In
early February 2004, Secretary of the Treasury John Snow and
Secretary of Transportation Norman Mineta sent identical letters to
House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-IL) and Senate Majority Leader Bill
Frist (R-TN) advising them that the bloated highway bills now under
development in the House and passed by the Senate would be
potential targets of a veto if the bills raised taxes, added to the
deficit, or resorted to accounting gimmicks that disguised their
true costs. President George W. Bush and his advisers are to be
commended for their toughened stand on wasteful spending, and they
should refuse to compromise on the White House's three principles
for an acceptable transportation bill.
By
issuing a strong veto message so early in the year and acting on it
if Congress chooses to test his sincerity, the President will
establish a tone and standard that will pay big fiscal dividends
during a session in which Congress will be tempted to give away the
store as the election looms closer. The highway bill is a poster
child for profligate spending, expected to be loaded with thousands
of pork-barrel earmarks, multimillion-dollar boondoggles
unrelated to improving mobility, and pervasive regional inequities
that each year ship billions of dollars from the South to the
North. It is an ideal target for a veto to make the case to the
voters that the President is serious about restraining federal
spending.
In
his fiscal year (FY) 2005 budget, the President has proposed to
spend no more than $256 billion on highways and transit over the
next six years, somewhat more than the $234 billion that the
federal fuel taxes will supply to the highway trust fund over the
same period. The Senate's bill, in turn, proposes to spend $318
billion and intends to close the $84 billion gap between gas tax
revenues and spending with a complicated package of tax changes
that the White House argues will add to the deficit and raise
taxes. On the House side, Representative Don Young (R-AK), chairman
of the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, wants to
spend $375 billion and narrow the resulting gap by raising federal
fuel taxes by 43 percent over the next six years.
From
a fiscal restraint perspective, the President's plan is the most
responsible, and his spending target should be the absolute upper
limit for any final highway bill.
But
passing an appropriate highway bill involves more than just the
amount that it would cost the taxpayers. The federal highway
program has become the country's largest spoils system, in which
spending and programs are increasingly designed and directed to
reward influential constituents and senior Members of Congress.
With about a third of annual federal trust fund spending directed
to underutilized transit schemes, thousands of pork-barrel
projects, historic renovation, union-mandated wages, beautification
programs, national parks, the Appalachian Regional Commission,
historic preservation, bicycle and hiking trails, and magnetic
levitation, little is left to benefit the tax-paying motorist who
funds the program but receives little more than worsening
congestion in return.
Because the Administration's highway plan,
like its congressional counterparts, fails to address this
pervasive waste, the only meaningful difference among them is that
the President's plan--the Safe, Accountable, Flexible and Efficient
Transportation Equity Act (SAFETEA)--proposes to misallocate only a
quarter of a trillion dollars over the next six years, while the
plan proposed by Senator James Inhofe (R-OK) would misallocate
nearly a third of a trillion dollars. If this is the best either
branch of government can deliver this year, perhaps they should go
back to the drawing board and address the real needs of motorists
and truckers.
Key
goals of any legislative rewrite should include:
- A commitment to stop wasting money,
- Supplementing taxes with tolls to better
direct money to needs,
- Greater use of private-public partnerships
to increase investment,
- Allowing a wide range of innovative
financing arrangements, and
- Decentralizing and devolving more
resources and decision making to the states.
Current Program Fails the Motorist, Fails
the Nation
In a
recent defense of his costly plan to reauthorize the federal
highway and transit programs, Chairman Young inadvertently offered
a devastating critique of the federal highway program's performance
over the past three decades. Noting that the numbers of licensed
drivers (up 71 percent), registered vehicles (up 99 percent), and
miles driven (up 148 percent) have all soared since 1970, he added,
incredibly, that "during the same time period, new road miles have
increased by only 6 percent."
Six
percent? This is an astounding indictment of a federal program that
has spent (in inflation-adjusted dollars) a staggering $700 billion
in taxpayer money since 1970 on top of an even larger amount spent
by the 50 state transportation departments over the same period. And this is all the
motorists and truckers received for their taxes--6 percent more
roads?
Chairman Young neglected to note the even
sorrier performance of the federal transit program, which absorbs
20 percent of federal transportation spending while serving less
than 2 percent of the nation's travelers. Data from the 2000 census
reveal that transit's share of the journey-to-work market
(commuters) has consistently fallen since 1970, from 8.9 percent in
1970 to 4.7 percent in 2000, despite the federal expenditure of
$130 billion (inflation-adjusted) over that same period. Indeed,
since 1990, census data show that journey-to-work ridership fell
both absolutely and as a share of commuters. One would be hard-pressed to find other
federal spending programs that had so little to show for the
billions of dollars that were spent.
