Despite considerable challenges, the
Bush Administration has made significant progress in opening
foreign markets for American goods and services. Congress has
approved free trade agreements with Australia, Chile, Morocco, and
Singapore.
Congress and the Administration should
be congratulated for approving accords that will bring real
benefits to producers and consumers in America and its trading
partners. Congress now has an opportunity to follow up on
these achievements by approving the Dominican Republic and
Central American Free Trade Agreement (DR-CAFTA), which includes
the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala,
Honduras, and Nicaragua.
While not a perfect free trade
agreement, DR- CAFTA supports America's economic and political
interests by reducing barriers to trade and investment among
all signatories. Moreover, the agreement would lock in advances
made toward economic liberalization in Central America and the
Dominican Republic and set a schedule for further
liberalization-policies that are linked to greater economic
growth and development. Increasing economic growth would bolster
political stability and help create jobs for workers who might
otherwise migrate illegally to the United States.
While the Senate is expected to support
DR- CAFTA, the agreement's fate in the House of
Representatives is uncertain. Congress should waste no time in
approving DR-CAFTA, which will open overseas markets for
American businesses, protect the homeland by reducing the flow of
illegal immigrants, and help stabilize friendly, fledgling
democracies by facilitating trade with America.
The Economic Case
for DR-CAFTA
The Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, El
Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua are small
countries that have an economic importance to the United States
that exceeds their size. Their combined gross domestic product
(GDP) was nearly $73 billion in 2003-roughly equivalent to the GDP
of New Zealand or Venezuela-with a combined population just larger
than Canada.[1] Even so, total U.S. trade with
them outstrips that with Australia, Brazil, India, Russia, and many
European nations. Taken as a group, these six countries amounted to
America's 13th largest trading partner in 2003 with total
trade of nearly $32 billion.[2] Only Mexico was a larger U.S.
trading partner in Latin America ($236 billion in 2003). Moreover,
trade with the region is growing. The first 11 months of 2004 saw a
$1.3 billion increase in trade over the first 11 months of 2003.[3]
Seizing an opportunity to enhance
America's mutually beneficial economic ties with Central America
and the Dominican Republic, the Bush Administration concluded a
free trade agreement with five Central American countries in March
2004. This agreement-the Central American Free Trade Agreement-was
signed in May 2004. Negotiations with the Dominican Republic were
conducted separately, but the two agreements were combined for
congressional consideration into the Dominican Republic-Central
American Free Trade Agreement. DR-CAFTA was signed on August 5,
2004.
DR-CAFTA is not perfect. Among other
things, a perfect free trade agreement would immediately liberalize
trade in all goods and services. As with every other free trade
agreement, DR-CAFTA has made concessions to political pressures in
the U.S. and its prospective free trade partners. While a large
majority of tariffs are eliminated upon enactment, some
tariffs will be phased out over a period of years (in a few cases,
over 20 years), and some sectors are not fully liberalized or are
excluded (notably sugar and textiles).[4]
But while the flaws of DR-CAFTA are
worth noting, they are far outweighed by the agreement's
considerable economic benefits. Specifically, DR-CAFTA would
help America, the Dominican Republic, and the countries of
Central America in four ways.
Elimination of Barriers to Goods,
Services, and Agricultural Commodities. According to the World Bank's World
Development Indicators 2004, the weighted average tariff rates
in the DR-CAFTA countries are significantly higher than America's
2.6 percent. Specifically, the most recent data available list
weighted average tariffs of 10.1 percent in the Dominican
Republic, 5.8 percent in Costa Rica, 6.1 percent in El Salvador,
5.8 percent in Guatemala, 7.3 percent in Honduras, and 2.3 percent
in Nicaragua.[5]
DR-CAFTA would "eliminate eighty percent
of the tariffs immediately, with the remaining tariffs phased out
over 10 years,"[6] including immediately reducing
restrictions on "80 percent of U.S. industrial exports and
more than 50 percent of agricultural exports to the region."[7] By committing the DR-CAFTA
countries to eliminating tariffs, the agreement would lower the
cost of trade, which would benefit consumers in all countries
involved in the agreement. America in particular would benefit from
DR-CAFTA because the Dominican Republic and Central America already
have preferential access to the U.S. market. The benefits to
America therefore come at very little cost.
