Depending on how
they are structured, add-on accounts in Social Security would
either force workers to pay twice for the same benefit or end up
hurting the very people who most need additional retirement
security. These accounts are the direct opposite of President
George W. Bush's plan to establish personal retirement accounts in
Social Security that would be financed by diverting some of the
existing payroll taxes that go to that program.
An add-on account
is a retirement account financed either with general revenue from
the federal government or some form of additional taxes or forced
savings from individual workers. Most opponents of personal
retirement accounts (PRAs) say that they do not object to add-on
accounts. More recently, some Republicans who worry about the
effect of diverting some of Social Security's payroll taxes have
latched on to the idea of add-on accounts. They see add-on accounts
as having all of the virtues of PRAs without the political cost.
But add-on accounts are just as costly as PRAs and must be linked
to the existing Social Security system in order to reduce that
program's coming cash flow problems.
The different
types of add-on accounts are distinguished by where the money for
them would come from and how the accounts would relate to Social
Security. There are four possible types of add-on accounts. None,
however, is an attractive way to fix Social Security.
Voluntary Add-On
Accounts
Voluntary add-on
accounts would allow workers to invest a portion of their paychecks
in new, probably tax-advantaged investment accounts. Incentives to
take advantage of these accounts might range from a tax credit for
making a contribution to a direct government match of
contributions. In practice such incentives would be little more
than another government benefit for upper and middle-income
taxpayers. Low-income workers would be unable to afford these
add-on accounts, just as they tend not to participate in existing
employer-sponsored investment plans.
The sad fact is
that, faced with the choice between paying the mortgage and saving
for a retirement that might happen 40 years in the future if the
worker lives that long, many workers choose to meet today's needs.
As a result, lower-income and younger workers rarely participate in
employer-sponsored retirement plans-even when their employers offer
to match some or all of their contributions. It is hard to see how
a new system of government-sponsored retirement accounts would
change this. If an employer match is not sufficient incentive to
save, a government match is unlikely to be any more successful.
How would
voluntary add-on accounts affect Social Security? Not at all.
While these accounts would allow workers who can afford to save
another opportunity to build retirement savings, they would do
nothing to save Social Security. In order to improve Social
Security's financial situation, a portion of these accounts would
have to replace some of the government-paid monthly benefit. It is
difficult to see the justice in using part or all of a voluntary
account to offset the cost of providing Social Security benefits,
when the same offset would not apply to workers who failed to save.
Such an offset would be a major disincentive to making these
additional, voluntary contributions. In addition, some of the
savings that might go into voluntary add-on accounts would come
from existing retirement savings vehicles, such as 401(k)s, and so
voluntary add-on accounts might not lead to increased national
savings. Even worse, there is the problem that low-income workers,
who need additional savings the most, would be the least able to
participate in these accounts.
Mandatory Add-On
Accounts Funded With Additional Mandatory Savings
The money in
mandatory add-on accounts could come from required savings, which
would probably be collected through the tax system. One way to fund
these accounts would be to raise workers' share of the payroll tax
by, for example, another four percentage points of income. This
additional tax would be called a "contribution" to distinguish it
somewhat from other taxes. It would be deposited in an account that
the worker would own. An alternate structure might require
employers to collect and invest the money, but this would be a
significant burden on employers. Their opposition would make
passage of such a plan much harder.
The good
news about this type of account is that all income levels would
participate and have a nest egg available upon retirement. This
money would count as new savings in the economy, to the extent that
middle- and upper-income workers do not compensate by reducing
their existing retirement savings, such as in 401(k) plans. The bad
news is that, for lower-income workers, this program would increase
their savings by reducing their lifestyles. For families who live
from paycheck to paycheck, this could be a problem. For small
business owners and the self-employed, the level of forced savings
could spell the difference between success and failure.
How
would mandatory add-on accounts funded with mandatory savings
affect Social Security? It depends. The question is, how much,
if any, of the new accounts could be used to replace Social
Security's benefits. If the same mechanism that the President
proposes to use to prevent "double-dipping" for those who choose
PRAs is applied here, the accounts could significantly reduce the
system's long-term financial problems. However, such a move
would reduce the appeal of add-on accounts, as they would be
effectively little more than an increase in workers' payroll taxes
to pay for the same benefits.
