the regime's feared militia, have attacked
Dinka villages, murdered the men, abducted the women and children,
and transported them north to work as slaves. "Once captured they
become the private property of individual masters, and have to
endure endless hard work, poor nutrition, and sexual abuse."
The
number of slaves is a matter of dispute. John Eibner, an official
with Christian Solidarity International, a Switzerland-based human
rights organization that reportedly has bought the freedom of more
than 45,000 slaves since 1995, estimates that more than 100,000
black Christian and animist slaves remain in Sudan today. The U.S.
Department of State estimates conservatively that between 10,000
and 12,000 remained in captivity at the end of last year.
Regardless of the numbers, however, it is
clear that the Bashir regime is culpable for the actions of its
tribal surrogates and has done nothing to stop them. In fact,
Khartoum also has supported the Lord's Resistance Army, a Ugandan
extremist group that has kidnapped 3,000 Ugandan children in the
past 10 years and brought them to Sudan, where they are "forced to
become sex slaves or soldiers."
FUELING THE FLAMES: DICTATORSHIPS, JIHAD,
AND OIL
Sudan has been locked in its bitter
internal struggle for 34 of its 45 years as an independent country.
The first round of the civil war actually started in 1955, the year
before Sudan was granted its independence by the United Kingdom.
Since then, Sudan has been ruled mostly by military dictatorships
dominated by Arab Muslims from the northern part of the country.
These regimes have sought to impose a strong Islamic central
government on the country's multi-ethnic, multi-religious, and
multi-cultural mosaic of 500 Arab and African tribes containing 19
major ethnic groups speaking more than 100 different languages.
Spurred by resentment at being treated as
second-class citizens, the predominantly black, non-Arabic-speaking
southerners rebelled against government efforts to impose an Arab
and Islamic identity on state institutions and Sudan's pluralistic
society. The first phase of the civil war lasted for 17 years,
claiming half a million lives, before the 1972 Addis Ababa
agreement gave the south a large measure of autonomy and control
over local economic resources.
Unfortunately, the 1972 power-sharing
agreement was abrogated by General Jafar Numeiri in 1983. Numeiri,
who seized power in a 1969 military coup, drifted from socialism to
Islamism, imposed Sharia (Islamic law), and stripped the southern
legislature of its powers. Southern soldiers mutinied and formed
the Sudanese People's Liberation Army (SPLA) under the leadership
of Colonel John Garang, a charismatic Christian leader. Since 1983,
the SPLA has fought a grueling guerrilla war against northern
domination. After Numeiri was deposed in 1985, resistance against
the democratically elected government of Sadeq al-Mahdi
continued.

Fighting intensified following the 1989 military
coup that brought Lt. Gen. Omar al-Bashir to power, in league with
the militant National Islamic Front led by radical Islamic
ideologue Hassan al-Turabi. The Bashir-Turabi regime prosecuted the
war with renewed vigor. Bashir provided the military muscle while
Turabi asserted an extremist Islamic ideological framework to
motivate the troops and mobilize Muslim tribes.
Turabi envisioned the National Islamic
Front not just as an instrument for wielding power in Sudan, but as
the vanguard of a global Islamic revolution. He declared a jihad
(holy war) against those resisting the government's authority and
reinvigorated efforts to impose Sharia on non-Muslims. Turabi's
militant brand of Islam exacerbated endemic religious, ethnic, and
tribal tensions and greatly increased the brutality of the
conflict.
Religion has become the pivotal factor in
the conflict because "Religion on both sides defines identity." By
installing Islam as the state religion and invoking jihad, Turabi
has unleashed a virulent campaign of religious persecution.
"Individual Christians have been imprisoned, tortured, assassinated
and even crucified for their faith." Thousands of abducted
children have been forced to convert to Islam or face beatings and
torture, while captured slaves reportedly are forced to attend
Quranic schools and change their names. In May 2000, the U.S.
Commission on International Religious Freedom concluded in its
first annual report that the Sudanese government was "the world's
most violent abuser of the right to freedom of religious belief." In a March
2001 follow-up report on Sudan, the Commission found that the
situation had grown even worse.
