DIVERGING VIEWS
The U.S. Policy Toward Arafat and
Iraq
In
the eyes of the Bush Administration, Yasser Arafat has been a
monumental failure as leader of the Palestinian people and a huge
disappointment to the international community. Instead of promoting
peace and economic reform, Arafat's Palestinian Authority (PA) has
supported terrorist organizations and actions and has fostered an
environment of conflict, fear, intimidation, and poverty in which
the rule of law is nonexistent and corruption is endemic.
Intelligence information linking Chairman Arafat with a payment of
US$20,000 to the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, a faction of the Fatah
movement that he founded, made it impossible for the United States
to continue to recognize his leadership.
The
White House has emphasized that there is very little hope for real
progress toward the creation of a democratic Palestinian state
until there is a change of leadership and a new beginning for the
Palestinians. In his June 24 speech, President Bush stated that
a Palestinian state will never be created
by terror--it will be built through reform. And reform must be more
than cosmetic change, or veiled attempts to preserve the status
quo. True reform will require entirely new political and economic
institutions, based on democracy, market economics and action
against terrorism.
U.S.
efforts to promote peace in the Middle East, however, have been
overshadowed by the growing danger posed by Saddam Hussein and his
regime in Baghdad, which threatens to destabilize the entire
region. President Bush has made it clear that he supports a regime
change in Iraq, a policy that has been forcefully backed by
Secretary of State Colin Powell and by
all six Joint Chiefs of Staff. It is
expected that military action to remove Saddam Hussein from power
is forthcoming.
Baghdad continues to threaten the security
of the free world through the production of weapons of mass
destruction and has stepped up its attempts to inflame the conflict
in the Middle East by subsidizing Palestinian suicide bombers and
supporting terrorist organizations in the region.
Chemical and biological weapons produced
by Iraq pose an immediate threat. Testifying before the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee, Richard Butler, the former head of the
United Nations weapons inspection team in Iraq, warned that Iraqi
scientists are developing deadly plague viruses, including Ebola,
in underground laboratories. A
British government dossier circulated to Prime Minister Tony Blair
and his Cabinet has warned that Saddam Hussein is planning to arm
Palestinian terrorist organizations with biological weapons to
strike against U.S. or Israeli targets.
There is also mounting evidence that Iraq
is trying to procure special equipment used in the production of
fuel for nuclear weapons,and it is believed that
Baghdad may have nuclear weapons capability within three years.
Khidir Hamza, an Iraqi scientist who played a key role in Saddam
Hussein's nuclear weapon program, has predicted that Iraq will have
enough weapons-grade uranium to produce three nuclear bombs by
2005.
Clearly, the evidence is growing that the
United States and the international community can no longer ignore
the threat posed by Iraq and Saddam Hussein's regime to regional
and international security.
The U.K. Position
Because Great Britain is America's leading
ally in the international war on terrorism, its Middle East policy
is of particular importance for U.S. policymakers. The British
Prime Minister has been at the forefront in supporting the Bush
Administration's warnings regarding the threat to global security
posed by Saddam Hussein's growing arsenal of weapons of mass
destruction. Tony Blair has made it clear that he believes a
pre-emptive strike against Baghdad may be necessary in order to
halt Saddam's weapons program.
However, since President Bush's Rose
Garden speech on June 24, there has been mounting speculation that
the Anglo-U.S. "special relationship" has started to erode. Some
analysts predict that the extremely close post-September 11
partnership between the United States and Britain will be torn
apart over the Palestinian issue. A split in the alliance would
have serious consequences for the expansion of the war on
terrorism, particularly planned military action against Iraq.
Talk, however, of a Bush-Blair rift over
the Palestinian question is exaggerated. While there undoubtedly
are policy differences between the two leaders that have been
magnified in public perception by the anti-U.S. and anti-Israeli
statements made by some Labour politicians, there is a great deal
of common ground on the Middle East question. And while Tony Blair
has made it clear that Britain is prepared to continue negotiating
with Yasser Arafat and will recognize his leadership if he wins the
forthcoming elections, he has also made known to the Palestinians
that he believes an eventual change of leadership is the best
solution for the long-term future of Palestine.
