In the pending
energy bill, Congress has given the threat of global warming the
urgency it deserves-absolutely none. Now, it is time for the rest
of the world to get its priorities similarly in order. The Group of
eight (G-8) economic summit may have started that process.
The recently
passed House and Senate versions of the energy bill contain no
binding provisions to cap emissions of carbon dioxide, the
ubiquitous byproduct of fossil fuel consumption that contributes to
global warming. Attempts to add carbon dioxide caps as amendments
to the Senate bill lost decisively, with many Senators questioning
both the costs of and the environmental rationale for such
unprecedented constraints on the use of coal, oil, and natural
gas.
This is a
fortunate omission because a carbon cap would have negated the
energy bill's overall goal of reducing energy costs in the years
ahead.
The Senate did
agree to a non-binding resolution declaring global warming a
problem. Other provisions in the energy bill would expand the Bush
administration's policy of funding research and development of
technologies to produce energy with less carbon emissions. This
includes clean coal, new-generation nuclear, and hydrogen fuel
cells.
Congress has
clearly joined the Bush administration in rejecting carbon
constraints, opting instead for the longer-term approach of
developing and deploying new technologies.
Attention turned
to the G-8 summit recently concluded in Gleneagles, Scotland. Tony
Blair and other European leaders initially hoped to shame the U.S.
into making a stronger commitment to rein in carbon emissions. But
their main weapon in this fight-the fact that the other seven
nations (Britain, Russia, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and
Canada) have ratified the Kyoto Protocol and thereby committed
themselves to tough carbon emissions reductions-is rapidly falling
apart. According to the European Environment Agency and other
sources, carbon emissions among these nations are on the rise and
most are not on track to meet their commitments under Kyoto.
These nations are
learning the hard way what Washington knew all along: any
short-term effort to ratchet down carbon emissions using existing
technologies will be prohibitively costly. By some estimates, the
global costs could reach well into the hundreds of billions of
dollars annually. It is time for a new approach.
Accepting this
lesson is key to the rest of the G-8 agenda, especially Mr. Blair's
stated goal of reducing poverty in Africa and the rest of the
developing world. Indeed, it would be very good news for the
world's poor had the G-8 summit signaled the beginning of the end
for the Kyoto approach, in favor of the Bush administration's
strategy of research and development of new technologies.
Simply put,
pursuing Kyoto diminishes the chances that developing nations will
ever escape poverty. Of course, forcing these nations to adopt
Kyoto-style energy limits would make the fossil fuels necessary for
growth prohibitively costly. But even if the developing world is
exempted from carbon dioxide controls-an exemption that would
ensure no progress on reducing overall emissions regardless of what
the first world does-the adverse impact on development would still
be substantial. The developing world needs an economically robust
developed world with which to engage in mutually beneficial trade,
but that won't happen with the Kyoto Protocol in place. In effect,
Kyoto-if actually implemented-would slow the economies of the first
world, greatly jeopardizing any hopes of lifting the third world
up.
Granted, the Bush
Administration's approach has problems of its own. Past attempts at
federally directed energy research have a spotty record. Further,
the costs of such efforts-currently funded to the tune of about $5
billion annually and with more on the way in the energy bill-are
far from trivial and may well prove disproportionate to the
problem. Nonetheless, this approach would be an order of magnitude
cheaper than the Kyoto Protocol or any similar carbon cap system.
Judging by the
Gleneagles Communiqué, signed by the G-8, it appears that
the rest of the world is moving towards the Bush Administration's
position.
Ben
Lieberman is Senior Policy Analyst in the Thomas A.
Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.