At the APEC
(Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) Economic Leaders' Meeting
in late November 2004, President George W. Bush and South Korean
President Roh Moo Hyun stated that both countries were in agreement
on the goal of de-nuclearizing North Korea. Yet, despite such
congenial official statements, a serious perception gap between the
United States and the Republic of Korea (ROK) has become
increasingly stark in recent months. Official statements from
the Roh government and expressions by the South Korean public and
media are often critical of U.S. policies and laced with serious
misperceptions about American foreign policy intentions and
objectives. In addition to destabilizing the formal security
alliance, this perception gap seriously undermines the unified
approach toward North Korea.
Thus, as the Bush
Administration prepares for its second term, one of its top foreign
policy priorities should be a thorough examination of U.S.-ROK
relations. Specifically, President Bush should:
-
Consider inviting
President Roh to the White House for a summit as early as possible
and work to ensure that the leadership in both countries reinforce
their commitment to a unified position on North Korea;
-
Establish an
interagency task force to identify areas of weakness and strength
in the alliance and to offer concrete recommendations for
establishing a new and positive relationship;
-
Use vigorous public
diplomacy efforts to combat anti-American rhetoric in South Korea;
and
-
Encourage greater
bilateral exchanges at the congressional level.
The U.S.-ROK
alliance has been a crucial cornerstone of stability and
security in Northeast Asia for the past half century and will
continue to play this critical role in the future-but only if both
countries can narrow the gap between American and South Korean
mindsets. Reaffirming this important and successful alliance will
be essential to resolving the North Korean nuclear issue and
achieving a permanent peace on the Korean
peninsula.
From "Going
Together" to a Gap in Views
Much in the
U.S.-South Korea relationship remains strong and positive. The
alliance was formalized in 1953 by the Mutual Defense Treaty.
The motto "Let's Go Together," a phrase drawn from the text of the
treaty, handily captures the closeness and cooperation that have
characterized the relationship for the past 50 years. Indeed,
America sacrificed over 37,000 servicemen during the Korean
War, and the ROK quickly answered the U.S. request for assistance
in the Vietnam War by sending more than 50,000 troops, which
suffered over 4,400 casualties.
Today, the United
States remains strongly committed to the defense of the ROK,
as manifested by the continued presence of U.S. forces on the
peninsula. South Korea, for its part, remains a staunch
supporter of the United States, as demonstrated by its deployment
of 3,600 troops to Iraq, making South Korea the second largest
coalition partner in Iraq. The leaders of both countries have also
pledged to work together and with other countries in the region to
resolve the North Korean nuclear problem diplomatically.
Beyond the mechanics
of the alliance and the shared tragedy of war and bloodshed,
America and South Korea have intertwined their relationship through
economic, political, and social bonds. Bilateral trade between the
two countries surpassed $56 billion in 2003. Ever since 1962, the
United States has invested nearly $27 billion in South Korea, with
nearly $4.5 billion invested in 2003 alone. South Korea is
America's seventh-largest trading partner, and the United States is
the ROK's second-largest trading partner. The United States remains
the largest export market for South Korea and is the second largest
source of imports, with American firms exporting more than $22.6
billion in goods to South Korea in 2003.
The social and
cultural ties between the two countries are also strong. Over 1
million ethnic Koreans now reside in the United States, and over
660,000 South Korean citizens traveled to America in 2003,
including 7,000 students. South Korea sends more students to study
in the United States than any country except China. In the same
year, more than 530,000 American citizens visited South Korea, with
some 50,000 American civilians considering it their
home.
Politically, South
Koreans and Americans share more common values today than ever
before in the half century of formal relations. Ever since the
political turmoil of the 1980s, South Korea has become one of the
most vibrant democracies in East Asia. South Korean civil society
has experienced tremendous growth, and its citizenry shares
the American values of respect for the democratic process, the rule
of law, freedom of expression, freedom of the press, and religious
freedom.