Enhanced Economic Opportunities in
Central America and the Dominican Republic. The DR-CAFTA countries currently enjoy
preferential access to the U.S. market. According to the U.S. Trade
Representative, "Eighty percent of DR-CAFTA imports already enter
the United States duty free."[8] This preferential
access is through the Caribbean Basin Initiative and the United
States-Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act. However, unlike a
free trade agreement, this access is based solely on U.S. law and
can easily be changed or allowed to expire.
DR-CAFTA would make permanent the trade
preferences enjoyed by the Dominican Republic and the Central
American countries and expand that access into new sectors.
Permanent duty-free access to the U.S. is a major incentive for
investors and promises new opportunities for existing
businesses: America's $9.5 trillion economy is more than 130
times the size of the combined DR- CAFTA economies.[9]
The agreement also obligates the
countries to remove trade and investment barriers among
themselves. Such access would help existing businesses and
encourage new industries in those countries to take advantage of
expanded opportunities in the region. However, the biggest winners
would be consumers and producers, who would be able to
purchase goods at cheaper prices-delivering an immediate
improvement in the standard of living and production capabilities
in DR-CAFTA countries.
Economic Liberalization.
Evidence from the Index of
Economic Freedom, published annually by The Heritage Foundation
and The Wall Street Journal, reveals a clear
relationship between economic freedom and prosperity. Rigid labor
policies, high regulation and bureaucratic red tape, high official
taxation, corruption, and trade barriers are obstacles that
create a drag on economic growth. The greater the level of
government intervention in the economy, the lower the probability
that individuals, investors, and businesses will be able to
prosper because costs on private economic activity become
higher. In addition, a market economy cannot operate profitably
without the supporting structure of the rule of law.
DR-CAFTA would liberalize economic
policies in the Dominican Republic and Central America and
require their governments to enforce existing laws. For instance,
restrictions on U.S. investment in sectors such as energy, finance,
insurance, telecommunications, transport, and tourism would be
eliminated and protection for U.S. patents, trademarks, and
other intellectual property would be enhanced.
By locking in these liberal economic
policies, DR- CAFTA offers investors certainty that policies will
not suddenly reverse-a key component in investment decisions.
Similarly, the U.S. is required to liberalize its existing
trade barriers. While broader economic liberalization is necessary
for the countries of Central America and the Dominican Republic,
DR-CAFTA moves participating countries in the right direction and
will yield economic benefits.
Improvement in Labor and Environmental
Standards. One of the
recurring criticisms of free trade is that it discourages higher
labor and environmental standards. Economic studies show that
the single greatest cause of environmental degradation and low
labor standards is poverty. Wealthier societies are more likely to
demand and implement greater environmental and labor protections
because they can better afford the costs of those policies.[10] They also show that the desire
for such protection increases as income grows. Economic
liberalization is the most effective means of increasing
environmental and labor standards because countries that embrace
economic freedom-including free trade-experience stronger
economic growth than those that seek to thwart the market through
barriers to investment and trade.[11]
While DR-CAFTA could be improved by
accelerating tariff reductions and expanding the
agreement to cover all sectors, the time for negotiations is
past. The bottom line is that DR-CAFTA offers substantial
liberalization of trade and investment and encourages further
economic liberalization among America's trade partners. These
policies open economic opportunities for the United States, Central
America, and the Dominican Republic and set the stage for
market-driven economic growth and development.
Protecting America's
Future
It is in the best interest of the United
States to be surrounded by stable, friendly neighbors that can
control their territory and trade goods in an open marketplace.
