Over
six years ago, Congress overhauled much of the nation's welfare
system. The Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity
Reconciliation Act of 1996 replaced the failed social
program called Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) with
Temporary Assistance to Needy Families (TANF). The reform
legislation had three primary goals: (1) reduce welfare dependence
and increase employment, (2) reduce child poverty, and (3) reduce
illegitimacy and strengthen marriage.
At
the time of the law's enactment, many liberal groups made dire
predictions about the terrible effect these reforms would have on
America's children. In particular, the Children's Defense Fund
claimed that welfare reform would cast millions more children into
poverty and hunger.
These predictions were wrong, and welfare
reform in fact produced the opposite results. Many groups, including
academic institutions and public policy organizations, have
published a wide variety of research showing the reform's
undeniable success. The documentation of this
success has already begun to play a crucial role in the TANF
reauthorization process scheduled in Congress for the coming
months.
Reduced Black Child Poverty
In
the almost seven years since the welfare reform law was enacted,
economic conditions have improved dramatically for America's
poorest families. Welfare rolls have plummeted, employment of
single mothers has increased dramatically, and child hunger has
declined substantially. Most striking, however, has been the effect
of welfare reform on child poverty, particularly among black
children.
However, a report recently released by the
Children's Defense Fund shows that the number of black children
under age 18 living in extreme poverty increased to nearly one
million in 2001. Extreme poverty is defined
as having an after-tax income of less than half of the federally
defined poverty line. For a family of three, the poverty line was
$14,128 in 2001, which would make the extreme poverty line $7,064
for that year. These findings show an increase of roughly 145,000
black children in the extreme poverty category since the enactment
of welfare reform.
Although not incorrect, these findings can
mislead readers about the success of welfare reform by focusing on
a narrow slice of the entire child poverty population that has
otherwise significantly improved under the reformed welfare system.
While the number of black children living in extreme poverty is
certainly a cause for concern, the overall level of child poverty,
particularly among black children, has made tremendous
progress:
- For the 25 years prior to welfare reform,
the percentage of black children living in poverty remained
virtually unchanged.
- Since welfare reform, the poverty rate
among black children has dropped by one-fourth, falling from 41.5
percent in 1995 to 30.0 percent in 2001.
- The black child poverty rate is at its
lowest point in U.S. history.
- Since welfare reform, over 1.2 million
black children have been lifted out of poverty.
- Since welfare reform, six black children
have been made better off and lifted out of poverty for every black
child whose economic condition has worsened.

As
Chart 1 shows, for the 25-year period prior to welfare reform,
there was little change in black child poverty. Black child poverty
was actually higher in 1995 (41.5 percent) than it was in 1971
(40.4 percent).
With
the enactment of welfare reform in 1996, however, black child
poverty plummeted at an unprecedented rate, falling by more than a
quarter to 30 percent in 2001. Over the six-year period after
welfare reform, 1.2 million black children were lifted out of
poverty. Despite the economic recession in 2001, the poverty rate
for black children was at the lowest point in national history.
The
Children's Defense Fund largely ignores this significant decline in
black child poverty. They see the glass as 1/7 empty rather than
6/7 full. In fact, these findings actually emphasize the importance
of targeting welfare reform at those families in extreme poverty,
most of whom perform little or no work.
Black Children in Extreme Poverty
The
status of black children in extreme poverty varies depending on the
measure of income used in analysis. Social scientists can use
varying definitions of "income" in evaluating the effects of
welfare reform on poverty. Two common definitions are the official
cash income measure and the near-cash income measure.
The
official cash income measure--often called "money income"--is the
most common measure used by the Census Bureau and is used to
determine the official poverty rates in America. It includes most
cash income received by the family but excludes a wide range of
welfare aid.
The
near-cash income measure--often known as an "expanded" definition
of income--can include the value of a variety of welfare aid such
as food stamps, the earned income tax credit (EITC), housing
benefits, and school lunch subsidies. It also deducts Social
Security taxes from income. Therefore, the count of persons living
in poverty will vary depending on what economic resources are
included as part of the family's income.

As Chart 2 shows, under the official definition of
cash income, the number of black children living in extreme poverty
has actually decreased since 1995, prior to welfare reform. Nearly
half a million black children were lifted out of extreme poverty by
2001.

Only
when using an "expanded" definition of cash income--the near-cash
income measure--does the number of black children living in extreme
poverty increase. As Chart 3 presents, a near-cash income measure
shows an increase of 145,000 in the number of black children in
extreme poverty since 1995. Although this is correct, the
Children's Defense Fund used this definition of income with a great
deal of ingenuity in order to find negative news among the overall
positive results of the past six years.

