The Bush Administration has inherited a large
number of unresolved trade disputes with the European Union (EU),
whose members generally stand shoulder to shoulder with America on
other fronts, including the war on terrorism. While economies
around the globe flounder, disputes between the two largest
economic blocs over agriculture policies, investment laws, taxes,
and regulatory regimes are stifling the most lucrative trading
relationship in the world. Both blocs are at fault, even using the
dispute settlement mechanism established by the World Trade
Organization (WTO) to score political points against each other,
rather than to help resolve disputes and liberalize trade.
This
spiraling tit-for-tat dynamism--in which both blocs have initiated
trade complaints as bargaining chips in unrelated disputes or as
retaliatory measures to even the score for an adverse WTO
ruling--cannot continue. It is harming economies, undermining
efforts to expand free trade, and souring relations between the
United States and the EU at a time when relations should be strong.
If it is not abandoned quickly, the contest could imperil the
success of the new global free trade round to take place in Qatar
next month.
The
Administration could change this unsavory dynamic by pulling some
disputes off the table. The battle over the U.S. tax treatment of
Foreign Sales Corporations (FSC) is one example. The WTO recently
sided with the EU that such treatment violates its rules against
preferential treatment for exports. The United States, which has a
relatively high corporate income tax, created this tax provision to
help U.S. exporters compete globally; they receive a lower tax on
FSC profits from export sales than similar domestic sales. In this
way, the United States tries to compensate exporters whose
worldwide income is subject to both U.S. and foreign taxes. (Other countries generally tax
their exporters on income earned at home.) Moreover, the United
States taxes the profits of U.S. companies twice: first at the
corporate level and again as personal income when distributed to
shareholders.
Abolishing the entire corporate income tax
is the ideal response. Such an action would clearly benefit
American businesses. If that is not possible in the near future,
however, the Administration should consider interim measures, such
as combining FSC repeal with a shift to a territorial system that
only taxes income earned within U.S. borders. Such a system would
satisfy WTO concerns while removing a competitive disadvantage for
U.S.-based businesses. In addition, it would break the tit-for-tat
dynamic hampering relations with the EU. In this way, the United
States could encourage the EU to take the next step and reduce or
eliminate its protectionist agricultural subsidies that greatly
inhibit trade and aggravate relations. By setting a standard of
"free trade by any means," the United States would begin to change
the unhealthy dynamic underlying trade negotiations at the WTO,
enabling free trade to be treated as economic opportunity rather
than political concession.
Trade Disputes
Recent news reports have highlighted the importance that the United
States and the European Union place on international trade in order
to strengthen weak economies and combat terrorism. But beneath the rhetoric lie
contentious issues between the world's two most successful trading
blocs. The United States wants the EU to liberalize its agriculture
sector, while the Europeans want the United States to liberalize
its tax regimes. The EU further contends that agriculture trade
liberalization cannot be separated from environmental concerns. In
case after case, the two blocs have brought their escalating
complaints to the World Trade Organization. But rather than use its
dispute settlement mechanism to reach agreements that open markets
and liberalize trade, they use it to score political points against
one another, while failing to heed WTO pleas to open their domestic
markets.
The EU Complaint.
The U.S. government established the FSC in the tax code to benefit
multinational American businesses and level the economic playing
field. It sought to offset perceived advantages in the European tax
codes for transnational European businesses. Under the U.S. tax
code, the relatively high corporate income tax paid by U.S.
businesses on total domestic and foreign sales, combined with taxes
they pay other countries on their foreign sales and the additional
double taxation of that income when it is paid to shareholders puts
these businesses at a competitive disadvantage. But trying to fix
poor tax policy by creating a special tax entitlement is not the
answer.
The
EU brought its complaint that America's FSC system was an unlawful
subsidy of U.S. exports before the WTO in September 1998. During
the WTO adjudication process, the United States argued that the
European Union had reached an understanding with the U.S.
government in 1981 that it would not object to FSCs as a
counterbalance to European advantages. But such a claim makes
little sense, since eliminating the FSC will help U.S. companies
compete with European businesses.
After the United States lost the case but
failed to adequately adjust the FSC provision to satisfy the WTO
concerns, the WTO decided to allow the EU to levy up to $4 billion
in punitive tariffs on U.S. products. The judgment--greater than 10
times the punishment levied against the EU in the combined beef and
bananas cases--was described by U.S. Trade Representative (USTR)
Robert Zoellick as "the nuclear weapon of free trade" because it
could initiate a broader trade war. The
United States has decided to appeal the verdict, but there is
little chance that this will affect the WTO's decision. Moreover,
U.S. failure to accept the judgment could poison other aspects of
the U.S.-EU trading relationship.