British Foreign Office Minister Mike
O'Brien was dispatched to Ramallah for talks with Arafat just days
after President Bush's Middle East speech, with the clear message
that Palestinian reform is needed before progress can be made.
O'Brien stated after the talks that Britain is pushing to create
"circumstances in which other representatives can come forward with
whom we can deal, as well as President Arafat." A
spokesman for the Prime Minister emphasized that while the British
government thought it was necessary to keep lines of communication
open with the Palestinian leader, "it's no secret that...we believe
that Yasser Arafat is somebody who has let down the Palestinian
people."
The
British Prime Minister's own view was expressed clearly in his
response to questioning in the House of Commons by Charles Kennedy,
leader of the opposition Liberal Democrats, on his return from the
G-8 summit in Canada. Kennedy had criticized U.S. "unilateralism"
and "isolationism," over the International Criminal Court issue and
had urged Blair to "point out to the American Administration the
fundamental error of their ways." He condemned the U.S. position on
the Middle East, observing that "it never looks good for
international countries, democratically based, to be seen trying to
dictate what other countries should be doing."
Blair's answer illustrates the clear
difference between the position of the British government and the
positions of Britain's European allies:
As for the United States and the
Palestinian Authority, it is important to be clear about what the
United States is and is not saying. The United States is not saying
that the Palestinians cannot choose who they want. They can choose
who they want. The United States is merely saying that if the
Palestinians choose someone who is not a serious partner for peace,
that will make it far more difficult to conduct negotiations, and
frankly I agree with that.
Blair's more conciliatory stance is shared
by a minority of his European colleagues, including Danish Prime
Minister Anders Rasmussen. Rasmussen, while supporting the official
EU position of recognizing Arafat's leadership, is extremely
critical of Arafat's failings. He has stated that he shares
"President Bush's disappointment that Arafat has obviously not done
what he could and what he should to prevent terrorism and suicide
bombers." Like Blair, Rasmussen also
has signaled his opposition to sanctions against Israel, making it
clear that he believes "trade sanctions or other forms of economic
reprisals, such as boycott of Israeli products, would not
contribute to advancing peace in the region."
The
British approach to the Middle East crisis over the past few months
has been far more measured than that of the European Commission and
most other European governments. While there has undoubtedly been
fierce criticism of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon in the
Commons, it is important to draw a clear distinction between the
views of outspoken Labour backbenchers (and some junior government
ministers) and that of Downing Street. British government
condemnation of Israel is far less vocal than that of Britain's
European partners.
Significantly, Britain voted against a
U.N. resolution that condemned Israel for "acts of mass killings"
of Palestinians. That resolution was backed by such EU countries as
France, Belgium, Spain, Portugal, and Sweden. The British
government rejected the resolution as unacceptable because it was
"unbalanced and did not give a firm statement on terrorism."
European Opposition
For
the European Union, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict--not the
threat to international security posed by Baghdad--is the most
important foreign policy issue in the region. The general view of
leaders throughout continental Europe is that the EU should
continue to work with Yasser Arafat and the Palestinian Authority
in the run-up to elections in January. In the view of European
Commission President Romano Prodi, Arafat is "the only valid
interlocutor for Israel." Speaking in Copenhagen soon
after President Bush's speech on June 24, Prodi emphasized that
"It's up to the Palestinian people to choose their leader and not
us. We have to accept the result of a free election whether we like
it or not."
German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer
responded to President Bush's call by remarking that "the
Palestinian people alone must decide on its legitimate
leadership," a sentiment echoed by French
President Jacques Chirac at the recent G-8 summit: "[I]t is for the
Palestinian people, and them alone, to choose their
representatives."Immediately after President
Bush's speech, Chirac dispatched new French Foreign Minister
Dominique de Villepin to Ramallah to meet with Arafat in a display
of solidarity with the Palestinians.
For
the United States, the issue is not whether to support a new
democratically elected president of Palestine come January, but
whether there can be any lasting peace without leadership that
forcefully rejects terrorism. Moreover, the United States believes
the threat posed by Iraq cannot be ignored and allowed to grow
while peace is sought in the Arab-Israeli conflict.
