Budgets are about setting priorities,
and restraining runaway spending and budget deficits requires
difficult trade-offs. Still, President Bush's fiscal year 2006
budget proposal has met with predictable opposition from those
whose favored spending programs face reform. Some critics have
accused the President of trying to reduce the budget deficit "on
the backs of the poor" by slashing anti-poverty spending. This is
not the case. Federal spending on low-income families has increased
42 percent under President Bush-a rate nearly double that under
President Clinton-and it is slated to expand again in 2006. The
President's budget does not disproportionately single out these
programs, which will continue to have sufficient funds to carry out
their missions.
Spending Trends
Table 1 shows
poverty relief spending since President Bush took office in
2001.
Table 1:
Anti-Poverty Spending Is Up 42 percent under President
Bush
|
Program
|
2001
|
2005
|
Increase
|
|
Total
|
Per year
|
|
Medicaid
|
$129,374
|
$188,497
|
46%
|
9.9%
|
|
Food/Nutrition
|
34,053
|
53,103
|
56%
|
11.7%
|
|
Housing
|
30,091
|
37,255
|
24%
|
5.5%
|
|
EITC
|
26,123
|
33,790
|
29%
|
6.6%
|
|
Child credit
|
982
|
13,516
|
1276%
|
92.6%
|
|
Other
|
61,391
|
74,265
|
21%
|
4.9%
|
|
Total
|
282,014
|
400,426
|
42%
|
9.2%
|
(dollar values in millions)
Source: Calculated from Office of Management and
Budget,
Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year
2006: Historical Tables. Medicaid figures are from Table 8.5,
while other costs reflect budget functions 604, 605, and 609 in
Table 3.2. Tax credits reflect outlays only, not tax relief.
The 42 percent
increase under President Bush translates to an average annual
increase of 9.2 percent. By comparison, these programs grew by an
average of 5.5 percent annually under President Clinton. Critics may suggest
that increased poverty has driven costs up since 2001. Despite the
recession, however, poverty rates have increased by less than one
percent under President Bush and remain lower than the average
poverty rates under the Clinton Administration. Nonetheless,
poverty-relief programs have grown faster under President Bush.
Results Matter More
These spending
numbers are not intended to prove that President Bush has been
"better" on poverty issues than other presidents. Government
programs should be judged by their results and value, not just by
their budgets. From the 1960s through the mid-1990s, Washington
spent more than $5 trillion on anti-poverty programs that did not
make a dent in the poverty rate. Record-low poverty rates were
finally achieved in the late 1990s not because of extra federal
funding, but as a result of welfare reforms moving low-income
individuals out of the welfare system and into the workforce while
also promoting family formation. Those who judge
America's progress against poverty by spending levels confuse
inputs with outputs.
What's Really
in the Budget
Despite critics'
claims of major cuts, President Bush's budget actually
increases spending on poverty programs by 2 percent. After
expanding 42 percent since 2001, these programs certainly can stand
to grow a little more slowly than before. The budget's proposals to
save money from these programs are designed to increase efficiency
and better serve targeted populations, not to reduce benefits. For
example, the President proposes saving $60 billion from Medicaid
over the decade by restructuring prescription drug payment formulas
as well as by cracking down on state schemes to defraud the
program. He then proposes $16 billion in new Medicaid and S-CHIP
spending and a $120 billion in new health tax incentives. This is a
net expansion of assistance.
And although some anti-poverty programs
are reduced, they are by no means singled out. The President calls
for a crackdown on corporate welfare by shaving $8 billion over the
next decade from farm subsidies for large agribusinesses and by
eliminating the Advanced Technology Program, which subsidizes
dozens of Fortune 500 companies. In order to reduce runaway
spending and budget deficits, additional spending cuts are spread
across programs such as energy, justice, transportation, and water
projects.
Conclusion
Budgets are about
setting priorities, and all programs must be on the table in order
to restrain federal spending. That said, the large increases in
poverty-relief spending since 2001-and the additional (albeit
smaller) increase proposed for 2006-show that the President is not
disproportionately targeting poor families for budget cuts. More
importantly, vital programs that have succeeded in reducing poverty
will continue to operate effectively.
Brian M. Riedl is
Grover M. Hermann Fellow in Federal Budgetary Affairs in the Thomas
A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.