Welfare reforms enacted in 1996 have had a
more powerful impact than almost any observer at that time might
have predicted: National welfare caseloads have fallen 60 percent,
employment among former recipients has risen sharply, and black
child poverty is down by a third and at its lowest point in U.S.
history.
Central to the change resulting from the
reforms passed by the Republican Congress and signed into law by
President Bill Clinton in 1996, creating the Temporary Assistance
to Needy Families (TANF) program, is the requirement that those who
are receiving welfare assistance either work in the private economy
or engage in constructive activities leading to employment. To
ensure that this expectation is real, the current law specifies a
minimum proportion of the overall welfare caseload that must be
actively participating in constructive activities.
The
importance of getting TANF recipients to engage in welfare-to-work
activities is obvious. If a large proportion of recipients are
staying at home doing nothing to help themselves become
self-sufficient, the TANF reforms can have only a limited impact.
Consequently, both Republican and Democrat legislators agreed in
debates last year that, in order to be effective, continued reform
must require a large percentage of recipients, not just a small
portion, to be working toward independence. As then-Senate Finance
Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT) said about his own proposal
during last year's reauthorization discussion:
We strengthen and refine the work
requirements [and] we require states to implement "universal
engagement" procedures to ensure that every welfare recipient has a
plan for leaving welfare for self-sufficiency and is following
through on that plan.
In
short, there is a bipartisan consensus that adult welfare
recipients should not be idle on the rolls. Notwithstanding this
rhetorical consensus in favor of universal engagement, however, a
difference remains as to what percentage of the TANF caseload can
actually be expected to engage in constructive activities leading
to self-sufficiency.
In
practical terms, what would "universal engagement" of TANF
recipients mean? This paper uses TANF participation data from New
York City to answer this question.

High-Level Engagement: the New York
Example
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph
Giuliani set a goal of engaging the largest feasible proportion of
welfare recipients in constructive activities leading to
employment. In order to maximize the involvement of welfare
recipients in these activities, Mayor Giuliani took the following
steps:
- All applicants for welfare were enrolled
in New York's welfare-to-work program immediately, even while their
applications were pending, and were required to look for work.
- If a recipient did not obtain employment
within a relatively short time, ongoing efforts to find employment
were combined with other self-sufficiency activities such as
working for government agencies in exchange for benefits (work
experience) or engaging in training, education, or substance abuse
treatment.
- Tracking of recipient attendance in
scheduled activities was made a very high management priority, as
were efforts to follow up with participants who dropped out of
their assignments.
- Job-placement vendors were paid only for
successful job placement and retention, rather than on a "process"
basis.
The
results of New York's "high engagement" program are shown in Chart
1. In
December 2001, fully 67 percent of recipients were engaged in
welfare-to-work activities, another 14 percent were scheduled to
start activities within six weeks, and only 20 percent were
unengaged.
More
detailed figures are shown in Table 1, which provides a breakdown
of the exact activities undertaken by the New York City TANF
caseload.

- Total Engaged
Cases (line 2)
Engaged cases, comprising 67 percent of the caseload, were
made up of the following:
--23.9 percent of recipients were in
private employment (line 3), either in regular or subsidized
private jobs.
--12.5 percent were in a work experience
program (line 4), usually for three days a week and combined with
other constructive activities such as job search, education, or
training. "Work experience" as used here means working as an
assistant in a government agency or nonprofit organization in
exchange for welfare benefits.
--10.6 percent were engaged through other
participation (line 5), which means constructive activity such as
education and training, without concurrent work experience
activity.
--19.6 percent were engaged with sanction
(line 6). These individuals had an assignment but were not
currently attending. Consequently, some had their benefits reduced,
while others were under review by the welfare agency.
- Scheduled to
Start Activity Within Six Weeks (line 7)
These cases, which made up 13.6 percent of the adult TANF
caseload, included new applicants or individuals who needed a
medical assessment to determine their capabilities before they were
given an assignment.
- Total Cases Not
Engaged (line 8)
These cases, representing 19.7 percent of the caseload,
are made up of the following:
--15.5 percent were temporarily inactive
for health reasons, the presence of a newborn, or because they were
needed at home to care for a relative.
--4.3 percent were long term inactive for
reasons such as acute AIDS or old age.
The
experience from Mayor Giuliani's New York City welfare reform
program demonstrates the feasibility of achieving high
participation rates among TANF recipients. As Chart 1 shows, in
December 2001, fully two-thirds of all welfare cases in which an
adult parent was present were engaged in the program. Only 20
percent were inactive.
Outcomes of New York's "High Engagement"
Policy
New
York City's "high engagement" policy resulted in a steep decline in
the welfare dependency rate. Between August 1996 and February 2003,
the caseload declined by 57 percent. This downward trend
continued even after the 9/11 disaster. The most recent data show
that there has been an 11 percent drop in the caseload over the
14-month period ending in February 2003.
Moreover, as New York's "high engagement"
efforts reached ever greater numbers of previously idle recipients,
employment rates jumped. Near the beginning of the Giuliani reforms
in 1996, 42 percent of single mothers in New York City were
employed. As the Giuliani work-based reforms took effect, by 2001,
the employment rate had soared to 61 percent.
The
impact of reform was even more dramatic among the group most likely
to be on welfare--single mothers without a high school degree.
Employment in this group jumped from 16 percent in 1996 to 42
percent in 2001. Overall, compared against
all U.S. central city areas, Census Bureau information shows that,
between 1995-96 and 2000-01, New York City increased its employment
of single mothers at twice the national rate.
As
would be expected, when employment goes up by this much, poverty
comes down. New York City's poverty rate was cut by one-fourth
during this period, from 27 percent in 1995-96 to 20 percent in
2000-01. The decline in poverty among children was even steeper,
dropping from 42 percent in 1995-96 to 30 percent in 2000-01.

