There are only three
real solutions to Social Security's rapidly approaching fiscal
problems: raise taxes, reduce spending, or make the current payroll
taxes work harder by investing them through some form of personal
retirement account (PRA).
Establishing PRAs is
the only solution that will also give future retirees the
opportunity to receive an improved standard of living in
retirement. These accounts would give them more control over how to
structure their income and allow them to build a nest egg that
could be used for emergencies during retirement, used to start
a business, or left to their families. However, establishing PRAs
will be complex and-as experience from other countries shows-will
require careful planning.
To set up a workable
PRA system, Congress needs to:
-
Create an account
structure that uses a portion of existing payroll taxes and
allows workers of all income levels an opportunity to build family
nest eggs. PRAs would be
voluntary and would not affect current retirees in any way.
Workers would own their Social Security PRAs, which would be funded
by directing a portion of their Social Security retirement taxes
into their PRAs. About 5 percent of income would be best, but
the directed portion should not be less than 2 percent or more than
10 percent. The larger the account, the more likely that it could
pay for all or a substantial portion of workers' retirement
benefits without requiring more than a token amount of funding
through the existing government-paid system.
-
Create a simple,
low-cost administrative structure for the accounts that uses the
current payroll tax system and professional investment
managers. Probably the simplest
and cheapest structure would be the existing payroll tax system.
Rather that having the government invest PRA money, the agency
overseeing the accounts should contract out fund management to
professional fund managers.
-
Create a carefully
controlled set of investment options that includes an
appropriate default option. Initially, workers
would be allowed to put their PRA contributions into any one of
three balanced and diversified mixes of stock index funds,
government bonds, and similar pension-grade investments. The
default fund for workers who do not make a choice would be a
lifestyle fund in which the asset mix changes with the age of the
worker. Younger workers would be invested fairly heavily in stock
index funds; but as they age, their funds would automatically
gradually shift toward a portfolio that includes a substantial
proportion of bonds and other fixed-interest investments. This
would allow workers who are far from retirement to grow with the
economy while older workers would lock in that growth with a
portfolio made up predominantly of lower-risk
investments.
-
Adjust Social Security
benefits to a more sustainable level for future
generations. Despite promises from
both the left and the right to pay promised benefits in full, this
is simply not realistic. While current retirees and those close to
retirement should receive every cent that they are due, future
benefit promises must be scaled back to more realistic
levels.
-
Create a realistic
plan for paying the general revenue cost of establishing a PRA
system. The necessary money
will have to come from some combination of four sources:
borrowing additional money, collecting more general
revenue and other taxes, reducing other government spending, and
reducing Social Security benefits more than is required under
current law or in the reform plans. While some Representatives and
Senators will be tempted to cover Social Security's deficits with
higher taxes, this is the wrong approach. The necessary amounts are
so large that such a tax increase would consume enough resources to
harm the economy.
-
Create a system that
allows workers flexibility in structuring their retirement
benefits while ensuring that they receive an adequate monthly
benefit. To protect both the
retiree and the taxpayer, a PRA plan should require all retirees to
use some of their PRAs to purchase annuities that would guarantee
at least a minimal level of income for life, including an
adjustment for inflation. This would protect taxpayers from
retirees who would otherwise spend their entire PRAs,
expecting some form of government handout to meet their monthly
expenses.
Any plan to fix Social
Security should:
-
Improve the retirement
income of future retirees without reducing the benefits of current
retirees or those close to retirement. Social Security reform
should not reduce the benefits of today's retirees or those close
to retirement.
-
Add voluntary PRAs
that include a savings/ nest egg component to the current
system. In the future, Social
Security retirement benefits should come from both the current
government-paid program, which would become Social Security
Part A, and from the individual worker's PRA, which would be known
as Social Security Part B.
-
Reduce the unfunded
burden that today's Social Security system will impose on future
generations. A sensible reform
would reduce the benefits promised to younger workers to more
affordable levels while also allowing them the opportunity to
make up the difference through investment earnings. Continuing
to promise those who are a long way from retirement more than
Social Security can realistically deliver only makes the system
unstable by pushing the burden of paying for it onto future
generations.
Conclusion.
It is not fair
either to force senior citizens into poverty because of low Social
Security benefits or to beggar their children and
grandchildren by requiring them to pay for unrealistic
promises. Establishing Social Security PRAs is the only way to
avoid both of these extremes.
Because PRAs would
earn higher returns than the current system can afford to pay, they
could preserve retirement benefits at a sustainable level and
reduce the unfunded promises imposed on future generations.
However, PRAs are not a magic bullet. To work properly, a PRA
system must be carefully structured and administered. The system
must neither promise more than it can reasonably be expected to
deliver in benefits nor attempt to hide its true cost through
budget tricks.
David C.
John is Research Fellow in Social Security and
Financial Institutions in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic
Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.