On the second
anniversary of the September 11 attacks, many are asking the
question: Are we safer today then we were two years ago?
Unfortunately, a simple yes or no answer oversimplifies a complex
situation. Therefore, a conditional "yes" is the more appropriate
response.
While confronting and
engaging terrorism around the world may increase the likelihood of
the United States falling victim to another attack in the
near-term, this is a necessary risk to ensure the long-term safety
of the nation. It is also true, however, that no terrorists have
successfully executed a major attack on American soil since 9-11.
Of course, that does not mean an attack will not occur tomorrow,
but it is indicative of the progress that the nation has made over
the past two-years.
The United States has
essentially instituted a policy of defense at home and offense
abroad. America's activities can roughly be placed in two
categories: the war on terrorism and homeland security initiatives.
In each category, the United States has taken concrete steps that
will make the nation safer in the long run if the American
government and public remain committed to the monumental task at
hand.
The War on
Terrorism
The United States,
along with a broad coalition of allies, is successfully conducting
a global war on terrorism. This war is not only being fought with
armed forces, but also with economic, diplomatic, financial and
political power. And it is being fueled with intelligence.
Victories in the war on terrorism that will make the United State
safer include:
Eliminating two of the
world's leading state sponsors of terrorism. On September 11, 2001
the Taliban ruled Afghanistan, and Saddam Hussein ruled Iraq.
Today, neither is in power, and the United States is a safer place
for that reason. A
deadly synergy is
created when states like Iraq and Afghanistan choose to work with
terrorist groups. States have
resources--including territory, finances, an international
diplomatic presence, and trade--that non-state actors do not have.
On the other hand, non-state actors are able to operate globally
and can act largely undetected. The reality of the 21st century is
that a state like Iraq could harness its resources to develop a
weapon of mass destruction and collude with non-state actors to
deliver that weapon. This symbiotic relationship can operate
undercover, possibly without the knowledge of the American
government. Thus, a state hostile to the United States may appear
to be acting within the bounds of acceptable diplomatic behavior
while at the same time covertly supporting aggressive endeavors of
its non-state allies. This is exactly what both the Taliban and
Saddam Hussein's Iraq were doing before they were removed from
power.
Denying terrorists
organizations the ability to freely operate. While it is true that
Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda still exists, the organization has been
disrupted and is on the run. Thousands of terrorists have been
detained and/or killed over the past two years. These not only
include low-level henchman like Richard C. Reid (the
so-called shoe-bomber), but also high-level
strategists Khalied Shaik Mohammad, Riduan Isamuddin (Also known as
Hambali), and Uday and Qusay Hussein. Furthermore, the enablers of
terrorist activity are also under assault. For example, financial
flows that were the life-blood of organizations like al Qaeda are
being disrupted; there are far fewer gaping security loopholes that
terrorists can exploit. States like Saudi Arabia that have often
enabled terrorists-if not outright supported them-can no longer
ignore such activity.
America is developing a
deterrence strategy appropriate for the threats of the
21st century. Both Osama bin
Laden and the Taliban could have predicted that the United States
would respond to their attacks, yet they were not deterred.
Although terrorists attacked U.S. interests on many occasions prior
to that day, and although numerous reports and studies warned of
the growing threat of catastrophic terrorism, the United States,
for the most part, ignored those warnings. The prevailing belief
was that no state would attack the United States out of fear of the
consequences; the activities of worldwide, organized terrorist
networks were treated as criminal behavior. On September 11, 2001,
however, that policy failed miserably. In response, President Bush
unveiled the Bush Doctrine, which is founded on the principle that
the United States would actively engage, militarily if necessary,
rogue nations that support terrorists and develop weapons of mass
destruction. The president's description of these states as forming
an "Axis of Evil" put the world on alert. While America's
anti-terrorist activities in Afghanistan, Africa, the Philippines,
and Indonesia have supported this principle, the president's
willingness to wage full-scale war with Saddam Hussein's Iraq
demonstrated to the world his commitment to uphold this new
doctrine. The outcome of this policy is a deterrent that will help
compel future states not to directly or indirectly support violence
against the United States or its interests.
The United States
better understands it own vulnerability. While many successes
over the past two years may make America safer, nothing is as
important as America's new willingness to understand its own
vulnerability. Until September 11, 2001, most Americans and the
American government believed that the United States faced no real
security dangers. They largely ignored the proliferation of weapons
of mass destruction, the spread of ballistic missile technology,
the increasingly violent terrorist attacks that were occurring
against U.S. interests abroad, and the increasingly belligerent and
hostile rhetoric being propagated from the Osama bin Ladens and
Saddam Husseins of the world. On September 11, however, the United
States was forced to reevaluate its own vulnerability. The result
was a series of policy changes that address the new dangers that
America was facing. However, that was not the end. Indeed,
America's policy makers have been continuously identifying
weaknesses, oversights, and mistakes. And to the credit of the
American people, they have for the most part been patient and
understanding. It is also true that politics has snuck into the
debate. Some have attempted to undermine the credibility of the
president's policies in order to advance their own political
agenda. The important point is, though, that the government and the
public remain committed to developing strong policies both for
security at home and for the war on terrorism abroad.
