President George W. Bush is right to speak of
the need to gather a global coalition to fight terrorism. He
already is meeting with some success. The Pakistani government has
said that it will cooperate, including allowing U.S. warplanes to
use Pakistani airspace. However, it also suggested that it would
not give U.S. forces access to its territory for military
operations unless the military coalition were broadly
international, including Muslim states, and hinted that it would
not give its approval unless the U.N. Security Council approved the
action.
On a
different front, Secretary of State Colin Powell has said that he
would welcome Iran--that long-time U.S. nemesis and supporter of
terrorism--into a common effort to combat global terrorism.
Clearly, the Administration is thinking broadly as it approaches
the task of assembling the international coalition.
WHAT LIMITS SHOULD THE U.S. ALLOW?
These actions raise an important question:
How far should the United States go in allowing members of a
coalition to limit the means and ends of any operation it must
undertake? Consider the Persian Gulf War experience. The coalition
assembled by President George H. W. Bush, which included such
countries as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Syria, may have provided
invaluable logistical support and political legitimacy, but it also
limited both the means and ends of the military campaign.
Surely, among the most powerful reasons
the United States did not go all the way to Baghdad to remove
Saddam Hussein from power was the fact that America's Arab allies
and Turkey would not allow it. Fearing an Arab backlash, holding
the coalition together became almost as important as the military
campaign itself; the cohesion of the coalition per se was not
merely a means to an end, but one of the strategic and political
ends of U.S. policy.
The
constraints imposed by the negotiations establishing the Desert
Storm coalition were codified into a United Nations Security
Council resolution sanctioning (and therefore limiting) military
action. Thus, from the outset, the purpose of the action was to
kick Saddam out of Kuwait, not remove him from power--a move that,
once fighting was underway, gave the dictator the reassurance and
freedom he needed to maintain his hold on power.
It
is imperative, today, that the United States gain as much
diplomatic support as possible for any action it takes against
terrorism. Support from allies but also from countries in the
Middle East, Eurasia, Central Asia, and even East Asia is
politically and militarily necessary to mount an effective
campaign. The United States has access to bases in Saudi Arabia,
Qatar, Turkey, and Oman, but it will need other access if it wishes
to undertake operations against the Taliban regime in Afghanistan
that is harboring Osama bin Laden. It may seek, at some point, a
basing agreement with Pakistan or air access agreements with
Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and even Russia.
In
this, the United States must beware. Such requests for help may
whet the appetite of would-be allies to ask for something in
return. So long as U.S. demands are limited to diplomatic support,
intelligence sharing, or access to airspace, the price may be
bearable. But if Washington requests access to bases or closer
military cooperation from would-be allies, particularly in the
Middle East, the price may go up. The United States must avoid
bargaining away too much of its freedom of action and reserve the
right to undertake any action necessary to see the campaign through
to a successful end.
EFFECTIVE COALITION-BUILDING
The
United States should avoid trying to form a broad-based, unwieldy
coalition of military forces that gives everybody a seat at the
decision table. Doing so would restrain its actions and politicize
its military decisions. The U.S. does not need the help of large
numbers of allied troops, but rather access to airspace;
intelligence; logistical, economic, and diplomatic support; and,
perhaps at some point, bases.
There may be instances when some of its
closest allies (certainly the United Kingdom and perhaps even other
NATO allies) will join its military operations, but the price of
entry must be unreserved support for America's political and
military objectives to eradicate terrorism. Washington will
cooperate in intelligence and special operations with any number of
countries, including some that may be unsavory, but there should be
no political deals that dilute the purpose of the mission.
As
the price for access to Pakistani bases and facilities, Washington
should not agree to seek a U.N. Security Council resolution. Nor,
for access to bases, should it agree to forgo cooperation with
nations such as Israel or India, or agree to undertake cumbersome
decision-making processes with coalition members that restrain its
intelligence or military operations.
Pakistan must decide: Does it support the
campaign to eliminate terrorism, or not? If Islamabad offers
concrete support for this campaign, the United States should agree
to protect Pakistan in any way it can. It should also offer aid,
debt relief, and even the lifting of sanctions. But it should not
agree to tie its own hands in seeing this campaign through to
victory.
By
the same token, the United States should be very careful in seeking
support from Iran and Syria, which are still on the State
Department's list of terrorist states. There can be no doubt that
having their diplomatic support would be helpful in some quarters,
particularly if the United States decides to move militarily
against Afghanistan and Iraq, which are hostile to Iran and not
especially friendly with Syria.
If
Iran were to stop supporting terrorism, Washington indeed would
benefit from forging closer relations. However, it should not make
any deals with Tehran until it is certain that such reform has
occurred. This was the recommendation of the National Commission on
Terrorism in a June 2000 report. Not doing so could undermine the
moral clarity of the campaign and the integrity of U.S.
intelligence and military operations if Iran turns out to be
playing a double game.
CONCLUSION
Washington faces a fundamental dilemma in
this war against terrorism. To gain Islamic support for a
broad-based war against radical Islamic terrorism, it will have to
make common cause with some Islamic states that are not only
corrupt and lack legitimacy, but also may be part of the terrorist
problem. To show that this war is not with Islam per se, the U.S.
could be tempted to restrain itself militarily and accommodate the
complex and contradictory political agenda of Islamic states.
This, in turn, could make the campaign
ineffectual, prolonging the problem of terrorism. America could
find itself again making a Gulf War-type bargain--propping up
allied Arab and Islamic states as a strategic end in itself. The
political cover to execute the military campaign would thus become
as strategically important as the campaign itself.
This
is not the time to cut clever political deals that result in
halfway measures in the war against terrorism. America needs to be
realistic; in devising the proper means to fight this war, there
may be times when deals must be made. However, no coalition partner
should dictate to the United States the terms, conditions, or
nature of its military response; who should be part of the
coalition; or what kind of foreign policies America should
pursue.
Americans should never be asked to settle
for something less than victory. President Bush must weigh the
benefit of a participant's support against the potential loss of
operational freedom exacted for that support. If the price is too
high, the President should tell would-be allies that Americans will
somehow get the job done without them.
Kim R.
Holmes, Ph.D., is Vice President of Foreign and Defense
Policy Studies and Director of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis
Institute for International Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.