If
such results are as much as Congress can claim for its half-century
of transportation stewardship, it is time to scrap these failed
programs and devise a better way to serve the traveling public. In
2004, motorists and truckers will pump $34 billion in user taxes
into the highway trust fund, and they have a right to expect public
officials to spend the money to enhance mobility and ease
congestion. Congress should go back to the drawing board and write
a transportation bill that better fulfills this expectation.
Veto Could Begin a Meaningful Reform
Process
To
their credit, albeit for deficiencies different than those noted
above, Secretary Mineta and Secretary Snow have informed Congress
that they would advise the President to veto any highway
transportation bill that contains several of the deficiencies of
the bills now taking shape in the House and Senate.
With
budget deficits exceeding a half a trillion dollars, combined with
the President's chief domestic policy objective of preserving
hard-won tax relief, Secretaries Mineta and Snow quite correctly
objected to the tax increases and/or deficit spending provisions
contained in the bills. The Transportation Equity Act: A Legacy for
Users (TEA-LU), the House transportation reauthorization bill
proposed by Chairman Young, would spend $375 billion over the next
six years on roads and transit. Federal excise taxes including fuel
taxes will raise only $234 billion over the same period, so
Chairman Young wants to raise the regressive fuel tax by 43 percent
to close most of the $141 billion gap.
In
contrast to the House proposal, the Senate highway bill reported
out of the Environment and Public Works Committee, as amended on
the floor, would spend $318 billion on roads and transit, leaving a
gap of about $84 billion between planned spending and trust fund
receipts. To close this gap, or most of it, Senate Finance
Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-IA) has devised a complicated
package of tax changes, revenue redirections, offsets, and trust
fund spend-downs--including the aviation trust fund--that allegedly
would close the gap. Critics, however, charge that this tax package
will increase the deficit by diverting money from general revenues
to the highway trust fund and raise other taxes, albeit none
currently dedicated to the highway trust fund.
It
is largely for these reasons--higher taxes and higher
deficits--that the President's advisers would recommend a veto of
both bills in their current forms. While Senator Inhofe believed
that his plan met the President's conditions for an acceptable
bill, he was quickly advised by the White House that it did not.
U.S. Department of the Treasury analysts apparently saw through the
Finance Committee's proposal and found the tax and deficit
increases buried under the exotic tax schemes.
Pervasive Deficiencies
While the cost differences among the bills
are certainly objectionable and merit a veto, the President's
advisers should have gone further and objected to the vast sums of
wasted money embodied in these transportation bills, even if
modified to accommodate the President's concerns. Since completing
the interstate highway system in the early 1980s, the federal
transportation program has little to show for spending hundreds of
billions of the taxpayers' dollars.
Significantly, the House bill, in its
current form, includes little in the way of reforms that would
decentralize decision making and resource allocation to state and
local governments, allow greater private-sector participation in
road building and operations, and rely more on non-tax revenues,
such as tolls, to fund additional future road building, repair,
upgrade, and maintenance.
In
contrast to the business-as-usual approach of the House proposal,
the Senate bill incorporates many of the reforms urged earlier by
the White House and by pro-market advocates like The Heritage
Foundation.
Specifically, the Senate bill would allow states to raise
additional funds for road investment by tolling the interstate
under certain conditions; allowing high-occupancy vehicle (HOV)
lanes to become high-occupancy/toll (HOT) lanes; charging variable
tolls to ease rush-hour congestion; levying tolls to fund new
capacity; and allowing the private sector to participate more in
financing, building, and operating roads.
While the Senate bill is superior to the
House version, it still suffers from a number of deficiencies. If
these are not corrected, the President should veto the bill. These
deficiencies include:
- A misallocation of financial resources
among alternative modes and non-transportation programs that limits
the bill's impact on mobility, congestion relief, and improved
transportation services;
- Regional funding inequities that
disproportionately burden fast-growing states where congestion is
worsening;
- Financial limits on the implementation of
promising reforms; and
- Tax and budget deficit increases to fund
programs that, overall, are of limited value to the traveling
public.
Misallocations Limit Roadway Mobility
Although worsening congestion is the most
serious problem confronting the motorists and truckers who finance
the highway trust fund, neither bill will do much to relieve
congestion. Indeed, the reasons cited by many congressional leaders
to justify their support for the bill are unrelated to mobility or
transportation.
