Executive Memorandum #785
Executive Memorandum- Heritage's Executive Memoranda gives Congressional staff and researchers the policy information they need to act and to make educated decisions.
One of President Bush's top trade policy
priorities is securing trade promotion authority (TPA). As proposed
in H.R. 3005, TPA (formerly known as fast-track authority) would
limit Congress to a straight up-or-down vote on any trade
agreements negotiated by the Administration. This would accelerate
the implementation of trade agreements and enhance U.S. credibility
by assuring foreign countries that there will be no
counterproductive changes in deals they negotiate with the
President.
Opponents of TPA fear that labor standards
will deteriorate around the world with increased trade. In reality,
however, increased trade generates economic development, which has
proven to be a key factor in improved labor standards. If trade
agreements are used to impose higher labor standards, developing
countries will face a tough choice: either implement higher
standards and bear the burden of increased costs, or choose not to
trade with the United States and forgo needed export trade. Either
option will reduce their prospects for economic development.
Members of Congress concerned about the
working conditions in developing countries should give President
Bush a version of TPA that does not contain labor standards that
developing countries cannot afford to implement.
False
Assumptions
The argument that trade agreements must include
labor standards is based on two false assumptions, both of which
are refuted by the evidence.
-
False Assumption #1: Low wages and labor
standards attract investment . This argument assumes that
countries will keep wages and labor standards low in order to
attract investment. It implies that the primary factors influencing
investors' decisions are wages and labor standards and ignores
other key factors such as the productivity of labor.
-
Reality: Labor productivity attracts
investment . Wage rates reflect worker productivity.
Competition forces firms to pay higher wages to those workers who
can produce more, and vice versa. High-wage labor can compete
against low-wage labor because higher productivity at least
compensates for higher wages. Firms may choose to direct their
investments to countries with higher wages if they know that
productivity will be greater.
The actual flow
of capital refutes the false assumption that low labor standards
and low wages are key to attracting investment. Otherwise,
investment should flow into the least-developed countries, where
wages and labor standards are the lowest. However, the United
Nations Conference on Trade and Development reports that, although
the least-developed countries make up approximately 25 percent of
all countries, they receive only 0.5 percent of global foreign
direct investment (FDI), while developed countries receive more
than 80 percent. This shows that companies are willing to invest in
countries where wage rates and labor standards are high because of
the productivity of the labor force.
-
False Assumption #2: Labor standards can be
improved externally . Those who want trade agreements to
be tied to demands for improved labor standards assume that
conditions can be improved by fiat. However, mandated labor
standards can undermine a country's prospects for economic growth,
and attempts to impose high labor standards will be
counterproductive if they entail increases in costs that stall
economic development.
-
Reality: As the wealth of a country increases, so
do labor standards . Labor standards are significantly
affected by a country's level of economic development. For example,
in many developing countries, children must work so that their
families can have the food they need to survive. Research on
developing nations has shown that there is a lower incidence of
child labor in countries with higher per-capita incomes. A
Brookings Institution study found that, in countries with a
per-capita income of $500 or less, 30 percent to 60 percent of
children between the ages of 10 and 14 work, whereas in countries
with a per-capita income within the $500 to $1,000 range, only 10
percent to 30 percent of children in that age bracket work.
-
The inverse
relationship between income level and child labor also occurs
within the populations of individual countries. The Inter-Agency
Task Force of the International Labor Organization, the World Bank,
and the United Nations Children's Fund collected data on child
labor participation rates for nine developing countries (including
countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin America). The data revealed
that, on average, 20 percent of the children in the poorest 20
percent of the population work full-time, while only 4.5 percent of
the children in the wealthiest 20 percent work full time. The data
also showed that school participation rates increase as wealth
increases: On average, in the countries surveyed, only 52 percent
of the children in the poorest 20 percent of the population
attended school, whereas in the wealthiest 20 percent of the
population, 83 percent of the children attended school. These data
indicate that when they can afford to do so, parents in developing
countries will take their children out of the labor force.
Therefore, promoting economic development plays a key role in
improving labor standards (including reducing child labor).
The link between
increased trade and economic growth has been well-documented.
According to the World Bank, developing countries that
significantly increased their share of trade as a percentage of GDP
since 1980 experienced an average increase in economic growth of 5
percentage points annually during the 1990s. The World Bank also
found that the income of the poor tended to rise at the same rate
as the overall economic growth. That is, if a country's average
income increases by 5 percent, its poor will likely experience a 5
percent rise in their incomes as well. Therefore, increasing
economic growth through trade promises to improve working
conditions for the rich and poor alike.
Conclusion
The House of Representatives should give President
Bush TPA that will allow him to negotiate trade agreements with
foreign countries without insisting that they adopt labor standards
that they may not be able to implement. If the President has TPA,
it is likely that more countries will enter into trade agreements
with the United States. Increased trade with the U.S. market will
spur economic development in these countries, and this in turn will
increase their labor standards.
Aaron Schavey is a former Policy
Analyst in the Center for International Trade and Economics (CITE)
at The Heritage Foundation.