Free trade agreements help remove barriers to commerce, enabling
countries to achieve the kind of prosperity necessary for
democracy, economic opportunity, and stability to take root. It
promotes economic growth so that industries and jobs may
proliferate, keeping migrant workers at home. Growing economies
provide tax revenues so that law enforcement can protect citizens
and curb transnational crime threats such as drug and arms
trafficking.
Support for Stable, Democratic
Governments. In
the 1970s, every Central American country except Belize and Costa
Rica was ruled by a military dictator, supported by closed markets
that protected state and family-owned monopolies. Limits on
political and economic freedoms made the region vulnerable to
Soviet-backed guerrilla movements that would have challenged
U.S. security. At great cost to U.S. taxpayers, Washington
confronted the Soviet bloc both economically and diplomatically
while helping Central American democrats to defeat Marxist
insurgencies with security assistance and ballots.
Although the transition to peace,
elections, and more open markets has been impressive, the
transformation is by no means complete. DR-CAFTA would promote
further reform, offer market opportunities, and signal a
continuation of genuine U.S. interest in the
region.
Jobs Instead of Illegal
Immigration. Central
America's economies still need help, but not the kind that
development aid handouts can provide. Some 57 percent of these
countries' citizens are informally employed, and underemployment
averages 51 percent where data have been collected.[12] Assembly plants that once
thrived in Central America have moved to China, where workers earn
as little as 25 cents per hour without workplace protections
or labor standards. Meanwhile, families seeking to put food on the
table are migrating to the United States.
DR-CAFTA is essential to help provide
work at home for Dominicans and Central Americans, whose economies
are struggling to become better integrated into the global system
and provide a more secure environment for commerce. As much as
President George W. Bush intends for America to consolidate its
"ownership society," the Dominican Republic and Central
America should be encouraged to establish their own.
Combating Transnational
Crime. Crime rates in
Central America are among the highest in the world (154 murders per
100,000 inhabitants in Honduras in 1998), and delinquent mobs
affiliated with major U.S. gangs are proliferating.[13] Transnational drug and arms
traffickers employ local delinquents to support illicit operations,
while the scarcity of jobs and economic opportunity ensures a
constant pool of recruits.
Growing threats posed by local and
transnational crime will destabilize these fragile democracies and
send ever-larger waves of migrants northward-many at the mercy of
gangs and human traffickers. Sadly, most who reach their
destination will be consigned to marginal lives in the shadows of
U.S. communities that do not have the resources to support them.
Economic growth and higher employment rates abroad are crucial to
confronting international crime.
The free trade agreement with the
Dominican Republic and Central America would help to advance
American interests in the region. Moreover, DR-CAFTA would be a
vital stepping-stone in constructing the Free Trade Area of the
Americas, which would integrate most of the economies of the
hemisphere and, in turn, advance American interests throughout the
region.
Challenges to
DR-CAFTA
DR-CAFTA faces two major threats in
Congress: opposition from protectionists in the sugar and textile
industries and those who want to use trade agreements to force
countries to adopt strict labor and environmental standards. This
opposition should be dismissed for the following
reasons.
Sugar and Textiles. Despite clear evidence that American
consumers and the U.S. economy would be better off if the sugar and
textile industries were forced to compete evenly with
international rivals, these U.S. industries have successfully
maintained protections in America's free trade agreements. American
negotiators specifically refused to liberalize sugar and
textile trade in DR-CAFTA out of fear that Congress would not
approve the agreement.
-
Sugar. Many of America's sugar producers are
not globally competitive. They remain in business only through
guaranteed prices backed by subsidized loans, strict quotas, and
market-strangling tariffs. Consequently, Americans pay two to three
times the average world price for sugar-a direct transfer of wealth
from consumers to U.S. sugar producers.