However, despite the
success of the formal alliance relationship and close economic
and social ties, the bilateral relationship has suffered in recent
years with increased problems of perception on both sides of the
Pacific. Many Americans have become increasingly concerned about
flare-ups of anti-American sentiment, including mass
demonstrations against the United States staged in late 2002
to protest the death of two schoolgirls in a traffic accident
involving U.S. military personnel.[1] More disturbing are the less
overt signs that South Korean attitudes toward America have
shifted. For example, recent public opinion surveys reveal that
more South Koreans see the United States as a greater threat to
their security than North Korea.[2]
Today, the feeling
of trust between the United States and South Korea that for decades
has been taken for granted is eroding. The formal alliance
relationship, which is critical to the security interests of
both countries, may also be in jeopardy.
Sources of the
Gap
Several factors have
contributed to this divergence of views. One important factor
is that South Korea has undergone a profound political,
economic, and social transformation during the past two
decades. Two decades ago South Korea was an authoritarian country.
Today it is one of the most vibrant and thriving democracies in
East Asia, with a vigorous civil society and freedom of expression,
fueled in part by the explosive use of the Internet.
South Korea's
economy has rapidly grown from one of the poorest in the region at
the end of the Korean War to a regional powerhouse and the 12th
largest economy in the world. Today, South Korean society is
dominated by the younger generation- in both number and
influence-who are struggling to adjust to the immense challenges
that accompany such changes. These include reconciling
national pride and achievements with lingering feelings of
inadequacy and dependency stemming from its recent bitter history
as a Japanese colony, which was followed by division and war.
Regrettably, such "growing pains" are often manifested in
nationalistic rhetoric, which is often couched in anti-American
expressions.
At the same time,
changes have also occurred in the United States. The events of
September 11, 2001, changed not only the strategic orientation of
the United States, but also the attitudes of the American people.
After 9/11, America-both its government and its people-is less
inclined to tolerate anti-American sentiments and is less
patient with and accommodating of allies that hesitate to support
the United States in endeavors that serve their mutual
interests.
North
Korea
Contributing to the
growing gap between the United States and South Korea are their
fundamentally altered and divergent views of North Korea. From
the U.S. perspective, North Korea remains an imposing threat
because of the regime's military strength, illicit pursuit of
nuclear weapons, "military first" policy at the cost of mass
starvation of its citizens, proliferation of arms and missiles,
record of state-sponsored terrorism, continued hostile
military stance toward South Korea and other neighbors such as
Japan, and its continued widespread violations of the human
rights of its own people.
Yet from South
Korea's perspective, the North Korean threat has less to do with
its strength as a regime than its weakness. Today, South Koreans
fear a North Korean collapse more than an attack, because a
collapse would unleash social, political, and economic chaos
that would impose unacceptable costs.
Regrettably, because
of this widespread perception gap, some South Koreans have
chosen to accept at face value the North Korean propaganda that the
United States is an obstacle to reconciliation and
reunification. Many South Koreans seem to blame President Bush's
principled stance against North Korea for slow progress in
inter-Korean rapprochement and the break in dialogue with
Pyongyang-even though North Korea is solely responsible for
creating a nuclear crisis in the region. This perception was
further reinforced when President Bush named North Korea a part of
"the axis of evil."
Bridging the
Gap.
In actuality, the
U.S.-ROK alliance and bilateral relations are in better shape than
superficial perceptions may suggest. Today, the two allies
have more in common than ever before during their 50-year
relationship, including shared values of democracy, open markets,
free trade, and respect for the rule of law. Person-to-person
contacts at all levels of society are increasing, as are economic
interactions between the two countries.
Nevertheless,
perceptions matter in foreign policy, and both Washington and
Seoul should pay heed to the changing environments in both
countries. Various components of the leadership in both
countries have been making concerted efforts to adjust the formal
details of the alliance to reinvigorate the relationship and
improve its efficiency.
For example, as part
of the Department of Defense's Global Posture Review, the Pentagon
and the ROK Defense Ministry have been discussing the future of the
alliance with the object of implementing needed changes to the
U.S. force structure on the Korean peninsula. As part of the plan
to increase the efficiency and efficacy of the alliance and the
U.S. defense commitment, they have agreed to a gradual drawdown and
repositioning of U.S. forces on the peninsula.
