Secretary of State Colin Powell's eloquent
February 5 speech to the United Nations Security Council was both a
devastating indictment of Iraq for failing to comply with its
disarmament obligations under Security Council Resolution 1441 and
a clarion call for urgent action to disarm Iraq. Powell revealed
new details about Iraq's systematic efforts to thwart U.N.
inspectors and its clandestine cooperation with Osama bin Laden's
al-Qaeda terrorist network.
Taken together, these revelations
decisively refute the case for giving Saddam Hussein's intractable
regime yet another "last chance" to disarm itself. Powell's
revelations severely undermine the argument, made by France and
other wavering Security Council members, that Saddam Hussein can be
"contained" by U.N. inspectors. The exposure of Iraq's links to
al-Qaeda underscores the urgent need to disarm Saddam's rogue
regime as soon as possible. The United States should now press the
Security Council to enforce its own resolution to disarm Iraq. If
the Security Council fails to do so, the Bush Administration should
make good on its pledge to lead a coalition of the willing to
disarm Iraq by force, without formal U.N. backing if necessary.
Powell's
Persuasive Indictment
Powell did not reveal "smoking gun" evidence of Iraqi
possession of prohibited weapons, but he was not required to do so:
Security Council Resolution 1441 placed the burden of proof on Iraq
to prove that it has disarmed, not on the inspectors or the United
States to prove the reverse. All that Powell needed to prove was
that Iraq was not cooperating as required under Resolution 1441,
and he did that beyond a shadow of a doubt. By revealing
communications intercepts of Iraqi Republican Guard officers
discussing plans to hide prohibited weapons and satellite photos of
trucks removing material from suspected weapon sites before the
arrival of U.N. inspectors, Powell exposed Iraq's elaborate efforts
to cover its tracks.
Powell also revealed new information based
on "solid intelligence" about Iraq's links to al-Qaeda terrorists,
reinforcing the urgent need to disarm Iraq to prevent it from
passing chemical and biological weapons--the ultimate terrorist
weapons--to some of the world's most dangerous terrorists. Powell
charged that Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, a bin Laden lieutenant who
oversaw a terrorist training camp in Afghanistan that specialized
in the use of poisons, had fled to Iraq after the defeat of
Afghanistan's Taliban regime and established another al-Qaeda
training camp there.
Al-Zarqawi's terrorist cell, now based in
Baghdad, has operated freely in Iraq for more than eight months,
moving terrorists, money, and supplies throughout the country and
beyond. Last year, two al-Qaeda agents associated with al-Zarqawi's
Baghdad cell were caught trying to cross Iraq's border with Saudi
Arabia. Moreover, Powell charged that al-Zarqawi's associates had
been involved in the October 28 assassination of Laurence Foley, an
American diplomat in Jordan, as well as terrorist plots against
France, Britain, Spain, Italy, Germany, and Russia.
Powell's speech would be strong enough to
persuade any impartial jury of Iraq's failure to disarm and the
urgent need to enforce U.N. Resolution 1441. As Powell noted, "The
facts speak for themselves." But the Security Council is far from
an impartial jury. It is a collection of U.N. member states that
often pursue their own narrow interests at the expense of
collective security. France, Russia, and China to varying degrees
have an economic stake in the survival of Saddam Hussein's regime
and a political interest in constraining the United States. They
will likely continue to lobby for more time for U.N. weapon
inspections, despite Iraq's manifest failure to cooperate with the
inspections as required under Resolution 1441, because they see the
inspectors as a means of constraining the United States.
Giving inspections more time will not
solve anything. As Secretary of State Powell noted, the inspectors
are not detectives. Their mission is to verify Iraq's disarmament
claims, not play an endless game of hide and seek. Inspectors
cannot find all prohibited weapons hidden by an obstinately hostile
regime in a country bigger than Texas. Moreover, ineffective
inspections are worse than no inspections at all because they
convey the dangerous illusion that arms control is working in Iraq.
The Bush Administration should block any new French and German
proposals to send more inspectors into Iraq to prolong the failed
inspection effort. The problem is not a lack of inspectors, but the
lack of Iraqi compliance.
Rather than allow Baghdad to keep making a
mockery of inspections by prolonging its elaborate shell game, the
Bush Administration should press the Security Council to take
immediate action to enforce Resolution 1441 when it convenes on
February 14 to receive the next report of Hans Blix, the head of
the U.N. inspection team. Another resolution is not legally
required because existing U.N. resolutions, including Resolution
1441, provide sufficient legal basis for military action. But the
Bush Administration may be tempted to seek another resolution for
political reasons, to provide diplomatic cover for uneasy allies
such as France, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia to fully support the use
of force to disarm Iraq.
President Bush indicated on February 6
that he was open to seeking a new Security Council resolution to
support military action to disarm Iraq and challenged the council
to back its words with action. But the U.S. should avoid being
bogged down in another time-consuming Security Council debate. If
it opts to seek another resolution, the Administration must not
allow the goal of disarming Iraq as soon as possible to be diluted
or delayed. It therefore may be preferable to call for a vote for a
simple declaration that Iraq is in material breach of Resolution
1441, which would authorize member states to force Iraq to
comply.
Conclusion
The United States cannot afford to be diverted from its
urgent goal of disarming Iraq by shortsighted efforts to prolong a
stillborn inspection process that allows Saddam Hussein to feign
disarmament. The Bush Administration should follow up on Secretary
Powell's strong speech by seeking a Security Council vote declaring
that Iraq is in material breach of Resolution 1441. If the Security
Council fails to enforce its own resolution to disarm Iraq, the
United States should firmly stay its course and lead a coalition of
the willing to disarm Iraq by military means.
James A.
Phillips is a Research Fellow in Middle Eastern Studies in
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies at The Heritage Foundation.