The
EU disagrees; it believes there can be no talk of an Iraq war until
peace has been brought to the Middle East. In an interview with The
New York Times, a French government official criticized President
Bush's advisers as "obsessed with Iraq, while we are obsessed about
achieving peace. The important thing is to build a coalition for
peace in the Middle East, not to build a coalition for war in
Iraq."
Javier Solana, the EU's "high
representative" for common foreign and security policy, has
emphasized that it would be "very, very difficult" for the
Europeans to back military action to remove Saddam Hussein without
substantial progress toward creating a Palestinian state first.
Solana believes it would also be extremely hard to hold Palestinian
elections at the same time as a war in the Gulf.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has
supported the EU's position on Palestine, saying it would be
"dangerous and mistaken" to remove Arafat from power, which could
bring about the "radicalization of the Palestinian people." The Russians have pledged to
maintain dialogue with Arafat, described by Foreign Minister Igor
Ivanov as the "legitimate leader of the Palestinian people." With
France, Russia is calling for an international conference "for
working out a global political solution to the Middle East
problem."
The
European and Russian stance is also backed by U.N. Secretary
General Kofi Annan, who made it clear that "the UN still recognizes
Chairman Arafat and will continue to deal with him until the
Palestinians decide otherwise."
While refusing to rebuke Arafat for
failing to halt the suicide bombings, the European Union and
individual EU governments also have been unequivocal in condemning
Israeli incursions into the West Bank and Gaza Strip. European
politicians often depict Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and
his administration as an evil occupying colonial power while
portraying Arafat and his Palestinian authorities as freedom
fighters. Evoking language once used to describe the Nazi era,
Norbert Bluem, a former German labor minister under Helmut Kohl,
accused Sharon and his cabinet of pursuing a "Vernichtungskrieg,"
or "war of annihilation."
Many
Europeans see Sharon and President Bush, not Yasser Arafat, as
impediments to resolving the crisis. Politicians lampoon Sharon as
a swaggering bully, a puppet of the United States (or vice versa),
and even a terrorist. For example, veteran Irish Member of the
European Parliament (MEP) John Cushnahan, in a speech to the
Parliament in February, condemned Sharon's "terrorist behavior" in
Lebanon, noting, "It is regrettable that he was subsequently
elected as Prime Minister of Israel, this being the root of the
current problems." He went on to say that
Current Israeli policy is ludicrous and
counterproductive. How can they make demands on Arafat to behave as
if he was the leader of a normal state, while at one and the same
time they make him a virtual prisoner in his own home, destroy his
airport and his broadcasting station and humiliate him? Who do they
want to replace him with? In the post-11 September situation, the
European Union has been oversensitive in its approach to the Middle
East. We are indeed an honest broker and we should be vigorous in
that approach. The fact that Americans are indebted to us for the
solidarity and the support that we provided when they needed it
should mean that we are entitled to a reciprocal response from
them. And instead of being the puppet of Israel, they should join
with us in an even-handed policy approach to the tragedy of the
Middle East. If that is not forthcoming, then we should act on our
own. It is frustrating that the United States through its present
stance is becoming much more part of the problem than the
solution.
The
blatant anti-Israel bias on display in European Parliament debates
in Strasbourg is both crude and distasteful, and counters European
claims to be even-handed neutral observers in the Middle East. The
debates, in the words of British MEP Daniel Hannan, have "an almost
pantomime quality" to them, with cheers for pro-Palestinian remarks
and boos for the few speeches defending Israel. Describing a debate
that took place in early April, Hannan noted:
The handful of speakers who concentrated
on Palestinian terrorism were listened to in stony silence, while
attacks on Israel were received in an ecstasy of desk-banging and
ululation (primly described in the official record as "loud
applause").
The
debate was dominated at times by hysterical speeches decrying
Israeli "state terrorism" and "war crimes," combined with calls for
economic sanctions, arms embargoes, and the recalling of EU
ambassadors. The general sentiment of the majority of speakers was
summed up by Danish MEP Ulla Sandbaek, who asked, "When does the EU
plan to call a spade a spade and designate as terrorism what Sharon
and his soldiers are doing, namely killing thousands of civilians
and innocent people?"