The
regime's Islamic militancy has driven the leaders of traditional
Islamic parties, such as Sadeq al-Mahdi of the Umma Party, into the
arms of the opposition. Many Muslims consider Turabi's jihad a
perversion of Islam. As one Muslim religious leader in the south
bitterly complained, "The regime talked about a jihad. But that is
not true Islam. Their jihad was to take freedom away. I would
myself be ready to fight against them because as an Imam I do not
believe this is a true jihad." The government has secured
a religious edict that declares all Muslims who oppose the regime
to be "apostates," thereby clearing the way for state security
services, armed forces, and tribal militias to persecute not just
Christians and animists, but also Muslim political opponents.

Oil Inflames the War.
The discovery of oil in Sudan not only contributed to the renewal
of the war in 1983, but has fueled the fighting in recent years as
well. Although the bulk of the oil deposits are located in the
south, oil revenues are controlled by the regime and primarily
benefit the north. Sudan's oil reserves, now estimated at 1.2
billion barrels, could soon increase to 2 billion or 3 billion
barrels with additional exploration. Sudan, which produced 200,000
barrels of oil per day last year, is projected to double its
production to more than 400,000 in the next two years, making it a
middle-sized oil exporter. Oil revenues, estimated at
$500 million last year, could soon rise to over $1 billion per year
if world oil prices remain high.
Sudan's growing oil revenues have raised
the stakes of the war, escalated the intensity of the fighting, and
could tilt the balance of military power in the regime's favor. To
consolidate its control over oil-producing areas, the regime has
resorted to scorched-earth tactics to drive nearby southern tribes
out of their homelands. Sudan has doubled its
military budget since beginning to export oil in 1999 and is now
using more sophisticated weapons against the rebels. It also
reportedly is using airstrips and roads built for oil projects to
conduct military operations.
The
rebels, for their part, have repeatedly sabotaged the thousand-mile
pipeline linking the oil fields to Port Sudan. Despite the
resultant damage, however, rising oil revenues will enhance the
regime's military superiority over the rebels and increase the
regime's incentives to expand ethnic cleansing operations.
SUDAN'S SUPPORT OF TERRORISM
In
addition to unleashing terrorism against its own people, the
Khartoum regime has supported a wide variety of international
terrorist groups. Sudan provides sanctuary, logistical support,
training facilities, and travel documents to terrorists who have
murdered Americans and other victims from many countries allied
with the United States. Sudan harbors members of Egypt's Islamic
Group, Egyptian Islamic Jihad, HAMAS, the Palestine Islamic Jihad,
and Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda organization.
Al-Qaeda, the group responsible for the
August 1998 bombings of the U.S. embassies in Nairobi, Kenya, and
Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, has a long history of close relations with
the Khartoum regime. In fact, Osama bin Laden was greatly
influenced by Hassan Turabi when both worked in support of the most
radical mujahideen (holy warrior) groups in Afghanistan during the
1980s, and both remain supporters of the ultra-radical Taliban
regime that currently dominates Afghanistan. Bin Laden lived in
Sudan from 1991 to 1996 before moving his base of operations to
Afghanistan. According to a declassified State Department report,
he established three terrorist training camps in northern Sudan and
paid to transport 500 Arab militants to Sudan from Pakistan.
The
close working relationship between al-Qaeda and the Bashir regime
was underscored by revelations at the recent trial of four al-Qaeda
members convicted of the embassy bombings. General Bashir not only
authorized al-Qaeda activities inside Sudan, but also exempted it
from paying taxes or import duties and gave it immunity from local
law enforcement agencies.
The
Bashir regime also was a close supporter of the spiritual leader of
the terrorists who bombed the World Trade Center in New York City
in 1993. Sheik Omar Abdul Rahman, the radical Egyptian cleric who
inspired the bombing, came to the United States directly from
Sudan. A Sudanese diplomat was later expelled from the United
States because of suspected involvement in a subsequent plot to
bomb the United Nations building and other New York City
landmarks. Sudan was added to the
State Department's list of countries that support terrorism in
1993.
In
addition, Sudan has cooperated closely with Iran to export
terrorism and Islamic revolution throughout the Muslim world.
Following a 1991 visit by Iranian President Ali Akbar Rafsanjani,
Iran dispatched several hundred Revolutionary Guards to train
terrorists in at least five Sudanese training camps. These
Islamic militants have launched terrorist attacks and have sought
to undermine governments in Algeria, Egypt, Tunisia, and other Arab
countries. Sudan has given refuge to Egyptian Islamic militants
wanted in connection with the failed 1995 assassination attempt
against Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak during his visit to Addis
Ababa, Ethiopia. Sudan's refusal to extradite these terrorists led
the United Nations Security Council to impose sanctions on Sudan in
1996. Sudan also has supported Muslim and non-Muslim revolutionary
groups operating against the governments of Ethiopia, Eritrea, and
Uganda.
