The upcoming
presidential election in Indonesia presents the Bush administration
and members of Congress with a dilemma. Wiranto, a retired general
who was indicted by the United Nations for human rights abuses, has
been nominated by Golkar, one of Indonesia's main parties.
Criticism of Wiranto from Washington-especially at this early stage
in the presidential campaign-could bring attention, support, and
perhaps victory to this otherwise unpopular candidate. Those in
Congress and the administration who are concerned about Wiranto's
candidacy would do well to mute their criticisms, at least for the
time being.
A War Criminal?
General Wiranto
was Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Indonesia when
Suharto fell from power in 1998 and when Indonesia's armed forces
withdrew from East Timor in 1999. In both instances, the behavior
of the military was less than glorious. In 1998, several protesting
students were shot and others were kidnapped, allegedly by members
of the military. No top officers were ever prosecuted for this
attack.
In August 1999, East Timor voted for
independence from Indonesia, and in a bloody withdrawal-some say
retribution-Indonesia's military and proxy militia were accused of
killing more than 1,400 people, displacing hundreds of thousands
more, and destroying three quarters of East Timor's infrastructure.
The United Nations indicted Wiranto for his alleged inaction during
the immolation of East Timor, but he has never stood trial. Wiranto
denies that he did anything wrong in either case and claims that
the allegations are designed to derail his presidential
bid.
Wiranto was selected to represent
Golkar, former dictator and kleptocrat Suharto's party, at its
April 20 party convention. Golkar is enjoying a revival of sorts
after the April 5 legislative elections. Although the party won
fewer votes in 2004 than it did in 1999, this year's widely
dispersed voting pattern left Golkar, with only 21.1 percent of the
vote, as the largest party.
Two other candidates substantially lead
Wiranto in public opinion polls. The current President, Megawatti,
is in second place in the race, and another retired general, Susilo
Bambang Yudhoyono, leads the pack. There is little reason to
believe that Wiranto can beat either opponent, but American
officials making fiery condemnations of his candidacy will only
draw more attention, and perhaps sympathy, to him.
Misunderstandings
To understand how innocent and entirely
justified comments by senior American officials can be
misunderstood in Indonesia, one has to look no further than
Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge's March visit to
Indonesia.
While in Indonesia, Secretary Ridge
expressed his disappointment with the Indonesian Supreme Court's
decision to halve the sentence of the Jemaah Islamiyah leader and
terrorist mastermind Abu Bakar Bashir. Although Secretary Ridge
made many positive statements about Indonesia, Ridge's comments
about Bashir received the most attention. Many Indonesians felt
Ridge's comments were an unwarranted interference in Indonesian
affairs.
Yudhoyono, the leading presidential
candidate, felt compelled to announce that he "respected" the
decisions of Indonesia's supreme court, and another Indonesian
official called Ridge's remarks detrimental to the war on
terrorism.
As a candidate for President, Wiranto
has many weaknesses. Indonesians are fed up with passive and
corrupt leaders, and Wiranto is both. Army generals officially earn
only a few hundred dollars a month, but Wiranto retired a very
wealthy man and has no explanation about the source of his wealth.
His claim that he is the only candidate strong enough to hold the
country together contrasts sharply with his principal excuse for
his lack of action in East Timor, that he did not know what was
going on there and that he could not control his own forces.
Finally, Wiranto was Chief of the Armed Forces when the military
was the most hated institution in the country.
Indonesia has a free and dynamic media
that is reporting all these facts and more to the public. Without
interference from outside the country, Indonesia's voters will most
likely reject Wiranto's bid for the presidency. Comments by
well-intentioned American politicians and senior officials will not
be seen as informative, but insulting, and may backfire.
America's principal interest in
Indonesia is a free and fair election, not who wins it. So from now
to the July 5 presidential election, the best policy for Congress
and the Administration is to withhold comment on the candidates and
trust Indonesia's democratic process.
Dana R.
Dillon is Senior Policy Analyst in the Asian Studies Center at The
Heritage Foundation.