In a
display of scorn for Sharon's administration, European MPs voted by
269-208 to adopt a resolution calling for the Commission to suspend
trade and political ties with Israel (the EU-Israel
Euro-Mediterranean Association Agreement), and urged the EU to
prepare to participate in a potential U.N. peacekeeping mission to
the Middle East.
EU
foreign ministers, led by Britain, Germany, and the Netherlands,
voted by narrow margins against Spanish and Belgian-led calls for
the imposition of economic sanctions against Israel. Commission President Prodi
has stated that the sanctions issue may be reconsidered at the next
meeting of the EU-Israel Association Council, scheduled for
December.
In
recent months, the British Parliament also has witnessed fierce
criticism of the Israeli position, largely by Labour backbenchers.
One of the strongest attacks on the Israeli government came from
former Labour Shadow Foreign Secretary Gerald Kaufman, who branded
Sharon first as a "right-wing thug" and later as a "war
criminal." In an impassioned speech to
the House of Commons, Kaufman stated, "we need to ask ourselves why
young Palestinians, men and women with their lives before them,
decide to turn themselves into human bombs":
It is time to remind Sharon that the Star
of David belongs to all Jews, not to his repulsive Government. His
actions are staining the Star of David with blood. The Jewish
people, whose gifts to civilized discourse include Einstein and
Epstein, Mendelssohn and Mahler, Sergei Eisenstein and Billy
Wilder, are now symbolized throughout the world by the blustering
bully Ariel Sharon, a war criminal implicated in the murder of
Palestinians at the Sabra and Shatila camps and now involved in
killing Palestinians once again. Sharon is not simply a war
criminal; he is a fool.... Now the state of Israel is a ghetto: an
international pariah.... Our Prime Minister is an internationally
respected statesman. He must use his influence with the United
States--the special relationship--so that Bush speedily compels
Sharon to return Israel to the international community.
Reasons for Europe's Anti-Israel
Position
There are several key reasons why Europe
is leading international criticism of Israel:
- A growing fear
of Islamic extremism within the EU's borders.
In particular, European politicians with large Muslim electorates
are keen not to alienate or offend them. There are over 10 million
Muslims living in Western Europe (including 4.5 million in France),
making up nearly 4 percent of the EU's total population. (See Table 1.) Europe also
continues to provide safe haven for Palestinian charity groups that
have close ties to terrorist movements, such as Hamas. Such
charities operate with impunity in major European cities. Brussels was recently
described by a Belgian parliamentary commission as a major
recruiting base for al-Qaeda and as a launch pad for terrorist
attacks by Islamic extremists.
Anti-Semitic violence is thriving and even
tolerated in parts of the European continent, particularly in
France and Belgium. In France, home to Europe's largest Jewish
population of 700,000, there were 300 anti-Semitic attacks in the
first quarter of 2002 alone, including the burning down of
synagogues in Marseilles, Strasbourg, and Bordeaux.
- Resentment
against the United States.
Much of the anti-Israeli rhetoric in Europe is vented by
politicians and bureaucrats with deep-seated resentments against
the United States and the projection of U.S. power internationally.
Israel is seen by many left-wing Europeans as a satellite of the
United States and the standard bearer of what they perceive to be
"U.S. imperialism."
- Opposition to a
campaign against Iraq.
Some European leaders see the debate over the current crisis in
the Middle East as an opportunity to call for a halt to proposed
U.S. and British military action against Baghdad. The close
relationship between Britain and the United States is resented by
politicians in many European capitals, particularly Paris,
Brussels, and Berlin, who believe Anglo-U.S. action to remove
Saddam Hussein is not justified, particularly during a time of
turmoil in the West Bank. They argue that the Arab-Israeli conflict
and the threat posed by Saddam's regime are intricately linked and
must be handled through international mediation and the continued
engagement and appeasement of Saddam Hussein.
- An opportunity
to gain influence.
After months of being sidelined in the war against terrorism after
the September 11 attacks, the European Union is keen to be seen
flexing its muscles in a region where it believes it has political
and economic influence. The EU continues to cling to delusions of
grandeur regarding its military and peacekeeping capabilities.
Europe would be willing to lead a high-profile U.N.-authorized
peacekeeping operation in the West Bank, despite the disastrous and
humiliating record of European peacekeepers under U.N. (as opposed
to NATO) command in places such as Srebrenica. The operational
feasibility of such a force would depend heavily on whether the
British would participate, which could greatly complicate any
U.S.-U.K. military action against Iraq.
