While Social
Security has received the most attention, recent developments
emphasize the need for a comprehensive approach to pensions that
expands opportunities to save for retirement and strengthens
defined benefits plans. The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
(PBGC), which insures defined benefit pension plans, faces
potential deficits of hundreds of billions of dollars that may
require a government bailout. Meanwhile, while the United States
has a strong defined contribution pensions system, millions of
Americans work at companies that do not offer a retirement savings
plan, and many who do have access to plans fail to participate.
Congress should pass a unified reform that addresses all of these
problems.
Three Necessary
Goals
A responsible
retirement income reform will have three elements. First, it must
restore Social Security's fiscal health with more realistic benefit
promises. Second, it must give every worker the opportunity to save
for retirement with both a Personal Retirement Account (PRA) in
Social Security and retirement savings programs, such as
employer-sponsored 401(k) plans. Third, it must ensure that defined
benefit plans are fully funded and able to pay the benefits that
they promise, while also reducing the chance that the PBGC will
need a taxpayer bailout.
Reform #1: Reduce the unfunded burden that
today's Social Security system will impose on future
generations.
Social
Security has promised future generations far more in retirement
benefits than its current funding sources will allow it to pay.
Meeting these obligations without reforms will burden our children
and grandchildren with crushing payroll taxes, sharply reducing
their standard of living. In addition, because payroll taxes are
essentially a levy on jobs, substantial payroll tax increases will
reduce economic growth and kill jobs.
This same logic also applies to the additional
general revenue funding that would be needed to pay today's
promised benefits under a PRA plan. Even though this cost would be
substantially lower than to the cost of paying full benefits under
the current system, reformers should not repeat the mistake of
trying to build political support today by pushing substantial
costs onto future generations.
A sensible reform would reduce the benefits
promised to younger workers to more reasonable levels while also
giving them the time and tools necessary to make up the difference
through investment earnings. Continuing to promise those who are a
long way from retirement more than Social Security can
realistically deliver only makes the system unstable by imposing
the burden of paying for it onto future
generations.
An excellent way to accomplish this goal is
progressive indexation of future retirees' benefits. This would
preserve today's promised benefits for lower-income workers while
gradually reducing benefit growth for upper income retirees, who
are more likely to have significant other retirement savings. Other
ways to accomplish this goal include gradually raising the
retirement age and indexing future retirees' benefits to changes in
longevity.
Reform #2: Improve younger workers' ability to
save for retirement in Social Security and retirement savings
programs, such as 401(k) plans.
Social
Security Accounts: To have the opportunity to improve their
Social Security benefits, younger workers should have the option to
invest a portion of their Social Security taxes in personal
accounts that they would own. In the
future, Social Security retirement benefits should come from both
the current government-paid program, which would become "Social
Security Part A," and from individual workers' PRAs, or
"Social Security Part B." Workers should be able to choose whether
to rely totally on Part A or to invest a portion of their
retirement taxes through Part B. As shown by the experiences of
over 25 countries, including the United Kingdom, Sweden,
Switzerland, and Australia, PRAs can help workers to improve
their retirement incomes without unreasonable risks.
At the same time, simply establishing PRAs is
not sufficient. Social Security Part B should also be designed to
give workers more control over how their retirement income is
structured by allowing them to build nest eggs. Upon retirement,
these nest eggs could be used to increase monthly income, reserved
for an emergency, or left to family members. In the event that a
worker dies before retirement, this nest egg would be a part of his
or her estate and could be passed on to heirs.
Improving Retirement Savings:
Young workers must have access to a
retirement savings plan in every job they hold and begin to save as
soon as they join the workforce. Future workers are almost certain
to retire with smaller Social Security benefits, as a proportion to
their pre-retirement earnings, than those near retirement today-an
outcome that is even more likely if Congress fails to act. Today,
only about half of the workforce participates in 401(k) plans or
IRAs. Most of the workers who do participate are employed by large
companies or have above average incomes. Those who are employed by
smaller businesses or who have low to moderate incomes often save
little for retirement.
Meeting this goal requires two major changes.
First, existing plans need to be restructured to encourage people
to participate. Second, all workers-regardless of their income
level, the size of their employer, or their geographic
location-must have access to retirement savings plans similar to
401(k)s.