For
example, Senate Majority Leader Frist justifies his support on the
basis of the bill's potential to create jobs, citing lobbyists'
claims that each billion spent on transportation "creates" 47,000
new jobs, despite conflicting findings from several federal
government studies.
What Senator Frist fails to recognize is that creating jobs is not
the same as creating value. Spending any sum of money on nearly
anything will contribute to a job, but whether that job leads to
the creation of products and services of broad public value is
another question. Hurricanes, tornadoes, and forest fires create
lots of jobs but destroy value in the process, an outcome not
materially different from much federal spending on costly and
underutilized light rail transit systems.
As
currently constructed, the three transportation bills now under
consideration contain few of the needed reforms. Motorists who fund
the program get a poor return on their money because as much as
one-third of highway trust fund revenues would be diverted to
projects other than general-purpose roads. In the Senate bill,
transit receives $57 billion, even though its commuter market share
has fallen below 5 percent and much of that is concentrated in a
handful of cities, despite being funded from fuel taxes collected
throughout the country. At present, 74 percent of transit ridership
occurs in just seven metropolitan areas, with the New York City
metropolitan area accounting for 42 percent.
Besides transit, highway trust fund
revenues are also diverted to the Appalachian Regional Commission,
beautification programs, bicycle and hiking paths, historic
renovation, scenic byways, National Forests and Parks, magnetic
levitation research, and covered bridge renovation. Bills now
before Congress would add additional diversions, including a
"Conserve by Bicycling Program" and a "Safe Roads to School"
program to build more sidewalks to encourage walking to school as
part of the battle against obesity.
Finally, the propensity of Members of
Congress to earmark spending for a variety of pork-barrel projects
in their home states and districts has grown worse with each
reauthorization. The 1998 Transportation Equity Act for the 21st
Century (TEA-21) contained 1,800 earmarks, compared to 538 in the
1991 reauthorization, and the pending reauthorization promises to
include even more, although the total number will probably be made
public only just before the final vote. In TEA-21, earmarks
absorbed about 4.4 percent of total trust fund spending, but the
recently enacted omnibus spending bill reduced the unencumbered
formula allocation to the states by $1 billion in FY 2004 to make
room for another 600 earmarks.
Regional Inequities
Flaws in the formula used to allocate
trust fund revenues among the states have created a nearly
permanent class of donors and recipients, with donor states
(largely concentrated in the South and Great Lakes region) paying a
greater share of the fuel taxes into the trust fund than the share
they receive back in grants. In contrast, recipient states (the
Northeast) receive more than they pay.
In
FY 2001, there were 22 donor states and 28 recipient states. Since
the beginning of the trust fund, Texas and Oklahoma have had share
return ratios below 80 percent, while Florida and South Carolina
are two of the several donors whose shares have been below 90
percent. By contrast, West Virginia, New York, Massachusetts,
Connecticut, and Vermont are five of the many states that have
received at least 10 percent more than they paid. Alaska has
received 500 percent more.
One
of the reasons that both the House and Senate bills propose
spending much more than the federal fuel tax provides is to create
the illusion of curing the regional inequity without changing the
allocation formula and creating losers. Under the proposed remedy,
every state (more or less) achieves the mathematical impossibility
of receiving an "above average" return for its taxes. But in doing
this, even the perennial recipient states are in line to achieve
positions that are even better than before. In the Senate bill, for
example, recipient Alaska has its formula allocation raised another
35 percent, while perennial loser Texas receives an increase of 42
percent. As a
result, the traditional recipient states are still "more equal"
than the others, which prompted Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX)
to threaten to vote against the bill.
Nor
do the regional inequities end there. The allocation of earmarks
among the states has tended to exacerbate the inequities caused by
the dysfunctional allocation formula. In 2001, Texas provided 8.6
percent of the money flowing into the trust fund but received only
6.9 percent, but its earmark allocation was even worse. Between
1998 and 2002, Texas' share of the federal highway earmarks was
only 4.5 percent.
By contrast, West Virginia's share of taxes going into the fund was
only 0.7 percent, but it received twice that (1.4 percent) in
return. In the earmark contest, West Virginia hit the jackpot,
getting nearly the same amount and share as Texas--4.5 percent.
Limits on Innovation
The
Senate's bill includes a modified form of the President's proposals
to allow and encourage states and local governments to seek
alternative sources of funds to expand their road capacity. With
gas tax revenues likely to grow slowly over the next several years
as fuel economy increases, the number of miles driven flattens out,
and taxpayers at the state and local levels oppose increases in the
tax rate, trust fund revenues devoted to roads are not expected to
keep up with needed road construction and repair. Regrettably,
current federal law places numerous obstacles in the path of states
seeking alternative revenues through tolls and/or partnerships with
the private sector.