Homeland Security
Securing the homeland
is a massive task by any measure. Making the task even more
difficult was the fact that prior to September 11, the functions
that are considered under the rubric of "homeland security" were
spread throughout the federal government. To bring all of these
related agencies-twenty-two in all--under one command, the Bush
Administration established the Department of Homeland Security
(DHS).
This was a major
accomplishment in the effort to make America safer. While many of
the functions of those agencies remained the same, the homeland
security elements of their portfolios emerged as a top
priority.
Although the DHS has
been moving in the right direction, it will need several years to
become truly effective. It needs to continue its efforts to become
more organized, develop a national response plan as well as
strategies for information technology, intelligence sharing and
personnel needs. Congress needs to supply funding for emergency
responders, intelligence reforms and critical infrastructure
security. Similarly, state and local governments need to develop
regional cooperation plans, share information and methods, and work
with the DHS to develop a true national emergency response plan. In
all aspects, the DHS should invest in human capital and training
programs to institute an efficient homeland security process and to
ensure that a safer America is on the horizon.
While there is much to
be done, progress has been made over the past two years that has
better prepared the United States for 21st century
threats. These include:
Strides are being made
to decrease the loopholes in immigration policy that terrorists
have used to gain access to the United States. The United States
cannot guarantee that no terrorists will gain entry onto its
territory. However, policies are being implemented that make it
more difficult for terrorists to enter and easier for authorities
to identify potentially dangerous individuals. The terror attacks
on 9/11 uncovered many loopholes in the U.S. immigration process.
The Bureau of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (BICE) at the DHS
was established to consolidate all the previously fragmented
documentation and investigative functions of immigration. While
documenting people entering, exiting, and residing in the United
States is important, ensuring immigration flows is essential to the
American way of life and promotes economic growth. The BICE has
begun numerous initiatives such as the Student Exchange Visitor and
Information System (SEVIS) to secure and facilitate legitimate
immigration.
Vital intelligence is
being shared among government agencies.
Intelligence
sharing has been a crucial focus within the DHS as well as in
inter-agency relations, especially with the Central Intelligence
Agency, the Federal Bureau of Investigations, the Department of
Defense, the State Department and with state and local officials.
Initiatives such as the creation of an intelligence fusion center,
the Terrorism Threat Integration Center (TTIC), begin to establish
a strategic plan for intelligence sharing. However, overcoming
cultural barriers between different intelligence agencies and
logistically modifying intelligence systems to render them more
compatible will take time to research, develop, test, and deploy.
Even if much remains to be done, the intelligence reforms that have
taken place have allowed the United States to apprehend potential
terrorists, break apart terrorist cells, and thwart likely attacks.
Since 9/11, authorities have broken up four alleged terrorist cells
located within the United States.
America's emergency
response capabilities are better prepared to mitigate the
consequences of a major terrorist attack. State and local first
response agencies, such as emergency medical technicians, are at
the forefront of the nation's ability to respond to terrorist acts.
In fact, these local agencies will nearly always be first to
respond to an incident and will be the determining factor in
mitigating the consequences of an attack. The Federal government
attempted to streamline and consolidate the grant funding process
for emergency responders under the Office of State and Local
Government Coordination (OSLGC). Furthermore, the Secretary of
Homeland Security, Tom Ridge, is working to establish regional
offices to better coordinate efforts between federal, state, and
local officials.
America has decreased
the likelihood that a terrorist will smuggle dangerous contraband
into the nation. Over the past two year,
America has not necessarily begun inspecting more of what comes
into the nation. However, it has implemented smarter inspection
procedures. That is to say that inspectors are more able and better
equipped to profile what is entering the nation and distinguish
between what should be inspected and what should not. The DHS has
dedicated a lot of effort to secure America's borders by developing
numerous initiatives such as the Container Security Initiative --
through which the U.S. Customs will negotiate and enter into
bilateral arrangements with foreign governments to screen
U.S.-bound containers at key foreign ports. Up to date, the United
States has signed bilateral CSI arrangements with nineteen of the
world's top twenty ports. The DHS's Bureau of Customs and Border
Protection (BCBP) has also engaged private industry through
partnerships to enhance the security of international supply
chains. Furthermore, the Transportation Security Administration
(TSA) is currently researching a system to inspect air cargo, still
a gaping hole in the system. These programs will not only help
secure our borders, but also very beneficial to the industries
because tighter security measures will ultimately facilitate and
expedite the movement of cargo and containers.
More Work Remains
The
events of 9/11 brought Americans to the realization that we need
secure our homeland against terror threats. Many immediate steps
were taken in reaction to 9/11 in order to prevent another attack.
But, given the patience and determination of our enemies - and the
fact that two armed conflicts have yet to dampen their enthusiasm
for attacking America - it's safe to say we have much more work
ahead of us than behind us.
America's enemies have
demonstrated their staying power - they spent seven years planning
the attacks on New York and Washington - and we must demonstrate
ours. We'll have to spend billions of dollars and suffer more
casualties before we prevail.
Americans may never
been completely safe again, but we can reasonably expect that
terrorists won't run our lives or attack us with impunity. We will
continue to thrive even as we hound our enemies until they join the
Soviets in the back pages of history books.
--Jack
Spencer is a senior policy analyst for defense and national
security and Ha N. Nguyen is a research assistant at the Davis
Institute for International Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.