Washington's counterproductive response to
the ruling merely intensifies the tit-for-tat syndrome afflicting
U.S.-EU relations at the WTO. According to an editorial in The
Financial Times, "The [FSC] case was initiated mainly to hit back
at US harassment over the EU's disregard for WTO rulings against
its beef ban and banana import regimes." Others
posit that the EU lodged the FSC complaint so as to use
WTO-approved punitive tariffs as bargaining chips if the United
States ever elected to bring a case against the EU for its
subsidies of Airbus. EU member states believed they
would quite likely lose such a case. Neither explanation shows the
EU in a very good light, and the tit-for-tat dynamic palpably sets
back the cause of trade liberalization. The use of the WTO dispute
resolution mechanism as a public relations tool or part of a
bargaining strategy to safeguard protected markets, rather than as
a way to liberalize global free trade, puts the long-term survival
of the WTO in jeopardy.
Predictably, some in Washington have
suggested that if the EU goes ahead and levies the punitive
tariffs, the United States should bring WTO cases against EU
members for their tax laws and for Airbus subsidies. This, in addition to problems
in dealing with the EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), makes
the possibility of a full-blown trade war increasingly plausible.
But as the world collectively slides into recession, this is the
last thing the global economy needs.
The U.S. Complaint.
One of the largest trade irritants between the two blocs has to do
with the EU's subsidies for its farmers under the Common
Agricultural Policy. The CAP, the single largest sectoral
impediment to free trade in the world, consumes half of the EU's
budget each year and accounts for 85 percent of total global
agricultural subsidies.
Agricultural liberalization remains a
contentious issue worldwide, and entrenched interests limit efforts
at reform at every level. Thus, while average global tariffs on
manufactured goods have decreased from 40 percent to 4 percent over
the past 50 years, average agricultural tariffs remain at over 40
percent. Promises to eradicate this
bastion of global protectionism are not infrequent. At the end of
the Uruguay Round of free trade liberalization in 1994, for
example, the United States and the EU promised that agricultural
liberalization would form the basis for the next multilateral
effort to reduce trade barriers. Clearly, there was a sense in the
international community then that it was time for CAP reform.
Nevertheless, the EU is stalling,
attempting to link talks on liberalizing agriculture policy to
environmental and food safety issues. It wants the WTO to recognize
its "precautionary principle" as a basis for limiting agricultural
imports into Europe. Under this principle, the EU claims the right
to ban the import of products if there is an uncertainty or the
possibility of a health or environmental hazard, even in the
absence of scientific evidence to substantiate such claims. Current
WTO policy allows countries to block the import of products only
when science supports such claims.
Worldwide reaction to the EU's demand is
clear. The precautionary principle is seen as a way for the EU to
maintain an inefficient and overly subsidized farming sector.
Likewise the EU's efforts to link agricultural liberalization to
environmental issues is seen as a strategy to keep imported
agricultural products out of Europe--hence, another form of
protectionism.
The
Cairns Group, a forum of agricultural exporting nations such as
Australia and Argentina, have argued in the run-up to the Qatar
round that agriculture should be treated just like any other traded
good. They reject the EU's efforts to link farming reform with
environmental concerns. The United States supports the Cairns
Group's position.
For
many developing countries, reforming agricultural policies is the
most important goal of this new trade round. Nevertheless, the EU
has adopted an increasingly confrontational tone as the prospect of
a global coalition around genuine agricultural reform has evolved.
Pascal Lamy, the EU commissioner responsible for trade, has stated
that if the Qatar mandate suggests agriculture negotiations be
governed only by trade concerns, "there will be no agreement."
For
the EU, talks on the environment are a quid pro quo for ambitious
negotiations on agriculture liberalization. The EU wants
negotiations over agriculture policy to take account of
environmental, food safety, and animal welfare concerns. The Cairns
Group and many in the U.S. policy community think this agenda is
another EU strategy to justify continuing its CAP subsidies to EU
farmers.
It
does not appear that either the EU or the Cairns Group (with
support from the United States and most developing nations) will
back down. Peter Carl, the head of the EU's trade directorate in
Brussels, recently said, "Trade and the environment, or the
omission of it, is indeed a deal-breaker." Upon
hearing this, one developing country's trade official replied, "If
the EU says it's a deal-breaker so be it. There are just too many
people against it." Thus, the United States once
again faces the prospect of implacable EU opposition to genuine
agricultural liberalization at the next trade round.