European Sympathy for the Suicide
Bombers
The
EU's External Relations Commissioner, Christopher Patten, who has
led the EU attacks on proposed U.S. military action against Iraq,
is at the forefront of European criticism of Israeli policies. In
an interview with the BBC, Patten accused Sharon of provoking an
"insane cycle" in the Middle East resulting in a "cult of death."
While condemning Palestinian suicide bombers, Patten observed that
"you do have to recognize what is the political context in which
young men and women strap bombs to themselves and go out to murder
other young men and women."
Patten's belief, shared by many of his
colleagues in Brussels, is that Israel has effectively hijacked the
war against terrorism and is deliberately destroying the
Palestinian Authority for purposes that have "nothing to do with
trying to deal with suicide bombers." The aim of the Israelis,
according to Patten, was to "destroy what exists so far of a
quasi-viable Palestinian state."
Patten is by no means alone in Europe in
placing the blame for the Palestinian bombers on Israel. Such
sentiments are widely shared among liberal political elites in
leading European cities, who claim that the supposedly aggressive
policies of the Israelis have provoked violent responses among an
"oppressed" occupied people.
Cherie Blair, wife of the British Prime
Minister, was forced to apologize after she declared at a Medical
Aid for Palestinians charity event in London that "as long as young
people feel they have got no hope but to blow themselves up you are
never going to progress." Her insensitive remarks, made
only hours after a suicide bomber killed 19 Israelis on a bus in
Jerusalem, caused outrage in the British media. British Foreign
Secretary Jack Straw intervened in Mrs. Blair's defense, telling
The Times that "when young people go to their deaths, we can all
feel a degree of compassion for these youngsters. They must be so
depressed and misguided to do this."
European sympathy for the motivation of
the Palestinian suicide bombers illustrates the danger of drawing
moral equivalence between the actions of suicide bombers and the
defensive military operations of Israeli forces. A case in point is
a statement by labour MP Brian Iddon, secretary of the House of
Commons all-party Palestinian group. Referring to the government's
decision to grant export licenses for British components to be used
in American F-16 fighters destined for Israel, Iddon told the
Commons:
I am very disappointed that we are aiding
and abetting the Americans to attack the Palestinians. I have been
disappointed by the British government's attitude towards
Palestine. They keep mentioning in statements suicide bombers,
terrorism, as if the Palestinians were the only ones creating
terrorism in that area. I would submit that Ariel Sharon and
particularly his defense force are equally terrorizing the
Palestinians.
For
the United States, the heart of the matter is the defense of a
democratic nation-state in the face of a sustained campaign of
terrorism while at the same time ensuring the long-term future of
the Palestinian people. In contrast, for many in Europe the issue
is one of economic, racial, and political oppression by a colonial
power. Simplistic parallels are drawn by European politicians and
intellectuals with the former apartheid government in South Africa
and its treatment of the black majority.
British writer Ian Buruma summarized this
view in a critique of left-wing thinking on Israel in an article in
The Guardian. For those on the left, Palestine is the latest cause
célèbre, following in the footsteps of Vietnam,
Chile, and South Africa:
In the case of Israel, as with South
Africa, moral outrage comes more easily. A developing world people
is being oppressed by the rightwing government of a modern
capitalist country, backed by the US. Territory is being occupied
by armed forces, which brings back memories of colonialism.
The
EU, adopting a socialist worldview, argues that the issue of global
poverty is central to the whole debate on the war on terrorism.
Chris Patten made this point during an interview with The Guardian
in which he talked about the "dark side of globalization" and
emphasized the superiority of the EU's "smart development
assistance" over America's use of "smart bombs." Economic
solutions, not military ones, Patten argued, are required in the
long run to defeat the threat of terrorism: "We have realized that
we have to tackle the root causes of terrorism and violence." This view is shared by Robin
Cook, the Leader of the House of Commons and former British Foreign
Secretary, who told MPs that "world poverty provides the breeding
ground for terrorism and the recruiting ground for the
fundamentalists."
