Rebuilding Iraq's economy after a U.S.-led invasion to remove
Saddam Hussein from power should be just as important as developing
its government, Heritage Foundation analysts say.
America should offer guidance to Iraq's federal government after
the war to improve the country's frayed economy, which is nearly
entirely run by the government and is having hard times-including
$140 billion in foreign debt. To do so would help Iraqis achieve a
better life away from war and terrorism and increase stability in
the volatile Middle East, Heritage experts Ariel Cohen and Gerald
P. O'Driscoll say in a paper released today.
"The road to economic prosperity in Iraq will not be easily
paved," caution Cohen, a research fellow in Russian and Eurasian
Studies, and O'Driscoll, director of Heritage's Center for Trade
and International Economics and a former vice president of the
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. "But structural reform and
comprehensive privatization is a win-win strategy for the people of
Iraq, its future government, the region and the United
States."
According to Cohen and O'Driscoll, the best ways for Iraq to create
a better economy include:
- Reforming the legal system to recognize property rights.
- Hiring Iraqi expatriates and Western-educated Arabic speakers
with financial, legal and business expertise to fill key government
positions.
- Deregulating prices.
- Preparing state-owned assets-including industries, utilities,
transportation, ports, airports and pipelines-for sale to the
private sector.
- Keeping the budget balanced and taxes and tariffs low.
- Educating the Iraqi people about the economic changes through a
public-information campaign.
Such economic reforms would have to be undertaken by a new
government. Heritage experts John Hulsman and James Phillips argue
in another paper that the United States can help Iraqis develop a
new form of government. However, they stress, America must refrain
from indulging in "top-down, highly centralized nation-building"-a
policy that proved unsuccessful in Haiti, Somalia, Kosovo and
Bosnia.
Instead, write Hulsman, a research fellow in European affairs, and
Phillips, a research fellow in Middle Eastern affairs, the United
States should help Iraq's long-suffering opposition movements work
toward developing a decentralized, federal democratic government.
This system, they maintain, offers Iraq's three major groups-Sunni
Arabs, Shiite Arabs and Kurds-"the best means of assuring local
autonomy, protection against the return of a tyrannical central
government, a fair share of the political settlement … and
an equitable disbursement of Iraq's oil and tax revenues."
The United States and its allies can start laying the groundwork
for an effective new government now, the Heritage analysts write,
by helping unify the various Iraqi opposition movements and
encouraging them to form a government in exile.
However, they stress, neither the United States nor the United
Nations should carry the responsibility for building a post-war
political system.
"It will be up to the Iraqis themselves to establish a state after
Saddam Hussein's regime falls and its weapons of mass destruction
are destroyed," Hulsman and Phillips write. "They must take
ownership over the constitutional outcome before their respective
polities, rather than hide under the notion of an American or U.N.
diktat."
In fact, the United States should remain in Iraq to achieve its war
aims and to protect vital U.S. interests, write Heritage analysts
Baker Spring and Jack Spencer in a third paper.
"Post-war U.S. military activities should be focused on securing
war aims with a post-war force intended to stabilize Iraq, not to
administer the country or create a new government," write Spring,
Heritage's F.M. Kirby fellow in national security policy, and
Spencer, a policy analyst for defense and national security.
"Troops that remain after the invasion should be hunting terrorist
cells, and destroying Iraq's stockpile of weapons of mass
destruction."