In 1998, government support cost the U.S. economy about $900
million according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office
(GAO).[14] The GAO further estimated that
U.S. consumers of sugar-sugarcane refineries, food manufacturers,
and final consumers- would have saved $1.9 billion in 1998 if the
U.S. had eliminated its sugar program.[15] A 2004 study by
the U.S. International Trade Commission estimated that liberalizing
the trade in sugar would provide a net benefit of $1.09 billion to
the U.S. economy.[16]
U.S. sugar producers have successfully fought to maintain this
wealth transfer by opposing subsidy cuts, lower tariffs, and
elimination of quotas on foreign sugar. DR-CAFTA is no exception.
U.S. sugar tariffs (after quotas), which exceed 100 percent, will
not change under DR-CAFTA. DR-CAFTA sets strict quotas starting at
107,000 metric tons in the first year and increasing to 151,000
tons over 15 years, about 1.4 percent of 2003-2004 U.S. prodcution
in the first year.[17] According to the U.S. Trade
Representative, "In the first year, increased sugar market access
for Central America and the Dominican Republic under the CAFTA-DR
will amount to about 1.2 percent of current U.S. sugar consumption,
growing very slowly over 15 years to about 1.7 percent of current
consumption."[18] The truth is that DR-CAFTA
would only negligibly affect U.S. sugar producers.
-
Textiles. As with uncompetitive sugar
producers, the U.S. government protects U.S. textile and yarn
manufacturers from international competition and has done so for
decades through high tariffs, strict requirements on U.S. content
in foreign garment imports, and extensive quotas.[19] These
policies are often defended as necessary to protect jobs in the
U.S. However, textile protection is extremely inefficient and
costly.
As noted in 1992 by the
Congressional Budget Office, "the annual net welfare costs of these
restrictions to the economy (that is, the amount by which the costs
to consumers and the government exceed the benefits to U.S. firms,
workers, and the government) are in the range of $3,600 to $19,200
for each job retained in the textile and apparel
industries."[20] A 2004 study by the
International Trade Commission estimated that liberalizing quotas
and tariffs on textiles and apparel would result in a net benefit
to the U.S. economy of $9 billion to $14 billion, of which
approximately $2 billion would be gained through eliminating
tariffs.[21]
DR-CAFTA would permit garments made in the region to enter the U.S.
duty-free only if they are made from fabric or yarn from regional
producers.[22] The free trade agreement is
nearly identical to the access that the Dominican Republic and
Central America already have through the United
States-Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act, except that it
would extend duty-free access to garments made with inputs from
Canada or Mexico- free trade partners with the U.S. through NAFTA.
In other words, DR-CAFTA would effect little real change in U.S.
policy toward the region on textile and garment trade.
While the failure to fully
liberalize trade in textiles and garments is disappointing
from a free trade perspective, U.S. textile manufacturers should be
delighted because DR-CAFTA would help Central American
manufacturers compete against Asian competitors that export goods
made with Asian textiles and materials.[23] The
six DR-CAFTA countries are the third largest purchaser of U.S.
textiles.[24] Many U.S. textiles and yarns
are used in local factories to make clothing that is then
exported to the U.S. This mutually beneficial trading
relationship helps manufacturers in the U.S. and in the
DR-CAFTA countries.
Congress is doing American consumers a
disservice by failing to liberalize the sugar and textile sectors,
but Members of Congress should not compound their error by
rejecting a free trade agreement that would have little impact on
those favored sectors and that promises economic gains for
America.
Labor and Environmental
Standards. Congressional opposition to
DR-CAFTA on the basis that the agreement is not strong enough on
labor and environmental standards also lacks merit. The agreement
contains provisions on labor and the environment that are virtually
identical to those contained in the Jordan and Morocco free trade
agreements, which essentially require America's trade partners to
enforce their existing labor and environmental laws. If anything,
DR-CAFTA provisions in these areas exceed those in previous
agreements. Congress approved the Jordan and Morocco agreements by
large bipartisan margins. If Congress rejected DR-CAFTA over these
provisions, it would signal U.S. rejection of closer ties with
the region.