Hubert Védrine, the former French
foreign minister, made the same point in an interview with French
radio, when he criticized U.S. foreign policy for its "new simplism
which consists in reducing everything to the war on terrorism." He
emphatically declared, "We cannot accept that idea. You have got to
tackle the root causes, the situations, poverty, injustice."
American "unilateralism," claimed Védrine, presents a
problem for France and for Europe "because it is not our vision of
the world, it is not our vision of international relations."
The
evidence, however, suggests a different situation. Most suicide
bombers are not poverty-stricken, depressed, and desperate. Their
living standards are similar to those of the terrorists who carried
out the attacks of September 11: They are well-educated and highly
motivated people with good jobs who come from wealthy homes. They are driven by political,
racial, and religious hatred of Israel, fostered by the
infrastructure of the Palestinian Authority. The
European policy of giving more money to the PA is both
self-defeating and morally wrong if in any way it contributes to
the wave of suicide attacks that are killing Israelis and
Palestinians alike.
Most
telling is the fact that the European expressions of sympathy for
the suicide bombers contrast strikingly with the conclusions of a
detailed investigative report by Amnesty International--for many
years a fierce critic of Israeli occupation of the West Bank. The
July 2002 Amnesty report focused on the 130 attacks by Palestinian
armed groups on Israeli civilians that have claimed 350 lives since
the start of the al-Aqsa intifada on September 29, 2000. The
Amnesty report concludes that Palestinian attacks on Israeli
civilians "constitute crimes against humanity under international
law" and emphasizes that
Amnesty International condemns
unreservedly direct attacks on civilians as well as indiscriminate
attacks, whatever the cause for which the perpetrators are
fighting, whatever justification they give for their actions....
Targeting civilians and being reckless as to their fate are
contrary to fundamental principles of humanity which should apply
in all circumstances at all times.
European Funding for the Palestinian
Authority
President Bush's call for the removal of
Yasser Arafat helped to focus attention on the EU's substantial
funding program for the Palestinian Authority and the possible
links between European aid and Palestinian terrorist organizations.
The EU is the world's biggest donor of aid to the Palestinian
Authority, and European Members of Parliament have expressed
outrage at the destruction of EU-funded projects by Israeli forces.
The World Bank claims that the cost of Israeli-inflicted damage to
Palestinian infrastructure during recent military operations
amounts to US$600 million to US$800 million.
According to official European Commission
figures, the EU gives the Palestinian Authority 10 million euros a
month (US$9.6 million) in direct budgetary assistance and has
handed over 1.4 billion euros (US$1.34 billion) to the PA since
1993. Some European newspapers
estimate the total figure to be far higher. The Financial Times has
put the figure for EU aid to the PA between 1994 and 2000 at
US$3.36 billion, during which time the Europeans turned a blind eye
to corruption, illegal weapons factories, and security force human
rights violations.
In
addition to its monthly handout to the Palestinians, the European
Commission recently decided to award 260,000 euros (US$250,000) to
Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli detention centers. This legal
aid is part of the "European initiative for democracy and human
rights," designed to assist Palestinians "in the event of
ill-treatment and torture during interrogations carried out by the
army and the Israeli secret service."
The
European Commission has agreed in principle to continue funding the
Palestinian Authority through February 2003. The primary objectives
of EU budgetary support are
to mitigate the effects of the freeze of
revenue transfers by the Government of Israel, thus contributing to
the functioning of the PA administration and to the restoration of
the conditions necessary for peace once the present crisis is over;
[and] to contribute to sounder and more transparent budget
management of the PA over the medium to longer term.
In
contrast, the United States gives no funds directly to the
Palestinian Authority, but remains one of the largest donors of
humanitarian aid to the Palestinian people. The United States, in
fact, channels $142 million a year to the Palestinians through the
United Nations, the Red Cross, and non-governmental
organizations.
A
high degree of international concern exists over the PA's use of EU
funds. The Israelis have provided detailed evidence in a
parliamentary report that some EU aid has been used to promote
Palestinian terrorism. The Israeli government alleges that Yasser
Arafat was "personally involved in the planning and execution of
terror attacks" by giving financial support to gunmen from the
Fatah al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade. According to the report, "Arafat and
his men used the funds donated to them by other countries,
including the European Union, to finance terrorist activity." The allegations, based on
captured Palestinian Authority documents, have been widely quoted
in European newspapers, including The Times in London.