Low Participation Rates in the
States
The
successful 1996 federal welfare reform law was based on the
principle that welfare should not be a one-way handout. Recipients
should not remain idle on the rolls but should be required to
obtain jobs. If a job is not immediately available, recipients
should engage in constructive activities leading toward employment
such as supervised job search, work experience, or training.
In
the years since enactment of the 1996 reform, states have raised
the activity level of welfare recipients. Nonetheless, activity
rates in the TANF program remain far lower than they should be. In
2001, 43.2 percent of adults on TANF were engaged in constructive
activities such as employment, job search, training, and work
experience. The other 57 percent were unengaged and idle.
Moreover, of those recipients
participating in activities, more than half were in private
employment (mostly part-time) while receiving benefits. Though
part-time employment is desirable, it usually does not require the
active involvement of the welfare agency with the recipient. In
fact, nationwide, welfare agencies were closely involved with only
17 percent of their adult TANF recipients in activities such as
supervised job search, work experience, or training.
Participation rates appear even lower when
compared to participation standards that incorporate minimum levels
of activity in order to be counted for federal purposes. These
standards require single mothers with children under age six to
engage in work-related activities for 20 hours per week; for
mothers with older children, the requirement is 30 hours per
week.
Nationwide, only 27 percent of the adult TANF caseload is
intensively engaged at a level sufficient to meet these criteria
(including private employment).
By
any measure, the participation rate among TANF recipients
nationwide is far lower than it should be. Large numbers of adults
remain idle on the welfare rolls, receiving a welfare check while
doing nothing to prepare for self-sufficiency.

Federal Reauthorization of Tanf
As
part of TANF reauthorization, Congress has sought to mandate higher
participation rates for the states. The House-passed welfare reform
bill (H.R. 4) would require states to reach a nominal participation
rate of 70 percent by 2008. However, the bill excludes
approximately 25 percent of the adult caseload from the denominator
of the participation count. Thus, the federal
participation requirement would apply to only three-quarters of the
adult caseload. This means that the real participation rate in 2008
would be around 50 percent of the full adult caseload (70 percent
of 75 percent of the caseload).
H.R.
4 toughens participation standards, most notably by raising the
required hours of participation from the current level of 20-30
hours per week to 40 hours per week. In general, however, in
comparison to existing participant activity levels (including
private employment while on welfare), the effect of H.R. 4 would be
to intensify participation rather than greatly expand the portion
of the caseload performing activities.
The
Senate welfare reauthorization bill (S. 5), introduced by Senator
Jim Talent (R-MO), would raise the required TANF participation rate
to 56 percent by 2007. It also would increase the
hours of participation in the same manner as H.R. 4.
The
Democrat welfare reauthorization bill, entitled the Work
Opportunity and Responsibility for Kids (WORK) Act, was introduced
by Senator Max Baucus (D-MT) in June 2002. Although the bill
purportedly sought "universal engagement" by adult TANF recipients,
the participation rates required by the formula would not actually
exceed 10 percent. Nor would the WORK Act significantly increase
required hours of participation.
Conclusion
The
welfare reform of 1996 was founded on the premise that welfare
dependence generated poverty and was harmful to families and
children. The reform sought to reduce dependence and poverty by
converting welfare from a one-way handout that rewarded chronic
idleness to a new system of conditioned aid that required
recipients to engage in constructive activities aimed at
self-sufficiency. Under the reform, TANF recipients should be
required to obtain jobs or prepare for work.
Obviously, the reform goal of moving
recipients from dependence to employment will not be fulfilled if
large numbers of adults remain idle on the welfare rolls. Thus, a
core element of the 1996 reform law was the federal requirement
mandating states to raise the activity rate of welfare recipients.
However, in most states, actual participation rates of adult TANF
recipients remain lower than anticipated, and controversy remains
concerning what level of participation can realistically be
expected.
The
example of New York City shows that, at any point in time, roughly
two-thirds of all adult TANF recipients can be engaged in
constructive activities such as supervised job search, employment,
work experience, training, or drug treatment. Regrettably, most
states fall far short of that level.
As
part of TANF reauthorization, legislators have sought to require
states to gradually increase their TANF participation rates. S. 5,
as introduced by Senator Talent, requires that participation be
raised close to the New York City levels. S. 5 is thus the best
option for fulfilling the original welfare reform goals of work and
self-sufficiency.
Jason
Turner is Weinberg Visiting Fellow in Welfare Policy at
The Heritage Foundation. Between 1998 and 2001, he served as Mayor
Rudolph Giuliani's welfare commissioner in New York City.