While both
governments wholeheartedly agree on the positive benefits of
restructuring, public misperception, particularly among South
Koreans, has undermined these efforts. Restructuring has been
falsely characterized as a unilateral move by Washington,
indicating either a reduction of U.S. commitment or preparation for
a sudden attack on North Korea. In reality, such changes to the
alliance structure actually strengthen the American commitment
to the ROK's defense, as evidenced by the U.S. pledge of $11
billion over the next 10 years for joint development of the ROK
military.
Regrettably, such
misperceptions undermine the strength of the alliance, just when
full cooperation and a combined show of strength are critical to
resolving the North Korean nuclear problem peacefully.
Although some critics argue that Washington should postpone-if not
abandon-efforts to restructure the alliance during this
particularly tense time with North Korea, the uncertainties caused
by North Korea make improving the alliance even more urgent.
Moreover, given the perennial nature of the North Korean
threat, there may never be a good time-much less a better time- for
restructuring.
Both Washington and
Seoul must focus on bridging the gap in public attitudes toward the
future of the alliance. The alliance has served the interests of
both countries for the past half century and will continue to do so
in the future if current misgivings are overcome. President Roh and
the South Korean leadership should reassess their priorities
and-given how much South Korean and regional security depends on
the alliance-make every effort to lead their country toward a
positive and enthusiastic embrace of the relationship.
President Bush and his Administration should work toward
understanding the immense changes that have occurred in South Korea
and exhibit greater sensitivity to South Korean concerns. Both
sides need to commit to improving dialogue and communication
across all levels of the government and society if the alliance is
to thrive and prosper.
What Should Be
Done
As President Bush
begins his second term, he should focus on narrowing the gap in
public opinions regarding the importance and centrality of the
alliance by:
-
Inviting President
Roh to the White House for a summit as early as
possible. The purpose of
the summit should be to reaffirm clearly and unequivocally that the
alliance will remain one of the most important pillars of stability
and security on the Korean peninsula and in the region. President
Bush should also seek an equivalent endorsement from President Roh.
This message is crucial for establishing the tone of the
relationship in the next four years, and it would send a strong
signal to North Korea that its efforts to undermine the alliance as
part of its nuclear brinkmanship will be futile.
-
Ensuring that the
leadership in both countries endeavor to reinforce this
commitment by agreeing on a unified position. At the
diplomatic level, both sides insist that the bilateral
relationship remains strong and united. Yet, at home, political
leaders in Seoul and Washington sometimes express contrary and
negative opinions to their domestic constituencies, fueling
dangerous misperceptions among the public. Presidents Bush and
Roh should work with their principal advisors in relevant agencies
to strive for uniformity of message. They should also seek a mutual
commitment that rhetoric will not be used to serve domestic
political goals. Kim Jong Il and his regime have likely gained
great sustenance from the mixed messages emanating from
Washington and Seoul.
-
Establishing an
interagency task force to identify areas of weakness and strength
in the bilateral relationship. This task force
should offer concrete recommendations for establishing a new and
positive dynamic. The ROK government should be encouraged to
establish a similar task force. These task forces should involve
officials from all of the major agencies in both countries that
address issues on the Korean peninsula. The U.S. task force should
include the Department of Defense, the Department of State, the
National Security Council, the Department of Commerce, and the
Office of the U.S. Trade Representative. The two task forces should
then meet together regularly to share their
findings.
-
Combating
anti-American rhetoric in South Korea through vigorous public
diplomacy outreach efforts. Anti-Americanism in
South Korea is easily misunderstood in the United States, but
nevertheless poses serious impediments to the future of the
alliance. Both countries must commit concerted attention and
resources to public diplomacy efforts to educate the South
Korean public to correct insidious misperceptions about
American motives and policies. Such efforts should include the
following:
-
-
The U.S. embassy
should increase U.S. participation in Korean Internet sites,
which are a primary source of information for South Korean
citizens. Christopher Hill, the new U.S. Ambassador to the ROK, has
already spearheaded such an effort, but the State Department needs
to be committed to providing the financial support to expand
these efforts.
