In some ways,
consistency, not change, marked the approach to foreign and
national security policy laid out by President Bush in his State of
the Union address. That's good-particularly in regard to U.S.
policy towards Iraq. America faces strategic challenges. And good
strategy requires hard choices and the determination to follow
through. The President made the difficult decisions on the course
of U.S. policies in his first term. This State of the Union address
was an expression of his commitment to finish the job. The
Administration and Congress must focus their efforts over the next
year on ensuring that the instruments of national power are
resourced, organized, and focused on carrying through on the
President's priorities.
In terms of
vision, however, the President's speech set a bold and ambitious
agenda, following up on the broad theme of expanding freedom in the
world that he set forth in his inaugural speech two weeks ago,
proclaiming that his ultimate goal was "ending tyranny in our
world." He provided greater specifics as to what the United States
sought to accomplish in Iraq, Afghanistan, and other theaters of
the global war against terrorism, and he provided moral clarity but
not a policy blueprint for the administration's foreign policy over
the next four years, reasserting that "The only force powerful
enough to stop the rise of tyranny and terror, and replace hatred
with hope, is the force of human freedom."
Iraq dominated the
foreign policy half of the speech, as expected. But there was
surprisingly little discussion of foreign policy issues outside the
Middle East, suggesting that the President has concluded that
events in the Middle East, the chief battleground in the war
against terror, will be the prime determinant of his presidential
legacy.
Bush stressed the
multilateral nature of U.S. foreign policy, noting that 28
countries have provided ground troops in Iraq, sixty countries have
cooperated with his Proliferation Security Initiative, and 11
countries have captured Al Qaeda terrorists. He promised to
continue building coalitions to defeat the "dangers of our
time."
Iraq: Results, Not Artificial
Timetables
On Iraq, Bush
radiated strength and confidence: "We will succeed because the
Iraqi people value their own liberty as they showed the world last
Sunday." This reference to Iraq's January 30th elections, which
enjoyed a higher-than-expected voter turnout, received one of the
largest ovations of the night and led many in Congress to display
index fingers dipped in ink, as a sign of solidarity with Iraqis
who defied terrorist intimidation to cast their votes.
At one moment
during the speech, the President introduced the parents of a fallen
marine, and the mother reached over, her son's "dog tags" dangling
in hand, to hug an Iraqi voter who had been introduced moments
before. As the two women embraced, the chain of the tag hooked the
young women's dress, and for an awkward instant they were linked
together-a symbol of the linking of two nations through the service
and sacrifice of American soldiers and a reminder of how the future
of both nations is bound together.
Bush correctly
rejected calls from critics for an "exit strategy" and a timeline
for the withdrawal of American troops. The debates over exit
strategy are inside-Washington politics at its most senseless. In
fact, the President's plans for Iraq are quite close to what the
critics want. All agree that establishing effective Iraqi security
forces, moving the Iraqi political process forward, and pressuring
countries like Syria (which has facilitated the insurgency
operations based within its borders) are the most pressing tasks to
be accomplished. And that's what the administration is doing. Exit
strategies and timelines make for interesting cocktail chatter, but
they are irrelevant. U.S. forces can and will withdraw as soon as
Iraqi forces can take over the domestic security mission.
Beyond Iraq
The President
reaffirmed his belief that the ultimate security of the United
States rests on living in world in which America is part of a
family of peaceful and productive nations. He also renewed his
pledge to apply all the instruments of America's power to that
end-and use each appropriately. Military force, as in the case of
Iraq, will only be used in defense of vital U.S. interests.
Elsewhere, the United States will instead rely on the instruments
of peace to advance the cause of freedom.
Implementing the
President's vision will require following through on U.S. policies
and continuing to reshape the government institutions so that they
can effectively meet the challenges of the 21st century. In
particular, the Defense Department must continue to transform the
American military, and the State Department must restructure its
public diplomacy and foreign assistance programs. Meanwhile,
Congress must provide the resources to finish the job in Iraq and
prepare the instruments of national power for the tasks ahead.
Ratcheting up Pressure on Syria and
Iran
Bush warned that
the United States must confront all regimes that harbor or support
terrorists and singled out Syria for particular attention: "We
expect the Syrian government to end all support for terror and open
the door to freedom." This is likely to presage much greater
American pressure on Damascus to halt its support of terrorism
against Israel, withdraw its army from Lebanon, and cut ties to the
insurgency in Iraq.
Iran also received
a stern warning, although Bush stressed that the United States is
working with its European allies to find a diplomatic solution to
end the threat posed by Iran's nuclear weapons program. But Bush
undoubtedly set the ayatollahs' teeth on edge when he spoke to the
Iranian people over their heads: "As you stand for your own
liberty, America stands with you." It is in Iran where Bush's
promise to support the expansion of freedom is most likely to
resonate.
Bush also
demonstrated a willingness to challenge American allies to give
greater freedom to their people when he called on Egypt and Saudi
Arabia to make greater commitments to democratic reform. But he
made clear that the United States does not want to impose its own
model of democracy but instead to help build "governments that
answer to their citizens and reflect their own culture."
Significantly, one
of the few new policy initiatives that took concrete form in the
speech was the President's request for Congress to approve $350
million in aid to support Palestinian democratic reform. This is a
major departure from the cold shoulder that Washington gave to the
Palestinian Authority while it was dominated by Yasser Arafat, who
died in November. It indicates that the Administration will embrace
and support newly-elected Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas in an
effort to prod Palestinians to abandon Arafat's disastrous legacy
of terrorism and corrupt authoritarian rule. This aid package,
along with Bush's dispatch of Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
to meet with Abbas and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, signals
that the Administration will make reinvigorating
Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations a much higher priority in
its second term.
All in all, the
President's State of the Union speech was an upbeat and optimistic
approach to the Middle East. President Bush has sought to put the
United States in a position to swim with the current of history
towards greater freedom, which has liberated most of the Soviet
bloc, but has made relatively little progress in the Middle East
thus far. The President made clear that he recognizes that this
will be a long campaign in the war of ideas when he quoted Irish
poet Arthur O'Shaugnessy: "Each age is a dream that is dying, or
one that is coming to birth."
James A.
Phillips is Research Fellow in Middle Eastern Studies, and James
Jay Carafano, Ph.D., is Senior Research Fellow in Defense and
Homeland Security, in the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute
for International Studies at The Heritage Foundation.
The
last verse of the poem "Ode" refers to ancient cities in Iraq and
reads in full:
We, in the ages
lying
In the buried past
of the earth,
Built Nineveh with
our sighing,
And Babel itself
with our mirth;
And o'erthrew them
with prophesying,
To the old of the
new world's worth;
For each age is a
dream that is dying,
Or one that is
coming to birth.