British Prime
Minister Tony Blair met this week with President Bush in Belfast.
This was the third meeting between the two leaders in the last
month. A number of issues were on the agenda, including the
progress of coalition forces in the Iraq war, the Northern Ireland
peace process, the road map for peace in the Middle East, and the
future of transatlantic relations. The summit was dominated by
discussion of the post-war administration of Iraq, and the
potential role of the United Nations.
While there will
undoubtedly continue to be disagreement between the two leaders
over the extent of UN involvement in a post-war Iraq, it is
imperative that the White House and Downing Street remain united in
their determination to liberate the Iraqi people, and that the
Anglo-US special relationship remain the cornerstone of long-term
strategic thinking in Washington and London.
There is an
important role to be played by the United Nations in a post-war
Iraq - but it should be limited and restricted to purely
humanitarian intervention, carried out by agencies such as UNICEF
and the World Food Program. An organisation which failed to enforce
no less than 17 resolutions calling for Iraqi disarmament lacks the
moral standing or the capability to either administer Iraq or to
enforce security in the country after Saddam Hussein is removed
from power.
UN and
Post-War Iraq
Tony Blair has
signaled his support for seeking a UN mandate for a transitional US
and British-led Iraqi administration. The White House has so far
demonstrated no enthusiasm for such a course of action. It is
imperative that there is no public spat between Washington and
London over this issue. There must be no open divide, which would
aid the cause of opponents of US/British military action against
Iraq.
The likelihood of
Blair gaining a UN resolution on Iraq is close to zero, unless
major concessions are made to Paris, Berlin and Moscow. French
President Jacques Chirac has made it clear that France will veto
any resolution at the UN Security Council, which "would legitimize
the military intervention and give the belligerents, the United
States and the United Kingdom, the right to administer Iraq."
Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin has argued that the UN must
have supremacy in post-war Baghdad: "The UN must steer the process
and must be at the heart of the reconstruction and administration
of Iraq".
President Bush
should make it clear that there is no need for further discussions
at the UN. The United Nations should play a subordinate role on the
Iraq issue, with the United States and Great Britain taking the
lead in administering a post-war Iraqi transition government. UN
intervention in a post-Saddam Iraq would merely strengthen the hand
of those nations who have opposed even the principle of regime
change in Baghdad, and which have appeased the Iraqi dictatorship
for decades. It is important for the future of the Iraqi people
that France, Germany and Russia play no significant part in the
creation of the new Iraqi state.
British
Role in Post-War Security Force
President Bush is
likely to ask Britain to play a lead role in post-war security
operations in Iraq. Britain has deployed 45,000 combat troops to
the Gulf, thousands of whom are at the forefront of military action
against the Iraqi regime. Downing Street has already discussed the
possibility of 15,000 British troops remaining in Iraq after the
downfall of the Baathist regime. They would join up to 40,000 other
coalition forces (mainly American), and would be charged with the
securing of large cities, the defence of borders, and the
protection of Kurdish areas. Other key roles would include the
protection of Iraq's energy infrastructure and the hunt for weapons
of mass destruction and terrorist cells.
There is a strong
case to be made for Britain taking the command of the security
element of a post-war force, under the overall command of General
Tommy Franks. The British have a broad and highly successful record
of non-combat operations in a number of theatres across the globe,
including Afghanistan, Kosovo, Bosnia, Sierra Leone and Northern
Ireland, and would be ideally suited to running the highly complex
post-war Iraq security operation. The British have an in-depth
knowledge of Iraq and the region, and have close diplomatic and
historical ties with much of the Arab world. A British-led military
operation would be less likely to inflame tensions and complicate
Bush Administration plans for democratization in the region. In
addition, it would allow the United States to free up much-needed
resources to other parts of the world for the wider war against
terrorism.
Conclusion
Great Britain is
viewed unquestionably by Washington as its most important ally,
politically, strategically and militarily and is seen as the
keystone of the coalition of the willing formed to unseat Saddam
Hussein. President Bush and Prime Minister Blair have jointly
displayed outstanding world leadership at a time when the United
Nations has demonstrated a lack of moral fortitude and a blatant
unwillingness to enforce its own resolutions.
There is though an
increasing danger of a US-British rift over the role of the UN in a
post-war Iraq. The White House must privately put across the view
to Downing Street that it would be a grave error to return to the
UN to seek yet another resolution on the Iraq question. If Britain
and America were to do so, the two powers could become mired in
endless negotiations at the Security Council, debating nations that
would happily have kept Saddam Hussein in power. The ultimate
losers would be the Iraqi people themselves.
In the weeks ahead
the Bush Administration must rebuff UN plans for a central role in
a post-war government. Such a plan would jeopardize the United
States' key war aims and seriously hamper President Bush's
vision of establishing a free Iraqi nation from the ashes of
tyranny, and spreading democracy throughout the Middle East.
Nile Gardiner Ph.D.
is Visiting Fellow in
Anglo-American Security Policy, and John Hulsman Ph.D. is Research Fellow in European
Affairs, at the Heritage Foundation in Washington, DC.