Achieving greater participation is fairly
simple. Rather than requiring workers to fill out forms if they
wish to participate in their employer's 401(k) plan, they should be
automatically enrolled unless they take action to opt out. In
addition, there should be a default contribution level expressed as
a percentage of a worker's income, so that contributions keep pace
with the growth of the worker's pay. Finally, workers' accounts
should be automatically assigned an appropriate investment choice,
such as a lifespan fund. Again, workers could take action to opt
for other investments.
Expanding 401(k)s to smaller employers will be
harder, especially where traditional financial firms have few
offices, but it is just as essential. The first step is to reduce
or eliminate the regulatory burdens that raise the cost of 401(k)
plans and discourage employers from offering them. However, other
innovative steps are also needed. These might include allowing
business and professional associations to offer plans to small
businesses and self-employed professionals. For instance, a pension
plan covering all of the smaller retail stores in a community could
be created. In addition, professional associations for nurses,
architects, and social workers, as well as similar groups, could be
encouraged to offer pension funds to their members just as many
associations now offer insurance plans and other
services.
Reform #3: Restore financial stability to
defined benefit pension plans and reduce the need for a government
bailout of the PBGC.
The defined
benefit pensions that served workers so well for decades face the
same problems that plague Social Security: shrinking numbers of
workers to pay the benefits of millions of future retirees and
inadequate funding because future retirees are likely to live much
longer than actuaries expected when investment strategies for these
plans were developed.
The retirement security of the millions of
workers who are covered by defined benefit pension plans is at risk
because many of those plans do not have enough money to pay all of
the benefits they have promised. While the PBGC has had to take
over underfunded pension plans from two airlines and most of the
steel industry, worse is yet to come. Other airlines are already in
trouble, and the auto industry is feeling the crush of its massive
pension obligations. The end result may be a massive bailout of
PBGC that costs taxpayers tens of billions of dollars. To avoid
this, Congress must act quickly. It should start by considering the
Administration's proposal on defined benefit pension
reform.
Most of PBGC's annual income, which is used to
reduce the agency's deficit, comes from a $19 per worker annual
insurance premium paid by covered pension plans. The Bush
Administration proposes to raise premiums-for the first time since
1991-by $11 to $30 per worker and to index the premium to the
annual growth in wages. This increase, which is proportional to
wage growth over the past 14 years, would take effect in FY 2006.
Underfunded plans would also pay an annual risk-based premium that
reflects the gap between benefit promises and funding targets.
The PBGC board would set the amount of the premium based on the
risk of plan failure and the need to improve the agency's
finances.
While increased premiums will provide
additional revenue for the agency, substantial reform of pension
plan funding rules would also improve PBGC's finances. The current
rules are extremely complex, and plans are evaluated with the
assumption that employers will always be able to make
contributions, regardless of the risk of a firm's failure. For
example, Bethlehem Steel's pension plan was judged to be 84
percent funded even though it had only 45 percent of the
assets needed to pay promised benefits. The PBGC was left to cover
a $4.3 billion shortfall when the firm went bankrupt.
Funding rule changes proposed by the Bush
Administration and House Education & the Workforce Committee
Chairman John Boehner would both provide a more accurate picture of
plan funding and require companies to meet their obligations. The
proposed rules would also prevent companies from expanding benefit
promises while their plans are severely underfunded. Combined with
the additional premiums, the new funding rules would sharply reduce
the need for a major taxpayer bailout of the PBGC.
The one thing that Congress should not do is
to repeat the sad experience of the 1980s. Congress should not
casually extend the amount of time that corporations have to fund
their pension plans. While this may be justified on a case-by-case
basis when there is hard evidence that a company will recover its
financial health, a general rule would mean that taxpayers will
have to pay more to bail out the PBGC when it runs out of
money.
Conclusion
Because Social
Security is the floor and safety net of our nation's pension
system, the program must be restored to financial health without
delay. Establishing a voluntary system of personal Social Security
retirement accounts is an essential part of fixing Social Security.
However, reforming Social Security only deals with part of the
overall problem. Non-Social Security retirement income is also at
risk due to problems with the defined benefit pension system and
the inability of defined contribution plans to reach all workers.
Congress must address the entire pension system soon if younger
workers are to have the same financial stability that their parents
and grandparents received. Delay in confronting any of these
problems will only increase the tax burden on future workers and
raise the risk that workers will be unable to meet their retirement
goals.
David C. John is
Research Fellow in Social Security and Financial Institutions in
the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The
Heritage Foundation.