A
damning indictment of Brussels' links with Arafat was published
recently in the widely respected German newspaper Die Zeit. The
evidence put forward in the Die Zeit report clearly suggests a link
between EU subsidies and Palestinian terrorism. The report's
authors concluded that "the gullibility, the naiveté and the
forbearance of the Europeans seems unending." Their
findings were backed by The Wall Street Journal Europe, which noted
in an editorial that "in its lavish aid policies toward the
Palestinian Authority the EU has indirectly contributed to the
Palestinian suicide bombings."
These claims were dismissed by the
European Commission after an internal investigation headed by Chris
Patten. Unsurprisingly, the Commission concluded:
We have found no evidence of EU funds
being used for purposes other than those agreed between the EU and
the PA. The documents presented to us by Israel do not prove that
EU funds have been misused.... So there is no case for stating that
EU money has financed terrorism, has financed the purchase of
weapons, or any similar activities.
Significantly, the Commission's defense of
the EU's handling of aid to the Palestinians rested heavily on its
assertion that the disbursement of EU aid is subject to stringent
monitoring by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). According to
Patten,
the European Commission has imposed
stringent conditionality on the use of funds and monitors the
implementation of agreements with the PA extremely closely. All
budgetary assistance is strictly vetted. The payments (10 million
euros a month) are only transferred after the IMF has verified that
the money has been properly spent according to the agreed
purpose.
An
EU-sponsored working group on the state of the EU budget even went
so far as to boast that EU payments to the Palestinians were
subject to "the most extensive and intrusive monitoring system in
any post-conflict situation."
Embarrassingly for the Commission,
however, the IMF denies that it has responsibility for monitoring
EU funds, making a mockery of EU claims that its Palestinian aid is
independently scrutinized. In a statement issued to The Wall Street
Journal, the IMF's Director of External Relations stated that
The IMF does not "monitor foreign
assistance" to the Palestinian Authority. It simply provides the EU
with information about broad developments related to its budget. It
does not monitor or control every item in the budget.
The
IMF's statement suggests that the EU is actively misleading the
international community with regard to the nature of the monitoring
of its funds for the PA. Under present conditions, it seems
impossible for the EU to be certain that European taxpayers' money
is not being used to support Palestinian terrorism. Further, it is
highly unlikely that an internal investigation by the European
Commission, a body that only recently emerged from one of Europe's
biggest corruption scandals, can be objective and thus hold real
credibility.
Indeed, the entire EU budget management
system has recently been described as "out of control" and
"shambolic" by the European Union's former chief accountant, Marta
Andreasen, raising serious doubts as to whether the European
Commission is able to monitor international aid projects
adequately, let alone monitor the European Community's massive 98
billion euro (US$94 billion) annual expenditure.
The
Commission's response to international concern, as well as internal
European doubts, has been arrogant and dismissive and should be
challenged forcefully by the United States. The Bush Administration
should press for the establishment of an independent international
commission of inquiry to establish whether European funds are being
used by Palestinian terrorist organizations or have been used by
them in the past.
At
the same time, the Administration should call on the EU to halt its
direct funding of the Palestinian Authority until elections have
been held and a new leadership emerges. The European Union should
be encouraged to divert its aid program away from the
infrastructure of the PA and into properly audited humanitarian
assistance programs run by non-governmental organizations and
linked to bank accounts that cannot be accessed by Arafat or his
cabinet officials.
THE ISSUE OF U.S.-U.K. MILITARY ACTION
AGAINST IRAQ
Britain's relatively pro-Israel position
is dictated both by Tony Blair's concern for the security of the
Israeli state and, more important, by his desire to be seen as
acting in unison with the United States on a key foreign policy
issue. Undoubtedly, the increasing tension in the Middle East has
given encouragement and added leverage to the large number of
Labour backbench Members of Parliament opposed to Britain's
participation in a U.S.-led military action against Iraq. The
number of MPs who signed a Commons motion expressing "deep unease"
at British support for the United States over Iraq has risen to
nearly 150.