Conclusion
It is in America's economic interest to
expand trade by lowering barriers to goods and services in the U.S.
and other countries. Trade is an increasingly vital part of
the U.S. economy from which Americans have benefited
tremendously.
The political case for liberalizing
trade is equally important. Countries that adopt economic
freedom, including market liberalization, tend to grow faster
than less free countries. Faster growth translates into higher
standards of living, less poverty, and more stable and secure
societies.[25]
DR-CAFTA will be the first test on trade
for the 109th Congress. The economic and political arguments in
favor of the Dominican Republic- Central American Free Trade
Agreement are strong. The agreement would expand markets for
Central America, the Dominican Republic, and the United States. It
would help to integrate these countries into the global economy,
encourage needed economic reforms, and bolster positive political
trends. Moreover, the agreement will signal the entire
hemisphere that Washington is serious about market integration and
helping its neighbors to develop.
As the first vote on trade for the new
Congress, DR-CAFTA will set the tone for future debates. Congress
should support DR-CAFTA based on the merits of the agreement, but
the potential long-term costs of failing to support DR-CAFTA give
the vote even more importance.
Brett D. Schaefer is
Jay Kingham Fellow in International Regulatory Affairs in the
Center for International Trade and Economics, and Stephen Johnson
is Senior Policy Analyst for Latin America in the Douglas and
Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the
Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.
[1]Data are in
constant 1995 U.S. dollars. World Bank, World Development
Indicators 2004, on-line ed., at
publications.worldbank.org/WDI (February 4, 2005;
subscription required).
[2]U.S. Department of
Commerce, Office of Trade and Industry Analysis, "Monthly Foreign
Trade Data," at www.ita.doc.gov/td/
industry/otea/usftd/index.html (February 4, 2005).
[3]Trade data for
December 2004 are not yet available. U.S. Department of Commerce,
"Monthly Foreign Trade Data."
[4]Dan Griswold and
Daniel Ikenson, "The Case for CAFTA: Consolidating Central
America's Freedom Revolution," Cato Institute Trade Briefing
Paper No. 21, September 21, 2004, pp. 3-5, at
www.freetrade.org/pubs/briefs/tbp-021.pdf (February 4,
2005).
[5]World Bank,
World Development Indicators 2004.
[6]Press release,
"Dominican Republic Joins Five Central American Countries in
Historic FTA with U.S.," Office of the U.S. Trade Representative,
May 8, 2004, at
www.ustr.gov/Document_Library/Press_Releases/2004/August/
Dominican_Republic_Joins_Five_Central_American_Countries_in_Historic_
FTA_with_U.S.html (February 4, 2005).
[7]Business
Roundtable, "2005: A Crossroads for U.S. International Trade
Policy," January 2005, p. 7, at
www.businessroundtable.org/pdf/20050112002TradeTaskForce.pdf
(February 4, 2005).
[8]Press
release, "Dominican Republic Joins Five Central American Countries
in Historic FTA with U.S."
[9]Data
are in constant 1995 U.S. dollars. World Bank, World Development
Indicators 2004.
[10]Ana
I. Eiras and Brett D. Schaefer, "Trade: The Best Way to Protect the
Environment," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 1480,
September 27, 2001, at
www.heritage.org/Research/TradeandForeignAid/BG1480.cfm, and
Daniel T. Griswold, "Trade, Labor, and the Environment: How Blue
and Green Sanctions Threaten Higher Standards," Cato Institute
Trade Policy Analysis No. 15, August 2, 2001, at
www.freetrade.org/pubs/pas/tpa-015b.pdf (February 4,
2005).
[11]Marc
A. Miles, Edwin J. Feulner, and Mary Anastasia O'Grady, 2005
Index of Economic Freedom (Washington, D.C.: The Heritage
Foundation and Dow Jones & Company, Inc., 2005), p. 2, at
www.heritage.org/index, and John C. Hulsman, Ph.D., Brett D.