If
federal highway and transit spending were limited just to the
growth in trust fund revenues, spending over the next six years
would not exceed $234 billion--only marginally more than the $218
billion authorized for 1998-2003, but certainly less if adjusted
for inflation.
Both
the President's and the Senate's bills attempt to address this
expected tax revenue deficiency by authorizing up to $15 billion in
tax-exempt private activity bonds for use by public-private
partnerships to finance construction of new toll roads over the
next six years, but that total is a small fraction of what could be
absorbed by these innovative partnerships. The Virginia Department
of Transportation alone received three partnership proposals in
2003 that would invest up to $7 billion in new highways, while the
Wisconsin Department of Transportation has estimated that as much
as $6.2 billion could be invested in new tolled express lanes in
the Milwaukee area. With more such proposals being developed in
other states, the $15 billion in new private activity bond
authority would be quickly exhausted.
Avoid Raising Taxes
Although the case can be made that current
highway repair and expansion needs exceed future gas tax revenues
and current law allocations, raising the fuel tax is a clumsy and
inefficient way to close the gap between needs and resources. As
noted above, it is likely that one-third of the revenue would be
diverted to unrelated projects as transit, "enhancements," bicycle
trails, and national parks make their traditional claims on the
increase.
At
the same time, every motorist in every state would pay more taxes
regardless of whether their communities suffer from congestion
and/or disrepair. Major metropolitan areas--such as Denver,
Houston, Los Angeles, and Washington, D.C.--suffer from severe
shortages in road capacity, but efforts to address their problems
ought not to burden motorists in Oklahoma and Indiana or the rural
residents of Virginia and Georgia, where capacity and quality may
be at acceptable levels.
In
contrast to the scattershot approach urged by supporters of the
House bill and by those who want to spend more than the President's
plan, greater reliance on tolls to finance added capacity on
congested roads would expeditiously direct the financial resources
to where it is needed most, and those who directly benefit would
pay for it. The result: It would resolve the nation's congestion
problems faster than any of the bills currently in Congress.
What Should be Done
1. Stop wasting
money.
As
noted, the federal highway program suffers from a number of
significant leakages that divert the federal fuel tax revenues paid
by motorists and truckers to costly and inefficient transportation
programs or projects that have little or nothing to do with
transportation, such as hiking trails, beautification, historic
preservation, federal lands, and covered bridges.
Of
the many diversions, transit is the largest and most serious loss,
misallocating funds from heavily used, cost-effective roads to
expensive, underutilized transit systems that serve less than 2
percent of the traveling public. Light rail costs nearly four times
more per passenger mile than automobiles, while buses are two times
more expensive. The
Senate's recent proposal (added to S. 1702) would waste $57 billion
on these failed systems over the next six years.
2. Make greater
use of tolls to fund transportation needs.
With
both state and federal highway programs pressed for funds to meet
current repair and expansion obligations, some analysts have
recommended that tolls be placed on some or all of the limited
access highways and that the additional funds be used to maintain
and improve those highways. Supporters of tolls argue that such
user fees are more efficient than gas taxes because the fees (in
theory) would be devoted to the infrastructure used.
The
toll provisions incorporated in the Senate bill are a good start
and could be substantially enhanced by including the new toll
proposal in the Freeing Alternatives for Speedy Transportation
(FAST) Act (H.R. 1767), introduced by Representative Mark Kennedy
(R-MN) and Senator Wayne Allard (R-CO), which would allow unlimited
use of tolls on federally funded corridors provided that the tolls
are used only for new capacity and collected exclusively through
electronic means, a free option is available in the same corridor,
and the tolls are removed when the debt for construction and repair
of the new capacity is paid off.
It
is important to note that tolls would be applied only to those
limited-access road projects where it made economic and
administrative sense, and the revenues would be devoted only to
those roads. With a more liberal tolling law, the money raised
would supplement existing state and federal fuel tax revenues that
would otherwise have to be spent on all roads. With tolls placed
only on congested roads where they make economic sense, gas tax
revenues could be devoted exclusively to other roads and projects
where tolls are not practical or where toll collections would be
insufficient to meet funding requirements.
3. Broaden the
use of privatization and public-private partnerships.
By
utilizing the skills and resources of the private sector, Canada,
countries in Europe and Asia, and a number of U.S. states including
Virginia and California have expanded and improved surface
transportation for motorists and truckers at little cost to
taxpayers or government budgets, because tolls paid by motorists
service the debt used to fund the roads.