Prominent left-wing Labour backbencher
George Galloway has warned Blair that the Iraq issue could topple
the Labour leader and split the government. In an interview with
Scottish television, Galloway stated:
I think it would split the Labour Party
down the middle and it could lead to the defeat of the Blair
leadership in the Labour Party, because it would be the last straw
that broke the camel's back. There's already a lot of unhappiness
with Tony Blair on a whole range of things and if he led us into
such a disaster as this behind the generalship of George W. Bush,
it could be the last straw for Blair.
The
fiercest critics of Israeli military action in the Commons are
socialist MPs like Galloway who are at the forefront of an effort
to stop Britain from joining the United States in military action
against Iraq. Galloway has called for a boycott of goods from
Israel and joined with 70 other MPs in calling for a suspension of
trade with that country.
There is little doubt that the current
Arab-Israeli conflict will make it harder in the long run for Blair
to sell a war against Iraq to an already skeptical parliamentary
Labour party. Gerald Kaufman, still an
influential figure among Labour backbenchers, has warned that "the
whole Muslim world would be united against the United States" if
the allies decide to attack Iraq.Blair
will also come under increasing pressure from pro-Palestinian
Cabinet members, such as Jack Straw, International Development
Secretary Clare Short, and Leader of the House of Commons Robin
Cook, to seek a negotiated Israeli-Palestinian settlement before
considering an extension of the war against terrorism beyond
Afghanistan.
The
White House, however, should remain confident that America's
closest ally, Great Britain, will support U.S. military action
against Baghdad in the immediate future. It is understood that the
British Ministry of Defense is preparing to mobilize over 30,000
military personnel for an Iraq campaign involving land, air, and
sea forces, including a 20,000-strong division of armored and
infantry brigades. The ground forces will be supported by an
aircraft carrier group and up to 50 combat jets. Senior
defense officials in London are drawing up plans for as many as
15,000 British troops to remain in Iraq for up to five years as
part of an occupation force once Saddam's regime has been removed
from power.
In
preparation for the expanded British role in the war on terrorism,
Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown has announced a rise in
defense spending of £3.5 billion (US$5.4 billion), the most
significant increase in 20 years. Britain's defense budget will
rise from £29.3 billion (US$45 billion) in 2002 to
£32.8 billion (US$51 billion) by 2005-2006. Defense Secretary Geoff Hoon
is implementing a major overhaul of Britain's armed forces, aimed
at enhancing the U.K.'s ability to rapidly deploy troops around the
world. The restructuring is designed to ensure that British forces
are able to operate successfully alongside their U.S. counterparts
in theatres of operation.
In
principle, Blair is firmly behind taking action to remove Saddam
Hussein from power. However, the Bush Administration needs to apply
pressure on Blair to remain fully on-side during the coming months
in the build-up to a possible war with Iraq. The Bush
Administration should be aware that Tony Blair's appetite for
action against Saddam could start to wane if Britain becomes
enmeshed in international efforts to contain the Arab-Israeli
conflict. Both America and Britain will also face intense pressure
from the EU to desist from striking Iraq.
In
terms of British support for U.S.-led action against Saddam, it is
in the interests of Washington to act sooner rather than later
against Baghdad, for two key reasons:
- Blair's position
at present is secure enough to withstand Labour calls for Britain
to drop plans to join America in a war against Iraq.
Blair's relatively strong standing as both Prime Minister and
leader of the Labour Party is likely to erode over the next six to
12 months through potential leadership challenges and growing
discontent on the left within the party. Blair will go into a war
against Iraq only from a position of strength and if he believes
his position is secure.
- Blair is an
avowed internationalist and will be tempted to involve Britain
deeply in any international peace initiative in the West
Bank.
He has already talked about sending British observers into the
region; if Britain were to participate in a U.N.-mandated
peacekeeping operation, the U.K. could become embroiled in an
escalating conflict that could sap British military strength and
make it difficult for Britain to justify waging war in another part
of the Middle East. A dramatic deterioration of the situation in
the occupied territories, with British military and diplomatic
involvement, would make it almost impossible for Britain to focus
on a war with Iraq. The further Britain becomes caught up in an
Arab-Israeli conflict, the less likely it will be that the British
government will commit to a campaign to oust Saddam.