A
primary goal of U.S. policy in Latin America is to promote economic
and political stability. To this end, using its leverage as the
world's largest and most attractive market, the United States urges
trading partners to move rapidly on free markets and trade
liberalization, which in turn foster the economic growth that
serves as a catalyst for economic and political stability
throughout the region.
This
is a challenging task, especially at a time when the region is
plagued with recessions, economic crises, and political instability
that feed into a growing anti-American sentiment, caused by a
perceived failure of U.S. pro-market policies and a complete
misunderstanding of the reasons behind the U.S. military action in
Iraq. These make a lethal combination that could undermine the U.S.
goal of promoting liberalization in the region.
The
U.S.-Chile free trade agreement (FTA) is an important first step
toward the U.S. policy goal. FTA negotiations with Chile concluded
last December, and the agreement now awaits the signature of both
countries' presidents and the approval of their legislatures.
An
FTA between Chile and the European Union has been in effect since
February 2003. This means that if the U.S. walks away from the
Chilean FTA, it will have abandoned Chile--and potentially the rest
of Latin America--to the influence of France, Germany, and the
other EU members. Therefore, it is strategically important for
President George W. Bush to sign the U.S.-Chile FTA next month and
for Congress to approve it in order to reaffirm the U.S. policy of
promoting regional economic and political stability and building
friendships with Latin American countries.
For Europe,
Against America
In the early 1990s, Latin American governments began to
open markets, attract foreign investment, and consolidate
democracy. However, reforms were not completed. As a result, this
"partial opening" brought a spurt of economic growth that could not
be sustained.
With
the exception of Chile, Latin American countries still have bloated
bureaucracies, convoluted taxes, and rigid labor laws and still
lack the rule of law that helps to guarantee property protection.
After growth peaked, most Latin American countries faced a
recession for over three years and, in some cases, an economic
crisis that wiped out the little wealth created during the reform
years. Many governments have become weaker and politically
unstable.
Recessions and crises became fertile
grounds for populist movements, which grew in Peru after the 2000
crisis, Argentina after the 2001 crisis, Uruguay following the
Argentine crisis, Brazil with the 2002 presidential victory of a
left-wing party, and Venezuela with the 1998 presidential victory
of a leader of the 1992 military coup. These groups claim that U.S.
pro-market policies caused their economic misery and that their
countries should close their markets and promote self-reliance and
greater welfare programs, much like those in Europe.
If
they become more organized, populist groups could significantly
influence policy. Populist leaders with positions in government
could eventually align themselves with Europe and allow Europe to
exert greater influence on their policies. In such an event,
America's leverage to advance its regional policies would be
significantly weakened.
A First Step
Toward Regional Stability
Promoting open markets in Latin America is in the best
interests of all concerned. Open markets will strengthen the
economies of Latin American countries, their democratic
institutions, and their political environments. Strengthening their
ties with the United States will turn them into partners with the
United States.
Free
trade agreements are an excellent framework both for negotiating
lower trade barriers and for setting the rules for reform,
transparency, contract enforcement, and respect for the rule of
law. Expanding free trade between the United States and the region
will create economic opportunity that allows the people of Latin
America to appreciate U.S. principles of political and economic
freedom.
Signing and approving the FTA with Chile
is the first step toward the U.S. goal of Latin American economic
liberalization. The approval of this agreement is important for
both economic and political reasons:
- Economics
According to the National Association of Manufacturers
(NAM), the absence of a U.S.-Chile FTA costs U.S. exporters $800
million per year in sales, affecting 10,000 U.S. jobs. The NAM
estimates that the largest losses of U.S. market share in recent
years were in wheat, corn, soybeans, paper, plastics, paints and
dyes, fertilizers, heating equipment, and construction
equipment.
- Politics
An FTA with Chile locks in Chilean reforms and requires more
reforms, such as the elimination of capital controls, the
streamlining of regulations on intellectual property rights, and
the establishment of transparent rules for contracting services.
These reforms will turn Chile into a Latin American success story
that other countries will want to imitate, both as a model of
success and as a means of accessing the U.S. market. Equally
important, the FTA with Chile will show other countries that the
United States is committed to strengthening ties with the region.
Such a signal will weaken the populist anti-American message and
encourage countries to align themselves with the United States by
adopting the American principles of economic and political freedom
and the rule of law.
Conclusion
The United States wants to promote economic and political
stability in Latin America. The best strategy for the U.S. is to
use its leverage as the world's largest and most attractive market
to negotiate rapid economic liberalization so that Latin American
economies become healthier and their political environment more
stable. At the same time, this will strengthen America's ties with
this important region and dissuade Latin American countries from
exploring an economic alliance with Europe against the United
States.
The
U.S.-Chile FTA is the first step toward this goal because, as the
FTA turns Chile into a success story, other countries will want to
follow suit. It is therefore strategically important for President
Bush to sign the U.S.-Chile FTA next month and for Congress to
approve it promptly, both to promote economic and political
stability in the region and to build new partnerships with Latin
America.
Ana I. Eiras
is Senior Policy Analyst for Economic Freedom in the Center for
International Trade and Economics at The Heritage
Foundation.