North Korea attempted to stun the world by
declaring on February 10, 2005, that it had "manufactured nuclear
weapons" and would "suspend participation in the six-party talks
for an indefinite period." Yet this should have not come as a
surprise to North Korea watchers, who recognized this statement for
what it was: a typical North Korean negotiating tactic to raise the
level of tension and garner a more advantageous bargaining
position.
The
world has long suspected North Korea of possessing at least several
nuclear weapons. In pursuing these and other weapons, North Korea
has flagrantly violated at least four international agreements: the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, 1991 Joint Declaration on
Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, International Atomic
Energy Agency safeguards agreement, and 1994 Geneva Accords or
Agreed Framework, which called for North Korea to freeze its
plutonium program in Yongbyon in exchange for two civilian
light-water reactors.
In
June 2004, during the third round of the six-party talks, the
United States articulated a proposal--similar to a South Korean
proposal during the second round in February 2004--that called for
North Korea's commitment to the supervised dismantlement of all
nuclear-related facilities and materials, the removal of all
nuclear weapons and weapons components, and a long-term monitoring
program in exchange for provisional multilateral security
assurances, non-nuclear energy programs, heavy fuel oil, and the
lifting of economic sanctions. Since then, North Korea has ignored
the proposal and instead has continued to stall the next round of
talks by blaming "hostile" U.S. policies. These statements, along
with demands for bilateral talks with the United States and the
removal of U.S. troops on the Korean peninsula, simply repeat
demands and accusations that date back to the Korean War. Such
posturing should not be allowed to divert attention from the
crucial issue of dismantling North Korea's nuclear arsenal.
Regardless of North Korea's contrived
excuses, the time has come for the five other parties--the United
States, South Korea, China, Japan, and Russia--to insist that
Pyongyang has been given more than enough time to consider the
proposal on the table and to respond. The five parties should set a
March deadline for convening the next round of six-party talks.
Whether or not Pyongyang chooses to participate, the talks should
take place as scheduled, and the five parties should agree on the
next steps to address an uncooperative North Korea.
To
this end, the Bush Administration should:
- Urge
the other four parties--South Korea, Japan, China, and Russia--to
convene the next round of the six-party talks in March. If North
Korea does not attend, the remaining five parties should issue a
statement declaring that North Korea is responsible for the impasse
and proposing concrete next-step actions. These actions should
include expanding the focus of diplomatic efforts from regional to
international. Specifically, the U.S. should urge countries that
currently have diplomatic ties with North Korea--including some
European Union countries, Australia, and Canada--to sign a
resolution condemning North Korea's nuclear weapons program as a
dangerous and destabilizing activity and to suspend their
diplomatic ties with Pyongyang until it agrees to return to the
negotiation table. The Bush Administration should also push for a
U.N. Security Council resolution condemning North Korea's nuclear
activities.
- Focus
efforts before the talks on ending doubts--particularly on the part
of South Korea, China, and Russia--about North Korea's uranium
enrichment programs. The governments of these three countries have
expressed public skepticism about the uranium program, choosing to
focus instead on ending North Korea's plutonium programs. However,
ending both types of programs must be retained as the ultimate
goal, and all parties need to agree on this objective. The Bush
Administration should consider issuing an unclassified white paper
on the status of North Korea's nuclear programs.
- Work
more intensively with Seoul, Tokyo, and Beijing to reconsider their
economic assistance and ties with Pyongyang. Tokyo has drastically
reduced its monetary transactions with North Korea by cracking down
on illegal financial transactions and enforcing shipping
regulations, but Seoul is considering increasing its aid and
assistance programs. Although Washington should not demand that
South Korea permanently halt its humanitarian and economic
engagement with North Korea, it should convey to Seoul the
imperative need for coordinating policy and the timing of aid to
North Korea.
- Urge
the Japanese government to work out its differences with North
Korea over its abductees as an issue separate from the six-party
talks. The United States should support Japan's stance and insist
on resolution, but this issue should not be allowed to divert
attention from the goal of dismantling North Korea's nuclear
programs.
- Continue to move ahead with coordinated
interdiction exercises in the region under the auspices of the
Proliferation Security Initiative to crack down on North Korea's
illicit activities, including drug, weapons, and human trafficking
and counterfeiting activities.
Conclusion. The United States should use
the next meeting of the six-party talks to send the clear message
that North Korea will no longer be allowed to dictate the terms and
conditions of the multilateral diplomatic efforts to end North
Korea's nuclear weapons program. All parties, even North Korea,
have officially stated that they agree that the goal is a
denuclearized Korean peninsula. The time has come to test their
commitment to this goal and insist on its realization.
Balbina Y. Hwang is Policy Analyst for
Northeast Asia in the Asian Studies Center at The Heritage
Foundation.