The Bush Administration has been working hard to
lower trade barriers on U.S. agricultural products. However, it has
encountered opposition from an unexpected quarter: the U.S.
Congress, where a group of lawmakers are working hard to increase
America's non-tariff barriers for other countries.
Specifically, the farm bill that is
currently being discussed in Congress--the Agriculture,
Conservation, and Rural Enhancement Act of 2001 (S. 1731)--would
significantly increase subsidies to American farmers. This
distortion of the market, which is bad policy in itself, would send
a conflicting message to America's trading partners. Although the
United States has often joined other countries in criticizing
subsidies in the European Union (EU), the U.S. in reality is far
from guiltless when it comes to subsidies. Put another way, America
is essentially telling its friends to do as we say, not as we
do.
And
because America's trading partners are not likely to accept such
hypocrisy, they can be expected to respond with additional trade
barriers that could well hurt America's current ability to export
one-third of its farm production each year. To enable the U.S to
maintain its credibility and leadership in the global economy,
President Bush therefore should veto the farm bill when it comes to
his desk.
More Than We Can Chew
Maintaining American credibility in the
global economy is essential for the U.S. farm industry because the
U.S. is the world's largest agricultural exporter. Each year,
according to the Montana Department of Agriculture, "one American
farmer produces food and fiber for 129 people--97 in the U.S. and
32 abroad. One-fourth of the world's beef and nearly one-fifth of
the world's grain, milk, and eggs are produced in the United
States." America's
farmers produce far more than the American people can eat. With 96
percent of the world's consumers living outside the United States,
trade is not a luxury for American farmers, but a necessity.
The
average global agricultural tariff is 62 percent. As invisible
taxes, tariffs add to the price of American goods, making them less
palatable to foreign consumers. Free trade agreements have
benefited American farmers by lowering barriers to foreign markets.
For instance, the U.S. Department of Commerce reports that
Farmland Industries of Kansas City, the
largest farmer-owned cooperative in North America, sold $50 million
in wheat, corn, and soybeans to Mexico before NAFTA [the North
American Free Trade Agreement]. Today exports have grown to $450
million and include beef and pork.
The
U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports that "some high value
products, including almonds (66 percent) and sunflower oil (63
percent), rely on exports for well over half of sales." One in three acres of
U.S. agricultural production is exported.
According to the USDA, agriculture is one
of the few sectors of the economy that consistently enjoys a trade
surplus. Last year, U.S. agricultural exports were valued at over
$14 billion. In order for the U.S. to maintain and expand this
level of agricultural exports, new trade agreements must be forged
to lower both tariff and non-tariff barriers. This means the U.S.
must agree to lower its barriers as well.
Distorting the Market
Subsidies act as a non-tariff barrier to
free trade because they tilt the playing field to favor one
producer over another. U.S. farmers have been receiving ever-larger
amounts of assistance from the federal government since the Great
Depression.
Although the 1996 Freedom to Farm law was
intended to wean farmers from subsidies, natural disasters took
farm policy down another road. These disasters caused the federal
government to step in with economic assistance payments. The
result: Farmers have grown accustomed to receiving a check in the
mail and thus expect the subsidies instead of relying on the free
market.
Regrettably, S. 1731 would place no limits
on this system of subsidies: a system that rewards the largest
farmers, who receive the majority of federal cash payments even
though they represent less than 25 percent of the nation's farmers.
A recent USDA study reflects that "47 percent of crop payments in
1999 went to large commercial farms with an average household
income of $135,000."
Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN) has likewise
stated that subsidies "encourage overproduction, depress prices and
flow to the wealthiest farmers in a few Midwestern and southern
states." Overall,
subsidies encourage dependence and overproduction while they limit
competition.
According to data from the Organisation for
Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the average level of
support for U.S. agriculture from 1998-2000 was 23 percent, while
support by the EU was 40 percent. Senator Kent Conrad (D-ND) argues
that U.S. farmers need large subsidy payments to compete with
subsidized European farmers. The OECD, however, reports that U.S.
subsidies exceed those of the EU in cases such as sugar and
dairy.
Squashing U.S. Credibility
It is
hypocritical for the United States to preach one doctrine and live
by another. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, "the WTO
[World Trade Organization] agriculture negotiations the Bush
administration is seeking to launch will be critical for cutting
the European Union's export subsidies and domestic support
payments." But
Ambassador Robert Zoellick, the U.S. Trade Representative, cannot
be expected to press countries to lower agricultural tariffs and
non-tariff barriers while the U.S. Congress is working to increase
non-tariff barriers.
America's trading partners are not blind to
U.S. subsidies and will not ignore them in negotiations. The effect
of the current Senate farm package could be to ignite an "arms
race" of subsidies between the United States and the European Union
that, far from making American farmers stronger, will actually
weaken the chance that U.S. agricultural goods will receive fair
treatment in the foreign marketplace.
Trade
is essential not only for the health of the agricultural industry,
but for the well-being of the American economy as a whole.
According to the USDA, "every dollar of direct export sales
generates another $1.39 in supporting economic activity."
Increasing non-tariff barriers by
implementing the subsidies required in this farm bill would leave
the U.S. vulnerable to possible retaliation from its trading
partners. Is America ready to accept higher tariffs on agricultural
goods and possibly on our other products overseas?
Furthermore, such subsidies invite other
countries to file a complaint against the United States before the
World Trade Organization. If other countries view these subsidies
as a violation of WTO agreements, they will first consult with the
U.S. If differences are not resolved at that level, they will ask
the WTO to appoint a panel to hear the case. If found guilty, at
the very minimum, the U.S. would be fined. Beyond that, if
agreement on satisfactory compensation is not reached, trade
sanctions could be imposed.
Conclusion
It is
in America's best interest for its policymakers to practice what
they preach, but the Senate farm bill unfairly favors a particular
industry. As the Dallas Morning News observes, "newspaper
publishing is risky, too. So are telecommunications and retail
sales. But nobody expects the government to protect those
industries with billions of dollars of aid."
If
enacted into law, S. 1731 will set a dangerously counterproductive
precedent for the farm industry. Subsidies will remain the rule
rather than an exception, and the chances for reform will diminish
if not evaporate. Congress must take the time to craft a thoughtful
bill. The current farm bill will not expire until September 2002;
there is therefore no need for Congress to run the risk of acting
rashly, as if immediate action were essential.
The
Bush Administration has insisted that any new farm bill must
respect U.S. international trade agreements and their limits on
subsidies. The unlimited subsidies to America's largest farmers
clearly ignore that premise.
To
ensure a strong and amicable relationship with our trading
partners, President Bush must veto this farm bill. A veto will not
only tell U.S. farmers that the government refuses to continue
these outrageous subsidies; it will send a message throughout the
world that America intends to play fair.
Sara J. Fitzgerald is a Trade Policy
Analyst in the Center for International Trade and Economics at The
Heritage Foundation.
Reported at .