Mandatory Add-On
Accounts Funded by Higher Payroll Taxes
This type of
add-on account would require the employer and employee to split the
cost of the additional payroll taxes that would go into these
accounts. For example, in the case of a four-percent account, both
the employer and employee would pay an additional tax equal to two
percent of the worker's income that would then be invested in the
worker's account. As with a PRA, the worker would probably be able
to choose an investment plan from among a few options. The money in
these accounts would be new savings, except to the extent that
middle- and upper-income taxpayers reduce their other retirement
savings.
There are two
types of problem with this approach. First, because payroll taxes
are a direct tax on employment, some employers would react to the
higher costs by reducing employment. A recent Heritage Foundation
Center for Data Analysis study showed that a 1.89 percent increase
in payroll taxes would result in 277,000 fewer jobs being created
in each of the first 10 years after raising the tax. Raising the payroll tax
to fund an add-on account would have the same effect. And because
lower-income jobs are the easiest to replace with machines, this
reduced employment would hit low-income workers the hardest. This
would undermine the goal of improving low-income workers'
retirement security.
Workers would
experience a lower standard of living as higher payroll taxes lower
take-home incomes. This again would probably hurt lower-income
workers, who have less flexibility in their household budgets, more
than middle- and upper-income workers. Small business owners and
the self-employed, who must pay both then employer and employee
portions of the payroll tax, would be the hardest hit. For them,
the difference in income could be the difference between success
and failure.
How would
mandatory add-on accounts funded by higher payroll taxes affect
Social Security? Essentially, this is a tax increase, with a
few advantages. Because this type of account would be funded by the
payroll tax, there would be every justification for using them to
offset part of the cost of a worker's Social Security benefits.
Using the same mechanism that President Bush proposes for PRAs
would be likely. However, an increase in benefits would be
unlikely, and workers would be limited to receiving the difference
between the actual earnings on the accounts and the amount that was
used to replace government-paid benefits. This would significantly
reduce Social Security's unfunded liability, but at a great cost to
workers. Even worse, the low-income workers who need Social
Security benefits the most would find it harder to get and keep a
job because the higher payroll tax would reduce employment.
Mandatory Add-on
Accounts Funded by General Revenue Taxes
The final type of
add-on accounts attempts to avoid any controversy about payroll
taxes or the Social Security Trust Fund by paying for the accounts
from general revenues. With this type of account, the government
would essentially give a worker an account equal to four percent,
for example, of his or her income. This gift might be described as
a refundable rebate of income taxes. The money would come from
either higher non-Social Security taxes, such as personal or
corporate income taxes, or from borrowing. As with PRAs, workers
might be allowed to choose from among a few investment options.
Former Social Security Subcommittee Chairman Rep. Clay Shaw (R-FL)
has introduced legislation that would create this type of
account.
But the
problems with this type of account far outweigh the benefits.
Because the money appears to be a government gift, Congress could
elect to reduce or end the program at any time, much as it ended
revenue sharing with state and local governments when deficit
pressures got too large. The money would only count as new savings
in the economy to the extent the accounts were financed by higher
taxes. Borrowing the money, such as Rep. Shaw suggests, would only
shift money around in the economy and would eventually require
higher taxes to repay the borrowing.
How
would mandatory add-on accounts funded by general revenue taxes
affect Social Security?As proposed by Rep. Shaw, workers would
essentially pay twice for the same benefit. Under his bill, a
worker is guaranteed the higher of either the monthly benefit paid
from his account or what Social Security promised to pay, but not
both. In practice, this means that most or all of the account would
be seized by the government and used to pay the Social Security
benefits previously paid for by payroll taxes-which workers would
continue to pay. In this sense, Rep. Shaw's plan is little more
than a massive general revenue subsidy for the existing Social
Security system, dressed up as individual accounts. While this plan
would address Social Security's cash-flow problems, once the
borrowing needed to fund the accounts come due, a delayed tax
increase would be inevitable. General-revenue accounts, then, would
do little more than shift the burden of Social Security a bit into
the future and to a slightly different revenue source.
Conclusion
Politicians who think that add-on accounts are a "magic bullet"
that would fix Social Security without the cost or political risk
of real personal retirement accounts should think twice before
supporting add-on accounts. This is especially true for legislators
who claim to represent the interests of low-income workers.
The add-on
accounts that are guaranteed to help Social Security are little
more than tax increases disguised as personal counts. Other types
of add-on accounts would mainly benefit upper and middle-income
workers and do little to help the workers who need additional
retirement security the most. Workers at all income levels would be
better served by real personal retirement accounts, such as those
proposed by President Bush.
David C. John is
Research Fellow in Social Security and Financial Institutions in
the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The
Heritage Foundation.