Table 1 further highlights the significant
differences between the two definitions of "income."
Work Levels Among America's Poorest
Families
As
the data show, the overwhelming majority of black families took
advantage of the opportunity presented by welfare reform. However,
a small percentage of poor black families with children did not
respond positively to welfare reform. This occurred because among
this group, relatively few parents in these families are employed
full- or even half-time. This extreme poverty group is perhaps best
viewed as the population that welfare reform has not yet
reached.
The
essence of welfare reform, and its subsequent success, is
accountability. When Congress replaced the failed AFDC program with
TANF, national "work requirements" were imposed for the first time,
mandating that recipients engage in constructive activities that
lead to self-sufficiency in exchange for benefits. Such activities
include community service work, training, and a supervised job
search.
Despite the tremendous success of the
overall reform, many of the work-related aspects of welfare reform
remain incomplete. Nearly half of the 2 million adults receiving
TANF--about 60 percent of the able-bodied caseload--are still idle
on the work rolls, collecting welfare without engaging in work or
other constructive activities. Low levels of work participation are
especially evident among black families with children living in
extreme levels of poverty.

As
Chart 4 shows, nearly three-fourths of poor families with children
did not engage in full-time/full-year employment, which is defined
as one adult working 40 hours per week for 50 weeks, or 2,000 hours
of work per year. Low work levels by parents are the major cause of
extreme child poverty.
While some poor families with children are
"working families," the average levels of employment are actually
quite low. Roughly one-quarter of poor families with children had
no adult employed at any time during that year. Another one-quarter
had an adult employed for less than 1,000 hours during the year,
and another quarter had less than 2,000 hours. Overall, nearly half
of all poor families with children have less than 1,000
hours--which is considered part-time--of paid employment throughout
the year.
In
particular, the work levels of those families in the extreme
poverty category tell a significantly more dismal story. Black
families with children in extreme poverty, on average, have only
405 hours of work per year, and 60 percent of these families
performed no work during the year.
Next Steps for Congress
The
major reason that families remain in poverty despite the
overwhelming success of welfare reform is because they participate
in very little work. TANF has been very successful in increasing
employment levels among many of its recipients. Therefore, the TANF
program should be strengthened, not weakened.
Currently, nearly 60 percent of TANF
recipients remain idle on the rolls. As part of the reauthorization
process, Congress should increase the share of TANF recipients who
are required to participate in such constructive activities as
employment, job search, community service, or training. Policies
that challenge these families to engage in employment or prepare
for work will dramatically reduce the proportion of black families
living in extreme poverty.
Many
groups that strongly opposed the 1996 welfare reform, such as the
Children's Defense Fund, are once again seeking to criticize and
undermine its success. The unfortunate fact that some children
remain in poverty, especially extreme levels of poverty, is no
reason to turn back the clock on welfare reform.
It
was almost inevitable that a certain proportion of the population
would not initially respond to the reform. In response, these
vulnerable groups should be a major focus of the refinement and
reauthorization process. Policymakers should renew the challenge of
welfare reform rather than restore the failed system of permissive
entitlements and one-way handouts. Reauthorization efforts in
Congress should focus on families still living in extreme poverty
and seek ways to engage these vulnerable groups in employment and
self-sufficient lifestyles.
Conclusion
The
successful track record of welfare reform in reducing child poverty
is stunning. For a quarter-century prior to reform, black child
poverty and poverty among single mothers remained virtually
constant. Six years after reform, poverty among both groups dropped
rapidly, reaching the lowest levels in U.S. history. In all
recessions since the beginning of the War on Poverty in the
mid-1960s, child poverty has increased sharply; but in the 2001
recession, child poverty did not rise at all.
Black children are perhaps the ones most
enjoying the success of welfare reform, with 1.2 million black
children released from the grip of poverty since 1996. While many
black children still live in poverty, hundreds of thousands are
better off than they were six years ago. In fact, for every black
child whose economic condition has worsened in the past six years,
six black children have risen out of poverty.
This
overwhelming success, however, does not mean that the process of
welfare reform is complete. The number of children--particularly
black children--in poverty can be reduced further only by building
on the success of the past six years, not by backpedaling to a
culture of idleness and one-way handouts. The old welfare culture
of permissive entitlements must be replaced by one of reciprocal
obligations.
Policies that consistently ignore the
current low levels of work among America's poorest families will
not succeed in further reducing or eliminating poverty. Congress
must strengthen work requirements in the reauthorization of welfare
reform by challenging and engaging America's most vulnerable
families still suffering from poverty so that they can realize
their full potential.
Melissa G. Pardue is Harry
and Jeanette Weinberg Fellow in Social Welfare Policy at The
Heritage Foundation.