When the President proposed ending the double tax on dividends,
many critics charged that such a policy would not increase
corporate investment.
These critics argued that since large institutional investors, such
as tax-exempt pension and mutual fund companies, hold large
percentages of corporate stock, dividend tax relief would be
unlikely to increase corporate investment.
However, these
arguments ignore the fact that even institutional investors pass on
corporate profits to individual investors. Furthermore, a close
examination of the data strongly suggests that most corporate
equity is not held by large tax-exempt investors, leaving the
critics to search for another reason to oppose the President's
plan. Institutional investors do own about 66 percent of the
outstanding shares of the S&P 500 companies.
This high percentage of
institutional ownership, however, obscures several important facts.
To begin, all shares held by institutions are held with the purpose
of earning a profit for the institutions'
individual
investors, individuals who are likely to pay taxes. Additionally,
focusing only on the S&P 500, rather than all publicly traded
companies, makes the overall percentage of institutional ownership
seem much higher than it really is.
As of January 2003, institutional investors held only about
thirty percent of the outstanding shares of stock in a sample
of7,158 publicly traded firms. Looked at differently, private
investors held approximately seventy percent of these shares. In
fact, sixty percent of these firms had less than one-third of their
stocks owned by tax-exempt investors (see
Table 1 - Percentage of Shares Held By
Institutional Investors). Furthermore, when this
sample is classified by common equity, number of common shares
outstanding and book value of assets (measures of size), the data
suggest that institutional investors are most likely to buy only
the largest companies:
For instance, Table 2 shows that the median percentage of shares
held institutionally for firms with less than $1 million in equity
is only 1.58 percent. In fact, the median percentage for companies
with between $50 and $75 million in equity is just above 21
percent. Similarly, Table 4 shows that the median percentage of
shares held by institutions for firms with less than $10 million in
assets is less than one percent. Moreover, the median percentage
for corporations with between $150 and $300 million in assets is
slightly less than 26 percent. These figures suggest that the
President's plan would directly lower the cost of capital for
smaller businesses.
Also, when classified by industry, the data show that individuals
hold a larger percentage of outstanding stock than looking at just
the S&P 500 companies would suggest (see
Table 5 - Percentage of Shares Held By
Institutional Investors, Classified by Industry). For example,
individuals own almost three-fourths of the outstanding stock in
oil and gas industry firms. Similarly, individuals hold
approximately 65 and 88 percent of the outstanding shares in the
Machinery and Telecommunications Services industries,
respectively.
Overall, the data strongly suggest that most shares of corporate
equity are held by private investors. These figures, combined with
the fact that all returns eventually have to be passed through to
individuals, demonstrate that corporate managers cannot ignore tax
consequences when estimating their firms' cost of capital. Whether
corporate managers assume their shareholders are in the 10 or 39
percent tax bracket, eliminating the double tax on corporate income
will lower their hurdle rates, thus leading to increased investment
and job growth.