-
U.S. government
officials should be more active and visible in engaging in
dialogue- particularly with the younger generation- through
lectures and forums conducted at universities throughout South
Korea. The State Department should also invite non-governmental
experts on U.S.-South Korea relations to South Korea for regular
visits, particularly at universities. The State Department
should also consider expanding the U.S. Information Agency's
presence and activities throughout South Korea.
-
The ROK government
should be encouraged to establish an international visitor's
program that will invite American experts on U.S.- South Korea
relations to come to Korea to participate in public
forums.
-
The U.S. embassy in
Seoul should be more vigilant in monitoring the South Korean media,
particularly Internet outlets, in order to respond to and refute
misinformation and misrepresentation of the United States and its
policies.
-
The U.S. government
should seek the ROK government's commitment to correct
inaccurate information about the United States and monitor its
own behavior that may be contributing to negative attitudes about
America.
-
Urging Seoul to
finalize agreements with Washington as quickly as possible about
opening a new U.S. embassy facility in Seoul. Controversy about
providing the grounds for a much-needed new U.S. embassy has caused
unnecessary friction in the bilateral relations in recent years.
Seoul is deserving of a U.S. representative office equal to those
already present in Beijing and Tokyo.
-
Recommending that
the State Department prioritize granting visa waiver status to
South Korea. Currently, the
United States has visa waiver agreements with 27 countries, but has
yet to grant the same status to South Korea because policy requires
that a country have a visa denial rate of 3 percent or lower to
qualify. However, lack of a visa waiver agreement has greatly
contributed to strong negative attitudes toward the U.S.
government and sends the wrong message to a U.S. ally that its
citizens are unwelcome in America. Granting this status to
South Korea would go far in improving American public
diplomacy with South Korean citizens.
-
Encouraging greater
bilateral exchanges at the congressional level. Several formal
organizations already exist within the U.S. Congress to
promote bilateral exchanges, including the Korea-U.S. Exchange
Council (KORUSEC), the Korea Caucus, and the U.S.-ROK
Interparliamentary Exchange. They should be encouraged to
expand their activities to include vigorous and more frequent
dialogue with their counterparts in the ROK National Assembly,
including establishing study groups on specific topics of mutual
interest. Furthermore, study groups should be established at the
congressional staff levels in both countries to target issues
of mutual concern and cooperation.
Conclusion
The United States
has much to gain from maintaining its formal alliance with the
Republic of Korea, as well as the broader bilateral relationship.
However, to do so, both sides must work to overcome the
serious gap in public perception that has emerged in recent years.
Both sides should endeavor for genuine communication and mutual
understanding that immense changes have occurred on both sides of
the Pacific. Reinforcing relations will serve the national
interests of both countries. Establishing a new and positive tone
between the two alliance partners at the outset should be an
important priority for the Bush Administration as it faces what
could be its thorniest foreign policy challenge of the next
four years- resolving the North Korean nuclear issue.
Balbina Y.
Hwang is Policy Analyst for Northeast Asia in the
Asian Studies Center at The Heritage
Foundation.
[1]For further
details, see Balbina Y. Hwang, "Defusing Anti-American Rhetoric in
South Korea," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No.
1619, January 23, 2003, at
www.heritage.org/Research/AsiaandthePacific/bg1619.cfm.
[2]"U.S. More
Dangerous Than North Korea," Chosun Daily, January 12, 2004.
See also Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, "Comparing South
Korean and American Public Opinion and Foreign Policy," in
Global Views 2004 (Chicago: Chicago Council on Foreign
Affairs, 2004), at
www.ccfr.org/globalviews2004/sub/usakor.htm (December 13,
2004), and William Watts, "Next Generation Leaders in the Republic
of Korea: Opinion Survey Report and Analysis," April 2002, at
www.keia.com/William%20Watts.doc (December 13,
2004).