U.S. POLICY TOWARD SUDAN
Sudan has been relegated to the back
burner of American foreign policy for many years. Following the
1989 military coup against Mahdi's civilian government, Washington
suspended bilateral military and economic aid. Sudan's extensive
support for terrorism quickly became the chief source of friction
in bilateral relations. In 1993, the State Department added Sudan
to the list of states that support terrorism, and this triggered
sanctions that barred Sudan from receiving U.S. economic
assistance, arms-related exports, and U.S. support for its loan
requests at international lending institutions such as the World
Bank.
In
February 1996, the U.S. embassy in Khartoum was evacuated because
of security concerns related to the presence of a wide variety of
anti-American terrorists hosted by the Sudanese government. In
April 1996, the United States supported the imposition of United
Nations economic sanctions against Sudan under U.N. Security
Council Resolution 1054 because of Sudan's failure to extradite
Egyptian terrorists involved in the abortive assassination attempt
against Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak during his 1995 state
visit to Ethiopia.
Aroused by Khartoum's support of
terrorism, attempts to destabilize its neighbors, and abuses of
human rights, the Clinton Administration imposed comprehensive
economic sanctions on Sudan in November 1997 under Executive Order
13067, which blocked all Sudanese assets in the United States,
restricted exports and imports, barred financial transactions, and
prohibited investment in the country by U.S. companies. In December
1999, however, the Administration diluted the impact of its own
sanctions by waiving the ban on the importing of gum arabic, a
substance derived from the sap of the Sudanese acacia tree that is
added to consumer items such as candy and soft drinks. Although gum
arabic was virtually the only product that the United States
imported from Sudan, the Administration argued that American
companies needed time to find alternative sources of supply because
Sudan was the source of roughly 80 percent of the world's supply of
that obscure substance. In addition to undermining its own
unilateral economic sanctions, the Clinton Administration
made little effort to press its allies to join multilateral
sanctions to increase the pressure on Khartoum.
The
Clinton Administration treated the various symptoms of Sudan's
descent into jihad--terrorism, human rights violations, man-made
famine, slavery, and the destabilization of Sudan's neighbors--in
an ad hoc manner, with no clear overarching strategy. No effective
policy was crafted to address the cause of these symptoms: the
radical Bashir-Turabi regime. It was unclear whether Washington's
highest priority was to force a change of regime, encourage reform,
or push for an end to the war. The Administration issued tough
rhetoric but often did not follow through with concrete actions. It
denounced the regime for repressing its own people but did little
about it. When it did take military action by launching the August
1998 cruise missile strike against the Al-Shifa pharmaceutical
plant in Khartoum, suspected of manufacturing chemical weapons for
Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda terrorist group, it did so in a clumsy
fashion with a pinprick attack against a symbolic target.
The
Clinton Administration's support for the Sudanese opposition also
was largely symbolic in nature. Rhetorically and diplomatically,
the Administration supported the National Democratic Alliance, the
umbrella coalition of southern resistance organizations and
northern political parties that were ousted by the 1989 coup.
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright met with Sudan's People
Liberation Movement leader John Garang in Nairobi, Kenya, in
October 1999, but the Administration did not offer to furnish
military or economic aid, merely food and humanitarian assistance.
Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs Susan Rice, much
to her credit, visited southern Sudan in November 2000 to examine
human rights and food supply conditions. Rice became the first
high-level U.S. executive branch official to visit rebel-held areas
and has opened the door to increased official contacts in the
future.
The
Clinton Administration sought to isolate Sudan diplomatically and
successfully blocked Khartoum's attempt to gain a seat on the U.N.
Security Council in the fall of 2000. Washington also defeated
Sudan's attempts to lift U.N. economic sanctions, despite Sudan's
backing from the Arab League and the Organization of African
Unity.
But
the Administration's attempts to open a diplomatic dialogue with
Khartoum have produced few benefits. In 1999, President Bill
Clinton appointed former Representative Harry A. Johnston (D-FL),
who chaired the Africa Subcommittee of the House International
Relations Committee before retiring in 1996, as special envoy for
Sudan. Johnston traveled to Sudan in March 2000 to initiate a
dialogue to encourage changes in Khartoum's policies on a wide
spectrum of issues: terrorism, human rights, negotiations to end
the civil war, and humanitarian relief issues. "Unfortunately,"
however, as former Assistant Secretary of State Rice has
acknowledged, "virtually none of [these changes] have occurred." Khartoum
did sign several international treaties on terrorism, but it can
choose to ignore these when it suits its purposes, just as it has
ignored other international agreements.