Virginia's Public Private Partnership
Transportation Act of 1995 is one notable example. It encourages
the private sector to submit unsolicited road-building proposals to
the Virginia Department of Transportation for negotiation and
approval. In 2003,
the state received four proposals from private-sector
developer/investor consortiums to fund, build, and operate
significant and costly capacity expansions in congested parts of
the state. Most recently, a consortium of three companies proposed
to extend the existing two-lane HOV lanes on I-95 south by an
additional 20 miles and widen the entire road from two to three
lanes. The consortium believes that converting the HOV lane to a
HOT lane and charging a toll on single-occupant cars could finance
the expected cost of $500 million.
Because of Virginia's success with the
program, Georgia passed its own partnership law in 2003, and
similar legislation has been introduced in Maryland. An estimated
18 states have similar laws of varying scope.
Although many traditional highway
advocates oppose such innovations, toll-financed private
partnerships have the advantage of being immune to government
budget crunches. As government budgets tighten, state and federal
transportation programs are limited, as they are in FY 2004. But if
privately owned or operated roads were encouraged, transportation
resources would be protected from such spending restraint, and the
availability of funds would depend on transportation needs and
usage, not on the whims of public officials or competing government
programs. Furthermore, as private entities, these roads would be
tax payers instead of tax users.
4. Broaden the
use of innovative finance mechanisms to fund roads and
bridges.
With
the perception that federal and state fuel tax revenues are failing
to keep pace with rising transportation needs, and with taxpayers
increasingly reluctant to support tax increases, particularly those
targeted for transportation, some transportation analysts and
officials are advocating innovative finance mechanisms as an
alternative source of funds for transportation projects.
One
innovation contained in the President's SAFETEA bill and
incorporated into the Senate's plan is extending the privilege of
issuing tax-exempt private activity bonds to transportation
projects. Like debt issued by state and local governments, the
interest paid on private activity bonds is exempt from federal
income taxes, making the borrowing rate about one-third lower than
the rate paid on taxable debt such as corporate bonds, commercial
loans, and residential mortgages. Extending private activity bond
privileges to road projects would encourage more private road
construction by allowing private road developers to use capital at
the same cost as the public sector. Without that privilege, private
road developers must overcome a 30 percent cost disadvantage to
compete with public sector.
Given the needs and the emerging
opportunities, new legislation to reauthorize the highway program
should allow partnerships to issue at least $15 billion in bonds in
each of the six years of the bill. At $90 billion in bonds over the life
of the next bill, this could bring the President's proposed total
up to $346 billion in new money for roads and transit--nearly as
much as Chairman Young proposes to spend, but without a tax
increase.
5. Turn back
responsibility for roads and transit to the states.
Without a fundamental overhaul of the
existing federal highway and transit program, applying any or all
of the above reform options would yield only marginal improvements
in surface transportation mobility and program costs and do nothing
to correct either the misallocation of hundreds of billions of
dollars or regional funding inequities. For these reasons, the
existing federal highway program should be terminated or
dramatically revised. One promising solution is to turn the program
back to where it once belonged--the states.
Under a "turnback" plan, states would be
permitted to collect and retain the federal excise tax of 18.4
cents per gallon and spend it on their own transportation
priorities, not Washington's. States would also be freed from the
costly and counterproductive federal regulations, mandates, and
set-asides, and donor states would no longer be compelled to
subsidize the motorists and transit riders in recipient states. To
facilitate the move from one system to the other, a transition
period of several years duration would be established, and the
responsibilities and money would be transferred in increments.
Such
a plan was introduced as the Transportation Empowerment Act (H.R.
3113) in September 2003 by Representative Jeff Flake (R-AZ). If
enacted, it would incrementally devolve the federal highway program
to the states over the next six years.
Conclusion
The
application of any or all of the first four options could lead to
measurable improvements, the magnitude of which would depend upon
the degree of implementation. But past experience demonstrates that
the degree of implementation--if any--will likely be modest, as
would any resulting improvements in mobility.
With
meaningful reform within the existing institutional structure
unlikely to happen this year, the better solution is simply to
scrap the program and shift both the revenues and the authority to
spend them to the states. While state officials, in general, are no
more reform-minded than their federal colleagues, they are not
subject to the same program-distorting political pressures. They
are also closer to the problems and thus more accountable to the
voters, as well as less vulnerable to the lobbyists and special
interests that loom ever larger in Washington.
Ronald D. Utt, Ph.D., is Herbert and
Joyce Morgan Senior Research Fellow in the Thomas A. Roe Institute
for Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.