Without swift but well-considered action from
Congress, thousands of American businesses may be unable to
continue purchasing affordable terrorism insurance in the near
future. The massive losses from the September 11 attacks have made
property and casualty insurers understandably reluctant to issue
policies with terrorism coverage until they can evaluate their
exposure to potential terrorist attacks. Congress has an
opportunity, in considering the Terrorism Risk Prevention Act (H.R.
3210), to structure a program that provides temporary assistance to
private insurers while giving them an incentive to accurately
risk-price their terrorism coverage against the threat.
In
their effort to help victims of the attacks, however, Members of
Congress should not shower insurance companies with unrestrained
tax dollars, which would make matters worse by interfering with the
market. The federal role in terrorism insurance must be temporary
and limited. The last thing this country needs is another costly
federal program like the flood insurance program that becomes
permanent over time.
The
Problem
Property and casualty insurers face a serious dilemma. Many of
their corporate policies insure against terrorist attacks in much
the same way they cover natural disasters or more conventional
accidents. Insurance premiums are based on sophisticated estimates
of the likelihood that a particular claim will have to be paid.
Until September 11, insurers never expected to face the scale of
damage inflicted in these attacks. Thus, terrorism coverage often
carried a very low price tag and often was included with more
comprehensive coverage.
The
world is different now. Insurers know that such attacks are
possible and could cause catastrophic damage. But they have no firm
idea whether the recent attacks were isolated incidents or not. As
a result, they are unable to price terrorism coverage quickly and
accurately, and unwilling to expose their companies to claims that
could run in the tens of billions of dollars.
Losses from the recent attacks were spread
among many foreign and domestic insurers and "reinsurers." This is
standard practice for large policies; insurers essentially spread
the risk among many other companies in return for a share of the
premiums generated by the policies. Some of the risk is sold to
reinsurers, who generally insure the insurance companies against
huge losses. In this way, no one company is left facing ruin when
there is a huge claim on a policy. This method enabled the industry
to absorb the current $35 billion in claims from the recent attacks
on the World Trade Center. A number of companies that would have
difficulty paying another such loss are unwilling to renew policies
that include terrorism coverage.
The Wrong Way to
Address the Problem
While the problem is real, it should be temporary; normal insurance
industry processes should be able to resolve it. Over the course of
a year or two, the industry should be able to develop ways to price
terrorism coverage properly, which could include upper limits on
company liability. And reinsurers should find ways to involve
sophisticated investors who, for a price, could face the type of
losses that could occur.
Such
market responses take time, however, and some insurers are
unwilling in the interim to renew policies with terrorism coverage.
Failure to obtain affordable terrorism insurance could endanger the
financing of some companies and the profitability of others. Rather
than subject an already weakened economy to the shock of either no
coverage or extremely high premiums, the government should take
short-term action.
But
the wrong government response could prevent the market from taking
the necessary actions. Any program that essentially transfers the
risk from companies to the government by promising that tax dollars
will pay the losses will only make it more difficult for private
insurers to establish the real market price for terrorism coverage.
Because the industry would be collecting premiums without facing
the true value of potential losses, such coverage would be
underpriced. Those who bought this insurance would not have any
incentive to reduce their risk, but every incentive to support
extending the federal program indefinitely.
The
result would likely be another federal insurance program with
taxpayers permanently subsidizing the coverage and a federal role
in terrorism insurance that is accompanied by increased government
supervision and micromanagement. The federal flood insurance
program, for example, now includes a host of environmental
requirements.
A Responsible
Approach
There is a way for Congress to create a responsible and temporary
program that addresses the problem without distorting the market.
Such a program must include these features, which are also found in
H.R. 3210:
- Maintain company
retention of risk with escalating federal help for large
claims. Rather than have the government pay all
terrorism-related claims, insurance companies should pay all claims
up to a certain level. Above that level, the cost of claims should
be shared with the government, perhaps on an escalating scale that
increases the government proportion of larger claims. This feature
gives companies the incentive to price terrorism coverage
correctly. Legislation should be explicit about how the deductible
is structured to ensure that both large and small companies are
treated equally.
- Require
repayment of any tax dollars accepted. Federal payments to
insurers should be structured as loans to be repaid over time,
perhaps through higher premiums on this line of insurance. This
feature would give companies a strong incentive to price the
policies properly and to end government involvement at the earliest
opportunity.
- Encourage
companies to build reserves to cover future losses.
Legislation should include tax changes that encourage individual
insurance companies to build sufficient reserves to cover potential
claims. Such a move would allow the private sector to resume full
control of terrorism coverage. Government policies should encourage
companies to build their own reserves rather than force them to
belong to and contribute to a national pool of reserves that could
easily become a federal program.
Conclusion
The events of September 11 revealed the weaknesses in the current
system of providing terrorism insurance. Rapid action needs to be
taken to ensure that such coverage is still available. Rather than
simply hand the industry tax dollars, Congress should structure a
temporary program--a bridge through a time of uncertainty--that
gives private companies every incentive to price terrorism
insurance according to the risk without creating a permanent
subsidy.
David C. John is
a Senior Policy Analyst in the Domestic Policy Studies Department
at The Heritage Foundation.