Congress Takes the Lead.
The Clinton Administration's half-hearted and disjointed approach
to Sudan left a growing number of Congressmen chafing at the bit.
In June 1999, the House passed H. Con. Res. 75, which condemned the
Khartoum regime "for its genocidal war in southern Sudan, support
for terrorism, and continued human rights abuses" and called on the
President to increase food aid to non-OLS relief programs and give
food and development aid directly to the Sudanese opposition.
Congress also passed the Brownback Amendment (P.L. 106-113),
incorporated into a consolidated appropriations bill in 1999, which
gave the President the authority to provide food aid to Sudanese
opposition forces.
Earlier this year, Senator Bill Frist
(R-TN), a medical doctor who traveled to southern Sudan to treat
patients last year, introduced the Sudan Peace Act (S. 180). The
bill authorizes the Secretary of State to use Department of State
personnel for the support of ongoing negotiations, and eventual
implementation of a peace settlement, between the government of
Sudan and opposition forces; expresses the sense of Congress that
the United Nations should be used as a tool to facilitate peace and
recovery in Sudan; calls for the U.S. representative at the U.N. to
push for U.N. condemnation of the regime's bombing of civilians, a
U.N. investigation of slavery in Sudan, and a revision of the terms
under which OLS food is provided in Sudan; and directs the
President to develop a contingency plan to provide, outside U.N.
auspices, the greatest amount of U.S. government and privately
donated relief to all affected areas in Sudan in the event that
Khartoum stops cooperating with the U.N.'s OLS program.
The
House of Representatives also has been increasingly active on the
Sudan issue. House Majority Leader Richard Armey (R-TX) and
Representative Charles Rangel (D-NY) announced the formation of a
Sudan caucus that includes many key players on Africa policy
including Representatives Donald Payne (D-NJ), Edward Royce (R-CA),
Thomas Tancredo (R-CO), and Frank Wolf (R-VA). Representative
Tancredo on June 5 introduced H.R. 2052, essentially a companion
bill to the Sudan Peace Act that would also block companies that do
business in Sudan from trading securities on U.S. capital markets
unless they publicly disclose their activities in Sudan. In
addition, the bill urges the Bush Administration to facilitate the
peace process in Sudan, dedicate $10 million appropriated last year
to humanitarian aid, and find alternative ways to deliver aid if
the Khartoum regime blocks U.N. food relief shipments.
THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION'S OPPORTUNITY IN
SUDAN
Since coming to office in January, the
Bush Administration has undertaken a review of U.S. policy toward
Sudan that reportedly is nearing completion. Secretary of State
Colin Powell clearly has recognized the enormous human suffering in
Sudan and stated in congressional testimony on March 7 that "There
is perhaps no greater human tragedy on the face of the earth
today."
Powell has taken a personal interest in
African issues and late last month made a diplomatic tour of Africa
in which he addressed the Sudan crisis during a visit to
neighboring Kenya. While in Nairobi, Powell stated on May 26 that
"We are anxious to see reconciliation in Sudan" and that "We are
not against any side." A reporter from the
Washington Post who was travelling with the Secretary reported that
Powell "indicated that the United States may take a more
even-handed approach to the conflict than did the previous
administration." Significantly, unlike his
predecessor, Madeleine Albright, Powell did not meet with SPLA
leader John Garang.
Secretary of State Powell's statements are
alarming for several reasons.
- First, they imply a disturbing
moral equivalence between the predatory regime in Khartoum and the
Sudanese opposition forces.
- Second, Powell's approach appears
to downplay the Bashir regime's support of international terrorism,
export of Islamic revolution, efforts to destabilize American
allies in the region, alignment with Iran, and opposition to
American foreign policy on such issues as containing Iraq and
promoting a stable Arab-Israeli peace settlement.
- Third, an even-handed approach
weakens American leverage over Khartoum by ruling out a campaign
for stronger multilateral economic sanctions or military aid for
the southern resistance forces. Unilaterally forgoing such U.S.
options actually diminishes the long-term prospects for peace by
reducing Khartoum's incentives for making painful concessions.
