The May 30 re-internment of Nobel laureate and democracy leader
Aung San Suu Kyi - by the State Peace and Development Council
(SPDC), the military junta that rules Burma - has rightfully raised
the ire of the international community.
That same international community must work together to apply
comprehensive and coordinated pressure on the SPDC, or they will
continue their wrongful suppression of freedom and democracy in
Burma.
Initial Steps Towards Reform
The re-internment event occurred shortly after the
one-year anniversary of the May 6, 2002, announcement that the
government was marking a new day of national unity with a series of
steps intended to transition Burma toward democracy. In addition to
stating that it intended to permit all of its citizens to
participate in the political process, the junta's reforms
included:
- Releasing opposition figure and democracy leader Aung San Suu
Kyi from years of house arrest;
- Releasing 550 political prisoners; and
- Promising that more of the estimated 1,300 remaining political
prisoners might be released in the future.
Many greeted the announcement as a new dawn in Burmese politics
and trumpeted the success of the engagement strategy practiced by
many Asian countries, over the policy of sanctions used by
Washington and the European Union.
Mistake of Engaging Repressive Regimes
But on May 30, 2003, the fatal flaw of engaging
authoritarian regimes was revealed. In an orchestrated ambush,
government backed militias attacked Aung San Suu Kyi and arrested
her after killing a number of her supporters and bodyguards. At the
same time she was attacked, the SPDC moved against the National
League for Democracy (NLD), Aung San Suu Kyi's political party,
closing offices across the country and arresting many party
officials.
The mistake of trying to influence repressive regimes is that
engagement presumes that dictators want to change. In Burma's case,
as in many other similar regimes, there is very little evidence
that these dictatorships want to embrace political liberalization.
The SPDC is merely the current incarnation of 40 years of military
rule. General Ne Win came to power with a military coup in 1962.
Today, Ne Win is gone, but the Burmese military still rules in
Rangoon. As long as the international community is divided on its
approach to Burma, the military junta will prevail.
Effective Actions Must Be Multilateral
Presently, the international community cannot even agree
on the name of that country. Washington and the EU still refer to
the country as Burma. Most Asian countries have acquiesced to the
SPDC and now call the country Myanmar. The United States and EU
exercise sanctions against Burma while many Asian countries,
including India, China, Japan and the countries of the Association
of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), maintain an active engagement
policy. Japan provided $50.1 million in bilateral development aid
in 2000 compared to $37.8 million of multilateral development aid
from the rest of the world. China supplies most of the military's
arms and Russia is supplying it a nuclear reactor.
Responding to the arrest of Aung San Suu Kyi, Washington is
considering a range of punitive sanctions:
- Expanding the visa ban to include managers of government owned
enterprises;
- Restricting travel to Burma, similar to current travel ban on
Cuba;
- Banning remittances from overseas Burmese; and
- Initiating a UN Security Council resolution.
The most important element will be an effort to internationalize
the dispute and put pressure on Japan, Thailand and other countries
to participate in placing significant pressure on the junta.
To be effective actions must be multilateral. The Bush
Administration must gain regional and international support if any
actions are to be effective. Two examples include:
- There is little point in banning American tourists from Burma
if European, Japanese and ASEAN tourists flock there without
restraint; and
- Withholding economic aid unilaterally is ineffective if Japan
continues to pour in tens of millions of dollars and makes up the
short fall.
In light of the brazen recalcitrance of Burma's generals,
Washington and the international community must act. American
efforts should focus on coordinating a suite of actions acceptable
to the EU, Japan, India and the ASEAN countries. Without the
support of the frontline states, such as Thailand and India,
political and economic sanctions will fail to influence the
generals in Rangoon.