Senator Jack Reed
(D-RI), citing the annual report of the Director of the Defense
Department's Office of Operational Test and Evaluation (OTE), is
now recommending that Congress put off the Bush Administration's
plan for providing a limited defense against missile attack. Reed's
colleagues in Congress should not follow his recommendation in
favor of delay for two reasons:
-
He has
misinterpreted the findings of Director Christie's report. The
report is not a "scorching criticism." Rather, it represents a
welcome departure from the Department of Defense's slow and
cumbersome Cold War-era acquisition procedures.
-
He has
discounted the risks of delaying the missile defense program.
In fact, these risks are intolerable because the U.S. currently has
no defense against missile attack.
A New Approach
OTE Director
Thomas P. Christie's job is to determine when weapons are ready for
deployment and when they can be declared operational. According to
his report, the current testing program for missile defense is too
limited to allow Defense Department managers to judge the
effectiveness of the defense capability they plan to declare
operational later this year.
Senator Reed
argues that such a judgment is necessary before the missile defense
system obtains operational status. But in the introduction to his
report, Christie notes that the Department of Defense has changed
its approach to developing and ultimately fielding new weapons.
Reed ignores this.
One element of
this new approach is an "evolutionary acquisition" procedure.
Another is "capabilities-based acquisition." These procedures call
for fielding a weapon in an initial configuration and improving it
with upgrades over time. This new approach applies to weapons
generally, and not just to missile defense.
In that vein,
Christie states, "Neither [the evolutionary acquisition procedure
nor the capabilities-based acquisition] produces a fixed
configuration with which to judge a system's operational
effectiveness and suitability or survivability against criteria
based on military mission requirements." This should come as no
surprise; under the new standards, Christie's office will approve
the fielding of new weapons when the testing shows that they will
improve the ability of the military to perform the relevant
missions in comparison to what is in the field now.
The Senator's
misinterpretation of Christie's report is understandable. He reads
it in the context of the traditional approach to weapons
development and acquisition, and by that standard his
recommendation for delay is justified. By the new standards,
however, Reed's recommendation is not properly grounded.
The old approach
to weapons acquisition codified an all-or-nothing choice for
weapons program managers. As a first step, the military would
establish requirements for new weapons they saw as optimal.
Unfortunately, the requirement for optimal performance was easily
used to undermine progress, not to achieve it.
If this sort of
optimal performance requirement were the order of the day a hundred
years ago, for example, the military could easily have stated that
the optimal flying machine would have the characteristics of
something like today's F-22. Needless to say, this is not a
sensible approach in the face of unpredictable threats and
developing technology, and Christie is right to argue for the new
approach.
The Risk of Delay
Nowhere is the
Department of Defense's new approach to weapons acquisition more
appropriate than in the area of missile defense. In fact, missile
defense essentially makes the argument in favor of this new
approach.
Currently, U.S.
territory is completely vulnerable to missile attack. Even the most
modest defense capability, therefore, would be better than what is
currently available. By relying on the old acquisition procedures,
Senator Reed asks his colleagues in Congress to pretend there is no
risk to delay and to focus only on the risk that the missile
defense system will fail to meet an optimal standard of
effectiveness.
During the Cold
War, the U.S. could tolerate a slow and careful weapons acquisition
process because the steps taken by the Soviet Union to modernize
its forces were relatively predictable. In the new age of
terrorism, however, threats are all but unpredictable. The best
that can be expected is that the Department of Defense will be able
to predict the kinds capabilities unknown enemies of the U.S. are
likely to possess.
The Bush
Administration, quite appropriately, has responded by establishing
evolutionary acquisition and capabilities-based acquisition
procedures. Congress should not make judgments on the value of the
missile defense program based on an old approach to buying weapons
that is no longer applicable.
Baker
Spring is F.M. Kirby Research Fellow in National Security Policy in
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies at The Heritage Foundation.