Ruling out greater support for the beleaguered opposition also
makes it more likely that the Bashir regime will use diplomatic
negotiations as a smokescreen to buy the time it needs to crush the
opposition on the battlefield.
Rather than treating the Sudanese problem
as primarily a humanitarian problem and trumpeting that it is
"anxious to see reconciliation," the Bush Administration should
take a hard-nosed approach to ensure that the Bashir regime becomes
"anxious to see reconciliation." After all, it is Khartoum that
must moderate its policies if there is to be any chance of
achieving a lasting peace. Rather than ruling out military support
for the opposition, the Administration should rule out a military
victory by the regime. Washington should make it clear to General
Bashir that he has no chance of scoring a military victory or
starving the south into submission. The United States should work
with Sudan's neighbors and other interested parties to provide the
National Democratic Alliance with increased food supplies, economic
aid, diplomatic support, and military aid if necessary.
American military intervention is not
necessary, nor has it been requested by the opposition. In fact,
such intervention could backfire against the opposition, which
would then be denounced by the regime as a tool of a neo-colonial
superpower. Once committed, American troops would be required to
remain for decades, distracted from more pressing threats to
American national interests in the Persian Gulf and East Asia. If
peace negotiations break down, the National Democratic Alliance has
enough manpower to protect civilians in the south, but it needs
weapons and logistical support to do so. The United States should
help to arm, train, and support the opposition, but not do its
fighting for it.
The
long-term U.S. goal should be not just to stop the civil war, but
to help transform Sudan into a stable and peaceful state that does
not use terrorism and subversion as instruments of foreign policy.
To this end, the Bush Administration should:
- Firmly oppose Islamic radicalism in
Sudan, not Sudanese Muslims. There can be no peace inside Sudan
until it develops a government that respects the pluralistic nature
of Sudan's multi-religious and multi-ethnic society. In particular,
southerners will continue to fight any government that seeks to
force Sharia on them.
Since Islamic
radicals such as those in Turabi's National Islamic Front regard
Islamic law as a central tenet of their rule, there is little
chance of negotiating a viable peace with such a regime. Although
General Bashir appears to be more pragmatic than Turabi, it is
doubtful that he would be willing and able to abandon his past
insistence that Sharia be imposed on all of Sudan. To make an
internal Sudanese peace possible, the United States therefore
should seek to uproot the Bashir dictatorship unless it decisively
drops its commitment to impose Sharia.
Forcing Sudan to
halt its support for international terrorism should be the highest
U.S. priority. Any regime that continues to harbor terrorists such
as bin Laden's al-Qaeda group is not likely to be a trustworthy
partner in peace negotiations.
- Strongly support the Sudanese
opposition. The Bush Administration should give the National
Democratic Alliance a hand, not treat it with "evenhandedness." The
U.S. goal should be to restore security and self-determination to
southern Sudan--within the framework of a democratic federal system
if possible but in the form of a separate state if necessary.
Specifically, the
Administration should greatly increase financial support for the
opposition above the $3 million announced on May 25 for logistical
support for transportation and communications. It should increase
cross-border development aid to build a more effective civil
administration in opposition-controlled areas from $4 million in
fiscal year 2001 by at least 50 percent a year for the next three
years. And if the regime's latest peace offensive and bombing halt
prove to be short-lived as expected, the United States should
provide the opposition with military aid, including communications
gear, mortars, anti-aircraft guns, and anti-tank weapons. This will
help offset the regime's growing military budget, give it added
incentives to negotiate in good faith, and help convince it that it
can not win a military victory.
Washington also
should encourage the opposition to build the broadest political
base possible. It is particularly important to reach out to
Sudanese Muslims in the north, because without them the southerners
have no chance of ousting the Bashir regime. The Umma party of
Sadeq al-Mahdi is particularly important because it is believed to
have greater popular support than Turabi's National Islamic Front,
which never has received more than 18 percent of the vote in free
elections.
- Appoint a special envoy to spearhead
and coordinate Sudan policy. A high-level envoy is needed to
coordinate all aspects of Sudan policy. Secretary of State Powell
has sought to head off the appointment of a high-powered envoy by
asking U.S. Agency for International Development Director Andrew
Natsios to coordinate policy on aid and human rights issues. But
the Sudan crisis is more than a strictly humanitarian issue: It is
a political-diplomatic-military problem.