Schaefer, and Anthony Kim, "The Benefits of a Global Free Trade
Alliance," in Miles et al., 2005 Index of Economic
Freedom, p. 38-40.
[12]The
informal employment average includes the latest data from all six
DR-CAFTA countries while the underemployment figure is an average
of the Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras rates.
International Labor Organization, Subregional Office for
Central America, Haiti, Panama and Dominican Republic, "Decent Work
Indicators Database," at www.oit.or.cr/estad/td/indexe.php
(January 31, 2005).
[13]International
Labor Organization,"Decent Work Indicators Database."
[14]This
is the net welfare estimate, which subtracts the benefits to sugar
producers from the overall cost to consumers. U.S. Government
Accountability Office (formerly General Accounting Office), "Sugar
Program: Supporting Sugar Prices Has Increased Users' Costs While
Benefiting Producers," GAO/RCED-00-126, June 2000, p.
21.
[16]U.S.
International Trade Commission, The Economic Effects of
Significant U.S. Import Restraints: Fourth Update 2004,
Investigation No. 332-325, Publication 3701, June 2004, p. 20,
at hotdocs.usitc.gov/docs/pubs/332/pub3701.pdf (February 4,
2005).
[17]Office
of the U.S. Trade Representative, "Sugar: Putting CAFTA into
Perspective," February 23, 2004, at www.ustr.gov/
Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2004/Fact_Sheet_on_Sugar_in_CAFTA.html
(February 4, 2005).
[18]Office
of the U.S. Trade Representative, "Fact Sheet on Sugar in
CAFTA-DR," January 26, 2005, at www.ustr.gov/
Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2005/Fact_Sheet_on_Sugar_in_CAFTA-DR.html
(February 8, 2005).
[19]The
U.S. agreed to eliminate its quotas through the Agreement on
Textiles and Clothing (ATC), which entered into force along with
the World Trade Organization in 1995. The ATC requires the United
States, Canada, and the European Union to gradually eliminate
textile and apparel quotas by January 1, 2005. The ATC supercedes
the Multifiber Arrangement, which had set global policy on textile
and apparel trade since 1974. U.S. International Trade Commission,
The Economic Effects of Significant U.S. Import Restraints,
p. 60.
[20]Jan
Paul Acton, Assistant Director, Natural Resources and Commerce
Division, Congressional Budget Office, statement before the
Subcommittee on Asian and Pacific Affairs and the Subcommittee on
International Economic Policy, Committee on Foreign Affairs, U.S.
House of Representatives, April 29, 1992, at
www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=5012&sequence=0 (February
4, 2005).
[21]Most
of the gains would be through the elimination of quotas.
[22]Office
of the U.S. Trade Representative, "Free Trade with Central
America," May 28, 2004, at www.ustr.gov/
Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2004/Free_Trade_with_Central_America.html
(February 4, 2005).
[23]A
better alternative would be to eliminate requirements for the
garments to include U.S. textiles or yarn, which may not be the
most cost-effective source.
[24]Christopher
A. Padilla, Assistant to the U.S. Trade Representative, "The Case
for DR-CAFTA," remarks to the San Antonio Free Trade Alliance, San
Antonio, Texas, November 05, 2004, at
www.uscafta.org/policy/view.asp?POLICY_ID=75 (February 7,
2005).
[25]Ana
Isabel Eiras, "Why America Needs to Support Free Trade," Heritage
Foundation Backgrounder No. 1761, May 24, 2004, at
www.heritage.org/Research/TradeandForeignAid/bg1761.cfm, and
Brett D. Schaefer, "Expand Freedom to Counter Terrorism," Heritage
Foundation Backgrounder No. 1508, December 6, 2001, at
www.heritage.org/Research/
TradeandForeignAid/BG1508.cfm.