The Way Forward
In order to weather the current U.S.-EU trade storm and change the
unproductive tit-for-tat dynamic that characterizes their
relations, the Bush Administration should adopt creative and
proactive trade policies that move away from the Clinton
Administration's penchant to make trade liberalization some sort of
political concession. Specifically, the Bush Administration
should
- Accept the WTO ruling regarding the FSC
and abolish the current corporate income tax system. The United
States should avoid abusing the WTO dispute resolution mechanism by
continuing to elect to pay the fines the WTO allows in punitive
tariffs on specific goods, rather than liberalizing its markets, as
was intended. The current approach does nothing to advance the
cause of global free trade. Acquiescing in the WTO's judgment
regarding the FSC and abolishing the corporate income tax is the
ideal approach. It would benefit Americans in several ways:
First,
abolishing the corporate income tax would be fair, because it would
help eliminate double taxation of income, in which profits taxed
first at the corporate level are then again taxed as personal
income distributed to shareholders.
Second,
abolishing the corporate income tax would not result in a net loss
of income. Corporate taxation accounts for around 13 percent of
on-budget federal revenue. Some studies estimate that enforcing and
collecting the tax costs at least as much as it gathers in
revenue.
Third, it
would provide an immediate economic stimulus--something the
American economy, heading into a recession, desperately needs. With
an effective tax rate on corporate profits of more than 50 percent,
abolishing the tax would free up a windfall of capital that
companies could reinvest to generate healthy long-term growth.
Fourth,
abolishing the tax will enhance American competitiveness. One need
only look at Ireland, which accounts for 1 percent of the euro-zone
and is the destination of around 40 percent of all North American
foreign direct investment (FDI) to Europe, to see the economic
advantages of a low rate of corporate taxation.
Fifth,
such a policy would break the tit-for-tat cycle and change the
whole political dynamic in trade negotiations between the United
States and the EU, refuting the notion that economic liberalization
through the guise of adverse WTO rulings is economically
disadvantageous.
If abolishing the FSC is not immediately
feasible, then the Administration should consider an interim step
of combining FSC repeal with moving toward a territorial tax
system. A territorial tax would make U.S. companies immediately
more competitive, reduce the hefty compliance costs under the
current tax system, and bring U.S. policy in line with current WTO
policies. Most of America's trading partners already have
territorial tax systems.
- Ally with the
Cairns Group and other countries that oppose the EU's efforts to
dilute global agricultural liberalization with other
considerations. As John Van Oudenaren, chief of the
European division at the Library of Congress, suggests, it often
seems that the EU hides behind "such high-sounding principles as
precaution (food safety), multifunctionality (agriculture), and
diversity (culture)." The EU appears ready to
discuss anything but agricultural liberalization.
The
Administration should view the EU's unilateral call for a quid pro
quo regarding agricultural liberalization talks and environmental,
health, and cultural factors as a negotiating tactic designed to
protect its inefficient farmers. History shows that the adoption of
demanding environmental standards gathers pace as incomes rise, and
that such regulations are largely dependent on the increase in
prosperity that follows free trade. U.S. negotiators should take
every opportunity to hammer home these lessons to their European
counterparts.
- Pursue a policy
of free trade by any means if a new global free trade round does
not occur. Unlike the Clinton
Administration, whose zeal for free trade flagged following the WTO
non-agreement in Seattle in November-December 1999, the Bush
Administration should adopt a policy of free trade by any means if
the Europeans refuse to compromise on their agricultural
negotiating position at Doha. Such a policy would enable the United
States to continue expanding economic opportunities around the
world while making it clear that the EU will not be allowed to
become an obstacle to free trade. Protectionist policies will
merely restrict European economic opportunities. In this effort,
the Administration should:
First,
lobby Congress to grant trade promotion authority (TPA) for the
President, which on a practical level will be necessary to pursue a
multifaceted trade policy.
Second,
finalize bilateral free trade agreements with countries such as
Chile, Singapore, and Australia.
Third,
pursue regional free trade initiatives in the Western Hemisphere by
making the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA) a more
substantial part of overall U.S. foreign policy.
Fourth,
work toward establishing a global free trade association (GFTA) of countries genuinely
committed to free trade (such as the United Kingdom, Estonia,
Ireland, Australia, and New Zealand), who agree to further
liberalize their comparatively free-market economies for mutual
benefit.
Such
an all-encompassing trade strategy would force the EU to rethink
any reticence about market liberalization. And it would
conclusively change the global free trade dynamic by making free
trade an economic reward, rather than a political concession.
Conclusion
Historically, times of recession are accompanied by waning
enthusiasm for global free trade. The Bush Administration has
responded bravely, creatively, and positively to the shattering
events of September 11. It is critical for the prosperity of the
world today that the White House more aggressively hew to a free
trade line in the months ahead. By abolishing the corporate income
tax, holding firm in the face of EU recalcitrance regarding
agricultural liberalization, and pursuing a policy of free trade by
any means, the Administration can underpin the security of the
global economy--a vital factor in winning the war against terrorism
and in ensuring that economic opportunity continues to expand
opportunities in America and throughout the rest of the world.
John C.
Hulsman, Ph.D., is Research Fellow for European Affairs in
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies at The Heritage Foundation.