An effective
special envoy should have considerable knowledge about Sudan;
experience with international affairs, particularly in dealing with
dictatorships; an open door to the Secretary of State as well as to
the White House; the ability to work closely with congressional
leaders; and credibility with the Sudanese opposition and with
American constituencies active on the Sudan issue, especially
advocates of religious freedom.
- Launch a high-profile campaign of
public diplomacy to publicize the regime's harsh policies and
enlist international support in pressing Khartoum to halt these
abuses. The special envoy, along with the Secretary of State,
the President, and other high-level officials, should take every
opportunity to publicize Khartoum's bombing of civilians, support
for slavery, ethnic cleansing, and other human rights abuses. By
publicizing these issues in international fora such as the United
Nations, European Parliament, and Council of Europe, and at both
bilateral and multilateral summits, the United States government
can mobilize Western public opinion and other governments to
pressure Khartoum to end its repressive war against its own
people.
- Change the way food relief supplies are
distributed inside Sudan to deprive Khartoum of its food
weapon. The United States has contributed more than $1.2
billion in humanitarian aid to Sudan since 1989. Most of this is donated
through the U.N.'s Operation Lifeline Sudan program, which
unfortunately has given Khartoum veto power over where and when the
food is distributed. The United States should push for an immediate
revision of these arrangements to allow OLS to deliver food where
it is desperately needed, not just where it serves Khartoum's
interests. Washington should also earmark an increasing percentage
of the roughly $100 million in relief aid that it provides to Sudan
each year to be provided outside the OLS program and directly to
rebel-controlled areas. Currently, only about one-third of American
aid is provided this way. This portion should be gradually
increased to two-thirds of the total. If the Bashir regime balks at
renegotiating the OLS agreement to remove its veto over food
deliveries, the U.S. should pull out of the OLS program and
allocate 100 percent of its food aid to rebel-controlled
areas.
- Strengthen U.S. and multilateral
economic pressures against the Khartoum regime. Sudan, one of
the world's poorest countries, is saddled with major economic
problems. The International Monetary Fund suspended Sudan's
membership in 1993 for failure to pay interest on its heavy
national debt, now estimated at $20 billion. Washington should
oppose any efforts to refinance this debt as long as the civil war
continues and should encourage other countries to follow suit.
The Bush
Administration should tighten a loophole in its trade ban by
restoring the prohibition against importing gum arabic. The
rationale provided by the Clinton Administration to justify easing
the ban in 1999 was that it would give U.S. companies time to
develop alternative supplies. That should have happened by now.
The
Administration also should take measures to restrict the growth of
Sudan's oil revenues because "The oil that fuels the internal war
also funds terrorist groups." Sanctions should be
tightened against foreign oil companies that have invested in
Sudan's oil and gas industry to prohibit them from raising money in
U.S. capital markets. Companies that have helped develop Sudan's
oil economy, such as Canada's Talisman Oil, Lundin of Sweden, and
the China National Petroleum Company, have raised capital in the
United States, and this amounts to an indirect American subsidy for
Sudan's war. Such a ban would reduce incentives for investment in
Sudan, slow the rate of growth of Sudan's oil export revenues, and
impede Khartoum's military buildup as well as its ability to
finance terrorism.
CONCLUSION
Sudan's radical Islamic regime has created
one of the world's worst human rights situations and one of its
largest humanitarian crises. But approaching Sudan's internal
crisis as purely a humanitarian issue is self-defeating. The U.S.
has poured more than $1.2 billion in food aid into Sudan, yet still
finds that 3 million Sudanese are at risk from starvation as a
result of the deliberate actions of their own government. Moreover,
that government continues to bite the hand that feeds it by
supporting international terrorists like Osama bin Laden who have
killed Americans, as well as Islamic revolutionaries that threaten
America's allies.
The
root problem is not ending Sudan's war, but bringing an end to
Khartoum's militant brand of Islam, which has imposed war on the
non-Muslim south in pursuit of its rigid insistence on imposing
Sharia. Given the Bashir regime's past record of human rights
abuses and support for terrorism, the Bush Administration cannot
afford to assume an even-handed posture toward Sudan's civil war.
It should support the Christian, animist, and Muslim victims of
Khartoum's jihad and raise the diplomatic, economic, and military
costs of continuing that jihad beyond what the Bashir regime is
willing to pay. Only then can there be peace in Sudan.
James
A. Phillips is Research Fellow in Middle Eastern Studies in
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies at The Heritage Foundation.
Endnotes