Just as President
Bush's uplifting State of the Union address in January 2002
will be remembered for its Churchillian call to arms in
the war on terror, last night's speech will live on
because the President committed himself unambiguously to
opening up a new frontier of freedom on the domestic
front-the sort of ambitious Social Security reform long envisioned
by reformers at places like, well, The Heritage Foundation.
Sure, the
President set forth a broad domestic agenda that includes spending
restraint, reforms designed to modernize the "archaic" tax
code and give families more control over their health
care, immigration reforms that may prove to be decidedly unpopular
on Capitol Hill, and energy policy reforms that would
make us less dependent on foreign sources of oil.
He also succumbed
to the temptation to devote a portion of his address to a litany of
small initiatives in disparate policy areas such as
AIDS prevention, combating gangs, doubling the budget for
the National Institutes of Health (didn't Congress just finish
doing precisely that?), and so on.
But the part of
the State of the Union with the longest shelf life will be the
President's elaboration of his oft-stated desire to make Social
Security fiscally solvent and allow younger workers to invest a
portion of their Social Security payroll taxes in
personal accounts that they own and that the government can
never take away.
A few
specific observations as to the significance of his
address:
-
The stark visual
impression. The strong divide on Capitol Hill
that we hear so much about in the media jumped out at
viewers as the President made his case for reform. Some camera
angles caught the partisan divide perfectly, with all the
Republican members on one side of the House Chamber on their
feet and applauding vigorously while the Democrats sat in
stony silence on the opposite side. At one point, as the
President explained how the unreformed Social Security
system is structurally unsound, Democrats lost
control and resorted to hissing
and catcalling.
-
A nod to Democratic
reformers. Significantly, when the President paid
tribute to Social Security reform ideas set forth by
members of Congress, he focused exclusively on contributions from
leading Democrats such as retired Senators John Breaux of
Louisiana and Daniel Patrick Moynihan of New York,
retired Minnesota Representative Tim Penny, and even
former President Bill Clinton. He could have added former
Nebraska Senator Bob Kerrey and former Representative Charles
Stenholm to the list. While making the valid point that many
prominent Democrats occupy honored places in the Social
Security reform movement, it nevertheless is
revealing that not one of those mentioned currently serves in
Congress.
-
Moving the sense of
urgency forward. The President focused not on the
official date of insolvency-2042, when Social Security's
so-called "Trust Fund" redeems its last Treasury bond and the
program loses the financial wherewithal to pay 100 percent of
promised benefits-but rather on the year when Social Security
benefits first exceed revenues from payroll taxes, 2018.
He correctly pointed out that the fiscal consequences of doing
nothing hit us far more quickly than the do-nothing crowd
admits. Once Social Security deficits appear in 15
years, they accelerate quickly and without
mercy, reaching $200 billion as early as 2025. A
particularly nice touch was the President's attempt to put this in
perspective. Those of us with five-year old children, he
observed, fret incessantly about paying for their college
tuition, fully 15 years away. So why doesn't it make just as much
sense for the people's representatives to address
foreseeable problems like those confronting Social Security
now, rather than wait for the crisis to hit?
-
Offering some details
of his plan: We know much more about the
President's proposal now than we did 24 hours ago. We know, for
instance, that the President will ask Congress to
allow workers under the age of 55 to place 4
percentage points of their Social Security payroll taxes into
personal accounts. This falls in the middle of the range of the
personal account bills introduced in the last Congress. We also
know that the accounts will be voluntary, that they will be
phased in gradually, and that they will be modeled on the Thrift
Savings Plan available to all federal employees and, significantly,
to members of Congress. The President used one argument we
will be hearing more of in the future, namely, that we should
extend the same retirement "security, choice and ownership" to
young Americans that we currently extend to federal
workers. After all, if even the most incompetent federal
employee can manage a personal retirement account, then why
question the ability of tens of millions of taxpayers in the
private sector to do the same?
Of course, we look
forward to learning more about the specifics of
his proposal. For instance, will low-wage workers be
allowed to contribute proportionally higher amounts into their
personal accounts than workers with higher incomes? One of the
reform plans before Congress would offer low-wage workers precisely
this sort of deal. Members who represent districts with large
numbers of unskilled and low-wage workers may find it
politically suicidal to resist such an approach.
In many ways, last
night's State of the Union flowed naturally from the broad
philosophical rationales that the President employed in his
Inaugural Address. Freedom is the watchword for this
President, both at home and abroad. To liberate
future generations from the shackles of the Great Society (the
Social Security program envisioned by FDR was modest in
comparison to the more generous and extensive complex of
programs in place today) and give them ownership, choice, and
control over such fundamental aspects of their lives as their
retirement, health care, education, and financial security is a
domestic legacy the President seems determined to pursue.
Michael Franc is
Vice President for Government Relations at the Heritage
Foundation.